ʻO Gartner Hype Cycle 2019: wehewehe

Hoʻokaʻawale mākou i nā ʻenehana AI o 2019 a me ka hilahila ʻole i hoʻohālikelike iā lākou me ka wānana 2017.

ʻO ka mea mua, he aha ka Gartner Hype Cycle? He ʻano pōʻaiapuni kēia o ka ʻenehana makua, a i ʻole ka hoʻololi ʻana mai ke kahua hype i kāna hoʻohana huahana. I kēia manawa e loaʻa kahi pakuhi me ka unuhi i mea e maopopo ai nā mea a pau. A ma lalo iho nei nā wehewehe.

ʻO ka pae mua. huhu. Hoʻolana. ʻIke ʻia ka ʻenehana, kūkākūkā mua ʻia e nā nerds naʻauao, a laila e ka lehulehu fanatical; Ke ulu mālie nei ka hauʻoli.

ʻElua ʻanuʻu. kūʻai. ʻO ka piko o nā manaʻolana i hoʻonui ʻia. I kekahi manawa, ke kamaʻilio nei nā mea a pau e pili ana i ka ʻenehana, e hoʻāʻo nei e hoʻokō, a ke kūʻai aku nei ka poʻe akamai loa i nā kumukūʻai exorbitant.

ʻEkolu pae. kaumaha Ka emi o ka hoihoi. Ke hoʻokō ʻia nei ka ʻenehana a hāʻule pinepine ma muli o nā hemahema a me nā palena. "He lapuwale ia!" - hele mai ma ʻaneʻi. Ke hāʻule nui nei ka hauʻoli (ʻo ke kumu kūʻai, pinepine pū kekahi).

ʻEhā ʻanuʻu. hōʻole Hana i nā pahuhī. Ke hoʻomaikaʻi ʻia nei ka ʻenehana, hoʻoponopono ʻia nā pilikia. E ho'āʻo mālie nā ʻoihana e hoʻokō i ka ʻenehana a, hurray, hana maikaʻi nā mea āpau.

ʻElima pae. Hāpai ʻia Hana hua. Ke loaʻa nei ka ʻenehana i kona wahi kūpono i ka mākeke a ke hana mālie nei, hoʻomohala a makemake ʻia.

He aha ka mea e ulu nei?

Ke hoʻi nei i ka pōʻaiapuni hype 2019. Gartner hoʻokuʻu i ka mahina o Kepakemapa, he hōʻike e pili ana i nā ʻenehana akamai i ka wā hea, a i ka wā e hoʻomaka ai lākou e hana huahua. Graph below, comments below graph.

ʻO nā ʻenehana "Speech Recognition" a me "Process Acceleration using GPU" aia ma mua o kahi palena nui a aia i ke kahua "Productive Work". ʻO ia ke kumu e hoʻopili koke ʻia lākou, no ka mea ua hāʻawi mua lākou i ka pono hoʻokūkū i kā lākou mea nona.

ʻO ke aʻo ʻana i ka mīkini ʻakomi (AutoML) a me nā chatbots i kēia manawa i ka piko o ka hype. ʻO ia hoʻi, ke kamaʻilio nei nā mea a pau e pili ana iā lākou, nui ka poʻe e hoʻokō nei iā lākou, akā e lawe ʻia mai ka 2 a hiki i ka 5 conditionally e lawe i nā ʻenehana i ke kūlana i koi ʻia.

ʻO nā kaʻa a mākou i maʻa ai i kēia manawa ʻoi aku ka ʻoi aku ma mua o ke au. Ke ho'āʻo nei ka ʻenehana kaʻa ʻokoʻa i ka lalo. I kēia hihia, maikaʻi kēia, no ka mea, aia ka hana huahua ma mua. Eia naʻe, manaʻo ʻo Gartner he 10 mau makahiki e hoʻomohala a hoʻololi.

ʻAuhea nā drones hoʻokahi-hype a me ka ʻoiaʻiʻo maoli i kēia lā? Aia nā mea a pau - ua hoʻokomo ʻo Gartner i nā drones ma ke kahua o Edge AI (nā ʻāpana e pili ana iā AI), a ua lilo ka ʻoiaʻiʻo maoli i ʻāpana o ka ʻike ʻike. ʻO nā kumuhana ʻelua, ma ke ala, aia i kēia manawa i ka pae hoʻomaka a loaʻa kahi wānana maikaʻi: 2-5 mau makahiki ma mua o ka hana huahua ma ka mākeke.

Nā Hope

Ma waena o nā hiʻohiʻona hoʻohiki: Robotic kaʻina automation software - kani weliweli, akā i ka ʻoiaʻiʻo ʻo ia ka wā e pani ai kahi lopako i nā hana maʻamau. He moeʻuhane no nā limahana akamai haʻahaʻa; akā naʻe aʻo Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Harvard Business Review ʻaʻole e hoʻopau ʻia, akā e hoʻonui ʻia ka huahana. ʻAi kahua manaoio. E hala ka ʻenehana i ka piko o ka unpopularity a me ka hoʻowahāwahā maʻamau i 2 mau makahiki, a laila hoʻolaha ma nā wahi āpau.

ʻO nā ʻenehana a ka poʻe euanelio a me nā infogypsies o nā paʻi a pau e kamaʻilio e pili ana i ka lehulehu wale i ka wā e hiki mai ana, "nā lako neuromorphic" he mea hoihoi loa. ʻO kēia nā mea uila (chips) kēlā e hoohalike nā ʻōnaehana kūlohelohe maoli o kā mākou ʻōnaehana nerve e pili ana i ka pono o ka ikehu. No ka maʻalahi loa, e pili ana i ka super-performance mahalo i ka mahele o ka hana (asynchronous update of neurons). Ua paʻakikī nā kānaka nunui e like me IBM a me Intel i ka hana ʻana i nā ʻāpana neuromorphic. Akā ʻo ka pūʻali koa o John Connor ka manawa e hoʻomākaukau ai no ka lā o ka pōʻino - ua hāʻawi ʻo Gartner i ka ʻenehana e like me 10 mau makahiki e oʻo ai.

ʻO ka maʻamau, kamaʻilio nui lākou e pili ana i Digital Ethics, akā ʻaʻole wikiwiki lākou e hoʻokō. Hoʻokaʻawale ʻia ke kuhikuhi i kahi ʻāpana ʻokoʻa o nā ʻāpana AI: ʻo ia ka mea e pono ai e hoʻohui i kekahi mau loina etika, nā kuʻuna a me nā kūlana no ka hōʻiliʻili ʻikepili, ka hoʻokō ʻana o AI i ke ola, ma ke ʻano nui, i like ia. kanaka. I ka hopena, e nānā iā Asimov.

2017 vs. 2019

He ʻakaʻaka, akā i ka makahiki 2017 ua pau nā mea a pau ʻokoʻa, ʻaʻole i loaʻa kahi pōʻai hype kaʻawale no AI: aia nā ʻenehana AI i loko o ka locomotive o ka hoʻomohala ʻana i nā ʻenehana (Emerging Technologies) me ka blockchain a me ka ʻoiaʻiʻo hou.

ʻO ke aʻo ʻana i ka mīkini a me ke aʻo hohonu ma ka hype Olympus i 2017, a ma 2019 ua hoʻomau lākou i ko lākou ala i ka emi ʻana, ʻo ia hoʻi. hana huahua.

Ma ke ala, ua neʻe nā drones mai ka piko i ka emi ʻana i ka makahiki, a i ka makahiki 2019 ua hoʻi lākou i ka hoʻokokoke ʻana i ka piko. A hiki mai kēia, ʻae.

I ka makahiki 2019, ua komo ka pōʻaiapuni i nā ʻenehana hou 8. Aia ma waena o lākou nā lawelawe kapuaʻi AI (Cloud Services), AI Marketplaces (Marketplaces), Quantum Computing me AI (Quantum Computing). Ma keʻano laulā, kaulana (ma nā pōʻai liʻiliʻi) nā mea hana e hoʻomaka ana e kau iā AI ma ke ala.

Source: www.habr.com