{"id":52568,"date":"2019-11-11T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2019-11-10T21:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/blog\/blog_prohoster\/gartner-hype-cycle-2019-razbor-polyotov"},"modified":"2020-02-18T14:00:20","modified_gmt":"2020-02-18T11:00:20","slug":"gartner-hype-cycle-2019-razbor-polyotov","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/lv\/blog\/news\/gartner-hype-cycle-2019-razbor-polyotov","title":{"rendered":"Gartner Hype Cycle 2019: lidojumu anal\u012bze","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"<p>M\u0113s analiz\u0113j\u0101m AI tehnolo\u0123ijas 2019. gad\u0101 un bezkaun\u012bgi sal\u012bdzin\u0101j\u0101m t\u0101s ar 2017. gada prognoz\u0113m.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Gartner Hype Cycle 2019: lidojumu anal\u012bze\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/9e39aceb55783b5f072efe5b0a94672c.jpeg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/><\/p>\n<p><noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" name=\"habracut\"><\/a><\/noindex><\/p>\n<p>Vispirms, kas ir Gartner Hype Cycle? Tas ir sava veida tehnolo\u0123iju nobrie\u0161anas cikls, proti, p\u0101reja no hype posma uz produkt\u012bvu izmanto\u0161anu. Tagad b\u016bs grafiks ar tulkojumu, lai tas b\u016btu redzams. <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gartner.com\/en\/research\/methodologies\/gartner-hype-cycle\">visu.<\/a><\/noindex>. Zem\u0101k ir paskaidrojumi.<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Gartner Hype Cycle 2019: lidojumu anal\u012bze\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/18e511b34c2a7c007f1b4e01acfb0ef4.jpeg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Pirmais posms. \u0336\u0122\u0336e\u0336n\u0336s\u0336. <strong>S\u0101kums.<\/strong> Tehnolo\u0123ija par\u0101d\u0101s, vispirms to apsprie\u017e izgl\u012btotie nerd, bet v\u0113l\u0101k ar\u012b fan\u0101tiska sabiedr\u012bba; pak\u0101peniski pieaug satraukums.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Otrais posms. \u0336T\u0336o\u0336r\u0336gs\u0336. <strong>P\u0101rm\u0113r\u012bgu cer\u012bbu virsotne.<\/strong> K\u0101d\u0101 br\u012bd\u012b visi run\u0101 par tehnolo\u0123iju, cen\u0161as to ieviest, bet visgudr\u0101kie to p\u0101rdod par tr\u012bs reizes augst\u0101ku cenu.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Tre\u0161ais posms. \u0336D\u0336e\u0336p\u0336r\u0336e\u0336s\u0336ija\u0336. <strong>Interese samazin\u0101s.<\/strong> Tehnolo\u0123ija akt\u012bvi tiek ieviesta un bie\u017ei neizdodas sakar\u0101 ar nepiln\u012bb\u0101m un ierobe\u017eojumiem. \"Tas viss ir mu\u013c\u0137\u012bbas!\" \u2013 skan no \u0161ejienes un turienes. Satraukums strauji samazin\u0101s (cena, bie\u017ei vien, ar\u012b).<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Ceturtais posms. \u0336O\u0336t\u0336r\u0336i\u0336c\u0336\u012bba\u0336. <strong>Darbs pie k\u013c\u016bd\u0101m.<\/strong> Tehnolo\u0123ija tiek pilnveidota, probl\u0113mas risin\u0101tas. Pak\u0101peniski uz\u0146\u0113mumi uzman\u012bgi m\u0101l\u0113 tehnolo\u0123iju un, ak vai, viss izn\u0101k lieliski.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Piektais posms. \u0336P\u0336r\u0336i\u0336n\u0336t\u0336o\u0336. <strong>Produkt\u012bva darb\u012bba.<\/strong> Tehnolo\u0123ija ieg\u016bst savu peln\u012bto vietu tirg\u016b un mier\u012bgi darbojas, att\u012bst\u0101s, pat\u012bk.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"chto-v-trende\">Kas ir mod\u0113?<\/h3>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Atgrie\u017eoties pie hype cikla 2019. gad\u0101. Gartner komp\u0101nija <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gartner.com\/smarterwithgartner\/top-trends-on-the-gartner-hype-cycle-for-artificial-intelligence-2019\">izlaida<\/a><\/noindex> septembr\u012b izsniedz zi\u0146ojumu par to, k\u0101das m\u0101ksl\u012bg\u0101 intelekta tehnolo\u0123ijas ir k\u0101d\u0101 posm\u0101 un kad t\u0101s s\u0101ks produkt\u012bvi darboties. Grafiks apak\u0161\u0101, koment\u0101ri zem grafika.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Gartner Hype Cycle 2019: lidojumu anal\u012bze\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/e97ad21859354ea40467c07c99537f65.jpeg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Ar lielu p\u0101rsvaru un jau produkt\u012bv\u0101s darb\u012bbas stadij\u0101 ir \"Runas atpaz\u012b\u0161anas\" un \"Procesu pa\u0101trin\u0101\u0161anas, izmantojot GPU\" tehnolo\u0123ijas. Tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka t\u0101s steidzami j\u0101pielieto, jo t\u0101s jau nodro\u0161ina konkurences priek\u0161roc\u012bbu saviem \u012bpa\u0161niekiem.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Automatiz\u0113t\u0101 ma\u0161\u012bnm\u0101c\u012b\u0161an\u0101s (AutoML) un \u010datboti \u0161obr\u012bd ir hype virsotn\u0113. T\u0101tad par tiem visi run\u0101, daudzi tos ievie\u0161, bet tehnolo\u0123iju izstr\u0101dei b\u016bs nepiecie\u0161ami no 2 l\u012bdz 5 gadiem.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>M\u016bsu ierast\u0101s ma\u0161\u012bnas \u0161obr\u012bd ir vair\u0101k nek\u0101 mod\u0113. Tehnolo\u0123ija \"autonom\u0101s transportl\u012bdzek\u013ci\" gandr\u012bz sasniedz bedri. \u0160aj\u0101 gad\u012bjum\u0101 tas ir labi, jo priek\u0161\u0101 ir produkt\u012bva darb\u012bba. Tom\u0113r, saska\u0146\u0101 ar Gartner nov\u0113rt\u0113jumiem, piel\u0101go\u0161anai un izstr\u0101dei b\u016bs nepiecie\u0161ami ne maz\u0101k k\u0101 10 gadi.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kur \u0161odien atrodas k\u0101dreiz popul\u0101rie droni un virtu\u0101l\u0101 realit\u0101te? Viss ir k\u0101rt\u012bb\u0101 \u2013 Gartner iek\u013c\u0101va dronus Edge AI (kategorij\u0101s, kas robe\u017eojas ar m\u0101ksl\u012bgo intelektu), bet virtu\u0101l\u0101 realit\u0101te k\u013cuvusi par da\u013cu no Papla\u0161in\u0101t\u0101 intelekta (Augmented intelligence). Abas t\u0113mas, starp citu, \u0161obr\u012bd ir palai\u0161anas stadij\u0101 un t\u0101m ir pozit\u012bvs prognoze: 2-5 gadi l\u012bdz produkt\u012bvai darb\u012bbai tirg\u016b.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"perspektivy\">N\u0101kotne<\/h3>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>No perspekt\u012bv\u0101m funkcij\u0101m: Robotic process automation software \u2013 izklaus\u0101s d\u012bvaini, bet paties\u012bb\u0101 tas ir, kad robots aizst\u0101j rut\u012bniskas darb\u012bbas. Nakts murgs zemas kvalifik\u0101cijas darbiniekiem; tom\u0113r <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.oracle.com\/a\/ocom\/docs\/artificial-intelligence\/hbr-pulse-survey.pdf\">p\u0113t\u012bjumu<\/a><\/noindex> Harvard Business Review apgalvo: atlai\u0161anas neb\u016bs, bet produktivit\u0101te pieaugs. Ir <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=iZJ6W803zaU\">pamats<\/a><\/noindex> tic\u0113t. Tehnolo\u0123ija 2 gadu laik\u0101 p\u0101rvar\u0113s nepopul\u0101ra perioda un visp\u0101r\u0113jas nicin\u0101\u0161anas augst\u0101ko punktu, un p\u0113c tam izplat\u012bsies visur.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>No tehnolo\u0123ij\u0101m, par kur\u0101m masveid\u0101 st\u0101st\u012bs evan\u0123\u0113listi un inform\u0101ciju izplat\u012bt\u0101ji vispus\u0113 tikai n\u0101kotn\u0113, vien\u012bgi izsist \"neirormorfic hardware\". Tie ir elektriskie ier\u012bces (\u010dipi), kas <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/towardsdatascience.com\/neuromorphic-hardware-trying-to-put-brain-into-chips-222132f7e4de\">imit\u0113<\/a><\/noindex> dabas biolo\u0123isk\u0101s strukt\u016bras m\u016bsu nervu sist\u0113mas energetisk\u0101s efektivit\u0101tes aspekt\u0101. Ja \u013coti vienk\u0101r\u0161i, tad tas ir par superproduktivit\u0101ti pateicoties darba dal\u012b\u0161anai (asinkronai neironu atjauno\u0161anai). T\u0101das mil\u017e\u012bgas uz\u0146\u0113mumi k\u0101 IBM un Intel jau akt\u012bvi str\u0101d\u0101 pie neirormorfajiem \u010dipiem. Bet D\u017eonam Konnoram ir laiks sagatavoties kred\u012bta dienai \u2013 Gartner ir paredz\u0113jis tehnolo\u0123ijai 10 gadus l\u012bdz briedumam. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Par digit\u0101lo eti\u0137eti (Digital Ethics), kas rakstur\u012bgi, run\u0101 daudz, bet ieviest nesteidzas. \u0160is virziens ir izdal\u012bts atsevi\u0161\u0137\u0101 AI jomu kategorij\u0101: dom\u0101ts, ka vajadz\u0113tu nodibin\u0101t k\u0101dus \u0113tiskos principus, normas un standartus datu v\u0101k\u0161anai, AI ievie\u0161anai ikdien\u0101, visp\u0101r, lai b\u016btu t\u0101pat k\u0101 pie <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.practicalethics.ox.ac.uk\/ai-and-digital-ethics\">cilv\u0113kiem<\/a><\/noindex>. Beig\u0101s, paskat\u012bties pie Azimova. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"2017-vs-2019\">2017 pret 2019<\/h3>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Jautri, bet 2017 viss bija <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gartner.com\/smarterwithgartner\/top-trends-in-the-gartner-hype-cycle-for-emerging-technologies-2017\/\">cit\u0101d\u0101k<\/a><\/noindex>, pat atsevi\u0161\u0137a hype cikla uz AI nebija: AI tehnolo\u0123ijas g\u0101ja att\u012bst\u012bbas tehnolo\u0123iju (Emerging Technologies) vilcien\u0101 kop\u0101 ar blok\u0137\u0113di un papla\u0161in\u0101to realit\u0101ti. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Ma\u0161\u012bnm\u0101c\u012b\u0161an\u0101s un dzi\u013c\u0101 m\u0101c\u012b\u0161an\u0101s 2017. gad\u0101 bija hype olimp\u0101, bet 2019. gad\u0101 turpin\u0101ja ce\u013cu uz kritumu, tas ir, <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/vc.ru\/tribuna\/81813-zhivoy-primer-kompyuternogo-zreniya-v-promyshlennosti\">produkt\u012bvai darb\u012bbai<\/a><\/noindex>. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Starp, droni gadiem p\u0101rg\u0101ja no uzplaukuma uz lejupsl\u012bdi, bet 2019. gad\u0101 atkal dev\u0101s uz aug\u0161u uz uzplaukuma pusi. Tas notiek, j\u0101. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>2019. gad\u0101 cikl\u0101 iek\u013c\u0101v\u0101s 8 jaunas tehnolo\u0123ijas. Starp t\u0101m m\u0101ko\u0146pakalpojumi ar m\u0101ksl\u012bgo intelektu (Cloud Services), m\u0101ksl\u012bg\u0101 intelekta tirgi (Marketplaces) un kvantu skait\u013co\u0161ana ar m\u0101ksl\u012bgo intelektu (Quantum Computing). Kopum\u0101 tas ir labi paz\u012bstami (\u0161aur\u0101 lok\u0101) r\u012bki, kuri s\u0101k izmanto\u0161anu AI kontekst\u0101.<\/p>\n<p>Avots: <a content=\"nofollow\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/habr.com\/ru\/post\/475032\/\">habr.com<\/a><\/p>","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0420\u0430\u0437\u043b\u043e\u0436\u0438\u043b\u0438 AI \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0438 2019 \u043f\u043e \u043f\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0447\u043a\u0430\u043c \u0438 \u0431\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0442\u044b\u0434\u043d\u043e \u0441\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043d\u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0438\u0445 \u0441 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u043e\u043c 2017 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0430. \u0412\u043e-\u043f\u0435\u0440\u0432\u044b\u0445, \u0447\u0442\u043e \u0442\u0430\u043a\u043e\u0435 Gartner Hype Cycle? \u042d\u0442\u043e \u0441\u0432\u043e\u0435\u0433\u043e \u0440\u043e\u0434\u0430 \u0446\u0438\u043a\u043b \u0437\u0440\u0435\u043b\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0438, \u0430 \u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u0435\u0435 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0430 \u043e\u0442 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0434\u0438\u0438 \u0445\u0430\u0439\u043f\u0430 \u043a \u0435\u0451 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0434\u0443\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0443 \u0438\u0441\u043f\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044e. \u0421\u0435\u0439\u0447\u0430\u0441 \u0431\u0443\u0434\u0435\u0442 \u0433\u0440\u0430\u0444\u0438\u043a \u0441 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0432\u043e\u0434\u043e\u043c, \u0447\u0442\u043e\u0431 \u043d\u0430\u0433\u043b\u044f\u0434\u043d\u043e \u0432\u0441\u0451. \u0410 \u0432\u043d\u0438\u0437\u0443 \u043f\u043e\u044f\u0441\u043d\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f. \u041f\u0435\u0440\u0432\u0430\u044f \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0434\u0438\u044f. \u0336\u0413\u0336\u043d\u0336\u0435\u0336\u0432\u0336. \u0417\u0430\u043f\u0443\u0441\u043a. \u0422\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u044f \u043f\u043e\u044f\u0432\u043b\u044f\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f, \u0435\u0451 \u043e\u0431\u0441\u0443\u0436\u0434\u0430\u044e\u0442 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[702],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52568","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.5 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u0420\u0430\u0437\u043b\u043e\u0436\u0438\u043b\u0438 AI \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0438 2019 \u043f\u043e \u043f\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0447\u043a\u0430\u043c \u0438 \u0431\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0442\u044b\u0434\u043d\u043e \u0441\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043d\u0438\u043b\u0438 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