Makon da ke gaban 2020 shine lokacin yin lissafi. Kuma ba shekara guda ba, amma duka shekaru goma. Mu tuna yadda duniya ta yi tunanin masana'antar caca ta zamani a cikin 2010. Wanene yayi gaskiya kuma wanene yayi mafarki sosai? Juyin Juyin Halittu na haɓakawa da gaskiyar kama-da-wane, yawan rarraba masu saka idanu na 3D da sauran ra'ayoyi game da yadda yakamata masana'antar caca ta zamani ta kasance.
Kyakkyawan yin zato mai nisa shine cewa ba zai yuwu kowa ya bincika da'awar ku ba. A cikin Disamba 2009, futurist Ray Kurzweil , cewa nan da 2020, "gilashin za su watsa hotuna kai tsaye zuwa ga retina" kuma "za su iya rufe dukkanin filin mu, samar da cikakkiyar gaskiya mai girma uku." VR yana haɓakawa, don haka ya yi daidai ta wasu hanyoyi, amma gilashina har yanzu tabarau ne kawai waɗanda ke taimaka mini gani. Sorry, Ray.
Yana da sauƙi a yi kuskure yayin magana game da manyan canje-canje. Ba kamar Kurzweil ba, ban yi imani da zuwan maganin kwayoyin halitta don hana tsufa ba. Amma kwanan nan I game da abin da zai faru da wasa idan Google Stadia da streaming sun tashi. Don Allah kar a bani dariya 2029.
M kuma sau da yawa zato ba daidai ba ne makawa a ƙarshen zagayowar shekaru goma. Yana da daɗi don ƙyale tunaninku ya yi tafiya mai nisa, ƙari kuma ƙarshen shekaru goma babbar hanya ce don yin lissafi da yin tsare-tsare. Za mu raba wasu ra'ayoyin hauka don 2030 nan ba da jimawa ba, amma a yanzu bari mu ga abin da mutane a cikin 2009 da 2010 suke tunani game da wasan yau. Wasu abubuwa sun zama gaskiya, wasu ba su yi ba.
Bullseye: Steven Spielberg ya annabta cewa VR zai kasance cikin yanayin
Farkon sabon karni ba zai iya faranta mana rai da tsarin gaskiya na gaskiya ba daga fina-finan sci-fi na 80s da 90s. (mun sami Wii Music kawai), kuma sun fara zama kamar wani abu ba zai yiwu ba. A shekarar 2009 ba'a Steven Spielberg don ba da shawarar cewa VR har yanzu zai nuna kanta: "A fili Spielberg a ƙarshe ya karanta William Gibson's Neuromancer, ya ga Jeff Fahey ya yi girma a The Lawnmower Man, kuma ba zai iya samun ja da baki Virtual daga kansa Boy daga Nintendo. Ee, kuma wani wuri tsakanin waɗannan abubuwan ya kalli "The Matrix."
Amma Spielberg ya kusan yi daidai. Ga abin da ya ce: “Gaskiya ta zahiri, wacce aka gwada ta a cikin 80s, har yanzu za ta kasance wani abu na ci gaba - kamar yadda yanzu ake sake bincikar 3D. VR zai zama sabon dandalin caca."
Ko VR zai zama sabon dandalin caca ya rage a gani. Amma muna kan bakin kofa na 2020, kuma Valve ba kawai ta haɓaka na'urar kai ta VR ba, amma kuma ta sanar da Half-Life: Alyx, wanda ke haɓakawa na musamman don VR.
Hah, a'a: gaba na masu saka idanu na 3D ne
Manazarta daya TechRadar a cikin 2010 cewa "ta hanyar 2020, yawancin wasannin gabaɗaya da duk wasannin AAA za su kasance cikin 3D." Madalla da magana. Ba mu ji komai ba game da tallafin 3D shekaru da yawa yanzu. Anan ga amsar tambayar da abokanmu a TechRadar suka yi a baya: "Shin da gaske ne [3D] zai tashi ko kuwa wani yanayi ne da ke tasowa a duniyar fasaha?"
A lokacin, 3D TVs da masu saka idanu sun yi hayaniya da yawa. Masu kera suna buƙatar wurin siyarwa mai ƙarfi don haɓaka samfuran su, kuma fina-finai na 3D kamar Avatar sun kasance babban koto. Gidan sinima na 3D har yanzu yana nan, amma ya zamana cewa ga yawancin mutane a gida, hoto mai lebur ya isa.
Kusa, amma ba daidai ba: Kinect zai yi juyin juya hali
Project Natal, wanda daga baya aka sake masa suna Kinect, shine mai sarrafa wasan mara taɓawa wanda ke jin motsin jiki. Microsoft ya haɓaka shi don Xbox 360. An sanar da aikin a E3 2009. Time Magazine daya daga cikin mafi kyawun ƙirƙira na shekara, kuma yawancin gidajen yanar gizon da ake kira Natal "mai juyin juya hali".
ya zama mafi ban mamaki a gare ni fiye da juyin juya hali. Amma sai kowa yana sha'awar fasahar gano motsi, kawai ku tuna da Motsa PlayStation. Tambayar ta taso: shin komai zai canza yanzu? Ba da gaske ba. An haɓaka wasanni da yawa don Kinect: Kinect Adventures!, Kinectimals, Kinect: Disneyland Adventures, kowane Rawa kawai har yau. Amma wannan aikin bai kawo sauyi ga masana'antar caca ba.
Hasashen ya kasance wani ɓangare na gaskiya saboda sanin motsi a zahiri ya zama fasaha mai ban sha'awa. Ta tabbatar da cewa VR bai dogara da ƙudurin allo ba, amma akan daidaiton bin diddigin motsi. Kuma fasahar yanzu tana da mafi kyawun damar haifar da canji na asali a cikin masana'antar caca fiye da Just Dance.
Baya: AR zai kasance a tsayin fashion
Misalin Microsoft
AR, ba shakka, yana cikin salon, amma ba shine abu na ƙarshe ba. Don kada in kunyata kowa don tweets na shekaru goma, ba zan haɗa da hanyoyin haɗin gwiwa ba, amma mutane sun yi imanin cewa VR zai zo ya tafi, amma AR yana nan ya zauna. Amma Hololens, Magic Leap da sauran tsarin AR ba su da sauri don ba mu mamaki.
Yanzu VR yana ba da ƙwarewar caca mai ban sha'awa. Kuma ban fahimci yadda zana hotunan 3D a cikin ɗakin kwanana mai ban sha'awa ba zai iya zama mai sanyaya fiye da maye gurbin ɗakin kwana ɗaya tare da wurare masu ban sha'awa. Pokémon Go ya kasance abin bugawa, amma baya buƙatar gilashin zato.
AR yana da yuwuwar, amma ban tabbata zai zama mai ban sha'awa kamar yadda mutane da yawa suka yi tunani ba. Eh kuma tare da keɓantawa a cikin Google Glass na iya sake faruwa. Kullum ana kallon mu - gaskiya. Amma zan fi son kada in ziyarci ɗakunan wanka na jama'a cike da kyamarori.
Idan mutane sun saba da wannan (kuma mun riga mun saba da yada bayanai game da kanmu a duk Intanet), to Kurzweil yayi daidai. Kawai garzaya tare da tabarau waɗanda zasu sarrafa AR da VR. Zan sake tura wannan taron baya shekaru 20.
Bugu da kari: Intel ya annabta cewa za mu sarrafa kwamfuta tare da taimakon kwakwalwa
Reddit Masu sauraro cikin aminci ga wannan ka'idar shekaru goma da suka wuce
A cewar Intel ya yi hasashen cewa nan da shekarar 2020, dasa kwakwalwa don sarrafa kwamfutoci da talabijin zai zama ruwan dare gama gari. Irin wannan fasahar ta wanzu (misali Emotiv), amma wannan zato ya yi kama da abin dariya har ma shekaru goma da suka wuce.
Amma yana da kyau a gane cewa Computerworld ne kaɗai ya yi wannan zato mai ƙarfin hali. Kasidarsu ta bayyana cewa "yiwuwar dasa shuki ya zama ruwan dare gama gari" da kuma cewa "mutane na iya zama mafi inganci game da samun kwakwalwar kwakwalwa." Kuma gaskiya ne. An riga an saka kayan gwaji na gwaji masu ciwon gurguje. Amma ban yarda cewa ko da 2030 za mu sami kwamfutoci masu sarrafa kwakwalwa ba.
Hakanan kuskure: OnLive shine makomar masana'antar caca
A cikin 2009, yawo game da sabon abu ne, kuma wasu suna tunanin makomar ne. Denis Dayak ya ce yawo zai canza komai. Ko da yake shi kadan ne bayaninsa, yana nuna cewa fasahar na iya ɗaukar shekaru 20 don cimma wannan kuma "abubuwa na iya yin mummunan kuskure" da farko. Haka abin ya faru.
OnLive bai kawo wani riba ba kuma ya zama makomar gaba kawai ga patent na Sony (kamfanin ya sayi sabis ɗin kuma yayi amfani da ci gabansa a cikin PS Yanzu - ed.). Kuma yanzu, shekaru goma bayan furor OnLive a GDC 2009, fata iri ɗaya game da "makomar wasan caca" an haɗa su. .
Har yanzu ba a tabbatar ko karyata cewa watsa shirye-shiryen zai zama makomar masana'antar caca ba. Yanzu ma Google ma , me yasa kowa zai yi sha'awar sabis na Stadia lokacin da mafi mashahuri wasan a duniya (Fortnite) yana samuwa akan kowace na'ura kuma ba tare da yawo ba.
Manyan zane-zane, waɗanda Stadia bai taɓa yin mafarki ba, ba wurin siyarwa bane ga wannan dandamali. Gudun wasanni ba tare da saukewa ba yana da kyau, amma idan saurin intanet ɗinku ya ba ku damar amfani da Stadia, to zazzage wasanni ba zai ɗauki tsawon lokaci ba. Ba na rage rangwamen yawo ba, amma an yi shekaru goma tun lokacin da OnLive ya kamata ya canza masana'antar.
Ba ma kusa ba: karatun hankali, rundunonin mutane da "al'amarin da za a iya tsarawa"
A cikin Maris 2009, Gamasutra ya gudanar "Wasanni 2020". An gayyaci masu karatu don gabatar da sakamakon shekaru goma na ci gaban fasaha da al'adu. Wasu ra'ayoyin sun kasance mahaukaci da gaske. Misali, wasan AR wanda ke yin la’akari da yin amfani da ainihin abubuwan da suka faru daga rayuwar ku da “al’amarin da za a iya aiwatarwa” wanda ke canzawa zuwa gungurawa na sihiri.
Ko : “Mutum ya sanya Sut ya zama mai masaukin baki. Ana gudanar da sarrafawa a cikin wasan ta hanyar taɓa ɗan wasan (wanda ya taɓa mai watsa shiri), da kuma yanayin tsoka da martani na waje na mai kunnawa (wato mai watsa shiri). Ma'amala yana gudana daga taɓa haske zuwa tausa mai zurfi na tsoka. Nishaɗi, kyakkyawa, kusanci. "
Karatu mai ban dariya. Sai dai ba wai yadda mutane ke tunanin fasahar za ta bunkasa ba, sai dai game da irin wasannin da suke son gani. Yawancin suna bayyana sunayen sarauta waɗanda aka haɗa su cikin rayuwar mutum. Wasu sun yi annabta cewa AR zai farfado da ayyukan yau da kullun, kamar sharar gida da zuwa babban kanti. Mutane sun ɗauki kalmar "gamification." Hakanan akwai madaidaicin zato cewa ana iya ƙaddamar da shahararrun wasanni akan kowane dandamali: daga wayar hannu zuwa kwamfutoci.
Amsar daidai 100% kawai
A 2009 a game da yadda wasan kwaikwayo zai kasance a cikin shekaru goma, Shugaba na Ubisoft na Kanada, Yannis Mallat, ya amsa: "Ba za ku iya kama ni ina yin haka ba. Dabara ce kawai ka yi min ba'a da shekara goma."
ƙarshe
Idan muka dauki duk zato a hankali, to ba duka ba ne ba daidai ba. Mutuwar ɗan wasa ɗaya babban ƙari ne, amma a cikin shekaru goma da suka gabata, manyan masu wallafa sun kashe kuzari mai yawa don ƙirƙirar duniyoyin kan layi na dindindin waɗanda ba sa barci. Kalubale na mako-mako, wucewar yaƙi da wasannin ƙarewa mara iyaka sun haɓaka ayyukanmu na yau da kullun tare da tambayoyin wasan yau da kullun. Tashar jiragen ruwa ta hannu da wasan giciye yana nufin abincin dare na dangi ba shine dalilin barin Fortnite ba, kuma abubuwan da Twitter ke so da kuri'un Reddit don kyaututtuka da kayan aiki suna ƙirƙirar metagame don kowane wasa.
Har yanzu ba mu sami gilashin AR da ke nuna alamun nema akan hanyar aiki zuwa gida ba. Amma wannan ra'ayin yana samun ainihin dabarun AR daidai: ɗaukar hankali a duk inda muke. VR yana ware, amma AR na iya kasancewa a ko'ina, don haka yana jan hankalin 'yan kasuwa. Lokaci zai nuna ko za su iya cika burinsu na mayar da dukan duniya zuwa wasan bidiyo.
source: www.habr.com