{"id":36210,"date":"2019-10-31T22:10:17","date_gmt":"2019-10-31T19:10:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/blog\/kak-kupit-aviabilet-maksimalno-deshevo-ili-udarim-monitoringom-po-dinamicheskomu-tsenoobrazovaniyu\/"},"modified":"2019-10-31T22:10:17","modified_gmt":"2019-10-31T19:10:17","slug":"kak-kupit-aviabilet-maksimalno-deshevo-ili-udarim-monitoringom-po-dinamicheskomu-tsenoobrazovaniyu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/hr\/blog\/news\/kak-kupit-aviabilet-maksimalno-deshevo-ili-udarim-monitoringom-po-dinamicheskomu-tsenoobrazovaniyu","title":{"rendered":"Kako kupiti avionsku kartu maksimalno jeftino ili udarimo monitoriranjem dinami\u010dkog formiranja cijena","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Kako kupiti avionsku kartu maksimalno jeftino ili udarimo monitoriranjem dinami\u010dkog formiranja cijena\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/3b73c95f29fd8474ca3035cda52c692a.jpeg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/><br \/>\n<br \/>\nKako najisplativije kupiti avionsku kartu?<\/p>\n<p>Svaki malo napredniji korisnik interneta zna za opcije kao \u0161to su<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>kupovati unaprijed<\/li>\n<li>tra\u017eiti rute s presjedanjem<\/li>\n<li><noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.skyscanner.com\/tips-and-inspiration\/hidden-city-ticketing\">hidden-city ticketing<\/a><\/noindex><\/li>\n<li>pratiti \u010darter letove<\/li>\n<li>pretra\u017eivati u incognito na\u010dinu preglednika<\/li>\n<li>koristiti milje zrakoplovnih kompanija, razne bonuse i promo kodove<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\nPotpun popis lifehackova <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/journal.tinkoff.ru\/cheap-flights\/\">neki put sam to radio<\/a><\/noindex> Tinkoff-\u017durnal, ne\u0107u se ponavljati<\/p>\n<p>A sada odgovorite na pitanje \u2014 koliko \u010desto ste se na\u0161li u situacijama kada ste kupili avionsku kartu, a onda je ona postala jeftinija?<br \/>\n<noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" name=\"habracut\"><\/a><\/noindex><br \/>\nJa sam se na\u0161ao i bilo je pomalo \u017ealosno. To se naj\u010de\u0161\u0107e doga\u0111a tijekom ljetne sezone zbog ne\u010dega \u0161to se naziva dinami\u010dko odre\u0111ivanje cijena. <\/p>\n<p>Evo stvarne grafikon promjene cijene za dana\u0161nji let A4 203 Rostov na Donu \u2014 Sankt Peterburg zrakoplovne kompanije \"Azimut\". Na X osi \u2014 sati do polijetanja, a na Y osi \u2014 cijena karte.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Kako kupiti avionsku kartu maksimalno jeftino ili udarimo monitoriranjem dinami\u010dkog formiranja cijena\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/009412486cc73651f1bef7bb0ae78a86.jpeg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/><br \/>\n<br \/>\nNa grafikonu se vidi da se 20 sati prije polijetanja avionska karta mo\u017ee kupiti po minimalnoj mogu\u0107oj cijeni \u2014 4090 RUB. Dok za 72 sata karta ko\u0161ta vi\u0161e od dvostruko vi\u0161e \u2014 9390 RUB. Grafikon je dobiven jednostavnim parsiranjem svakih 15 minuta, unosom rezultata u bazu i vizualizacijom podataka pomo\u0107u Chart.js. Onima koji su zainteresirani \u2014 evo <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/az.cheaptrip.icu\/openapi\">dokaza.<\/a><\/noindex> Trenutno ovdje imamo podatke samo o letovima izme\u0111u Rostova i Peterburga, ali nije problem dodati i druge gradove u mre\u017ei ruta.<\/p>\n<p>Takve fluktuacije cijena, koliko razumijem, uzrokovane su time \u0161to algoritam dinami\u010dkog odre\u0111ivanja cijena na temelju dinamike prodaje osje\u0107a da svi karte ne\u0107e biti prodane i smanjuje cijenu, vode\u0107i se logikom 'bolje prodati preostale karte malo jeftinije nego ostaviti prazna mjesta'. Drugim rije\u010dima, <b>\u0161to je ve\u0107a potra\u017enja i manje mjesta, to je vi\u0161a cijena karata.<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>Analiza 84 leta izme\u0111u Rostova i Peterburga dala je ovakvu sliku (na X osi \u2014 dani do polijetanja, a na Y osi \u2014 cijena karte)<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Kako kupiti avionsku kartu maksimalno jeftino ili udarimo monitoriranjem dinami\u010dkog formiranja cijena\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/26a581100d3b37d3da73f9c23448b52a.jpeg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/><br \/>\n<br \/>\nIz nje vidimo da je zaista najbolja strategija \u0161tednje \u2014 kupovati karte unaprijed (po\u010dinjaju\u0107i od 80 dana prije putovanja cijena po\u010dinje rasti). Me\u0111utim, tako\u0111er vidimo da ako do putovanja ostane recimo 30 dana, najbolje je ne \u017euriti i malo pri\u010dekati \u2014 postoji vjerojatnost da \u0107e cijena pasti s 9100 rubalja na 6100 i da \u0107ete u\u0161tedjeti 3000 rubalja. A uzimaju\u0107i u obzir informacije iz gornjeg primjera, postoji vjerojatnost da za 20 sati prije polijetanja cijena mo\u017ee ponovno biti minimalno mogu\u0107a.<\/p>\n<p>U vezi s navedenim, imam sljede\u0107e <b>pitanja za Habr zajednicu<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>1) Pitanja za one koji rade u industriji<\/b>. <br \/>\nJesmo li primijetili sli\u010dnu dinamiku cijena kod drugih avio kompanija ili je to samo slu\u010daj avio kompanije Azimut? <br \/>\nKoji faktori utje\u010du na formiranje cijena uop\u0107e? Broj dana do polaska, dan u tjednu (praznici ili \u0161kolski raspusti), godi\u0161nje doba, doba dana, \u0161to jo\u0161?<\/p>\n<p><b>2) Pitanja za predstavnike agenata<\/b> (Aviasales, Skyscanner, OneTwoTrip, Yandex.Avi tickets, Tinkoff.Travel i drugi). <br \/>\nPrikupljate li podatke o dinamici cijena? Ako da, \u0161to je potrebno da biste dobili pristup tim podacima? Postoje li ve\u0107 neki partnerski API, ako ne, mo\u017eete li izvesti podatke iz baze?<\/p>\n<p><b>3) Pitanje za sve koji lete<\/b>.<br \/>\nKoje usluge obavijesti o jeftinim zrakoplovnim kartama za \u017eeljenu destinaciju koristite? Da li vam je potrebna usluga predikcije pada cijene za \u017eeljenu destinaciju u odabranom vremenskom razdoblju?<\/p>\n<p>Osobno koristim pretplatu Aviasales koja izgleda ovako:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Kako kupiti avionsku kartu maksimalno jeftino ili udarimo monitoriranjem dinami\u010dkog formiranja cijena\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/31985bd02c095f4de033c9675a4e916c.jpeg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/><br \/>\n<br \/>\nIma dva zna\u010dajna nedostatka:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Niska brzina. Obavijesti mogu stizati samo na email. Osobno rijetko provjeravam e-po\u0161tu, vi\u0161e bih volio Telegram-bota. <\/li>\n<li>Nema predikcije. Prije nego se pretplatim, volio bih vidjeti koja je vjerojatnost da \u0107e cijena pasti s obzirom na podatke iz pro\u0161lih razdoblja.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>\nOsim toga, emailovi dolaze nevjerojatno lo\u0161i. Sada se \u010dini da pretplata Aviasales uop\u0107e ne radi \u2014 veza za potvrdu nove pretplate ne dolazi.<\/p>\n<p>Postoje tako\u0111er pretplate Yandex.Avi tickets i tutu.ru, ali koliko razumijem, omogu\u0107uju pra\u0107enje promjena cijena samo za odre\u0111eni datum. <\/p>\n<p>Osim toga, potpuno je nejasno koliko \u010desto svi ti servisi provjeravaju cijene \u2014 jednom u minuti, satu, danu?<\/p>\n<p>P.S.: Informacije su, usput, relevantne ne samo za avio kompanije, ve\u0107 i za putovanja vlakom. Na web stranici R\u017dD postoji <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/pass.rzd.ru\/static\/public\/ru?STRUCTURE_ID=5227\">\u010dlanak o dinami\u010dkom oblikovanju cijena<\/a><\/noindex>.<\/p>\n<p>P.P.S.: \u0160to jo\u0161 mo\u017eemo pro\u010ditati o ovoj temi<br \/>\n<noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/habr.com\/ru\/company\/iqplanner\/blog\/297540\/\">https:\/\/habr.com\/ru\/company\/iqplanner\/blog\/297540\/<\/a><\/noindex><br \/>\n<noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/habr.com\/ru\/company\/friifond\/blog\/291032\/\">https:\/\/habr.com\/ru\/company\/friifond\/blog\/291032\/<\/a><\/noindex><br \/>\n<br \/>Izvor: <a content=\"nofollow\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/habr.com\/ru\/post\/460213\/\">habr.com<\/a><\/p>","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u041a\u0430\u043a \u043c\u0430\u043a\u0441\u0438\u043c\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e \u0432\u044b\u0433\u043e\u0434\u043d\u043e \u043a\u0443\u043f\u0438\u0442\u044c \u0430\u0432\u0438\u0430\u0431\u0438\u043b\u0435\u0442? \u041b\u044e\u0431\u043e\u0439 \u0431\u043e\u043b\u0435\u0435-\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0435\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0434\u0432\u0438\u043d\u0443\u0442\u044b\u0439 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c \u0421\u0435\u0442\u0438 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0435\u0442 \u0442\u0430\u043a\u0438\u0435 \u0432\u0430\u0440\u0438\u0430\u043d\u0442\u044b \u043a\u0430\u043a \u043f\u043e\u043a\u0443\u043f\u0430\u0442\u044c \u0437\u0430\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0435\u0435 \u0438\u0441\u043a\u0430\u0442\u044c \u043c\u0430\u0440\u0448\u0440\u0443\u0442\u044b \u0441 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0430\u0434\u043a\u043e\u0439 hidden-city ticketing \u043c\u043e\u043d\u0438\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0442\u044c \u0447\u0430\u0440\u0442\u0435\u0440\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0440\u0435\u0439\u0441\u044b \u0438\u0441\u043a\u0430\u0442\u044c \u0432 \u0440\u0435\u0436\u0438\u043c\u0435 \u0438\u043d\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043d\u0438\u0442\u043e \u0431\u0440\u0430\u0443\u0437\u0435\u0440\u0430 \u0438\u0441\u043f\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u043c\u0438\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u043a\u0430\u0440\u0442\u044b \u0430\u0432\u0438\u0430\u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0439, \u0432\u0441\u044f\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0435 \u0431\u043e\u043d\u0443\u0441\u044b \u0438 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u043e-\u043a\u043e\u0434\u044b \u041f\u043e\u043b\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0441\u043f\u0438\u0441\u043e\u043a \u043b\u0430\u0439\u0444\u0445\u0430\u043a\u043e\u0432 \u043a\u0430\u043a-\u0442\u043e \u0434\u0435\u043b\u0430\u043b \u0422\u0438\u043d\u044c\u043a\u043e\u0444\u0444-\u0416\u0443\u0440\u043d\u0430\u043b, \u043d\u0435 \u0431\u0443\u0434\u0443 \u043f\u043e\u0432\u0442\u043e\u0440\u044f\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0410 \u0442\u0435\u043f\u0435\u0440\u044c \u043e\u0442\u0432\u0435\u0442\u044c\u0442\u0435 \u043d\u0430 \u0432\u043e\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0441 \u2014 \u043a\u0430\u043a \u0447\u0430\u0441\u0442\u043e [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":1,"featured_media":27087,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[702],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.4 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Yuri Gagarin\"\/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/hr\/blog\/news\/kak-kupit-aviabilet-maksimalno-deshevo-ili-udarim-monitoringom-po-dinamicheskomu-tsenoobrazovaniyu\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO (AIOSEO) 5.0.4\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" 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