ʻO ka pule ma mua o 2020 ka manawa e hoʻopaʻa ai. ʻAʻole hoʻokahi makahiki, akā he ʻumi makahiki. E hoʻomanaʻo kākou i ka manaʻo o ka honua i ka ʻoihana pāʻani hou i ka makahiki 2010. ʻO wai ka mea pololei a ʻo wai ka moeʻuhane? ʻO ka hoʻololi o ka hoʻonui a me ka ʻoiaʻiʻo virtual, ka hāʻawi nui ʻana o nā monitor 3D a me nā manaʻo ʻē aʻe e pili ana i ke ʻano o ka ʻoihana pāʻani hou.
ʻO ka nani o ka hana ʻana i nā manaʻo lōʻihi loa, ʻaʻole paha e nānā kekahi i kāu mau koi. I Kekemapa 2009, futurist ʻo Ray Kurzweil , a hiki i ka makahiki 2020, "e hoʻouna pololei nā aniani i nā kiʻi i ka retina" a "hiki ke uhi i kā mākou ʻike holoʻokoʻa holoʻokoʻa, e hoʻokumu i kahi ʻano maoli ʻekolu-dimensional virtual reality." Ke ulu nei ʻo VR, no laila ua pololei ʻo ia i kekahi mau ʻano, akā ʻo kaʻu mau aniani he mau aniani wale nō e kōkua iaʻu e ʻike. E kala mai, e Ray.
He maʻalahi ke hana hewa ke kamaʻilio e pili ana i nā loli nui. ʻAʻole like me Kurzweil, ʻaʻole wau i manaʻoʻiʻo i ka lāʻau lapaʻau e hiki mai ana e pale i ka ʻelemakule. Akā i kēia mau lā wau e pili ana i ka mea e hiki mai ana i ka pāʻani inā e haʻalele ʻo Google Stadia a me ke kahe ʻana. Mai ʻakaʻaka mai iaʻu i ka makahiki 2029.
ʻAʻole hiki ke ʻae ʻia nā manaʻo wiwo ʻole a pololei ʻole i ka hopena o ka pōʻai makahiki he ʻumi. He mea leʻaleʻa ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana i kou noʻonoʻo, a ʻo ka pau ʻana o nā makahiki he ala maikaʻi loa ia e ʻohi ai a hana i nā hoʻolālā. E kaʻana like ana mākou i kekahi mau manaʻo pupule no 2030, akā i kēia manawa e ʻike kākou i ka manaʻo o ka poʻe ma 2009 a me 2010 e pili ana i ka pāʻani o kēia lā. Ua ʻoiaʻiʻo kekahi mau mea, ʻaʻole kekahi.
Bullseye: Ua wānana ʻo Steven Spielberg e hele ana ʻo VR i ke ʻano
ʻAʻole hiki i ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka millennium hou ke ʻoluʻolu iā mākou me nā ʻōnaehana ʻoiaʻiʻo maoli mai nā kiʻiʻoniʻoni sci-fi o nā makahiki 80 a me 90. (ua loaʻa iā mākou Wii Music wale nō), a hoʻomaka lākou e like me kahi mea hiki ʻole. I ka makahiki 2009 Ua hoʻohenehene ʻo Steven Spielberg no ka ʻōlelo ʻana e hōʻike mau ana ʻo VR iā ia iho: "Ua heluhelu hope ʻo Spielberg iā William Gibson's Neuromancer, ʻike ʻo Jeff Fahey i kiʻekiʻe ma The Lawnmower Man, a ʻaʻole hiki ke kiʻi i ka ʻulaʻula a me ka ʻeleʻele Virtual mai kona poʻo Boy mai Nintendo. ʻAe, a ma kahi o kēia mau mea āna i nānā ai iā "The Matrix."
Akā ua kokoke pololei ʻo Spielberg. Eia kāna i ʻōlelo ai: "ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo maoli, i hoʻāʻo ʻia i ka makahiki 80, e lilo mau ana i mea hoʻomohala - e like me ka 3D e ʻimi hou ʻia nei. ʻO VR ke kahua pāʻani hou. "
E ʻike ʻia inā e lilo ʻo VR i kahua pāʻani pāʻani hou. Akā aia mākou ma ka paepae o 2020, a ʻaʻole i hoʻomohala wale ʻo Valve i kāna headset VR ponoʻī, akā ua hoʻolaha pū ʻia ʻo Half-Life: Alyx, i kūkulu ʻia no VR wale nō.
Hah, ʻaʻole: aia ka wā e hiki mai ana i nā mea nānā 3D
Hoʻokahi kanaka kālailai TechRadar ma 2010 "ma 2020, ʻo ka hapa nui o nā pāʻani holoʻokoʻa a me nā pāʻani AAA āpau i 3D." He ʻōlelo wiwo ʻole. ʻAʻole mākou i lohe i kekahi mea e pili ana i ke kākoʻo 3D no kekahi mau makahiki i kēia manawa. Eia ka pane i ka nīnau a kā mākou mau hoaaloha ma TechRadar i nīnau ai i kēlā manawa: "He ʻoiaʻiʻo paha e hele maoli ana ʻo [3D] a i ʻole he ʻano ʻē aʻe e kū nei i ka honua ʻenehana?"
I kēlā manawa, kani nui nā TV 3D a me nā mea nānā. Pono nā mea hana i kahi wahi kūʻai ikaika e hoʻolaha i kā lākou huahana, a ʻo nā kiʻiʻoniʻoni 3D e like me Avatar he maunu maikaʻi. Aia mau nā hale kiʻiʻoniʻoni 3D, akā ua ʻike ʻia no ka hapa nui o ka poʻe ma ka home, lawa ke kiʻi pālahalaha.
Hoʻopili, akā ʻaʻole pololei: E hoʻololi hou ʻo Kinect
ʻO Project Natal, i kapa hou ʻia ʻo Kinect, he mea hoʻokele pāʻani pāʻani ʻole e ʻike i ka neʻe ʻana o ke kino. Ua hoʻomohala ʻo Microsoft no ka Xbox 360. Ua hoʻolaha ʻia ka papahana ma E3 2009. Time Magazine ʻO kekahi o nā mea hana maikaʻi loa o ka makahiki, a he nui nā pūnaewele i kapa ʻia ʻo Natal "revolutionary".
ʻoi aku ka ʻokoʻa iaʻu ma mua o ke kipi. Akā, makemake nui nā mea a pau i ka ʻenehana ʻike neʻe, e hoʻomanaʻo wale i ka PlayStation Move. Ua ala mai ka nīnau: e loli maoli anei nā mea a pau i kēia manawa? ʻaʻole naʻe. Ua hoʻomohala ʻia kekahi mau pāʻani no ka Kinect: Kinect Adventures!, Kinectimals, Kinect: Disneyland Adventures, kēlā me kēia Hula Just a hiki i kēia lā. Akā ʻaʻole i hoʻololi kēia papahana i ka ʻoihana pāʻani.
He ʻāpana ʻoiaʻiʻo ka wānana no ka mea ʻo ka ʻike ʻana i ka neʻe i lilo maoli i ʻenehana hoʻohiki. Ua hōʻoia ʻo ia ʻaʻole hilinaʻi ʻo VR i ka hoʻonā pale, akā ma ka pololei o ka ʻimi ʻana. A ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka ʻenehana i kēia manawa e hoʻololi i ka ʻoihana pāʻani ma mua o Just Dance.
I hala: Aia ʻo AR i ke kiʻekiʻe o ke ʻano
Kiʻi kiʻi Microsoft
ʻO AR, ʻoiaʻiʻo, aia i ke ʻano, akā ʻaʻole ia ka mea hope loa. I mea e hoʻohilahila ai i kekahi no nā tweets he ʻumi makahiki, ʻaʻole wau e hoʻokomo i nā loulou, akā manaʻo ka poʻe e hele mai ana ʻo VR a hele, akā aia ʻo AR e noho. Akā ʻaʻole wikiwiki ʻo Hololens, Magic Leap a me nā ʻōnaehana AR ʻē aʻe e kāhāhā iā mākou.
I kēia mau lā, hāʻawi ʻo VR i kahi ʻike pāʻani hoihoi loa. A ʻaʻole maopopo iaʻu pehea e ʻoi aku ka maʻalili o ke kiʻi ʻana i nā kiʻi 3D i loko o koʻu lumi moe ʻoluʻolu ma mua o ka hoʻololi ʻana i ka lumi moe like me nā wahi nani. Ua lanakila ʻo Pokémon Go, akā ʻaʻole pono ia i nā aniani nani.
Loaʻa ka AR, akā ʻaʻole maopopo iaʻu he mea hoihoi ia e like me nā manaʻo he nui. ʻAe a me ka pilikino ma Google Glass hiki ke hana hou. Ke nānā mau ʻia nei mākou - he ʻoiaʻiʻo. Akā makemake wau ʻaʻole e kipa i nā lumi hoʻomaha lehulehu i piha i nā kāmera.
Inā maʻa nā kānaka i kēia (a ua maʻa mākou i ka hoʻolaha ʻana i ka ʻike e pili ana iā mākou iho ma ka Pūnaewele), a laila ua pololei ʻo Kurzweil. Holo wikiwiki wale me nā aniani e hoʻomalu iā AR a me VR. E hoʻihoʻi au i kēia hanana i 20 mau makahiki hou.
Eia hou e: Ua wānana ʻo Intel e hoʻokele mākou i ke kamepiula me ke kōkua o ka lolo
Reddit Audience i ka hilinaʻi i kēia manaʻo he ʻumi makahiki aku nei
Wahi a Ua wānana ʻo Intel i ka makahiki 2020, he mea maʻamau ka hoʻokomo ʻana o ka lolo e kāohi i nā kamepiula a me nā televise. Loaʻa nā ʻenehana like (e laʻa me Emotiv), akā he mea hoʻohenehene kēia manaʻo i nā makahiki he ʻumi aku nei.
Akā, pono e hoʻomaopopo ʻia ʻo Computerworld wale nō i hana i kahi manaʻo wiwo ʻole. Ua ʻōlelo kā lākou ʻatikala "ʻoi aku ka maʻamau o nā implants" a "ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka poʻe i ka loaʻa ʻana o ka lolo." A he oiaio. Ua loaʻa nā implants hoʻokolohua kanaka me ka lolo. Akā ʻaʻole wau i manaʻoʻiʻo a hiki i ka makahiki 2030 e loaʻa iā mākou nā lolouila.
He hewa kekahi: ʻO OnLive ka wā e hiki mai ana o ka ʻoihana pāʻani
I ka makahiki 2009, he mea hou ke kahe ʻana o ka pāʻani, a manaʻo kekahi ʻo ia ka wā e hiki mai ana. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Denis Dayak e hoʻololi ke kahe i nā mea āpau. ʻOiai he liʻiliʻi ia kāna ʻōlelo, e kuhikuhi ana e hiki i ka ʻenehana ke lawe i nā makahiki 20 e hoʻokō ai i kēia a "hiki i nā mea ke hele hewa" i ka wā mua. A pela iho la.
ʻAʻole i lawe mai ʻo OnLive i kahi waiwai a lilo i ka wā e hiki mai ana no ka patent Sony (kūʻai ka hui i ka lawelawe a hoʻohana i kāna mau hoʻomohala ma PS Now - ed.). A i kēia manawa, he ʻumi mau makahiki ma hope o ka huhū OnLive ma GDC 2009, ua paʻa nā manaʻolana like e pili ana i ka "hopena o ka pāʻani" .
ʻAʻole i hōʻoia ʻia a hōʻole ʻia paha ʻo ka streaming ka mea e hiki mai ana o ka ʻoihana pāʻani. I kēia manawa ʻo Google ʻoiai , no ke aha e makemake ai kekahi i ka lawelawe ʻo Stadia i ka wā e loaʻa ai ka pāʻani kaulana loa ma ka honua (Fortnite) ma kekahi mea hana a me ke kahe ʻole.
ʻO nā kiʻi kiʻi kiʻekiʻe, ʻaʻole i moeʻuhane ʻo Stadia, ʻaʻole ia he wahi kūʻai no kēia kahua. Maikaʻi ka holo ʻana i nā pāʻani me ka ʻole o ka hoʻoiho ʻana, akā inā hiki i kāu wikiwiki pūnaewele ke hoʻohana iā Stadia, a laila ʻaʻole lōʻihi ka hoʻoiho ʻana i nā pāʻani. ʻAʻole au e hōʻemi i ka hoʻoheheʻe ʻana, akā he ʻumi makahiki ia mai ka manaʻo o OnLive e hoʻololi i ka ʻoihana.
ʻAʻole kokoke loa: heluhelu noʻonoʻo, pūʻali kanaka a me "mea hiki ke hoʻonohonoho"
I Malaki 2009, ua mālama ʻo Gamasutra "Nā pāʻani 2020". Ua kono ʻia ka poʻe heluhelu e hōʻike i nā hopena o nā makahiki he ʻumi o ka hoʻomohala ʻenehana a me ka moʻomeheu. Ua pupule loa kekahi mau manao. No ka laʻana, kahi pāʻani AR e noʻonoʻo a hoʻohana i nā hanana maoli mai kou ola a me ka "mea hiki ke hoʻonohonoho" e hoʻololi i nā ʻōwili kilokilo.
ʻO : “Hoʻokomo ke kanaka i ka Suit a lilo i pūʻali kanaka. Hoʻokō ʻia ka hoʻomalu i ka pāʻani e nā pā o ka mea pāʻani (ka mea nāna i hoʻopā i ka mea hoʻokipa), a me ka hopena o ka ʻiʻo a me ka pane o waho o ka mea pāʻani (ʻo ia hoʻi, ka host). Hoʻopili ʻia nā pilina mai ka hoʻopā māmā a hiki i ka lomilomi hohonu. Hoʻomaha, nani, pili.
He heluhelu ʻakaʻaka. ʻAʻole wale ia e pili ana i ka manaʻo o ka poʻe e ulu ana ka ʻenehana, akā no ke ʻano o nā pāʻani a lākou e makemake ai e ʻike. Nui nā inoa i wehewehe ʻia i hoʻohui ʻia i loko o ke ola o ke kanaka. Ua wānana kekahi e hoʻōla hou ʻo AR i nā hana o kēlā me kēia lā, e like me ka hoʻomaʻemaʻe ʻana a me ka hele ʻana i ka hale kūʻai. Ua lawe ka poʻe i ka huaʻōlelo "gamification." Hoʻokahi nō manaʻo pololei e hiki ke hoʻokuʻu ʻia nā pāʻani kaulana ma kēlā me kēia paepae: mai ke kelepona a i nā kamepiula.
ʻO ka pane pololei 100% wale nō
I ka makahiki 2009 ma e pili ana i ke ʻano o ka pāʻani i loko o nā makahiki he ʻumi, ua pane mai ka Luna Nui o ka studio Kanada ʻo Ubisoft, ʻo Yannis Mallat: "ʻAʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke hopu iaʻu e hana ana. He hana hoʻomāʻewaʻewa wale ia iaʻu he ʻumi makahiki mai kēia manawa."
hopena
Inā mākou e lawe liʻiliʻi i nā manaʻo a pau, a laila ʻaʻole hewa lākou a pau. He mea hoʻonui nui ka make ʻana o ka mea pāʻani hoʻokahi, akā i loko o nā makahiki he ʻumi i hala aku nei, ua hoʻohana maoli nā mea hoʻopuka nui i ka ikehu e hana mau i nā honua pūnaewele ʻaʻole hiamoe. ʻO nā paʻakikī o kēlā me kēia pule, nā pā kaua a me nā pāʻani pau ʻole i hoʻohui i kā mākou hana maʻamau i kēlā me kēia lā me nā ʻimi pāʻani i kēlā me kēia lā. ʻO nā awa kelepona a me ka pāʻani keʻa, ʻaʻole ia he kumu no ka haʻalele ʻana iā Fortnite, a makemake ʻo Twitter a me nā koho Reddit no nā makana a me nā mea hana i kahi metagame no kēlā me kēia pāʻani.
ʻAʻole loaʻa iā mākou nā aniani AR e hōʻike ana i nā hōʻailona hulina ma ke ala mai ka hana a i ka home. Akā, loaʻa i kēia manaʻo ke kumu o ka hoʻolālā AR pono: hopu i ka manaʻo ma nā wahi a mākou e noho ai. Hoʻokaʻawale ʻo VR, akā hiki ke AR ma nā wahi āpau, no laila e ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o nā mea kūʻai aku. E hōʻike ana ka manawa inā hiki iā lākou ke hoʻokō i kā lākou moemoeā e hoʻohuli i ka honua holoʻokoʻa i kahi pāʻani wikiō.
Source: www.habr.com