Ua hoʻomaka ka wā o ka post-futurism i 110 mau makahiki i hala. A laila, i ka makahiki 1909, ua paʻi ʻo Filippo Marinetti i kahi hōʻike o ka futurism, e hoʻolaha ana i ka hoʻomana o ka wā e hiki mai ana a me ka luku ʻana i ka wā i hala, ka makemake no ka wikiwiki a me ka wiwo ʻole, ka hōʻole ʻana i ka passivity a me ka makaʻu. Ua hoʻoholo mākou e hoʻomaka i ka pōʻai aʻe a kamaʻilio pū me kekahi poʻe maikaʻi e pili ana i ko lākou ʻike ʻana iā 2120.
Akahana. E ka makamaka, e mākaukau. He pou lōʻihi kēia me ka manaʻo nui o nā kikoʻī futuristic, nā ʻoihana pupule a me nā manaʻo e pili ana i ka wā e hiki mai ana.
ʻO nā huaʻōlelo ma mua o ka kata e huki i ka nānā: Andrey Sebrant mai Yandex a me TechSparks, Andrey Konyaev mai N+1, Obrazovacha a me KuJi, Ivan Yamshchikov mai ABBYY a me ka Max Planck Institute, Alexander Lozhechkin mai Amazon, Konstantin Kichinsky mai NTI Platform a me ex. Microsoft, Valeria Kurmak mai AIC a me ex. ʻO Sberbank-Technology, Andrey Breslav mai JetBrains a me ka mea nāna i hana iā Kotlin, ʻo Grigory Petrov mai Evrone a me Alexander Andronov mai Dodo Pizza.
Ka papa o nā mea
e kamaaina kakou
Me kēia line-up hiki iā mākou ke lawe i ka honua a ʻaihue i ka Kalikimaka, akā ke kaʻana like mākou i ka kikokikona.
- Luna Hoʻokele o ka Hoʻolālā Kūʻai ma , mea kākau podcast , mea kākau channel . ʻO kekahi o nā kiʻi mua o Runet, a hiki ole ke hoopunipuni. Ma waena o nā mea ʻē aʻe, he moho ʻo Andrey no ka ʻepekema kino a me ka makemakika, he polopeka ma ke kula kiʻekiʻe o ka ʻoihana waiwai a he laureate o ka makana Lenin Komsomol ma ke kahua o ka ʻepekema a me ka ʻenehana (1985).
- ka mea hoʻopuka o kahi puke ʻepekema kaulana kaulana , ka mea nāna i hoʻokumu i nā kaiāulu и . I kona manawa kūʻokoʻa mai ka hale paʻi puke a me nā kaiāulu, he moho ʻo Andrey no ka ʻepekema kino a me ka makemakika a aʻo ʻo ia ma ka Faculty of Mechanics and Mathematics o Moscow State University. A ke hoʻokele nei ʻo ia i mea hoʻokipa podcast .
- ka mea haiolelo naauao . Loaʻa iā ia kahi PhD ma ka makemakika noiʻi mai ke Kulanui o ʻenehana ʻo Brandenburg (Cottbus, Kelemānia). I kēia manawa he mea noiʻi ma ka Max Planck Institute (Leipzig, Kelemānia). Ua ʻimi ʻo Ivan i nā loina hou o ka naʻauao artificial e hiki ke kōkua i ka hoʻomaopopo ʻana i ka hana ʻana o ko mākou lolo, a hoʻokipa pū i kahi podcast. .
- ʻo Microsoft euanelio mua no ʻEulopa Hikina a me Rūsia, ka luna o ke keʻena ʻenehana hoʻolālā, a i kēia manawa ke poʻo o Solutions Architects ma Amazon Web Services (AWS) ma 100+ mau ʻāina Emerging Markets. I kona manawa kūʻokoʻa mai nā hui IT, kākau ʻo Alexander i nā moʻolelo e pili ana i nā mea like ʻole i kāna .
- Mai ka makahiki 2010, ua hoʻomohala ʻo ia i ka ʻōlelo papahana Kotlin ma JetBrains. Pili i ka PDD (passion driven development) i ke ola. Ma kahi o nā kumuhana IT, nānā nui ʻo ia i nā pilikia o ke kaulike kāne a me ka psychotherapy a he mea hoʻokumu i ka lawelawe. nāna e kōkua iā ʻoe e loaʻa i kahi psychotherapist maikaʻi. Mālama pono ʻo ia i kahi koho o nā loulou i kāna mau nīnauele, ʻatikala a me nā hōʻike. .
- Luna Hoʻokele o ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa Human Experience ma AIC, Inclusive Design Expert i ke ola. ʻIke i nā mea a pau e pili ana iā Umwelt, a me ka mea e hana ai me kēia ʻike e hana i nā huahana kikohoʻe inclusive. I kona manawa kaʻawale, hōʻike ʻo ia i kona ʻike ma ke ala telegrama . Loaʻa i nā hōʻoia hou: Moho o ka ʻepekema ʻepekema, mea noiʻi kaiaulu.
- Ke poʻo o ka NTI Franchise Center ma ka NTI Platform ANO, ex.Microsoft-man me ʻumi makahiki o ka ʻike. ʻAʻole hiki ke noho mālie a pili mau i kekahi mea, no ka laʻana, i kahi papahana . Hoʻouna ʻia e a holo i ke ala e pili ana i ka ʻenehana ma Telegram.
- DevRel i ka hui , ʻo Moscow Python euanelio a me ke poʻo o ke komite papahana ʻo Moscow Python Conf++. Hoʻopaʻa i nā hopena pule , i nā ahiahi hele ʻo ia i nā hālāwai kūkā ma ke kapikala o ko mākou ʻāina makuahine a me nā ʻāina e pili ana. Hoʻolilo ʻia nā kekona manawa i koe ma ke kākau ʻana. .
- CTO ma Dodo Pizza, ʻo ia kekahi o nā alakaʻi o ka ʻōnaehana Dodo IS. Ua loaʻa iaʻu kahi ʻike ma Intel a me Smart Step Group. ʻAʻole makemake ʻo ia i ka hoʻolaha, akā makemake nui ʻo ia i kāna hui a me nā hoʻoholo hoʻoholo. I ke ahiahi, moeʻuhane ʻo ia i ka hoʻokomo ʻana i kahi moʻomeheu hoʻoholo hoʻoholo Data Driven i loko o ke ola o Dodo Pizza.
Ua hiamoe ʻoe a ala aʻe i 100 mau makahiki ma hope, pono ʻoe e hana, he aha kāu makemake e lilo? E noʻonoʻo i ʻekolu ʻoihana o ka wā e hiki mai ana
Andrey Sebrant: Ma kēia kūlana, e loaʻa iaʻu kahi ʻano kūikawā kūikawā loea retroreality. ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, a ʻaʻole synthetic, nā hoʻomanaʻo o hoʻokahi haneli mau makahiki i hala aku nei e uku ʻia :) ʻAe, a i ʻole ʻoe e hoʻāʻo e haku i ka hana. mea hāʻawi i nā manaʻo nalo a i ʻole ke ʻano premium i kahi pāʻani mōʻaukala. Andrey Konyaev: ʻOiaʻiʻo, inā ala wau i 100 mau makahiki, ʻo wau ke kanaka like me aʻu i kēia manawa, ʻo ia hoʻi, he kanaka makemakika. No nā ʻoihana i hiki ke noʻonoʻo ʻia:
1. mea ʻenehana - he kanaka nona ka hana e hoʻomaopopo i nā pilikia pili pono, e kālailai i nā hihia e kū mai ana a hoʻopuka i ka manaʻo loea no lākou. Ua ʻae ʻia ke hana i nā kope virtual o nā poʻe i make? Hiki anei i ka naʻauao hana ke hoʻohālike he kanaka ola no ka pono o ke kanaka?
2. Holoi - he kanaka nona kāna hana e luku i ka wāwae kikohoʻe. Manaʻo ʻia e hoʻololi mau ka poʻe o ka wā e hiki mai ana i ko lākou inoa a me ko lākou helehelena i mea e haʻalele ai i nā hewa o ka wā i hala - no ka laʻana, ua ʻona ʻoe i ke kula, a i kēia manawa he mea panakō kūleʻa ʻoe. Akā, ke koe nei kahi meheu o ke kula e pono e hoʻopau ʻia me ke akamai a me ka ʻoihana.
3. Mea helu kanaka mahiʻai. I ka wā e hiki mai ana, e kākau ʻia nā code e nā neural networks, me ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka evolutionary a me nā algorithms ʻē aʻe. No laila, pono e hoʻomohala ʻia nā hoʻonā no nā pilikia kikoʻī ma mua o ka hana ʻana. ʻOiaʻiʻo, he kanaka mahiʻai kahi neurofarm kahi e ulu ai kēia code. Andrey Breslav: ʻElua mau mana o ka wā e hiki mai ana: i hoʻokahi, ua hana mākou i "ka naʻauao akamai ikaika" a neʻe nā mea a pau i ka honua virtual. I kēia ao ʻaʻohe ʻoihana (i ko mākou ʻike), a ʻo ka "hana" ke ʻano he mea ʻē aʻe.
E noʻonoʻo wau i kahi ʻano ʻē aʻe: ʻaʻole mākou i hana i ka AI ikaika, no laila aia nō ka poʻe ma ke ʻano he mea olaola, a loaʻa iā lākou nā loea. A laila e ola lākou nā ʻoihana o nā ʻepekema noiʻi, nā mea papahana e hana i nā ʻōnaehana hilinaʻi pololei (ma ia manawa e hoʻokō ʻia nā neural networks me nā mea pololei ʻole), a me nā ʻoihana loea e pili ana i ka hana ʻana i nā kiʻi manaʻo paʻakikī: nā mea kākau, no ka laʻana, a i ʻole nā alakaʻi. Konstantin Kichinsky:
- Mea polokalamu ola ola synthetic: he kanaka "hoʻolālā" i nā ʻano hou o ke ola, "hoʻonohonoho" i ka ʻano o nā mea i loaʻa, "kākau" i nā mea hoʻohui pūmua, "paʻi" ʻikepili i DNA, a ʻo ia wale nō.
- Hoʻolālā o lalo o ka wai/ ʻili / ea / lunar /… kūlanakauhale: he kanaka nāna i hana a hoʻokele i nā kaiapuni hou no ka noho ʻana o ke kanaka me nā hana e pili ana i ka urbanism, ka hoʻolālā, ka hoʻolako waiwai, etc.
- Mahalo: He kanaka nāna i hoʻokumu i nā honua ʻē aʻe i loko o ke kenekulia 21st.
ʻO Ivan Yamshchikov: He mea maʻalahi loa ia iaʻu ma ʻaneʻi. ʻAʻole e nalowale kaʻu ʻoihana i nā makahiki 100. A i ʻole, inā i loko o 100 mau makahiki ʻaʻohe ʻepekema, a laila i loko o 100 mau makahiki ʻaʻohe kanaka ma ke ʻano o ka huaʻōlelo e like me kā mākou hoʻomaopopo ʻana i ke kanaka. Inā mau ke ʻano olaola ʻo Homo Sapiens a ʻaʻole i hana i ka naʻauao akamai ma mua o ka naʻauao kanaka, a laila aia ka hana no nā kānaka ʻepekema.
Inā ʻaʻole lākou e lawe iaʻu ma ke ʻano he ʻepekema i hoʻokahi haneli mau makahiki, a laila e hele wau i nā mea hoʻolālā kaiaola pani. Inā mākou e aʻo i ka hana ʻana i nā kahua kikowaena "piha holoʻokoʻa", kahi e hiki ai i ke ola ke noho kūʻokoʻa, a laila manaʻo wau e koi ʻia ka hana ʻana i nā kaiaola o kēia ʻano. Nui nā hana: pehea e hōʻoiaʻiʻo ai i kahi ea, a pehea e hoʻokō ai i nā biodiversity lawa, pehea e hana ai i nā mea aesthetically nani, akā i ka manawa like. Loaʻa ka laulā o nā mākau maʻaneʻi: mai ka hoʻolālā ʻāina a hiki i ka ʻikepili ʻikepili.
E kapa wau he ʻoihana ʻekolu alakaʻi virtual. E noʻonoʻo i kahi alakaʻi mākaʻikaʻi nāna, me ka paʻi lima o kona lima, hiki iā ia ke lawe iā ʻoe mai kahi kiʻi pena Rubens i kahi hale inu ʻumikūmāhiku-kenekulia uwahi, e hōʻike iā ʻoe i ka palaki o ka mea pena ma lalo o kahi microscope, teleport iā ʻoe i nā manawa Baibala i ka heluhelu ʻana i ka ʻeuanelio a Luka, a hoʻihoʻi iā ʻoe i ka pena. A me nā mea a pau me ka manaʻo o ka piha piha i ka mōʻaukala.
Me ka hoʻomohala ʻana o nā ʻenehana ʻoiaʻiʻo maoli a me nā neural interface, ʻo ka ʻike i hiki ke loaʻa iā lākou e lilo i ʻokoʻa a hoihoi. ʻO ka hana e hoʻohui i nā kaiapuni like ʻole i kahi moʻolelo hoʻokahi, hana ia, a hoʻololi iā ia. ʻIke ʻia e hoʻokaʻawale ʻia kēlā mau hiʻohiʻona, akā e piʻi ke kumukūʻai o ke kamaʻilio kanaka. No laila, ʻo kahi "ʻike" kūʻokoʻa, i loaʻa mai kahi alakaʻi nona ka noʻonoʻo, ke komo wikiwiki i kahi waihona ʻike, a hiki ke kamaʻilio pū me ʻoe ma o kahi neural interface, e waiwai nui ʻia a ʻokoʻa ʻē aʻe mai ka ʻike me ke kanaka ʻole. komo ana. E like me ka ʻokoʻa o ka pāʻani kamepiula mai ka DnD maʻamau. Alexander Andronov: ʻAʻole maopopo iaʻu ka mea e hiki mai ana i loko o hoʻokahi haneli mau makahiki. Malia paha he mau robots nā mea a puni, a pono nā kānaka e pepehi iā lākou? A laila e hana wau ʻoihana pepehi lopako. A i ʻole e lilo nā mea a pau o ka honua i mea kaua. A laila e hana wau kuai mea kaua. A i ʻole, ʻaʻohe wahi pilikino i koe, akā e ʻike ʻia kekahi ʻano pūnaewele pilikino hou. A laila e hana wau i nā lawelawe no ia. ʻAe, a i ʻole kēia: i loko o hoʻokahi haneli mau makahiki, e hoʻokele ʻia nā kaʻa āpau me ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā autopilots, e lilo ke kaʻa i mea leʻaleʻa. A laila wau E hana au i paka lealea kahi e hiki ai ke kalaiwa no ka lealea. Valeria Kurmak:
- Mea hana kino. I ka wā e hiki mai ana, e hoʻololi ʻia ke kino ma muli o ka genetics a ma muli o nā ʻāpana non-biological waho o ke kino. ʻO kahi laʻana o ka hoʻololi genetic ʻo ia ka gene jellyfish i hoʻohui ʻia i loko o ka DNA o kahi marmoset nona ka ʻili ʻōmaʻomaʻo ke ʻike ʻia i ke kukui ultraviolet.
ʻO kahi holomua ma ke kahua o nā ʻāpana non-biological i hana ʻia e ka hui o Hugh Herr, nāna i hoʻomohala i kahi interface e hoʻopili ai i nā aʻalolo i ke koena lālā me kahi prosthesis bionic waho a hiki ke ʻike ʻia he ʻāpana piha o ka. kino. I ka wā e hiki mai ana, ʻo ka hiki ke hoʻopili i ka ʻiʻo nerve me nā hana artificial e ʻae i ke kanaka ʻaʻole e hoʻololi wale i nā lālā i nalowale, akā e hoʻomaʻamaʻa hoʻi i kahi kino olakino maikaʻi loa, e hoʻohui pū me nā ʻāpana kanaka ʻole. No ka laʻana, nā ʻēheu, kahi e manaʻo ai ka cyborg e like me kona mau lālā ponoʻī a hiki iā ia ke hoʻomalu iā lākou me ka liʻiliʻi ʻole.
- Mea hoʻolālā omniinterface. Loaʻa i nā kānaka he 6 mau ʻuhane. I kēia lā, hana nui nā interface me ka ʻike. Ke hoʻomaka nei ka ulu ʻana o nā mea hoʻohana me ka lohe. Akā i ka manawa like, aia kekahi ʻono, ʻala, paʻi a me nā mea vestibular. Manaʻo wau i ka wā e hiki mai ana ʻaʻole e loaʻa nā mea hoʻopili wale no kēia mau ʻano o ka ʻike, akā he hybridity pū kekahi o kēia mau ʻano o ka ʻike.
- Mea noiʻi. I kēia lā me he mea lā e ʻae koke ka ʻikepili nui iā ʻoe e ʻike i nā mea āpau e pili ana i ke kanaka. ʻIke maoli ka ʻikepili iā ʻoe e ʻike i ka mea e hana nei, akā no ka hoʻomaopopo ʻana i ke kumu e hana nei kēia, pono ʻoe e hele i nā kula, ʻike i nā kumu, nā makaʻu, nā makemake. Me he mea lā e mau ana kekahi mau ʻoihana.
ʻO Alexander Lozhechkin: ʻAʻole au i ʻae i ka hoʻokumu ʻana o ka nīnau "he mau hana e hana ʻia." 'O ia ho'i, 'a'ole au i lilo i penihana a miliona paha ('o ia ka mea like - ma hea kekahi 'ano o ka loa'a kālā e 'ae 'ole ai ia'u e no'ono'o e pili ana i nā lilo ola)? ʻO ka mea pōmaikaʻi, ua mamao wau mai kahi miliona miliona. A ke manaʻolana nei au (ʻae, ʻaʻole wau e wahaheʻe) ʻaʻole wau e lilo i hoʻokahi. Eia naʻe, e like me ka peni penihana.
Moloā loa wau, no laila inā ʻaʻole hiki iaʻu ke hana, hopohopo wau ʻaʻole hiki iaʻu ke hoʻoikaika iaʻu iho e hana. A mai kakahiaka a pō e nānā au i YouTube a i ʻole e ʻōwili i kaʻu hānai Facebook (a i ʻole nā mea e hiki mai ana i loko o hoʻokahi haneli mau makahiki). ʻAʻole wau makemake i ka hana, akā ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka hoʻoikaika pālua (makemake a me ka pono) ma mua o ka hoʻoikaika hoʻokahi. No laila, ʻoi aku ka nui o nā mea a pau, ke manaʻolana nei au e lilo ko mākou kaiāulu i 100 mau makahiki i ke olakino maikaʻi ʻole e loaʻa i kēia mau mea weliweli o ka wā i hala, e like me ka hoʻoilina (hoʻoikaika i ka poʻe e lawe pau ʻole a lawe, ma mua o ka hāʻawi ʻana a hāʻawi) a i ʻole nā penikala. ka mea, ke lana nei ko'u manao, aole e pono hou ia, no ka mea, na ka laau lapaau e hiki ai i na kanaka ke noho pono no ka ahahui, aole hoi he mea kaumaha, no ka loihi o ka makemake.
ʻO ka nīnau "ʻo wai e lilo" - ʻo ia ka lua. Manaʻo wau i loko o hoʻokahi haneli mau makahiki e noho maʻalahi a hiki ke loaʻa kahi mea i koʻu makemake e pono ai ka poʻe o ia manawa. No laila ʻo ka pane pōkole i ka nīnau "he aha ka mea e lilo ai" e kōkua a maʻalahi.ʻO Grigory Petrov:
Psychologist no ka naʻauao akamai, hoʻolālā ʻike, alakaʻi i nā honua virtual.
Ke noʻonoʻo nei ʻoe i ke kuhikuhi IT he wahi hoʻohiki no ka hana i nā makahiki 100 e hiki mai ana? Aia kekahi wahi hoʻohiki like?
Andrey Sebrant: ʻAʻole maopopo iaʻu e pili ana i ka IT... I kona ʻano i kēia manawa ʻaʻole ia e ola. Akā ʻo kēlā me kēia "bio" (ma ke ʻano he prefix i nā ʻoihana ʻaʻole i loaʻa i kēia manawa) e koi maoli ʻia. I loko o hoʻokahi haneli mau makahiki, ʻaʻole hiki iā mākou ke hoʻokaʻawale loa me ko mākou ʻano olaola, akā e pau ka hilahila i ka hoʻololi ʻana.Andrey Konyaev: ʻAʻohe ʻāpana IT i noho no ka manawa lōʻihi. Ke lilo nei ka mākau coding i mea koi mua no ka hana ʻana ma kahi kokoke i nā kula āpau. ʻO ia wale nō ka poʻe he mea inert a hoʻomau, ma waho o ka maʻamau, e kāhea i nā poʻe i kuleana no ka ʻoihana o kā lākou ʻoihana loea IT. Valeria Kurmak: He wahi ākea loa ka IT. Nui nā ʻoihana i loko, lilo kekahi o lākou i hana lima lima. No ka laʻana, loaʻa iā Google kahi papahana kahi e aʻo hou ʻia ai nā limahana ma ke ʻano he mea hoʻomohala. ʻO kēlā mau. ke nalowale nei nā mea hoʻomohala i ko lākou kūlana ma ke ʻano he ʻoihana paʻakikī a kūikawā.
I ka manawa like, ʻike ʻia ka nui o nā "humanists" i loko o IT e hoʻoponopono i nā pilikia like ʻole IT, no ka laʻana, kahi hoʻoponopono UX. ʻAʻole ʻo IT noʻu he kahua, ʻo ia kahi mea hana no ka hoʻoponopono ʻana i nā pilikia, e like me ka ʻōlelo Pelekane, pono e hoʻomaopopo i kekahi. ʻO ia iho ʻaʻohe waiwai. Me ke kōkua o IT, ua hoʻoholo ʻia nā hana o ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa ʻana i ka ʻike mea hoʻohana, ka wikiwiki ʻana i ka pilina me ka mea kūʻai aku, ka hoʻonui ʻana a me ka hōʻemi ʻana i nā kumukūʻai o nā kaʻina kūloko.
Inā mākou e kamaʻilio e pili ana i nā wahi hoʻohiki o ka hoʻomohala ʻana ʻaʻole e make a e ulu ikaika loa, a laila noʻu he wahi a me nā genetics. Eia kekahi, ʻike ka poʻe e hana nei i kēia mau wahi, ma ke ʻano he kānāwai, ʻike i ka ʻōlelo Pelekane a ʻike i ka papahana.
Konstantin Kichinsky: IT a me kona derivatives e loaʻa i nā wahi a pau, akā, ko mākou ike o IT e like me commoditized i loko o 100 makahiki e like me ka uila i kēia manawa. E noʻonoʻo wau i kēia mau wahi i hoʻohālikelike ʻia:
- biotech, genetics, biology computational;
- mea quantum, sensors - kaʻina hana, hui ʻana o nā mea, hana i nā kamepiula ma ka pae quantum;
- ʻōnaehana ola cyber - nā ʻano hoʻonui a pau o ke kanaka a me nā mea ola ʻē aʻe.
ʻO ka nīnau e loaʻa kēia mau mea a pau me ka paepae komo haʻahaʻa.
Andrey Breslav: ʻAe, ʻaʻole wale ka polokalamu, akā ʻo QA, hiki ke lilo i mea koʻikoʻi me ka hoʻolaha ʻana o nā neural networks (ua aʻo mua lākou i ka hana ʻana i kekahi mea, akā ʻaʻohe mea i hoʻomaopopo piha i ke ʻano).
ʻO nā wahi a pau e pili ana i ka noʻonoʻo noʻonoʻo e hoʻomau i ka noi i kekahi ʻano. ʻO ka mea nui, ʻepekema a me ka hoʻokele. He paʻakikī ke wānana i ka nui o ia mau loea e pono ai, akā ʻoi aku paha ia ma mua o kēia manawa.Alexander Andronov: He kuhikuhi hoʻohiki ʻo IT i ka manawa ʻaʻole 100 mau makahiki, akā i ka manawa o 1000 mau makahiki. ʻO ka lāʻau lapaʻau e hoʻohālikelike ʻia, no ka mea, e nui aʻe nā ʻano e pili ana i ka hoʻololi ʻana i nā ʻāpana, nā ʻāpana o nā ʻāpana, e hana hou ʻia nā kānaka. E hiki mai ke kanaka i ka hopena inā ua haki kekahi mea i loko o ke kanaka, a laila hiki ke hoʻololi koke ʻia, ʻaʻole e make. ʻO Grigory Petrov: Ke manaʻoʻiʻo nei au i loko o kahi manawa o 100 mau makahiki, e hoʻohiki nā mea a pau e pili ana i ka pilikanaka a me nā pilina ma waena o nā kānaka. No ka mea ʻo ka hoʻolālā ʻana ka hoʻokumu ʻana o ka pilikanaka "makemake wau i kēlā ..." ma kahi ʻano formalized, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka māla ma mua o ka hoʻohiki. ʻO nā wahi hoʻohālikelike, manaʻo wau, ʻo nā mea āpau e pili ana i ka leʻaleʻa. Ke hana ʻana i nā pāʻani kamepiula, no ka laʻana.ʻO Ivan Yamshchikov: Me he mea lā iaʻu inā maopopo mākou i ka IT e like me ka "ʻenehana ʻikepili," a laila nui nā manaʻo ma aneʻi. Ma keʻano laulā, ʻike mākou i kēia manawa kokoke i nā wahi āpau o ka hana kanaka ke hoʻomaka nei e neʻe i loko o ke kikohoʻe. No laila ua lawa ka hana ma aneʻi, akā pono ʻoe e hoʻomaopopo ʻo IT i kēia ʻike he mea hana no ka hoʻoponopono ʻana i kahi pilikia.
E loli ana nā hana i ka manawa. Me he mea la ia'u, he nui na mea hoihoi e hana nei i keia manawa ma ka biology. He podcast ka'u . ʻO nā pilikia e pili ana i nā mea ola a i ʻole nā genetics hou kekahi o kaʻu punahele. Ke hana mau nei kekahi mea hou i ka biotech, lāʻau lapaʻau, a me ka lāʻau lapaʻau.ʻO Alexander Lozhechkin: Ma muli o ka wehewehe ʻana o IT. Ua puka mai ʻo IT mai ka cybernetics, kahi ʻepekema i hana ʻia e Norbert Wiener i ka makahiki 1948 (ʻo ka manaʻo maoli, e like me nā bores e hoʻoponopono iaʻu i kēia manawa, ua hana ʻia e Ampere, ʻo ia ʻo Volt i māhele ʻia e Ohm, ma mua iki). A ʻo ka cybernetics ka ʻepekema o ka mālama ʻana a me ka hoʻouna ʻana i ka ʻike. Ka hoʻomalu a me ka hoʻouna ʻana i ka ʻike ma nā mīkini, nā mea ola, ke kaiāulu, ma nā wahi āpau.
I kēia manawa, ʻike ka cybernetics iā ia iho ma ke ʻano o nā wafers silicon me nā hiʻohiʻona nani. ʻApōpō - ma ke ʻano o ka quantum computing a i ʻole biotechnology. A ʻo kēia, kēlā, a me ke kolu, he mau ala wale nō ia e hoʻokō ai i nā loina o ka cybernetics, e like me ke kānāwai o Ohm, ua lōʻihi ma mua o kona "ʻike ʻana." A e ola mau nō ia a e hoʻohiki ʻia. E like me ke kānāwai o Ohm.
Ma nā wahi hea kou manaʻo e uku nui ʻia nā loea IT? Space, lāʻau lapaʻau, manaʻo manaʻo, kāu koho?
Valeria Kurmak: Ua lohe au i kahi huaʻōlelo nui: "ʻOi aku ka maʻalahi o ka noʻonoʻo ʻana i ka hopena o ka honua ma mua o ka hopena o ka kapitalism." ʻO ka mea pōʻino, ʻaʻole lākou e uku i nā wahi koʻikoʻi i ke kanaka - kahi ākea a lāʻau lapaʻau paha. E uku lākou, e like me nā manawa a pau, ma nā wahi e hoʻonui kālā.
I kēia lā, nui ka poʻe akamai e hoʻolilo i ko lākou manawa ma nā hoʻolaha hoʻolaha a me nā ʻano kūʻai gamified. Ke hoʻolohe ʻoe i nā ʻaha kūkā e pili ana i ka hiki ʻana mai o nā kāne me kahi hoʻonā maikaʻi, pahū kou noʻonoʻo, no ka mea, ua pau kēia akamai i ke kūʻai aku ʻana i ka "cat litter." ʻO ka hopena, nui ka poʻe loea i kēia lā e koho i kahi kahua ʻaʻole ma ka nui, akā ma ka waiwai a ka māla a i ʻole ʻoihana e hāʻawi ai iā ia a i ʻole ke kanaka. He mea nui i nā hui e noʻonoʻo pehea e kamaʻilio ai i kā lākou poʻe limahana i ka waiwai a me ke koʻikoʻi o kā lākou hana.
Konstantin Kichinsky: No ke kākoʻo ʻana i nā ʻōnaehana waihona i hoʻoili ʻia mai ke kenekulia 21. ʻAʻole maopopo iaʻu he aha ka mea like o COBOL i 100 mau makahiki.
Andrey Breslav: Hiki paha i ka 100 makahiki e uku ʻia nā loea IT a pau e like me ka like, no ka mea, e hana ʻia nā hana maʻalahi a pau ka hana paʻakikī maoli. No laila e uku nui nā kānaka ma kahi a lākou i makemake ʻole ai e hana. Malia paha ma kahi o ka ʻōnaehana o ka hana ʻino o ka mokuʻāina (nā mākaʻi a i ʻole ka mea like).Alexander Andronov: I loko o hoʻokahi haneli makahiki, ma ka lāʻau lapaʻau paha. ʻOiai, ʻoiaʻiʻo, manaʻo wau e uku like lākou ma nā wahi āpau. ʻAʻole lawa ka ʻokoʻa e noʻonoʻo ʻia. ʻO Grigory Petrov: E uku nui lakou ma ka mahele nui loa, kahi e pono ai na koina kiekie. Manaʻo wau e hana mau ana ia i ka hana noi a me ka automation. ʻOiai ʻo ka hoʻoponopono ʻana i nā pilikia maʻalahi, e hoʻoponopono i nā pilikia paʻakikī e pono ai ʻoe i nā loea, nui nā loea. A ʻo nā hana paʻakikī loa e koi aku i nā loea kūpono loa, e uku nui ʻia.ʻO Ivan Yamshchikov: Me he mea lā ʻaʻole nui nā ʻokoʻa mai ka ʻoihana a i ka ʻoihana. ʻO ka ʻokoʻa paha ka mana o ka ʻike kanaka. Inā hana ia mau ʻōnaehana, a i ka manawa like ua loaʻa i kekahi ke mana piha ma luna o lākou, a laila e hoʻohuli mua lākou i kā lākou luna.ʻO Alexander Lozhechkin: 100 makahiki ma hope? ʻO ke kumukūʻai, me ke kumukūʻai o ka hana, ua hoʻoholo ʻia e ke koena o ka lako a me ka noi. Ma muli o ka hana nui ʻana o nā ʻāpana silika, ua ʻike koke ka poʻe loea IT iā lākou iho i ka makemake nui i ka mākeke. Manaʻo lākou no ko lākou akamai loa. Malia paha. Akā he hapa wale nō. ʻO kaʻoiaʻiʻo, no ka mea he kakaikahi o lākou, akā nui aku ka mea e pono ai.
I ka wā kahiko, ʻo ka helu o nā lio i hiki ke lawe i nā ukana. (ʻOiaʻiʻo, ʻaʻole kēia ka mea i kaupalena ʻia, akā ʻo ka nui o ka manure i hana ʻia e nā lio e pono e lawe ʻia i waho - he pōʻai ʻino. Ma ke ala, aia kekahi mea like i kēia manawa me ka poʻe IT: hana nui lākou. .. hmm... ʻaʻole maikaʻi loa ka polokalamu , ʻoi aku ka nui o nā poʻe IT e pono ai e hoʻokō). A laila, ua haku ʻia ke kaʻa i mea e pane ai i ka ulu ʻana o ka pono no ka lawe ʻana.
ʻO nā koi i hoʻokō ʻole ʻia ma hope a ma hope paha e alakaʻi i ka mea i manaʻo ʻole ʻia e kekahi. Ma ke ala like, manaʻo wau ʻo StackOverflow-coders, hiki iā lākou ke ʻimi a kope i ka ʻāpana code i makemake ʻia mai ka Pūnaewele, ʻaʻole ia e pono. Akā ʻo ka poʻe i hiki ke hana i kahi mea i loaʻa ʻole e koi mau ʻia a ma nā wahi āpau.
Andrey Sebrant: Manaʻo wau ʻo nā wahi e uku nui ʻia ka poʻe e ulu ana mai nā bioinformatics o kēia lā. ʻAʻole mākou i ʻike i ko lākou ʻano a me nā inoa, ʻoiaʻiʻo.
Ma ka makahiki hea ʻoe e manaʻo ai e akamai nā robots e "hoʻokuʻu ponoʻī i nā ʻāpana mai iā lākou iho e pale aku iā lākou mai ka pepehi kanaka"?
Andrey Konyaev: ʻO ka mea nui loa, ʻaʻole lilo nā robots o ka wā e hiki mai ana i ka lako, akā e lilo i lako polokalamu a me nā ʻenehana. ʻO kekahi mea e like me nā papahana ma ka kiʻiʻoniʻoni "The Matrix", maʻalahi wale nō a ʻaʻohe avatar kanaka.
No ka hopena o ke ao nei, ʻaʻole pono e pepehi kanaka. E lawa ka hoʻonohonoho ʻana i ka hāʻule ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai, ka hemahema o ka kamaʻilio honua a i ʻole kekahi mea like.Valeria Kurmak: ʻO ka ʻokoʻa ma waena o "The Terminator" a me ka kiʻiʻoniʻoni "Her" ʻo ia ka mea i nā robots mua makemake e lanakila i nā kānaka, a i ka lua e ʻike lākou i ke kanaka he mea nāwaliwali a emi ʻole ka ulu ʻana, a waiho wale ia no ka nui o ka Pūnaewele. . ʻAe, he mea ʻē ka makemake e pepehi i ka ʻanuʻu. Manaʻo wau e loaʻa kahi moʻolelo ʻekolu. E lilo ke kanaka i mea hoʻohuihui me ke ola i loko o ʻelua mau ʻoiaʻiʻo: ka loaʻa ʻana o kahi chip e hiki ai iā mākou ke hoʻonui i nā helu 30-helu me nā helu 50-helu i ka wikiwiki like me ka lolouila, akā e loaʻa iā mākou ko mākou lolo, e hoʻomau ʻia. liliuewe.Konstantin Kichinsky: ʻAʻole wau e manaʻo e loaʻa iā lākou kēlā mau ʻāpana. ʻO koʻu manaʻo, ʻaʻole mākou i ʻike pehea e wehewehe pololei ai i ka 100% i kahi robot e "ʻoi aʻe a pepehi ʻoe i ke kanaka, mai hana ʻoe." Ma keia manao, aole e pani pani. E pepehi wale nā lopako i nā kānaka i kekahi manawa ma ke ʻano pōʻino a i ʻole ma ke ʻano papahana. Ke kānalua nei au e hōʻole ka pūʻali koa i kēlā hoʻowalewale.Andrey Breslav: Aia kekahi ala maʻalahi loa e pale aku ai i ke ala ʻana o nā mīkini: i ka wā e lilo ai nā mīkini i mea akamai, hiki i nā kānaka a pau ke hoʻololi i ko lākou kino ola me nā mea i hana ʻia e ke kanaka a lilo pū kekahi i mau mīkini. Ma hope o kēia, e nalowale ka manaʻo o ka hakakā ma waena o ke kanaka a me nā robots.Alexander Andronov: Inā makemake nā robots e hoʻopau i ke kanaka, ʻaʻole lākou e hana me ko lākou mau lima ponoʻī. E hoʻokuke wale lākou iā mākou i ke kaua a me ka luku. Ma ke ao holoʻokoʻa, hoʻokō maikaʻi ke kanaka ponoʻī me kāna luku ponoʻī, auwe.ʻO Grigory Petrov: Auwe, ʻaʻohe "kūʻokoʻa". Aia kekahi i aʻo ʻia. Ke aʻo pololei nei kekahi iā lākou i kēia. ʻO ia hoʻi, i loko o nā makahiki he 50 e hiki mai ana e ola mau mākou a ... ʻaʻole mākou e weliweli. Ua kūleʻa ka poʻe i kēia hana no nā kaukani makahiki; ʻaʻole hiki i ka naʻauao hana ke hoʻokūkū me kā mākou ʻano olaola i ka luku ʻana i kona ʻano ponoʻī.ʻO Ivan Yamshchikov: Ke mamao loa aku nei kakou mai ka naauao hana, a he hana mahalo ole na wanana ma ke kahua o ka holomua o ka epekema. I kēia mau lā, nui ka poʻe e aʻo ikaika nei i nā pilikia ma ka intersection o ka palekana, ethics a me ka naʻauao. ʻO ka hapa nui o nā nīnau ma ke ʻano o ka manaʻo noʻonoʻo, ʻoiai ʻaʻohe ʻike o ka naʻauao "ikaika" i loaʻa i kāna ʻano hoʻonohonoho pahuhopu.ʻO Alexander Lozhechkin: Manaʻo ʻoe e hoʻomalu mākou i nā algorithm a mākou e hana ai? A i ʻole e hoʻomaopopo i ke ʻano o kā lākou hana? Me ka hoʻolaha nui ʻana o nā algorithms non-deterministic o ka mea i kapa ʻia ʻo "Machine Learning", ʻaʻole kēia ka hihia. No laila, manaʻo wau ʻo ka pane pololei i kēia nīnau "ʻaʻole mākou ʻike" a ʻaʻole paha mākou e ʻike.
Akā ma ka laulā, e ola anei ke kanaka a hiki i 2120?
Andrey Konyaev: E ola ana e ike i kahi e hele ai.
Andrey Sebrant: ʻOiaʻiʻo :) Akā, manaʻo wau he aha ke ʻano o ia mea a ʻo wai ka mea e komo ai.
Konstantin Kichinsky: ʻAe, aia nā manawa. 'Ōlelo lākou uaʻikeʻo Elon Musk i kekahi mea, ke kūkuluʻana i nā pōhaku, kaʻeliʻana i nā tunnels, ka hoʻomohalaʻana i ka ikehu hou.
Andrey Breslav: Inā ʻaʻole ia e ola, ʻaʻole paha ma muli o nā robots. ʻO ka mea nui paha, e hoʻololi nui ʻia kekahi mea ma ke kahua aniau, a i ʻole e hana kekahi o ka poʻe i kahi mea lapuwale a hoʻohana i kekahi mea kaua luku loa. Akā, aia ka manaʻolana inā ʻaʻole i hana ʻia kēia i ka makahiki 100, hiki iā mākou ke paʻa no XNUMX mau makahiki hou.
Alexander Andronov: ʻAʻole nui ka haneli makahiki. ʻOiaʻiʻo e ola mākou.
Georgy Petrov: Ke lana nei ko'u manao e ola ke kanaka, a e ola au. ʻO ka hoʻomohala ʻana i ka lāʻau lapaʻau nā mea āpau iā mākou.
ʻO Ivan Yamshchikov: "ʻAʻole au i ʻike i nā mea kaua e hoʻouka ʻia ai ke kaua honua ʻekolu, akā ʻo ka hā o ke kaua honua e hakakā ʻia me nā lāʻau a me nā pōhaku." ʻO ka pale ʻana i nā pōʻino e alakaʻi ai i ka make o ke kanaka ʻo kā mākou kuleana maʻamau. Manaʻolana nui wau e hiki iā mākou ke mālama.
Valeria Kurmak: Inā mākou e kamaʻilio e pili ana i ka makaʻu i nā kaua, a laila, e like me kaʻu i ʻōlelo mua ai, i kēia lā ke aupuni kapitalisme, a ʻo nā kaua ma ke ʻano maʻamau ʻaʻole pono ia. ʻO ia ke kumu o nā kaua a mākou e ʻike nei i kēia mau lā he waiwai. Manaʻo wau me ka ʻepekema hou, ʻaʻole wale ke kanaka, akā ʻo wau a me koʻu poʻe o ka wā i loaʻa ka manawa e ola ai a hiki i 2120. Ke manaʻoʻiʻo nei au aia kahi manawa kūpono loa o kēia hana.
ʻO Alexander Lozhechkin: Me nā nīnau paʻakikī, kōkua pinepine ka pane i ka wehewehe pololei. He aha ka "kanaka"? He kaiāulu anei kēia o nā mea ola protein o ka ʻano Homo Sapiens ma ka honua honua?
Manaʻo wau e ola ia ma kekahi ʻano a i ʻole kekahi. Akā, ʻo ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻaʻole ia he mea nui iaʻu, no ka mea, ua lōʻihi ko mākou ola ʻana a me ka ulu ʻana, ʻaʻole i ke ʻano o nā mea protein, akā i ke ʻano o nā manaʻo intangible. A ma kēia ʻano, ʻaʻohe oʻu kanalua e ola kākou. ʻOiai inā hikiwawe, ʻoiai nā hoʻoikaika ʻana a ka poʻe eco-activists, pahū ka Lā - ma hope o nā mea a pau, ʻo Voyager, me nā hoʻokō o ka manaʻo kanaka, ʻaʻole i lōʻihi loa i lele mai ka ʻōnaehana solar.
E nā hoaaloha, ka poʻe i heluhelu a hiki i ka hopena, manaʻolana mākou ua hauʻoli ʻoe i kā mākou nīnauele. Ua hoʻopaʻa pū mākou i kahi hōʻike no ka leʻaleʻa
Source: www.habr.com