{"id":52568,"date":"2019-11-11T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2019-11-10T21:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/blog\/blog_prohoster\/gartner-hype-cycle-2019-razbor-polyotov"},"modified":"2020-02-18T14:00:20","modified_gmt":"2020-02-18T11:00:20","slug":"gartner-hype-cycle-2019-razbor-polyotov","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/az\/blog\/news\/gartner-hype-cycle-2019-razbor-polyotov","title":{"rendered":"Gartner Hype Cycle 2019: analysis","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AI texnologiyalar\u0131n\u0131 2019-cu ild\u0259 sisteml\u0259\u015fdirdik v\u0259 2017-ci il proqnozu il\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131q-a\u015fkar m\u00fcqayis\u0259 etdik.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Gartner Hype Cycle 2019: analysis\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/9e39aceb55783b5f072efe5b0a94672c.jpeg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/><\/p>\n<p><noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" name=\"habracut\"><\/a><\/noindex><\/p>\n<p>Birincisi, Gartner Hype Cycle n\u0259dir? Bu, texnologiyan\u0131n yetkinlik d\u00f6vr\u00fc, y\u0259ni b\u00fcrcl\u0259nm\u0259d\u0259n m\u0259hsuldar istifad\u0259y\u0259 ke\u00e7id prosesi dem\u0259kdir. \u0130ndi c\u0259dv\u0259l t\u0259qdim edil\u0259c\u0259k, bel\u0259likl\u0259, daha ayd\u0131n olsun. <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gartner.com\/en\/research\/methodologies\/gartner-hype-cycle\">h\u0259r \u015fey<\/a><\/noindex>. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da izahlar var.<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Gartner Hype Cycle 2019: analysis\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/18e511b34c2a7c007f1b4e01acfb0ef4.jpeg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Birinci m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259. \u0336Q\u0336\u0259z\u0259b\u0336. <strong>Ba\u015flan\u011f\u0131c.<\/strong> Texnologiya meydana \u00e7\u0131x\u0131r, ilk \u00f6nc\u0259 bilikli nerdl\u0259r onu m\u00fczakir\u0259 edir, sonra is\u0259 fanatik ictimaiyy\u0259t; t\u0259dric\u0259n hype artma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>\u0130kinci m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259. \u0336T\u0336ic\u0327ar\u0259t\u0336. <strong>T\u0259klifl\u0259rin \u015fi\u015firdilm\u0259si m\u0259rt\u0259b\u0259si.<\/strong> Bir anl\u0131q art\u0131q h\u0259r k\u0259s texnologiyadan dan\u0131\u015f\u0131r, onu t\u0259tbiq etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r v\u0259 \u0259n a\u011f\u0131l sahibi olanlar \u2013 onu bahal\u0131 \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 satma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259. \u0336D\u0336\u0259\u0336p\u0336r\u0336e\u0336s\u0336s\u0336i\u0336ya\u0336.\u0336 <strong>\u0130lginin azalmas\u0131.<\/strong> Texnologiya aktiv \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 t\u0259tbiq olunur v\u0259 tez-tez \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmazl\u0131qlar v\u0259 m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259r s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n u\u011fursuz olur. \"Bunlar ham\u0131s\u0131 bo\u015f \u015feyl\u0259r!\" \u2013 oradan-buradan g\u0259lir. Hipe s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl olur (qiym\u0259t, \u00e7ox vaxt, eyni \u015f\u0259kild\u0259).<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259. \u0336R\u0336\u0259dd\u0336. <strong>X\u0259talar\u0131n d\u00fcz\u0259ldilm\u0259si.<\/strong> Texnologiya t\u0259nziml\u0259nir, probleml\u0259r h\u0259ll olunur. T\u0259dric\u0259n \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259r ehtiyatla texnologiyan\u0131 t\u0259tbiq etm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131r v\u0259, \u015f\u00fck\u00fcr, h\u0259r \u015fey m\u00fck\u0259mm\u0259l olur.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Be\u015finci m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259. \u0336Q\u0336\u0259bul\u0336. <strong>M\u0259hsuldar i\u015f.<\/strong> Texnologiya bazarda \u00f6z layiqli yerini qazan\u0131r v\u0259 sakitc\u0259 i\u015fl\u0259yir, inki\u015faf edir, b\u0259y\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"chto-v-trende\">N\u0259 tendensiyada?<\/h3>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>2019-cu il hype d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u0259 qay\u0131daraq. Gartner \u015firk\u0259ti <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gartner.com\/smarterwithgartner\/top-trends-on-the-gartner-hype-cycle-for-artificial-intelligence-2019\">buraxd\u0131<\/a><\/noindex> sentyabrda s\u00fcni intellekt texnologiyalar\u0131n\u0131n hans\u0131 m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 oldu\u011funu v\u0259 onlar\u0131n n\u0259 vaxt m\u0259hsuldar i\u015fl\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildir\u0259n hesabat d\u0259rc etdi. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da c\u0259dv\u0259l, c\u0259dv\u0259lin alt\u0131nda \u015f\u0259rhl\u0259r.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Gartner Hype Cycle 2019: analysis\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/e97ad21859354ea40467c07c99537f65.jpeg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6y\u00fck f\u0259rql\u0259 v\u0259 art\u0131q \"M\u0259hsuldar i\u015f\" m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259 olan texnologiyalard\u0131r \"S\u0259s tan\u0131ma\" v\u0259 \"GPU istifad\u0259 ed\u0259r\u0259k prosesl\u0259rin s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259ndirilm\u0259si\". Bu, onlar\u0131n tez bir zamanda t\u0259tbiq edilm\u0259sinin laz\u0131m oldu\u011fu dem\u0259kdir, \u00e7\u00fcnki onlar art\u0131q sahibl\u0259rin\u0259 r\u0259qab\u0259t \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fcy\u00fc t\u0259min edirl\u0259r.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Avtomatik ma\u015f\u0131n \u00f6yr\u0259nm\u0259si (AutoML) v\u0259 chatbotlar indi hype zirv\u0259sind\u0259dir. Y\u0259ni, onlar haqq\u0131nda h\u0259r k\u0259s dan\u0131\u015f\u0131r, bir \u00e7oxlar\u0131 onu t\u0259tbiq edir, ancaq texnologiyalar\u0131n laz\u0131mi v\u0259ziyy\u0259t\u0259 g\u0259tirilm\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 2-d\u0259n 5-\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r zamanda t\u0259l\u0259b olunacaq.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Bizim \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn tan\u0131\u015f olan ma\u015f\u0131nlar da indi daha \u00e7ox tendensiyada. \"Avtonom n\u0259qliyyat vasit\u0259l\u0259ri\" texnologiyas\u0131 dem\u0259k olar ki, dibini hiss edir. Bu, yax\u015f\u0131d\u0131r, \u00e7\u00fcnki m\u0259hsuldar i\u015f ir\u0259lid\u0259dir. Lakin, Gartnerin qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, i\u015fl\u0259m\u0259 v\u0259 uy\u011funla\u015fd\u0131rma \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259n az\u0131 10 il t\u0259l\u0259b olunacaq.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>B\u0259s bir zamanlar hype-y\u0259 sahib olan dronlar v\u0259 virtual reall\u0131qlar bug\u00fcn harada? H\u0259r \u015fey yerind\u0259dir \u2013 Gartner dronlar\u0131 Edge AI sah\u0259sin\u0259 (AI il\u0259 t\u0259masda olan kateqoriyalar) daxil etdi, virtual reall\u0131q is\u0259 Augmented intelligence (geni\u015fl\u0259ndirilmi\u015f intellekt) hiss\u0259sin\u0259 \u00e7evrildi. H\u0259r iki m\u00f6vzu, bu arada, indi ba\u015flan\u011f\u0131c m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259dir v\u0259 m\u00fcsb\u0259t proqnoz var: m\u0259hsuldar i\u015f\u0259 2-5 il qal\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"perspektivy\">G\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k perspektivl\u0259ri<\/h3>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>G\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259ki perspektivli x\u00fcsusiyy\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259n: Prosesl\u0259rin avtomatla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn robotla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f proqram t\u0259minat\u0131 (Robotic process automation software) \u2013 qorxulu s\u0259sl\u0259nir, amma \u0259slind\u0259 bu, robotun sad\u0259 i\u015fl\u0259ri \u0259v\u0259z etm\u0259sidir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ixtisasl\u0131 personal\u0131n gec\u0259 kabusu; lakin <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.oracle.com\/a\/ocom\/docs\/artificial-intelligence\/hbr-pulse-survey.pdf\">ara\u015fd\u0131rma<\/a><\/noindex> Harvard Business Review iddia edir: ishdan \u00e7\u0131xarmalar olmayacaq, amma i\u015f m\u0259hsuldarl\u0131\u011f\u0131 artacaq. Var <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=iZJ6W803zaU\">\u0259saslar<\/a><\/noindex> inanmaq. Texnologiya 2 il \u0259rzind\u0259 populyarl\u0131q zirv\u0259sini ke\u00e7\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 sonra h\u0259r yerd\u0259 yay\u0131mlanacaq.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>M\u00fcxt\u0259lif texnologiyalardan, saxtakarlar\u0131n v\u0259 informasiya ticar\u0259t\u00e7il\u0259rinin s\u00f6yl\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yi \u015feyl\u0259r aras\u0131nda ayr\u0131ca maraq do\u011furan \"neyromorfik avadanl\u0131q\"d\u0131r. Bunlar enerji s\u0259m\u0259r\u0259liliyi bax\u0131m\u0131ndan <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/towardsdatascience.com\/neuromorphic-hardware-trying-to-put-brain-into-chips-222132f7e4de\">bioloji strukturlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131<\/a><\/noindex> nevr sistemimizin t\u0259bii \u0259m\u0259liyyat sistemini t\u0259qlid ed\u0259n elektrik cihazlar\u0131d\u0131r (\u00e7ipl\u0259r). \u018fg\u0259r sad\u0259l\u0259\u015fdirs\u0259k, bu, i\u015f b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc (asinxron nevron yenil\u0259m\u0259l\u0259ri) say\u0259sind\u0259 ultra m\u0259hsuldarl\u0131qdan s\u00f6hb\u0259t gedir. IBM v\u0259 Intel kimi n\u0259h\u0259ngl\u0259r art\u0131q neyromorfik \u00e7ipl\u0259rin yarad\u0131lmas\u0131 il\u0259 aktiv \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 m\u0259\u015f\u011fuldur. Amma Con Connor ordusunun haz\u0131rl\u0131q \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn vaxt\u0131 var \u2013 Gartner bu texnologiyan\u0131n yetkinl\u0259\u015fm\u0259sin\u0259 10 il ay\u0131r\u0131b. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>R\u0259q\u0259msal etikadan (Digital Ethics) s\u00f6z ged\u0259rk\u0259n, maraql\u0131d\u0131r ki, dan\u0131\u015fma\u011fa \u00e7ox var, amma t\u0259tbiq etm\u0259y\u0259 t\u0259l\u0259s\u0259n yoxdur. Bu sah\u0259 AI-nin m\u00fcxt\u0259lif kateqoriyalar\u0131nda yer al\u0131b: burada b\u0259zi etik prinsipl\u0259rin, standartlar\u0131n v\u0259 m\u0259lumat toplama normalar\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si laz\u0131m oldu\u011fu n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulur, y\u0259ni insanlar\u0131n <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.practicalethics.ox.ac.uk\/ai-and-digital-ethics\">yax\u015f\u0131 misal g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259si<\/a><\/noindex>. Ax\u0131, Azimovu izl\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 d\u0259ym\u0259z. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"2017-vs-2019\">2017 vs 2019<\/h3>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Maraql\u0131 bir \u015feydir ki, 2017-ci ild\u0259 h\u0259r \u015fey <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gartner.com\/smarterwithgartner\/top-trends-in-the-gartner-hype-cycle-for-emerging-technologies-2017\/\">tamamil\u0259 f\u0259rqli<\/a><\/noindex>idi, h\u0259tta AI \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ayr\u0131 bir hype d\u00f6vr\u00fc d\u0259 ayr\u0131lmam\u0131\u015fd\u0131: AI texnologiyalar\u0131 inki\u015faf ed\u0259n texnologiyalar\u0131n (Emerging Technologies) lokomotivind\u0259 blockchain v\u0259 \u0259lav\u0259 reall\u0131qla birlikd\u0259 ir\u0259lil\u0259yirdi. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Ma\u015f\u0131n \u00f6yr\u0259nm\u0259si v\u0259 d\u0259rin \u00f6yr\u0259nm\u0259 2017-ci ild\u0259 hype zirv\u0259sind\u0259 idi v\u0259 2019-cu il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r azalma yoluna davam etdil\u0259r, y\u0259ni <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/vc.ru\/tribuna\/81813-zhivoy-primer-kompyuternogo-zreniya-v-promyshlennosti\">m\u0259hsuldar i\u015f<\/a><\/noindex>. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, dronlar bir il \u0259rzind\u0259 zirv\u0259d\u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc, 2019-cu ild\u0259 is\u0259 yenid\u0259n zirv\u0259y\u0259 do\u011fru geri d\u00f6nd\u00fcl\u0259r. Bu da ba\u015f verir. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>2019-cu ild\u0259 sikl 8 yeni texnologiyan\u0131 qavrad\u0131. Onlar\u0131n aras\u0131nda bulud \u0259sasl\u0131 AI xidm\u0259tl\u0259ri (Cloud Services), AI bazarlar\u0131 (Marketplaces), AI il\u0259 kvant hesablamalar\u0131 (Quantum Computing) var. Y\u0259ni, AI d\u0259mir yollar\u0131na qoyma\u011fa ba\u015flayan yax\u015f\u0131 tan\u0131\u015f al\u0259tl\u0259rdir.<\/p>\n<p>M\u0259nb\u0259: <a content=\"nofollow\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/habr.com\/ru\/post\/475032\/\">habr.com<\/a><\/p>","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0420\u0430\u0437\u043b\u043e\u0436\u0438\u043b\u0438 AI \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0438 2019 \u043f\u043e \u043f\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0447\u043a\u0430\u043c \u0438 \u0431\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0442\u044b\u0434\u043d\u043e \u0441\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043d\u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0438\u0445 \u0441 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u043e\u043c 2017 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0430. \u0412\u043e-\u043f\u0435\u0440\u0432\u044b\u0445, \u0447\u0442\u043e \u0442\u0430\u043a\u043e\u0435 Gartner Hype Cycle? \u042d\u0442\u043e \u0441\u0432\u043e\u0435\u0433\u043e \u0440\u043e\u0434\u0430 \u0446\u0438\u043a\u043b \u0437\u0440\u0435\u043b\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0438, \u0430 \u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u0435\u0435 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0430 \u043e\u0442 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0434\u0438\u0438 \u0445\u0430\u0439\u043f\u0430 \u043a \u0435\u0451 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0434\u0443\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0443 \u0438\u0441\u043f\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044e. \u0421\u0435\u0439\u0447\u0430\u0441 \u0431\u0443\u0434\u0435\u0442 \u0433\u0440\u0430\u0444\u0438\u043a \u0441 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0432\u043e\u0434\u043e\u043c, \u0447\u0442\u043e\u0431 \u043d\u0430\u0433\u043b\u044f\u0434\u043d\u043e \u0432\u0441\u0451. \u0410 \u0432\u043d\u0438\u0437\u0443 \u043f\u043e\u044f\u0441\u043d\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f. \u041f\u0435\u0440\u0432\u0430\u044f \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0434\u0438\u044f. \u0336\u0413\u0336\u043d\u0336\u0435\u0336\u0432\u0336. \u0417\u0430\u043f\u0443\u0441\u043a. \u0422\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u044f \u043f\u043e\u044f\u0432\u043b\u044f\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f, \u0435\u0451 \u043e\u0431\u0441\u0443\u0436\u0434\u0430\u044e\u0442 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[702],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52568","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u0420\u0430\u0437\u043b\u043e\u0436\u0438\u043b\u0438 AI \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0438 2019 \u043f\u043e \u043f\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0447\u043a\u0430\u043c \u0438 \u0431\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0442\u044b\u0434\u043d\u043e \u0441\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043d\u0438\u043b\u0438 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