ʻO ka mākeke Lūkini o nā lawelawe kapuaʻi ma nā huaʻōlelo kālā ʻaʻole hiki ke noho i hoʻokahi pakeneka o ka nui o nā loaʻa kālā ma ka honua. Eia naʻe, i kēlā me kēia manawa aia nā mea pāʻani honua e haʻi i ko lākou makemake e hoʻokūkū no kahi wahi ma lalo o ka lā Lūkini. He aha ka mea e kali ai ma 2019? Ma lalo o ke oki, ka manaʻo o Konstantin Anisimov, Luna Nui .
I ka makahiki 2019, ua hoʻolaha ka hui Dutch ʻo Leaseweb i kona manaʻo e hoʻolako i nā lawelawe o nā ao ākea a pilikino, nā kikowaena i hoʻolaʻa ʻia, collocation, content delivery networks (CDN) a me ka palekana ʻike ma Russia. A ʻo kēia ʻoiai ka hiki ʻana mai o nā mea pāʻani honua nui loa (Alibaba, Huawei a me IBM).
Ma 2018, ua ulu ka mākeke lawelawe kapuaʻi Lūkini e 25% i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me 2017 a hiki i RUB 68,4 biliona. ʻO ka nui o ka mākeke IaaS ("infrastructure as a service"), e like me nā kumu like ʻole, mai 12 a 16 billion rubles. I ka makahiki 2019, aia paha nā helu ma ka pae o 15 a 20 biliona rubles. Hāʻawi ʻia ka nui o ka mākeke IaaS honua ma 2018 ma kahi o $ 30 biliona. ʻO kēia mau mea, kokoke i ka hapalua o ka loaʻa kālā mai Amazon. Aia kekahi 25% e nā mea pāʻani nui loa o ka honua (Google, Microsoft, IBM a me Alibaba). ʻO ke koena o ke koena e helu ʻia e nā mea pāʻani kūʻokoʻa honua.
Hoʻomaka ka wā e hiki mai ana i kēia lā
Pehea ka hoʻohiki ʻana o ke ao ʻana i nā ʻoiaʻiʻo ʻo Rūsia, a pehea e hiki ai i ka state protectionism ke kōkua a pale paha iā ia? No ka laʻana, hiki iā ʻoe ke koi aku i nā hui aupuni e haʻalele loa i nā hāmeʻa lako polokalamu i lawe ʻia mai. Ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, e keʻakeʻa ia mau palena i ka hoʻokūkū a hoʻokomo i nā ʻoihana aupuni i nā kūlana kūlike ʻole me nā hale kalepa. I kēia lā, ʻoi loa i ka fintech, hoʻokūkū lākou ma ka pae o ka ʻenehana. A inā, no ka laʻana, pono e koho nā panakō aupuni ʻaʻole i nā ʻenehana ʻenehana maikaʻi loa, akā ʻo ka poʻe wale nō i loaʻa kahi ʻae noho Lūkini, ʻo kēlā me kēia panakō kālepa hoʻokūkū wale nō e paʻipaʻi i ko lākou mau lima a nānā i ka lanakila ʻana o ka mākeke ma kāna iho. .
Ma ka uku ʻO ka mākeke Lūkini o nā lawelawe kapuaʻi i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana e ulu ma ka awelika o 23% i kēlā me kēia makahiki a ma ka hopena o 2022 hiki i 155 billion rubles. Eia kekahi, ʻaʻole mākou e lawe wale mai, akā e lawe aku i nā lawelawe kapuaʻi. ʻO ka māhele o nā mea kūʻai aku o nā haole i ka loaʻa kālā o nā mea hoʻolako kapuaʻi home he 5,1%, a i ʻole 2,4 biliona rubles, ma ka māhele SaaS. Loaʻa i ka Infrastructure ma ke ʻano he ʻāpana Service (IaaS, nā kikowaena, ka mālama ʻana i ka ʻikepili, nā pūnaewele, nā ʻōnaehana hana i ke ao e hoʻohana ai nā mea kūʻai aku e kau a holo i kā lākou mau polokalamu ponoʻī) helu ʻia nā mea kūʻai aku i ka 2,2% i ka makahiki i hala, a i ʻole 380 miliona rubles.
ʻOiaʻiʻo, loaʻa iā mākou ʻelua mau manaʻo multidirectional no ka hoʻomohala ʻana i ka mākeke Lūkini o nā lawelawe kapuaʻi. Ma kekahi ʻaoʻao, isolationism a me ke kulekele o ka hoʻokomo piha ʻana i nā lawelawe o waho, a ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, kahi mākeke ākea a me nā makemake e lanakila ai i ka honua. ʻO wai o nā hoʻolālā ma Rūsia ka manaʻo nui loa? ʻAʻole wau makemake e noʻonoʻo ʻo ka mua wale nō.
He aha nā manaʻo hoʻopaʻapaʻa a ka poʻe kākoʻo i nā "pa uila" paʻa? Ka palekana aupuni, ka pale ʻana i ka mākeke kūloko mai ka hoʻonui honua a me ke kākoʻo no nā mea pāʻani kūloko. Loaʻa i kēlā me kēia kanaka kahi laʻana o Kina me Alibaba Cloud. Ke hoʻoikaika nui nei ka mokuʻāina e hōʻoia i ka noho ʻana o nā kāne kūloko i ka hoʻokūkū ma ko lākou ʻāina.
Eia naʻe, ʻaʻole i kaupalena ʻia nā ʻoihana Kina i nā makemake kūloko, a hōʻike kā lākou ʻike ʻo ia ka hoʻolālā maikaʻi loa. I kēia lā, ʻo ke ao Alibaba ke kolu o ka honua. Eia kekahi, ua piha nā Kina i nā manaʻo e hoʻopau iā Amazon a me Microsoft. ʻOiaʻiʻo, ke ʻike nei mākou i ka puka ʻana mai o ka ʻEkolu Kapua Nui.
ʻO Rusia i nā ao
He aha nā manawa kūpono no Rūsia e hōʻike koʻikoʻi a mau loa ma ka palapala honua ao? Nui nā mea hoʻolālā akamai a me nā hui ma ka ʻāina e hiki ke hāʻawi i kahi huahana hoʻokūkū. I kēia mau lā, ua hui pū nā mea pāʻani hou me nā manaʻo koʻikoʻi, e like me Rostelecom, Yandex a me Mail.ru, ka poʻe i loaʻa i ka ʻenehana ʻenehana maikaʻi, i ka heihei "cloud". Eia kekahi, manaʻo wau he kaua maoli, ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻaʻole ma waena o nā ao e like me ia, akā ma waena o nā kaiaola. A eia, ʻaʻole nui nā lawelawe IaaS maʻamau e hele mai i mua, akā nā hanauna hou o nā lawelawe kapua - microservices, edge computing and serverless. Ma hope o nā mea a pau, ua lilo ka lawelawe IaaS maʻamau i "kūʻai" a he nui wale nā lawelawe kapuaʻi e ʻae iā ʻoe e hoʻopaʻa paʻa i ka mea hoʻohana iā ʻoe iho. A ʻo ke kahua o kēia kaua e hiki mai ana, ʻo ia ka Pūnaewele o nā mea, nā kūlanakauhale akamai a me ke akamai, a i ka wā e hiki mai ana i nā kaʻa ʻole.
He aha nā pōmaikaʻi hoʻokūkū e hiki ai i nā hui Lūkini ke hāʻawi a loaʻa iā lākou ka wā e hiki mai ana? Ke noʻonoʻo nei ʻo ka mākeke Lūkini kekahi o nā mea liʻiliʻi ma ka honua i haʻalele ʻole ma lalo o ke kaomi ʻana o Google a me Amazon, a laila manaʻo wau aia nā manawa. Malia paha kekahi o nā kumukūʻai maikaʻi loa / maikaʻi o kā mākou hoʻonaʻauao ma ka honua, ko mākou pili kokoke i ka moʻomeheu Western, ka ʻike i hōʻiliʻili ʻia o ka hana ʻana i ka ʻoihana, me ka honua (ma hope o nā mea āpau, 30 mau makahiki i hala aku nei ʻaʻohe ʻike ma ke kumu), ka ʻike e puka mai ana. i ka hana ʻana i nā huahana IT papa honua (AmoCRM, Bitrix24, Veeam, Acronis, Dodo, Tinkoff, Cognitive - ʻaʻole liʻiliʻi o lākou) - ʻo kēia nā mea maikaʻi e hiki ke kōkua iā mākou i ka hoʻokūkū honua. A ʻo ka ʻaelike hou ma waena o Yandex a me Hyundai Motors e pili ana i ka hui ʻana ma ke kahua o nā kaʻa unmanned wale nō e hoʻohui i ka hilinaʻi e hiki a pono i nā hui Lūkini ke hakakā no kahi ʻāpana koʻikoʻi o ke ao honua.
ʻO ke kūlana me ka "landing" o nā lawelawe IT honua e like me nā koi o ke kānāwai aupuni e pāʻani pū ana i nā lima o nā hui Lūkini. ʻAʻole ʻoliʻoli loa nā aupuni aupuni i ka noho aliʻi ʻana o nā lawelawe ʻAmelika ma ko lākou mau panalāʻau, a ʻo ka moʻolelo o ka makahiki i hala he $5 biliona hoʻopaʻi kūʻē iā Google ma ʻEulopa he hōʻoia maopopo loa o kēia. ʻO ka European GDPR a i ʻole ka Russian "Personal Data Storage Law", no ka laʻana, loaʻa i kēia manawa nā koi kūpono no kahi e mālama ʻia ai ka ʻikepili mea hoʻohana. A ʻo ia hoʻi, loaʻa i nā lawelawe kūloko kekahi mau makemake a hiki i nā mea pāʻani liʻiliʻi ke hoʻokūkū me nā hui honua ma muli o ko lākou maʻalahi, hiki ke hoʻopili, hoʻololi a me ka wikiwiki. ʻO ka mea nui, ʻo ka hoʻonohonoho ʻana iā mākou iho i kēlā mau hana, e loaʻa i nā manaʻo ʻaʻole wale e "pale" pau ʻole i ka hoʻokūkū honua, akā e komo pū me mākou iho.
He aha kaʻu e manaʻo ai mai ka mākeke lawelawe kapuaʻi ma Rūsia a me ʻEulopa i 2019?
ʻO ka mea nui a me ka mea nui e hoʻomau mākou i ka hoʻohui ʻana i ka mākeke. A mai kēia ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻelua mau hiʻohiʻona e hahai.
ʻO ka mea mua, ʻenehana. ʻO ka hoʻohui ʻana e ʻae i nā mea pāʻani alakaʻi e nānā hou aku i ka hoʻomohala ʻana a me ka hoʻokō ʻana i nā ʻenehana hou i nā ao. Ma keʻano kūikawā, pili kaʻu hui i ka hoʻomohala ʻana i nā ʻenehana kikowaena serverless (serverless) a ʻike wau i ka makahiki 2019 e ʻike mākou i ka nui o ia mau papahana ma nā mākeke like ʻole. ʻO ka monopoly o nā Amazon nui ʻekolu, Google a me Microsoft i ka hoʻolako ʻana i nā lawelawe ʻikepili serverless e hoʻomaka e hāʻule a, manaʻo wau e komo pū nā mea pāʻani Lūkini i kēia.
ʻO ka lua, a ʻoi aku paha ka mea nui, hoʻonohonoho ka consolidation i kahi papa akaka no ka mea kūʻai aku, no ka mea, maikaʻi loa nā alakaʻi mākeke ma ia mea, a inā makemake ʻoe e noho ma ka mākeke, pono ʻoe e hahai i kāna mau ʻano. ʻAʻole pono ka mea kūʻai aku i kēia manawa i nā lawelawe kapuaʻi holomua ʻenehana, akā i ka maikaʻi o kēia mau lawelawe. No laila, ʻo nā papahana e hoʻokele e loaʻa kahi kaulike ma waena o kā lākou loaʻa kālā a me nā makemake hohonu o ka mea kūʻai aku i kēlā me kēia manawa e holomua. ʻO ka hoʻohālikelike ʻana i ka huahana, ka maʻalahi a me ka maʻalahi ke pāʻani nei i kahi kuleana nui. Makemake nā mea hoʻohana Cloud e hoʻomaopopo i ka hopena o ka lawelawe i kā lākou ʻoihana, no ke aha lākou e hana ai, a pehea e hoʻolilo ai i ka manawa liʻiliʻi a me ke kālā ma ia mea. Hiki ke paʻakikī loa ka pā hale o kāu huahana, akā pono ka hoʻohana ʻana e like me ka maʻalahi a me ka noʻonoʻo. Eia kekahi, hele kēia ʻano i nā lawelawe ʻoihana "kaumaha", kahi i noho aliʻi lōʻihi ai ʻo VMWare a me nā poʻe kuʻuna ʻē aʻe. I kēia manawa pono lākou e hoʻokaʻawale. A maikaʻi kēia no ka ʻoihana, a ʻo ka mea nui loa, no nā mea kūʻai aku.
Source: www.habr.com