{"id":117044,"date":"2024-07-07T03:44:29","date_gmt":"2024-07-07T01:44:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/blog\/novosti-interneta\/ii-eto-puzyr-chtoby-okupit-vlozheniya-ii-industrii-nuzhno-nauchitsya-zarabatyvat-na-poryadki-bolshe"},"modified":"2024-07-07T03:44:29","modified_gmt":"2024-07-07T01:44:29","slug":"ii-eto-puzyr-chtoby-okupit-vlozheniya-ii-industrii-nuzhno-nauchitsya-zarabatyvat-na-poryadki-bolshe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/hu\/blog\/news\/ii-eto-puzyr-chtoby-okupit-vlozheniya-ii-industrii-nuzhno-nauchitsya-zarabatyvat-na-poryadki-bolshe","title":{"rendered":"AI is a bubble: to recoup investments, the AI industry needs to learn to earn significantly more.","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A technol\u00f3giai \u00f3ri\u00e1sok jelent\u0151s befektet\u00e9sei az AI infrastrukt\u00far\u00e1ba m\u00e9g nem t\u00fckr\u00f6z\u0151dnek e ter\u00fclet bev\u00e9teleinek n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9ben, jegyzi meg az forr\u00e1s. <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tomshardware.com\/tech-industry\/artificial-intelligence\/ai-industry-needs-to-earn-dollar600-billion-per-year-to-pay-for-massive-hardware-spend-fears-of-an-ai-bubble-intensify-in-wake-of-sequoia-report\" target=\"_blank\">Tom Hardver<\/a><\/noindex>. David Cahn, a Sequoia Capital elemz\u0151je szerint az AI ipar c\u00e9geinek \u00e9vente k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 600 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rt kell keresni\u00fck, hogy fedezz\u00e9k az AI infrastrukt\u00far\u00e1juk k\u00f6lts\u00e9geit, bele\u00e9rtve az adatk\u00f6zpontokat.<\/p>\n<p><center><\/center> \t\t\t\t  <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"AI is a bubble: to recoup investments, the AI industry needs to learn to earn significantly more.\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/f0f1a5118cc4a8bc1619c5f5123e3389.jpg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/>    <\/p>\n<p>Tavaly az Nvidia bev\u00e9tele az adatk\u00f6zpontok sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra \u00e9rt\u00e9kes\u00edtett berendez\u00e9sekb\u0151l 47,5 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r volt. A berendez\u00e9sek t\u00falnyom\u00f3 t\u00f6bbs\u00e9ge AI \u00e9s nagy teljes\u00edtm\u00e9ny\u0171 sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1sokhoz tervezett sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1stechnikai gyors\u00edt\u00f3k voltak.<\/p>\n<p>A legnagyobb IT v\u00e1llalatok, mint az AWS, Google, Meta<noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"#mark-extr\" class=\"denyintext mark-link-extr\">\u2734<\/a><\/noindex>, A Microsoft \u00e9s sok m\u00e1s v\u00e1llalat jelent\u0151s \u00f6sszegeket fektetett az AI infrastrukt\u00far\u00e1j\u00e1ba 2023-ban, p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul az OpenAI ChatGPT m\u0171k\u00f6dtet\u00e9s\u00e9re. Felvet\u0151dik a k\u00e9rd\u00e9s: &laquo;Vissza tudj\u00e1k-e hozni ezeket a befektet\u00e9seket?&raquo;. David Kahn v\u00e9lem\u00e9nye szerint ez azt jelentheti, hogy p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi bubor\u00e9k n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9nek tan\u00fai vagyunk. <\/p>\n<p><center><\/center> <\/p>\n<p>Kahn sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1sai meglehet\u0151sen egyszer\u0171ek. El\u0151sz\u00f6r is megdupl\u00e1zta az Nvidia jelenlegi bev\u00e9teli el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t, hogy fedezze az AI adatk\u00f6zpontok \u00f6sszk\u00f6lts\u00e9g\u00e9t, amelynek fele a GPU k\u00f6lts\u00e9gekb\u0151l ad\u00f3dik, a t\u00f6bbi pedig az energia-, \u00e9p\u00fclet- \u00e9s tartal\u00e9kgener\u00e1tor k\u00f6lts\u00e9geib\u0151l. Ezut\u00e1n az elemz\u0151 ism\u00e9t megdupl\u00e1zza az \u00f6sszeget, hogy biztos\u00edtson 50%-os brutt\u00f3 nyeres\u00e9get az olyan v\u00e9gfelhaszn\u00e1l\u00f3k sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra, mint a startupok vagy c\u00e9gek, akik AI sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1si er\u0151forr\u00e1sokat v\u00e1s\u00e1rolnak olyan v\u00e1llalatokt\u00f3l, mint az AWS vagy a Microsoft Azure, amelyeknek szint\u00e9n nyeres\u00e9gesnek kell lenni\u00fck.<\/p>\n<p>A felh\u0151szolg\u00e1ltat\u00f3k, mint p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul a Microsoft, jelent\u0151s \u00f6sszegeket fektetnek a GPU-k v\u00e1s\u00e1rl\u00e1s\u00e1ba. Az Nvidia adatai szerint a bev\u00e9teleinek fele az nagyobb felh\u0151szolg\u00e1ltat\u00f3kt\u00f3l sz\u00e1rmazik. Csak a Microsoft k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 22%-os bev\u00e9telt hozott az Nvidia sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra a 2024-es p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi \u00e9v IV. negyed\u00e9v\u00e9ben.<\/p>\n<p>Ugyanakkor az Nvidia 2025 p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi \u00e9v I. negyed\u00e9v\u00e9ben k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 19 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r \u00e9rt\u00e9kben \u00e9rt\u00e9kes\u00edtett GPU-kat az adatk\u00f6zpontok sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra. Az Nvidia B100\/B200 modellek megjelen\u00e9s\u00e9vel, amelyek teljes\u00edtm\u00e9ny\u00fckben \u00e9s \u00e1rukban is magasabbak, a befektet\u00e9sek n\u00f6vekedni fognak.<\/p>\n<p>Ha az OpenAI, amely az AI chatbotot, a ChatGPT-t fejlesztette, \u00e9s a Microsoft Azure infrastrukt\u00far\u00e1j\u00e1t haszn\u00e1lja, jelent\u0151s bev\u00e9teln\u00f6veked\u00e9st \u00e9rt el: 1,6 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rr\u00f3l 2023 v\u00e9g\u00e9n 3,4 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rra 2024-re, akkor m\u00e1s AI c\u00e9gek eddig m\u00e9g a 100 milli\u00f3 doll\u00e1ros bev\u00e9teli szintet sem tudt\u00e1k el\u00e9rni. Ennek ellen\u00e9re az AI berendez\u00e9sekbe t\u00f6rt\u00e9n\u0151 befektet\u00e9sek n\u00f6vekednek, jegyezte meg a Tom\u2019s Hardware.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00e1n szerint a nagy technol\u00f3giai v\u00e1llalatok mesters\u00e9ges intelligenci\u00e1b\u00f3l sz\u00e1rmaz\u00f3 bev\u00e9teleinek optimista el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sei sem felelnek meg a v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1soknak. Ha felt\u00e9telezz\u00fck, hogy a Google, a Microsoft, az Apple \u00e9s a Meta<noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"#mark-extr\" class=\"denyintext mark-link-extr\">\u2734<\/a><\/noindex> \u00e9vente 10 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rt keresnek az AI megold\u00e1sokkal, m\u00edg m\u00e1s c\u00e9gek, mint az Oracle, ByteDance, Alibaba, Tencent, X \u00e9s a Tesla, mindegyike 5 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rt tudna gener\u00e1lni, akkor egy 500 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1ros r\u00e9s marad.<\/p>\n<p>Az elemz\u0151 v\u00e9lem\u00e9nye szerint a mesters\u00e9ges intelligencia piaca hossz\u00fa \u00e9s neh\u00e9z \u00faton \u00e1ll, mivel a v\u00e1llalatoknak \u00e9s a startupoknak m\u00e9g ki kell tal\u00e1lniuk azokat az alkalmaz\u00e1sokat, amelyek val\u00f3di p\u00e9nzt hoznak. K\u00e1n \u00fagy v\u00e9li, hogy a szektornak a gyors j\u00f6vedelem elv\u00e1r\u00e1sait m\u00e9rs\u00e9kelnie kell az AI ter\u00fclet\u00e9n el\u00e9rt eredm\u00e9nyek t\u00fckr\u00e9ben, elismerve a jelenlegi befektet\u00e9sek spekulat\u00edv jelleg\u00e9t, valamint a fenntarthat\u00f3 innov\u00e1ci\u00f3k \u00e9s \u00e9rt\u00e9kteremt\u00e9s sz\u00fcks\u00e9gess\u00e9g\u00e9t. Ellenkez\u0151 esetben a t\u00f6bb sz\u00e1z milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1ros bubor\u00e9k kipukkanhat, \u00e9s \u00f6sszeomolhat a piac.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Forr\u00e1s:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"related\">\n<li><noindex><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tomshardware.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Tom&#039;s Hardware\">Tom Hardver<\/a><\/noindex><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> \t           \t  <center>     <center>    <\/center>     <center>   <\/center>     <\/center>  <center>     <\/center>   \t\t\t \t\t\t\t<center> \t\t\t\t     \t\t\t\t<\/center><br \/>Forr\u00e1s: <a content=\"nofollow\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/3dnews.ru\/1107605\">3dnews.ru<\/a> <\/p>","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u041c\u0430\u0441\u0448\u0442\u0430\u0431\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0433\u0438\u0433\u0430\u043d\u0442\u043e\u0432 \u0432 \u0438\u043d\u0444\u0440\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0443\u043a\u0442\u0443\u0440\u0443 \u0418\u0418 \u043f\u043e\u043a\u0430 \u043d\u0435 \u043d\u0430\u0448\u043b\u0438 \u043e\u0442\u043e\u0431\u0440\u0430\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0432 \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0435 \u0434\u043e\u0445\u043e\u0434\u043e\u0432 \u043e\u0442 \u044d\u0442\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043d\u0430\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f, \u043e\u0442\u043c\u0435\u0442\u0438\u043b \u0440\u0435\u0441\u0443\u0440\u0441 Tom&#8217;s Hardware. \u0421\u043e\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0441\u043d\u043e \u0440\u0430\u0441\u0447\u0451\u0442\u0430\u043c \u0414\u044d\u0432\u0438\u0434\u0430 \u041a\u0430\u043d\u0430 (David Cahn), \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430 Sequoia Capital, \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f\u043c \u0418\u0418-\u0438\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0434\u0451\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0437\u0430\u0440\u0430\u0431\u0430\u0442\u044b\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u043e\u043a\u043e\u043b\u043e $600 \u043c\u043b\u0440\u0434 \u0432 \u0433\u043e\u0434, \u0447\u0442\u043e\u0431\u044b \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u0435\u043d\u0441\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u0440\u0430\u0441\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044b \u043d\u0430 \u0441\u0432\u043e\u044e \u0418\u0418-\u0438\u043d\u0444\u0440\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0443\u043a\u0442\u0443\u0440\u0443, \u0432\u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0430\u044f \u0426\u041e\u0414. \u0412 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0448\u043b\u043e\u043c \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0443 \u0432\u044b\u0440\u0443\u0447\u043a\u0430 Nvidia \u043e\u0442 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0436\u0438 \u043e\u0431\u043e\u0440\u0443\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":1,"featured_media":117045,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[702],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-117044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.3 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u041c\u0430\u0441\u0448\u0442\u0430\u0431\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0433\u0438\u0433\u0430\u043d\u0442\u043e\u0432 \u0432 \u0438\u043d\u0444\u0440\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0443\u043a\u0442\u0443\u0440\u0443 \u0418\u0418 \u043f\u043e\u043a\u0430 \u043d\u0435 \u043d\u0430\u0448\u043b\u0438 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