Hoʻohanohano wau i koʻu noho ʻana ma ʻaneʻi, akā e ʻoluʻolu, mai hack mai iaʻu. Ua inaina mai nā kamepiula iaʻu, no laila pono wau e hoaloha me nā poʻe he nui i loko o kēia lumi. Makemake au e lawe mai i hoʻokahi mea liʻiliʻi mai kaʻu moʻolelo moʻolelo i hoihoi i ka poʻe ʻAmelika. Ua hānau ʻia a hānai ʻia au ma ka hohonu hema o ka ʻāina, ma kahi kokoke i Georgia. He oiaio keia. E kali i kekona, ua ʻōlelo wau iā ʻoe e inaina mai nā kamepiula iaʻu!
Ua nalowale hoʻokahi paheʻe, akā ʻo kēia ka ʻaoʻao hema loa o ka USSR, kahi aʻu i hānau ʻia ai ma kahi repubalika aia ma ka ʻaoʻao o ka Repubalika o Georgia (ka unuhi unuhi: ka inoa o ka mokuʻāina o Georgia a me ka Repubalika o Georgia. like ke kani ma ka ʻōlelo Pelekania).
Ma ke kamaʻilio ʻana no koʻu ʻāina hānau, ʻo ka mea ʻakaʻaka, ʻo kaʻu puke hope loa, ʻo Deep Thinking, ua kākau ʻia e pili ana i ka naʻauao hana, e pili ana i koʻu mau ʻike ponoʻī i ka hakakā ʻana i nā kamepiula, a ʻo ka puke i kākau ʻia ʻelua makahiki ma mua i kapa ʻia ʻo Winter is Coming. ʻAʻole ia he synopsis Game of Thrones, e pili ana iā Vladimir Putin a me ka hakakā ʻana no ke ao manuahi, akā i koʻu hele ʻana i ka huakaʻi puke, makemake nā mea a pau e nīnau mai iaʻu e pili ana i ka chess a me ka lolouila IBM Deep Blue. I kēia manawa, ke hōʻike nei au i ka puke "Deep Thinking", makemake nā mea a pau e nīnau iaʻu e pili ana iā Putin. Akā, ke hoʻāʻo nei au e noho ma ke kumuhana, a maopopo iaʻu aia kekahi mau nīnau ma hope o kēia hōʻike ʻana e hauʻoli wau e pane. ʻAʻole wau he kālai'āina, no laila, ʻaʻole wau e hilahila i ka pane ʻana i nā nīnau.
He mea kupanaha paha ka pāʻani o ka chess, ka mea i hoʻomaka i nā tausani o nā makahiki i hala aku nei, ʻike ke Akua i ka wā, he hoʻohālikelike kūpono no ka naʻauao hana, no ka mea, ke kamaʻilio mākou e pili ana iā AI, pono mākou e hoʻomanaʻo i ka leka aʻu e kū nei no ka naʻauao, a aia. ʻAʻohe mea e hōʻike ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi ma mua o ka chess.
Manaʻo ka poʻe he nui wale ka chess ma mua o kahi leʻaleʻa a nā poʻe e hoʻokipa ai i loko o nā cafe. Inā ʻoe e nānā i ka hana ʻana o Hollywood, pāʻani nā mea a pau i ka chess - alien, X-men, Wizard, vampires. ʻO kaʻu kiʻiʻoniʻoni punahele ʻo "Casablanca" me Humphrey Bogart, e pili ana hoʻi i ka chess, a i koʻu nānā ʻana i kēia kiʻiʻoniʻoni, makemake mau wau e kū i kahi kūlana e nānā i loko o ka pale a ʻike i ka papa o Bogart. Hoʻokani ʻo ia i ka pale Farani, i kaulana loa i nā makahiki 40 mua. Manaʻo wau he mea pāʻani chess maikaʻi ʻo Bogart.
Makemake au e haʻi aku ua mahalo ʻo Alfred Binet, kekahi o nā mea hoʻomohala o ka hoʻāʻo IQ i ka hopena o ke kenekulia 19, i ka naʻauao o nā mea pāʻani chess a aʻo ʻia no nā makahiki he nui. No laila, ʻaʻole ia he mea kupanaha i ka pāʻani ʻana o ka chess i ka poʻe i makemake e hana i nā mīkini akamai. Eia nō naʻe, ʻike pinepine ʻia nā mīkini akamai e like me von Kempelen's "Turk" he scam nui wale nō. Akā, i ka pau ʻana o ke kenekulia 18, he hana mana nui kēia mīkini chess, kaʻapuni ʻo ia iā ʻEulopa a me ʻAmelika a hakakā pū me nā mea pāʻani ikaika a nāwaliwali e like me Franklin a me Napoleon, akā ʻoiaʻiʻo he hoʻopunipuni. ʻAʻole ʻo "Turk" he mīkini maoli, he ʻōnaehana mīkini kumu ia o nā panela sliding a me nā aniani, i loko kahi e peʻe ai kahi mea pāʻani ikaika - he kanaka.
ʻO ka mea hoihoi, ʻo ia hoʻokahi haneli a ʻelua haneli mau makahiki ma hope, i loko o nā makahiki he iwakālua i hala, ua ʻike ʻia ke kūlana kūʻē - ʻike mākou i nā hoʻokūkū e hoʻāʻo nei nā mea pāʻani kanaka e hūnā i nā polokalamu kamepiula i kā lākou ʻeke. No laila, pono mākou e ʻimi i kahi kamepiula huna i loko o ke kino kanaka.
Eia nō naʻe, ʻaʻole ʻike ʻia nā moʻolelo e pili ana i nā mea mīkini. Ua ʻike ʻia ka mea mīkini mua no ka pāʻani ʻana i ka chess i ka makahiki 1912, ua pāʻani me ka hoʻohana ʻana i hoʻokahi ʻāpana mechanical, hiki ke hoʻohuli i ka checkmate i rook, akā ʻaʻole hiki ke kapa ʻia he prototype o ka kamepiula mua.
ʻO ka mea hoihoi, makemake nui nā paionia hoʻolālā kamepiula e like me Alan Turing a me Claude Shannon i ka chess. Manaʻo lākou he hiki i ka pāʻani chess ke hōʻike i nā mea huna o ka naʻauao. A inā i hoʻokahi lā e paʻi ke kamepiula i ka mea pāʻani chess maʻamau a i ʻole ka poʻokela chess honua, e hōʻike ana kēia i ka ulu ʻana o AI.
Inā ʻoe e hoʻomanaʻo, ua hana ʻo Alan Turing i ka papahana kamepiula mua no ka pāʻani ʻana i ka chess i ka makahiki 1952, a he lanakila nui kēia, akā ʻoi aku ka nui o ka ʻoiaʻiʻo ʻaʻohe kamepiula ia manawa. He algorithm wale nō kāna i hoʻohana ai i ka pāʻani chess, a ua hana ʻo ia me he mea hana kamepiula kanaka. He mea nui e hoʻomanaʻo ua hoʻoholo nā mākua kumu o nā kamepiula i ke ala e hoʻomohala ai ʻo AI, e hahai ana i nā kaʻina o ka noʻonoʻo kanaka. ʻO ke ala ʻē aʻe ka mea a mākou e kapa ai he hoʻouka kaua ikaika, a i ʻole ka ʻimi wikiwiki ʻana i nā neʻe hiki.
ʻAʻole au i lohe i kekahi mea e pili ana i ka hoʻokūkū ʻana i nā kamepiula i ka makahiki 1985, akā ma kēia kiʻi hiki iā ʻoe ke ʻike i nā papa he 32, a ʻoiai e pāʻani ana au me nā kānaka, he pāʻani maoli nō ia me nā kamepiula. I kēlā manawa aia he 4 mau mea hana nui o nā kamepiula chess, nāna i hoʻolauna iā lākou i ka honua. Loaʻa paha i kekahi o ʻoukou nā kamepiula like ʻole; i kēia manawa he mea laʻa maoli lākou. Ua loaʻa i kēlā me kēia mea hana nā modula kamepiula 8, no laila ua pāʻani wau me 32 mau hoa paio a lanakila i nā pāʻani āpau.
ʻO ka mea nui loa, ʻaʻole ia he mea kahaha, akā he hopena kūlohelohe, a i kēlā me kēia manawa aʻu e nānā ai i kēia kiʻi o koʻu lanakila, hoʻomanaʻo wau i kēia manawa ʻo ia ka makahiki gula o nā mīkini chess, i ka wā nāwaliwali lākou a me koʻu lauoho - mānoanoa. .
No laila ʻo Iune 1985, a he 12 mau makahiki ma hope mai ua pāʻani wale au i hoʻokahi kamepiula. He pāʻani hou i ka makahiki 1997 no ka mea ua lanakila au i ka pāʻani mua, i mālama ʻia i ka makahiki 1996 ma Philadelphia. Ua nalowale au i kēia pāʻani hou, akā no ka pololei, ʻaʻole i 1997 ka huli ʻana o ka chess kamepiula, akā i ka makahiki 1996, i ka wā i lanakila ai au i ka pāʻani, akā nalo i ka pāʻani mua. A laila lanakila wau i 3 pāʻani, a lilo ka helu i 4:2 i koʻu makemake.
ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻo ka mea nui ma ʻaneʻi ʻo ia ka hiki i ke kamepiula i kēlā manawa ke lilo i poʻokela chess honua inā pāʻani ia i ka hoʻokūkū chess maʻamau. ʻAʻole wau i manaʻo mai IBM e hiki iā lākou ke hana i nā hana ʻenehana koʻikoʻi e hoʻoikaika i kā lākou kamepiula i hoʻokahi makahiki. Akā ʻo kaʻu hewa nui loa, koe wale nō ka piʻi nui ʻana o ke kumukūʻai o nā ʻāpana IBM, ka mea i lele mai kekahi mau helu a hiki i ka piliona kālā ʻelua pule ma hope o ka pāʻani, ʻo ia ka hiki ʻole ke heluhelu i ka paʻi maikaʻi. No ka mea, ʻo kekahi o nā pilikia i loaʻa iaʻu i ka makahiki 2 me ka kamepiula Deep Blue ʻo ia ka pahu ʻeleʻele iaʻu. ʻAʻohe oʻu ʻike e pili ana i koʻu hoa paio, pehea kona manaʻo, he aha kāna hana. ʻO ka mea maʻamau, ke hoʻomākaukau ʻoe no ka pāʻani, e aʻo ʻoe i kou hoa paio, ʻaʻole pili i ka pāʻani chess a i ʻole ka pāʻani pôpeku, a ma ka nānā ʻana i ke ʻano o ka pāʻani, e aʻo ʻoe i kāna hoʻolālā. Akā ʻaʻohe ʻike e pili ana i ke ʻano pāʻani o Deep Blue.
Ua hoʻāʻo wau e akamai a ʻōlelo aku no ka pāʻani aʻe e pono iaʻu ke komo i nā pāʻani i pāʻani ʻia e Deep Blue. Pane lākou: "ʻOiaʻiʻo!", akā ua hoʻohui ʻia me ka liʻiliʻi:
"... ma nā hoʻokūkū kūhelu wale nō."
A ʻo kēia ʻoiai ʻaʻole i pāʻani ʻo Deep Blue i hoʻokahi pāʻani ma waho o nā pā hale hana. No laila i ka makahiki 1997 ua pāʻani au i ka pahu ʻeleʻele, a ua ʻokoʻa nā mea a pau i ka mea i hana ʻia i ka makahiki 1996 - ua lanakila wau i ka pāʻani mua, akā ua nalowale ka pāʻani.
Ma ke ala, ma hea ʻoe i nā mea hackers i 20 mau makahiki i hala aku nei i koʻu makemake nui iā lākou? ʻOiaʻiʻo, i koʻu nānā ʻana ma nā lālani o ka poʻe i hele mai, maopopo iaʻu he nui paha o ʻoukou ʻaʻole i hānau ʻia.
ʻO kaʻu hewa nui loa ʻo ka mālama ʻana i ka pāʻani Deep Blue ma ke ʻano he hoʻokolohua ʻepekema a me ka pilikanaka. Ua manaʻo wau he mea nui ʻo ia no ka mea e ʻike maoli ʻo ia i kēlā wahi kahi e hiki ai ke hoʻohālikelike ʻia ka ʻike kanaka me ka "brute force" o nā helu kamepiula. Eia nō naʻe, ʻo Deep Blue, me kāna wikiwiki helu helu ʻana ma kahi o 2 miliona mau kūlana chess i kēlā me kēia kekona, ʻaʻole maikaʻi loa no ka makahiki 1997, ʻaʻole ia he ʻike akamai. ʻAʻole kōkua kāna hana i ka wehe ʻana i ka mea huna o ka naʻauao kanaka.
ʻAʻole i ʻoi aku ka naʻauao ma mua o ka uaki hoʻāla maʻamau, akā ʻaʻole oʻu manaʻo maikaʻi aʻe e pili ana i ka nalo ʻana i kahi uaki alarm $10 miliona.
Ke hoʻomanaʻo nei au i ka hālāwai kūkā i ka wā o ka wehe ʻana o ka pāʻani i ka wā i ʻōlelo ai ke kanaka alakaʻi i ka papahana IBM e hōʻailona kēia i ka hopena o ka hoʻokolohua ʻepekema a me ka lanakila o ka ʻepekema. Ma muli o ka loaʻa ʻana o hoʻokahi lanakila a hoʻokahi pio, makemake wau e pāʻani i ke kolu o ka pāʻani e ʻike ai ʻo wai ka mea ʻoi aku ka ikaika, akā ua hoʻopau lākou i ke kamepiula, me he mea lā e hoʻopau i ka mea hōʻike hoʻokaʻawale ʻole. Ua hoʻāʻo wau e ʻike i ka mea i loaʻa iā Deep Blue, akā ʻaʻole hiki iaʻu ke ʻike. Ua ʻike au ma hope mai ua lawe ʻo ia i kahi ʻoihana hou a ke hana nei ʻo ia i ka sushi ma kekahi o nā kahua mokulele ʻo Kennedy.
Makemake au i ka sushi, akā ʻaʻole pono kaʻu kamepiula ma laila. No laila, ʻo kēia kahi i pau koke ai kaʻu moʻolelo me ka computer chess. Akā ʻo ʻoukou e pāʻani ana i ka chess a i ʻole nā pāʻani ʻē aʻe, ʻike mākou i ka nāwaliwali o mākou e hoʻohālikelike ʻia me nā kamepiula no ka mea ʻaʻole mākou paʻa, ʻokoʻa a hana hewa. ʻO nā mea pāʻani kiʻekiʻe loa e hana hewa, no ka laʻana i ka wā hoʻokūkū hoʻokūkū kahi he 50 a i ʻole 45 neʻe, ʻaʻole hiki ke pale ʻia hoʻokahi hewa liʻiliʻi. Inā he poʻe maoli e pāʻani ana, ʻaʻole ia he mea nui, akā inā hewa ʻoe i ka pāʻani ʻana me ka mīkini, a laila ʻaʻole paha ʻoe e eo, ʻaʻole naʻe ʻoe e lanakila, no ka mea hiki i ka mīkini ke pale i ka pio.
I kekahi manawa ua maopopo iaʻu he manawa wale nō ia, no ka mea, ʻaʻole hiki iā mākou ke hoʻokō i ka pae like o ka makaʻala a me ka pololei e pono ai ke lanakila ʻana i kahi kamepiula, no ka mea, paʻa ʻole ka mīkini i kāna mau hana. Ma hope o nā makahiki, ua ʻike mākou i nā mīkini e lanakila ana i nā pāʻani i nā manawa āpau. Ke haʻi hou aku nei au - pili wale kēia i ka pāʻani o ka chess, kahi mea palupalu loa i ke ʻano o ka pāʻani brute-force, ke hele ka lolouila i nā koho he nui no ka neʻe ʻana a koho i ka mea maikaʻi loa. ʻAʻole ia he naʻauao hana, no laila, kuhi hewa ka poʻe i ka ʻōlelo ʻana ua pio ke kanaka pāʻani chess e ka naʻauao.
Ma hope mai ua pāʻani au i kekahi mau pāʻani e kūʻē i nā kamepiula. Ua nānā au i kēia mau pāʻani me ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā ʻenekini chess hou a he mea ʻeha loa ia. He huakaʻi ia i ka wā kahiko a ua koi ʻia au e ʻae i ka maikaʻi ʻole o kaʻu hana i kēlā mau pāʻani no ka mea ʻo wau wale nō ka hewa. Eia naʻe, i kēlā manawa, ʻaʻole ikaika loa ka "demon" kamepiula, ʻaʻole paha ʻoe e manaʻoʻiʻo, akā ʻoi aku ka ikaika o ka noi chess manuahi ma kāu kelepona paʻa i kēia lā ma mua o Deep Blue. ʻOiaʻiʻo, inā loaʻa iā ʻoe kahi mīkini chess e like me asmFish a i ʻole Comodo a me ka pona hou loa, e ʻoi aku ka ikaika o kēia ʻōnaehana.
I koʻu pāʻani ʻana me Deep Blue, manaʻo wau ʻo ia ka pāʻani 5, ua hana ke kamepiula i kahi nānā mau i ka endgame, a hoʻomaka nā mea a pau e ʻōlelo he lanakila nui kēia a ua hōʻike ka kamepiula i kahi ʻano phenomenal o ka pāʻani. Akā i kēia lā, me kahi kamepiula hou, he mea ʻakaʻaka wale ia. Hiki ke pāʻani ʻia kā mākou pāʻani holoʻokoʻa i 30 kekona, ka lōʻihi o ka minuke ma muli o ka hana o kāu kamepiula. I ka hoʻomaka ʻana ua hana hewa wau, a laila hoʻāʻo wau e hoʻopakele i ka pāʻani, ua hana ʻo Deep Blue i kekahi mau neʻe counter a lanakila. ʻO kēia nā lula o ka pāʻani, ʻaʻohe hewa i kēlā.
I ka makahiki 2003 ua pāʻani au i 2 mau pāʻani hou aku e kūʻē i ke kamepiula X3D Frintz, ua pau lāua i ka huki ʻana. Ua hoʻohana nā mea hoʻonohonoho iaʻu i nā aniani 3-D no ka mea he 3-dimensional interface ka lolouila.
Akā naʻe, ua pau ka moʻolelo a ke noʻonoʻo nei au i ka wā e hiki mai ana. E nānā i kēia kiʻi, i lawe ʻia i ka hoʻomaka ʻana o kēia kenekulia.
Inā ʻoe e nānā i kēia mau keiki, ʻike ʻoe e pāʻani ana lākou ma nā kamepiula laʻa. I kēia lā ʻaʻole maopopo kaʻu mau keiki he aha ia. Hōʻike ʻia kekahi mau kīwī paʻakikī ma ʻaneʻi, akā i kēia manawa e hoʻoheheʻe wale lākou i ko lākou mau manamana lima ma luna o ka pā.
ʻO ka mea nui, ʻoi aku ka maʻalahi o nā mīkini akamai i kā mākou mau hana. Ua hewa paha wau i ka ʻōlelo ʻana i kēia no ka mea ʻoi aku kou ʻike i kēia ma mua o kekahi. No laila, me ke kōkua o ka Peppa Pig a me nā pilikia ʻenehana, ua wehe ʻia ke ala no ka hoʻomohala maoli.
Ua noʻonoʻo wau pehea e hiki ai iā ʻoe ke hoʻohui i ka mana o ke kamepiula a me ke kanaka? Hiki iā mākou ke lawe i ka chess ma ke ʻano he laʻana, no ka mea i loko o ka chess he hopena. Ua ʻike pono ʻoe i nā wahi i ikaika ai ke kamepiula a ʻoi aku kona haʻahaʻa i ke kanaka. A laila hiki mai kekahi manaʻo i koʻu noʻonoʻo, aʻu i kapa ai ʻo "advanced chess."
Ma hope o ka ʻōlelo ʻōlelo Lūkini: "inā ʻaʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke lanakila, e hui pū!", Ua kapa wau i ka chess kiʻekiʻe he pāʻani kahi e hakakā ai kekahi kanaka me ke kamepiula me kekahi kanaka me kahi kamepiula.
I ka makahiki 1998, ua pāʻani au me kekahi lālā o ka chess elite mai Bulgaria, a ʻo ka mea hoihoi, ʻaʻole hiki iā māua ke pāʻani maikaʻi no ka mea ʻaʻole hiki iā mākou ke hoʻonui i ka hopena o ka hana pū ʻana me ke kamepiula. Ua noʻonoʻo wau no ke aha i hiki ʻole ai i nā mea pāʻani ʻelua ke pōmaikaʻi mai ka hui pū ʻana o AI. Ua hiki mai ka pane ma hope mai me ka hoʻokomo ʻana i ka mea i kapa ʻia ʻo freestyle me ka helu palena o nā ʻōkuhi mai ke kamepiula. Hiki iā ʻoe ke pāʻani ma ka hoʻopili ʻana i kahi supercomputer ma o ka Pūnaewele, a i ʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻohana i kāu kamepiula ponoʻī a i ʻole nā kamepiula he nui. Makemake au e hoʻomaopopo e ʻoi aku ka paʻa o ke kanaka-kamepiula i kēlā me kēia supercomputer. He mea maʻalahi loa ke kumu - hoʻopiʻi ke kamepiula i ko mākou noʻonoʻo ʻole, a aia mākou i kahi kūlana maikaʻi e hoʻololi i ka lolouila no ka mea e hoʻopau ana i ka nāwaliwali o kahi kamepiula ʻē aʻe e hoʻohana ana i ko mākou nāwaliwali kanaka.
Akā, ʻaʻohe mea kupaianaha e pili ana i kēia. ʻO ka manaʻo ʻo ka poʻe lanakila o ka hoʻokūkū ʻaʻole nā mea pāʻani papa kiʻekiʻe, akā naʻe nāwaliwali nā mea pāʻani chess me nā kamepiula maʻamau, akā nāna i hoʻokō i kahi kaʻina hana i hoʻomaikaʻi ʻia. He mea paʻakikī kēia i ka haʻi ʻana no ka mea he ʻano kuʻikahi: ʻo ka mea pāʻani nāwaliwali a me kahi kamepiula maʻamau a me kahi kaʻina hana i hoʻomaikaʻi ʻia ma mua o ka mea pāʻani ikaika me kahi kamepiula ikaika akā he kaʻina hana pilina nāwaliwali. ʻO ke kikowaena nā mea a pau!
ʻO ka mea hoihoi, ʻaʻole pono ʻoe i kahi mea pāʻani ikaika, ʻaʻole pono ʻoe iā Garry Kasparov, i mea e hiki ai ma ka ʻaoʻao o ka mīkini e ʻike i ka neʻe maikaʻi loa, a aia kahi pane maʻalahi i kēia. Inā mākou e noʻonoʻo i kēia lā i ka ikaika pili o nā kānaka a me nā kamepiula, hiki iā mākou ke hele ma mua o ka chess, akā e hoʻomaka kākou me lākou, no ka mea he helu ka chess. No laila, he 2851 koʻu helu chess mau loa a hiki i koʻu lilo ʻana iā Magnus Carlsen, a i ka pau ʻana o kaʻu ʻoihana chess he 2812. I kēia lā, alakaʻi ʻo Magnus Carlsen i ke kūlana me nā helu 2800. Ma kahi o 50 mau mea pāʻani i loaʻa nā helu ma waena o 2700 a 2800 mau helu. ʻO kēia ka elite o ka honua chess. I kēia mau lā, aia ka mana o kahi kamepiula i loko o 3200 mau helu, a me nā polokalamu kūikawā, hiki i kāna helu ke hiki i 3300-3400 mau helu.
I kēia manawa, maopopo iā ʻoe ke kumu ʻaʻole pono ʻoe i kahi mea pāʻani ikaika? No ka mea, e ho'āʻo kekahi mea pāʻani o koʻu pae e hoʻokuke i ke kamepiula e hana ma kekahi ʻaoʻao a i ʻole, ma kahi o ka mea hoʻohana maʻalahi me ia. No laila, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka mea pāʻani chess nāwaliwali i loaʻa ʻole ka "haʻaheo" a me ka haʻaheo e like me ka champion chess honua me ka lolouila a hana i kahi hui "kanaka-kamepiula" ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi.
Manaʻo wau he ʻike koʻikoʻi kēia ʻaʻole wale no ka chess, akā, no ka laʻana, no ka lāʻau lapaʻau. E like me ka mea i ʻike ʻia, hiki i nā kamepiula i nā manawa he nui ke hana i kahi hōʻailona pololei ma mua o nā kauka maikaʻi loa. No laila he aha kāu makemake hou aʻe: he kauka maikaʻi i hōʻike ʻia e kahi kamepiula a i ʻole kahi kahu hānai maikaʻi e hahai wale i nā kuhikuhi a kākau i kahi puke liʻiliʻi e pili ana i nā ʻōlelo a ka mīkini?
ʻAʻole maopopo iaʻu nā helu kikoʻī, e ʻōlelo kākou he 60-65% o ka poʻe e koho i ke kauka a ʻo 85% e hele no ka kamepiula, akā no ka psychologically, inā he kauka maikaʻi ʻoe, ʻaʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke ʻae i kēia. Inā ʻoe e nānā i ka holomua ʻenehana o kēia lā, hiki iā mākou ke ʻōlelo i ka hana ʻana o nā kamepiula i kahi hōʻoia ʻoiaʻiʻo ma 80 - 85 - 90% o nā hihia, akā mau nō ka 10% no nā kānaka! A hiki i kēia ke hana i kahi ʻokoʻa nui, no ka mea, i ka wā e pale ʻia ai ka pōkā ma ka 1 degere wale nō ke kiʻi ʻia, hiki iā ia ke lele i mau haneli mau mika mai ka pahu hopu. Pili ka nīnau inā hiki iā mākou ke hoʻokahe i ka mana piha o ka helu.
No laila, ke manaʻoʻiʻo nei au ʻo nā makaʻu a pau e hoʻololi koke nā mīkini iā mākou a pau, a ʻo kēia ka hopena o ka honua, ʻo Armageddon, he mau lono wale nō. No ka mea, e like me kaʻu i ʻōlelo ai, e pili ana kēia i ka hoʻomohala kanaka, a ʻo ka mea kūʻokoʻa e pili ana i ka naʻauao kamepiula ʻo ia ka mea e hoʻonui ai i kā mākou noʻonoʻo, hoʻokuʻu a haʻi iā mākou pehea e hoʻohana ai i ke ala maikaʻi loa.
I kekahi manawa, no ka loaʻa ʻana o ka pane i kahi nīnau, pono ke neʻe aku i ka honua o ka ʻepekema a komo i ka honua o ka noʻeau. Ua loaʻa iaʻu i kekahi manawa kahi paradox nui i ʻōlelo ʻia e ka mea pena kiʻi nui ʻo Pablo Picasso: "He mea ʻole nā kamepiula. ʻO ka mea wale nō e hiki iā lākou ke hāʻawi i nā pane. Manaʻo wau he naʻauao nui kēia a he mea hoʻoikaika kēia mau ʻōlelo no ka mea hāʻawi nā mīkini i nā pane, a he laulā kēia mau pane!
Akā naʻe, ʻaʻole ʻoluʻolu ʻo Picasso i nā pane piha no ka mea he mea pena ʻo ia. Ma muli o ka noʻonoʻo mau ʻana i ka hana noʻeau, ʻo ia ka mea a mākou e hana mau ai - e nīnau i nā nīnau. Hiki i nā kamepiula ke nīnau i nā nīnau?
Ua kipa mua au i ka waihona kālā ʻo Bridgewater Associates e kamaʻilio me Dave Ferrucci, kekahi o nā mea hoʻomohala o Watson supercomputer a IBM. Ke kamaʻilio nei mākou inā hiki i nā mīkini ke nīnau i nā nīnau, a ʻōlelo ʻo Dave, "ʻAe, hiki i nā kamepiula ke nīnau i nā nīnau, akā ʻaʻole lākou ʻike i nā nīnau koʻikoʻi." ʻO ia ke kumu. No laila, aia mākou i ka pāʻani a loaʻa iā mākou ka manawa e neʻe ai no ka mea ʻaʻole i pau ka pāʻani ma waena o ke kanaka a me ke kamepiula.
Ma kēia paheʻe ʻike ʻoe i kekahi mau kiʻi o nā wahi hiki ke hoʻohana ʻia i nā kamepiula kūʻokoʻa, nā mīkini hiki ke hoʻolālā iā lākou iho, ʻo ia hoʻi, hiki ke aʻo.
Hōʻike kekahi o nā kiʻi iā Demis Hassabis me kāna pūnaewele neural aʻo ponoʻī iā AlphaGo. ʻOiaʻiʻo, ʻo ia paha ka mīkini mua i hiki ke kapa ʻia he prototype o ka naʻauao artificial.
E like me kaʻu i ʻōlelo mua ai, ʻo Deep Blue kahi ʻoi loa ka ikaika, ʻo Watson paha kahi loulou transitional, akā ʻaʻole naʻe ʻo AI. He polokalamu hoʻonaʻauao hohonu ʻo AlphaGo e hoʻomaikaʻi iā ia iho ma ka ʻimi ʻana i nā hiʻohiʻona kūpono e ka pāʻani ʻana i nā miliona a me nā miliona o nā pāʻani.
Hiki iaʻu ke ʻōlelo me AlphaGo ke hana nei mākou i kahi pahu ʻeleʻele maoli no ka manawa mua. No ka mea, no ka laʻana, inā mākou e hoʻolimalima i hoʻokahi haneli mau makahiki e aʻo ana i nā kaukani mau mile o nā papa pāʻani Deep Blue, e hele mākou i ka manaʻo kumu no ke kumu i hoʻoholo ʻia ai kahi hoʻoholo a ua hana ʻia kahi neʻe. ʻO AlphaGo, maopopo iaʻu ʻaʻole hiki iā Demis Hassabis iā ia ke ʻōlelo i ke kumu i ʻoi aku ai ka maikaʻi o ka version 6 ma mua o ka version 9, a i ʻole, e hoʻomanaʻo ana i ka hoʻoholo i hana ʻia e kēia mīkini.
Ma kekahi ʻaoʻao, he hoʻokō nui kēia, akā ma kekahi ʻaoʻao, hiki ke pilikia no ka mea inā hana hewa ka mīkini, ʻaʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke ʻike e pili ana. Eia naʻe, i kekahi hihia, he neʻe kēia i ka hana ʻana i AI maoli.
Ua kamaʻilio wau i kekahi manawa ma ke keʻena nui o Google, a ua hāʻawi mai lākou iaʻu i kahi mākaʻikaʻi o Google X. He mea hoihoi loa kēia no ka mea ke neʻe nei kēia hui i ke ala o ka hana ʻana iā AI, e hoʻonā i nā pilikia o ka hana ʻana i kahi kaʻa kaʻa ponoʻī a i ʻole nā drone autonomous e hoʻopakele kūʻokoʻa. waiwai. Eia naʻe, ʻaʻole i emi iki ka pilikia ma mua o ke kākoʻo ʻenehana o AI ka pilikia o ka hoʻoponopono ʻana i kāna mau hana. Ke kamaʻilio nei ka poʻe pehea e hiki ai iā AI ke hoʻololi iā lākou a hoʻokuʻu iā lākou mai ka hana. Eia naʻe, e kāhea kākou i ka mōʻaukala o ka moʻomeheu kanaka no ke kōkua - ua hana ʻia kēia no nā haneli a me nā tausani o nā makahiki!
24:35 min
Mahalo no kou noho pū ʻana me mākou. Makemake ʻoe i kā mākou ʻatikala? Makemake ʻoe e ʻike i nā mea hoihoi hou aʻe? E kākoʻo iā mākou ma ke kau ʻana i kahi kauoha a i ʻole ka ʻōlelo ʻana i nā hoaaloha, 30% ho'ēmi no nā mea hoʻohana Habr ma kahi kūʻokoʻa kūʻokoʻa o nā kikowaena helu komo, i hana ʻia e mākou no ʻoe: (loaʻa me RAID1 a me RAID10, a hiki i 24 cores a hiki i 40GB DDR4).
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Source: www.habr.com