{"id":92211,"date":"2020-08-24T19:41:59","date_gmt":"2020-08-24T17:41:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/blog\/administrirovanie\/zhizn-v-2030"},"modified":"2020-08-24T19:41:59","modified_gmt":"2020-08-24T17:41:59","slug":"zhizn-v-2030","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/lv\/blog\/administrirovanie\/zhizn-v-2030","title":{"rendered":"Dz\u012bve 2030. gad\u0101","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Franc\u016bzis Fabris Grinda vienm\u0113r ir m\u012bl\u0113jis risk\u0113t \u2014 vi\u0146\u0161 veiksm\u012bgi ieguld\u012bjis simtos uz\u0146\u0113mumu: Alibaba, Airbnb, BlaBlaCar, Uber un pat krievu analogu Booking \u2014 servisu Oktogo. Vi\u0146am ir \u012bpa\u0161a intu\u012bcija attiec\u012bb\u0101 uz tendenc\u0113m un uz to, k\u0101da var\u0113tu b\u016bt n\u0101kotne. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Grinda ne tikai ieguld\u012bjis citu uz\u0146\u0113mumos, bet ar\u012b rad\u012bjis savus. Piem\u0113ram, tie\u0161saistes sludin\u0101jumu d\u0113lis OLX, kuru izmanto simtiem miljonu cilv\u0113ku, ir vi\u0146a b\u0113rns.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Turkl\u0101t da\u017ereiz vi\u0146\u0161 velta laiku liter\u0101rajai darb\u012bbai un raksta diezgan str\u012bd\u012bgus, ta\u010du interesantus esejus. Par to, kas ir un kas b\u016bs. Vi\u0146u interes\u0113 n\u0101kotne \u2014 gan k\u0101 investoram, gan k\u0101 v\u012bzijai. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Pirms da\u017eiem gadiem vi\u0146\u0161 sniedza interviju \u017eurn\u0101lam Alliancy, apsprie\u017eot pasauli 2030. gad\u0101. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Dz\u012bve 2030. gad\u0101\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/5f8a8233b9de5c7b3b24566a563defbc.jpeg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/><\/p>\n<p><noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" name=\"habracut\"><\/a><\/noindex><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u017durn\u0101ls Alliancy:<\/strong> K\u0101das nopietnas izmai\u0146as j\u016bs redzat p\u0113c 10 gadiem?<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Fabris:<\/strong> Lietu t\u012bkls, piem\u0113ram, ledusskapji, kas pas\u016bta p\u0101rtiku, kad t\u0101 beidzas, pieg\u0101de ar droniem un taml\u012bdz\u012bgi. Visi \u0161ie fenom\u0113ni tuvojas. Turkl\u0101t man ir redzami da\u017ei svar\u012bgi p\u0101rk\u0101pumi piec\u0101s jom\u0101s: automa\u0161\u012bnas, sazi\u0146a, medic\u012bna, izgl\u012bt\u012bba un ener\u0123\u0113tika. Tehnolo\u0123ijas jau past\u0101v, n\u0101kotne jau ir pien\u0101kusi, tikai ne visur vien\u0101di. Pla\u0161a \u012bsteno\u0161an\u0101 ir nepiecie\u0161ams samazin\u0101t izmaksas un vienk\u0101r\u0161ot lieto\u0161anu.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Automobi\u013ci k\u013c\u016bs \"kop\u012bgi\". Pa\u0161laik bezpilota automobi\u013ci jau ir nobrauku\u0161i miljoniem j\u016bd\u017eu bez av\u0101rij\u0101m. Bet, ja parasto automa\u0161\u012bnu ASV vid\u0113ji maks\u0101 maz\u0101k par 20,000 dol\u0101riem, tad sist\u0113ma, kas \u013cauj to p\u0101rv\u0113rst par autopilot\u0113tu, maks\u0101 apm\u0113ram 100,000. Ja skat\u0101mies no finansi\u0101l\u0101s puses \u2014 kop\u0113j\u0101 izmanto\u0161ana v\u0113l nav iesp\u0113jama. T\u0101pat ar\u012b tr\u016bkst tiesisk\u0101s b\u0101zes, jo ir j\u0101nosaka, kuram j\u0101uz\u0146emas atbild\u012bba av\u0101rijas gad\u012bjum\u0101.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bet k\u0101 ir ar rentabilit\u0101ti?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Automobi\u013ci ir otrais m\u0101jsaimniec\u012bbas bud\u017eeta izdevumu avots, lai gan apm\u0113ram 95% laika tie ir neizmantoti. Cilv\u0113ki turpina pirkt automa\u0161\u012bnas, jo tas san\u0101k l\u0113t\u0101k nek\u0101 izmantot Uber un vad\u012bt\u0101ju, turkl\u0101t automa\u0161\u012bna ir pieejama jebkur\u0101 laik\u0101, \u012bpa\u0161i ret\u0101k apdz\u012bvot\u0101s viet\u0101s. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Bet kad izmaksas par \u0161oferiem izzud\u012bs, kad automa\u0161\u012bnas k\u013c\u016bs autonomas, galven\u0101s izmaksas b\u016bs amortiz\u0101cija daudzu gadu garum\u0101. \"Visp\u0101r\u0113j\u0101\" automa\u0161\u012bna, kas tiek izmantota 90% no laika, k\u013c\u016bs daudz l\u0113t\u0101ka \u2014 t\u0101d\u0113j\u0101di visos l\u012bme\u0146os automa\u0161\u012bnas \u012bpa\u0161umties\u012bb\u0101m vairs neb\u016bs noz\u012bmes. Uz\u0146\u0113mumi ieg\u0101d\u0101sies automa\u0161\u012bn\u0101m parku un nodrosin\u0101s tos citiem uz\u0146\u0113mumiem, kuri t\u0101s ekspluat\u0113s, piem\u0113ram, Uber, ar pietiekami bl\u012bvu grafiku, lai automa\u0161\u012bna b\u016btu pieejama p\u0101ris min\u016b\u0161u laik\u0101, pat maz\u0101k apdz\u012bvot\u0101s viet\u0101s. Tas \u012bpa\u0161i main\u012bs sabiedr\u012bbu, jo ASV galvenais nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbas avots ir auto vad\u012b\u0161ana. Tiks atbr\u012bvots daudz darbasp\u0113ka, un vad\u012b\u0161anas izmaksas samazin\u0101sies. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Vai ir notikusi revol\u016bcija komunik\u0101cij\u0101?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>N\u0113. Visizplat\u012bt\u0101kais r\u012bks, bez kura gr\u016bti iedom\u0101ties ikdienu, mobilais telefons, piln\u012bb\u0101 izzud\u012bs. Princip\u0101 m\u0113s jau esam pan\u0101ku\u0161i iev\u0113rojamu progresu \"smadze\u0146u las\u012b\u0161an\u0101\" un esam taj\u0101 posm\u0101, kur\u0101 pirms 15 gadiem bija balss atpaz\u012b\u0161ana. Toreiz \u0161im nol\u016bkam jums bija nepiecie\u0161ama jaud\u012bga specializ\u0113ta karte un stundu treni\u0146i, lai j\u016bsu balss var\u0113tu efekt\u012bvi tikt atpaz\u012bta. \u0160odien, uzliekot sev uz galvas \u0137iveri ar 128 elektrodu, ar t\u0101diem pa\u0161iem treni\u0146iem ir iesp\u0113jams iem\u0101c\u012bties dom\u0101t\u0101 veid\u0101 kontrol\u0113t kursoru ekr\u0101n\u0101, lidot ar lidma\u0161\u012bnu. 2013. gad\u0101 pat tika izveidota smadze\u0146u-smadze\u0146u saikne, k\u0101ds, izmantojot domas sp\u0113ku, sp\u0113ja pakustin\u0101t otra cilv\u0113ka roku...<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>2030. gad\u0101 m\u0113s str\u0101d\u0101sim, kur v\u0113lamies, kad v\u0113lamies un cik daudz v\u0113lamies.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>Ko m\u0113s gaid\u0101m?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Pavisam iesp\u0113jams, ka p\u0113c 10 gadiem mums b\u016bs p\u0101ris caursp\u012bd\u012bgu un neredzamu elektrodi m\u016bsu smadzen\u0113s, kas \u013caus mums izmantot m\u016bsu domas, lai nodotu instrukcijas miniat\u016bra datoram, lai tas par\u0101d\u012btu mums elektroniskos e-pastus, tekstus, izmantojot l\u0101zerus uz brill\u0113m, kas att\u0113los tos uz t\u012bklenes, vai izmantojot viedas kontaktl\u0113cas. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Mums par\u0101d\u012bsies sava veida \u201euzlabota telep\u0101tija\u201d, m\u0113s dom\u0101s apmain\u012bsimies ar inform\u0101ciju: es dom\u0101ju tekstu, s\u016btu to jums, j\u016bs to las\u0101t uz t\u012bklenes vai kontaktl\u0113c\u0101s. Mums vairs nevajadz\u0113s valk\u0101jam ier\u012bci ar mazu ekr\u0101nu un past\u0101v\u012bgi noliektu galvu, kas m\u016bs nov\u0113r\u0161 un ierobe\u017eo redzes lauku. Bet ar\u012b p\u0113c 10 gadiem tas b\u016bs tikai s\u0101kums. L\u0101zeri, kas sp\u0113j s\u016bt\u012bt att\u0113lus uz t\u012bkleni, jau past\u0101v, ta\u010du l\u0113cas joproj\u0101m ir zemas kvalit\u0101tes. Domu las\u012b\u0161ana joproj\u0101m ir aptuvena un prasa superdatoru ar 128 elektrodiem. 2030. gad\u0101 \u0161\u0101 superdatora ekvivalents maks\u0101s 50 dol\u0101ru. Lai uzlabotu mazos un efekt\u012bvos elektrodiem, k\u0101 ar\u012b atbilsto\u0161as programmas, iesp\u0113jams, b\u016bs nepiecie\u0161ami 20\u201325 gadi. Tom\u0113r viedt\u0101lru\u0146i neizb\u0113gami izzud\u012bs.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bet kas notiks ar medic\u012bnu?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>\u0160odien pieci \u0101rsti var noteikt piecus da\u017e\u0101dus diagnozes par vienu un to pa\u0161u slim\u012bbu, jo cilv\u0113ki nav pietiekami labi diagnostik\u0101. T\u0101p\u0113c Watson, IBM superdators, lab\u0101k nosaka da\u017eus v\u0113\u017ea veidus nek\u0101 \u0101rsti. Taj\u0101 ir lo\u0123ika, jo tas \u0146em v\u0113r\u0101 katru mikro rezult\u0101tu no MRI vai rentgena att\u0113la, savuk\u0101rt \u0101rsts skat\u0101s ne ilg\u0101k par p\u0101ris min\u016bt\u0113m. P\u0113c 5 gadiem diagnostika tiks nodota tikai datoriem, p\u0113c 10 gadiem mums b\u016bs visp\u0101r\u0113js diagnostic\u0113\u0161anas apar\u0101ts vis\u0101m izplat\u012btaj\u0101m slim\u012bb\u0101m, tostarp saaukst\u0113\u0161an\u0101s, HIV un citiem. <\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Aptuveni taj\u0101 pa\u0161\u0101 laik\u0101 revol\u016bcija notiks ar\u012b \u0137irur\u0123ij\u0101. Robota \u0101rsts \u201eDa Vinci\u201d jau veica piecus miljonus oper\u0101ciju. \u0136irur\u0123ija turpin\u0101s k\u013c\u016bt arvien vair\u0101k robotiz\u0113ta vai automatiz\u0113ta, kas \u013caus samazin\u0101t ra\u017e\u012bguma at\u0161\u0137ir\u012bbu starp \u0137irurgiem. Pirmo reizi s\u0101ks samazin\u0101ties z\u0101\u013cu izmaksas. Turkl\u0101t visa pap\u012bra darba un administrat\u012bv\u0101 neefektivit\u0101te izzud\u012bs, kad tiks ieviestas elektronisk\u0101s medic\u012bnisk\u0101s kartes. P\u0113c 10 gadiem mums b\u016bs diagnostika ar past\u0101v\u012bgu atgriezenisko saiti par to, ko mums vajadz\u0113tu dar\u012bt attiec\u012bb\u0101 uz uzturu, z\u0101l\u0113m, ar arvien efekt\u012bv\u0101ku \u0137irur\u0123iju un iev\u0113rojami zem\u0101k\u0101m medic\u012bnas izmaks\u0101m.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Vai v\u0113l viena revol\u016bcija \u2013 izgl\u012bt\u012bba?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Ja m\u0113s Sokr\u0101tu p\u0101rnestu m\u016bsdien\u0101s, vi\u0146\u0161 nekas nesaprastu, iz\u0146emot to, k\u0101 tiek izgl\u012btoti m\u016bsu b\u0113rni: da\u017e\u0101di skolot\u0101ji sarun\u0101jas ar klasi, kur\u0101 ir no 15 l\u012bdz 35 skol\u0113niem. Nav j\u0113gas turpin\u0101t izgl\u012btot m\u016bsu b\u0113rnus t\u0101, k\u0101 tas tika dar\u012bts pirms 2500 gadiem, jo katram skol\u0113nam ir at\u0161\u0137ir\u012bgas prasmes un intereses. Un tagad, kad pasaule main\u0101s tik \u0101tri, padom\u0101jiet, cik smiekl\u012bgi, ka izgl\u012bt\u012bba ir ierobe\u017eota laik\u0101 un beidzas p\u0113c skolas vai universit\u0101tes beig\u0161anas. Izgl\u012bt\u012bbai j\u0101b\u016bt nep\u0101rtrauktam procesam, kas notiek visa m\u016b\u017ea garum\u0101, un tai j\u0101b\u016bt ar\u012b efekt\u012bv\u0101kai.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>N.B. no redaktora:<\/strong> Iedom\u0101jos, k\u0101ds b\u016btu Sokr\u0101ts, ja redz\u0113tu, k\u0101 notiek m\u016bsu <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/to.slurm.io\/62EJzg\">intens\u012bvi<\/a><\/noindex>. Ja pirms koronav\u012brusa pand\u0113mijas offline intens\u012bvi k\u0101rt\u0113jo reizi diezgan l\u012bdz\u012bgi izskat\u012bj\u0101s p\u0113c klasisk\u0101s izgl\u012bt\u012bbas (lekciju z\u0101le, run\u0101t\u0101ji-skolot\u0101ji, studenti pie galdiem, nevis ar m\u0101la pl\u0101ksn\u0113m vai papirusu, bet ar portat\u012bvajiem datoriem un plan\u0161etdatoriem, nevis \"maieutikas\" vai \"sokr\u0101tisk\u0101s ironijas\" <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/to.slurm.io\/9w1OOQ\">Docker<\/a><\/noindex> vai <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/to.slurm.io\/0lb17A\">padzi\u013cin\u0101ta kursa par Kubernetes<\/a><\/noindex> ar praktiskajiem gad\u012bjumiem), kas \u012bpa\u0161i nemain\u012bj\u0101s r\u012bkos kop\u0161 ant\u012bk\u0101s \u0113ras, tad lekcijas caur Zoom, sarunas un komunik\u0101cija Telegram\u0101, prezent\u0101cijas un video ieraksti stund\u0101m person\u012bgaj\u0101 kabinet\u0101... Noteikti Sokr\u0101ts to nesaprastu. T\u0101tad n\u0101kotne jau ir kl\u0101t \u2014 un m\u0113s pat to nepaman\u012bj\u0101m. Un koronav\u012brusa pand\u0113mija m\u016bs rosin\u0101ja uz izmai\u0146\u0101m. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>K\u0101 tas main\u012bs m\u016bsu iesp\u0113jas?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>T\u0101dos t\u012bmek\u013ca vietn\u0113s k\u0101, piem\u0113ram, Coursera, lab\u0101kais profesors sav\u0101 nozar\u0113 pied\u0101v\u0101 tie\u0161saistes kursus 300.000 studentiem. M\u016bsdien\u0101s ir daudz lo\u0123isk\u0101k, lai lab\u0101kais skolot\u0101js m\u0101c\u012btu lielu skaitu skol\u0113nu! Par eks\u0101menu k\u0101rto\u0161anu maks\u0101 tikai tie, kuri v\u0113las sa\u0146emt diplomu. T\u0101 rezult\u0101t\u0101 sist\u0113ma izn\u0101k daudz taisn\u012bg\u0101ka.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Un k\u0101 ir ar pamatskol\u0101m un vidusskol\u0101m?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>\u0160obr\u012bd da\u017e\u0101s skol\u0101s norisin\u0101s automatiz\u0113tas m\u0101c\u012bbu sist\u0113mas izm\u0113\u0123in\u0101jumi. \u0160eit skolot\u0101js vairs nav run\u0101jo\u0161a ma\u0161\u012bna, bet gan treneris. M\u0101c\u012b\u0161an\u0101s notiek, izmantojot programmat\u016bru, kas p\u0113c tam uzdod jaut\u0101jumus un var piel\u0101goties skol\u0113niem. Ja skol\u0113ns pie\u013cauj k\u013c\u016bdas, programma atk\u0101rto materi\u0101lu citos veidos, un tikai p\u0113c tam, kad skol\u0113ns visu ir sapratis, t\u0101 p\u0101riet uz n\u0101kamo posmu. Viena un t\u0101 pa\u0161a klase skol\u0113ni m\u0101c\u0101s pa\u0161i sav\u0101 temp\u0101. Tas nav skolas beigas, jo, papildus zin\u0101\u0161an\u0101m, ir j\u0101iem\u0101cas komunic\u0113t un sadarboties, t\u0101d\u0113\u013c ir nepiecie\u0161ams citu b\u0113rnu apk\u0101rtne. Cilv\u0113ki ir tipiski soci\u0101las b\u016btnes.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>V\u0113l kaut kas?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Visliel\u0101kais izr\u0101viens b\u016bs nep\u0101rtrauktaj\u0101 izgl\u012bt\u012bb\u0101. Masveid\u0101 main\u0101s pras\u012bbas, tirdzniec\u012bb\u0101 pirms da\u017eiem gadiem bija svar\u012bgi saprast, k\u0101 optimiz\u0113t savu redzam\u012bbu mekl\u0113t\u0101jprogramm\u0101s (SEO). \u0160odien ir nepiecie\u0161ams saprast lietot\u0146u veikala optimiz\u0101ciju (ASO). K\u0101 to apg\u016bt? Apmekl\u0113t kursus vietn\u0113s, piem\u0113ram, Udemy, kas ir \u0161\u012bs jomas l\u012bderis. Tos izveido lietot\u0101ji, un p\u0113c tam tie ir pieejami visiem par cenu no 1 l\u012bdz 10 dol\u0101riem...<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>N.B. no redaktora:<\/strong> Atkl\u0101ti sakot, person\u012bgi es neesmu p\u0101rliecin\u0101ts, ka kursi, ko izstr\u0101d\u0101ju\u0161i lietot\u0101ji, nevis prakti\u0137i, ir tik laba ideja. Pasaule \u0161obr\u012bd ir piepild\u012bta ar ce\u013cojumu un skaistumkop\u0161anas emu\u0101ru autoriem. Ja papildus piepild\u012bsies ar skolot\u0101jiem-emu\u0101ru autoriem, tad b\u016bs gr\u016bti atrast patie\u0161\u0101m noder\u012bgu un profesion\u0101lu materi\u0101lu vis\u0101 \u0161aj\u0101 satur\u0101. <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/habr.com\/ru\/company\/southbridge\/blog\/512268\/\">Es labi zinu, cik daudz darba daudziem cilv\u0113kiem ir nepiecie\u0161ams,<\/a><\/noindex>, lai izveidotu patie\u0161\u0101m noder\u012bgu kursu par to pa\u0161u <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/to.slurm.io\/xAZwHg\">monitoringu un lo\u0123\u0113\u0161anu infrastrukt\u016br\u0101 Kubernetes<\/a><\/noindex>, kas balst\u012bts nevis uz rokasgr\u0101mat\u0101m un rakstiem, bet gan uz praksi un p\u0101rbaud\u012bt\u0101m pieredz\u0113m. Nu, un uz sastaptaj\u0101m k\u013c\u016bd\u0101m \u2014 kur nu bez t\u0101m darb\u0101 un jaunas tehnikas apg\u016b\u0161an\u0101. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>Vienk\u0101r\u0161i sakot \u2014 vai pasaul\u0113, kur\u0101 darbojas cilv\u0113ki, noteikti b\u016bs izmai\u0146as?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Mileni\u0101\u013ci (dzimu\u0161i p\u0113c 2000. gada) nevar ciest darbu no 9 l\u012bdz 18, darbu uz priek\u0161nieku, pa\u0161u priek\u0161nieku. Pa\u0161laik m\u0113s redzam strauju uz\u0146\u0113m\u0113jdarb\u012bbas izaugsmi ASV, ko veicina pieejam\u012bba vair\u0101kiem pakalpojumu lietojumiem p\u0113c piepras\u012bjuma. Puse darba vietu, kas izveidotas p\u0113c 2008. gada kr\u012bzes, ir cilv\u0113ki, kas str\u0101d\u0101 pa\u0161i uz sevi, vai tie, kas str\u0101d\u0101 Uber, Postmates (p\u0101rtikas pieg\u0101de uz m\u0101j\u0101m), Instacart (p\u0101rtikas pieg\u0101de no kaimi\u0146iem).<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>T\u0101s ir personaliz\u0113tas pakalpojumu pieejam\u012bba p\u0113c piepras\u012bjuma...<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kozmetolo\u0123ijas pakalpojumi, manik\u012brs, friz\u016bras, p\u0101rvad\u0101jumi. Visas \u0161\u012bs pakalpojumu jomas ir ats\u0101ku\u0161\u0101s ar liel\u0101ku elast\u012bbu. \u0160\u012bs idejas ir sp\u0113k\u0101 ar\u012b programm\u0113\u0161anas, redi\u0123\u0113\u0161anas un dizaina pakalpojumiem. Darbs k\u013c\u016bst arvien maz\u0101k pak\u0101penisks, un tas prasa maz\u0101k laika. Mileni\u0101\u013ci str\u0101d\u0101 dienu un nakti pirmo ned\u0113\u013cu, bet n\u0101kamaj\u0101 tikai piecas stundas. Nauda vi\u0146iem ir l\u012bdzeklis dz\u012bves pieredzes ieg\u016b\u0161anai. 2030. gad\u0101 vi\u0146i veidos pusi ekonomiski akt\u012bv\u0101s iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju da\u013cas.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Vai m\u0113s b\u016bsim laim\u012bg\u0101ki 2030. gad\u0101?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Neoblig\u0101ti, jo cilv\u0113ki \u0101tri piel\u0101gojas izmai\u0146\u0101m savos apst\u0101k\u013cos, un \u0161o procesu sauc par hedonistisko piel\u0101go\u0161anos. Tom\u0113r m\u0113s paliksim savas likte\u0146a saimnieki. Str\u0101d\u0101sim tik, cik v\u0113lamies, vai ar\u012b ne vair\u0101k, nek\u0101 gribam. Vid\u0113ji cilv\u0113kiem b\u016bs lab\u0101ka vesel\u012bba un izgl\u012bt\u012bba. Liel\u0101k\u0101s da\u013cas lietu cenas b\u016bs zem\u0101kas, kas n\u0101ks par labu dz\u012bves kvalit\u0101tei.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>T\u0101tad neb\u016bs soci\u0101l\u0101s nevienl\u012bdz\u012bbas?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Ir diskusijas par nevienl\u012bdz\u012bbas papla\u0161in\u0101\u0161anu, bet paties\u012bb\u0101 notiek sabiedr\u012bbas sl\u0101\u0146u tuvoties. 1900. gad\u0101 bag\u0101ti cilv\u0113ki dev\u0101s atva\u013cin\u0101jum\u0101, bet nabadz\u012bgie - ne. \u0160odien viens lido ar priv\u0101to lidma\u0161\u012bnu, bet otrs - ar EasyJet, tom\u0113r abi iek\u0101p lidojum\u0101 un dodas atva\u013cin\u0101jum\u0101. 99% amerik\u0101\u0146u nabadz\u012bgo ir piek\u013cuve \u016bdenim un elektr\u012bbai, un 70% no vi\u0146iem ir automa\u0161\u012bna. Ja skat\u0101mies uz t\u0101diem faktoriem k\u0101 z\u012bdai\u0146u mirst\u012bba un paredzam\u0101 dz\u012bves ilguma \u2014 nevienl\u012bdz\u012bba samazin\u0101s.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bet k\u0101 ir ar klimata izmai\u0146\u0101m un ener\u0123ijas izmaks\u0101m, vai t\u0101s var ietekm\u0113t \u0161os sasniegumus?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>\u0160o jaut\u0101jumu atrisin\u0101s bez regul\u0113\u0161anas un valsts iejauk\u0161an\u0101s. M\u0113s pl\u0101nojam p\u0101riet uz bezoglek\u013ca ekonomiku, ta\u010du t\u012bri ekonomisku iemeslu d\u0113\u013c. Viens megavats saules ener\u0123ijas jau maks\u0101 maz\u0101k par dol\u0101ru, sal\u012bdzinot ar 100 dol\u0101riem 1975. gad\u0101. Tas ir noticis ra\u017eo\u0161anas procesu un produktivit\u0101tes uzlabo\u0161anas rezult\u0101t\u0101. T\u0101pat ir pan\u0101kta saules ener\u0123ijas izmaksu vien\u0101d\u012bba da\u017eos re\u0123ionos, kur elektroener\u0123ijas ra\u017eo\u0161ana ir d\u0101rga. 2025. gad\u0101 'saules' kilovata cena b\u016bs maz\u0101ka nek\u0101 'oglek\u013ca' kilovata cena bez subs\u012bdij\u0101m. Tikl\u012bdz tas notiks, proces\u0101 tiks ieguld\u012bti desmitiem miljardu dol\u0101ru. 2030. gad\u0101 s\u0101ksies saules ener\u0123ijas strauja ievie\u0161ana. Megavata cena k\u013c\u016bs daudz zem\u0101ka, kas savuk\u0101rt samazin\u0101s izmaksas daudz\u0101m cit\u0101m liet\u0101m un uzlabos dz\u012bves kvalit\u0101ti. Esmu \u013coti optimistisks.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Dz\u012bve 2030. gad\u0101\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/cd527353dcdcbcdfa49af30ae753cfb8.jpeg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"for_users_only_msg\">Tikai re\u0123istr\u0113tie lietot\u0101ji var piedal\u012bties aptauj\u0101. <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/habr.com\/ru\/auth\/login\/\">Pieteikties<\/a><\/noindex>, l\u016bdzu.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"default-block__polling-title\">Vai j\u016bs ticat Fabrisa Grinda prognoz\u0113m?<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"poll-result\">\n<li class=\"poll-result__item\">\n<p>                <strong class=\"poll-result__data-percent\">28,9%<\/strong>J\u0101, ticu28<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"poll-result__item\">\n<p>                <strong class=\"poll-result__data-percent\">18,6%<\/strong>N\u0113, t\u0101 nevar b\u016bt18<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"poll-result__item\">\n<p>                <strong class=\"poll-result__data-percent  poll-result__data-percent_winner\">52,6%<\/strong>Es tur jau biju, Dakt, tur viss nav t\u0101.51<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>    Nobalsoju\u0161i 97 lietot\u0101ji. Attur\u0113j\u0101s 25 lietot\u0101ji.<br \/>\n<br \/>Avots: <a content=\"nofollow\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/habr.com\/ru\/company\/southbridge\/blog\/516130\/\">habr.com<\/a> <\/p>","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0424\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0446\u0443\u0437 \u0424\u0430\u0431\u0440\u0438\u0441 \u0413\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0434\u0430 \u0432\u0441\u0435\u0433\u0434\u0430 \u043b\u044e\u0431\u0438\u043b \u0440\u0438\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u2014 \u043e\u043d \u0443\u0441\u043f\u0435\u0448\u043d\u043e \u0432\u043b\u043e\u0436\u0438\u043b\u0441\u044f \u0432 \u0441\u043e\u0442\u043d\u0438 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0439: Alibaba, Airbnb, BlaBlaCar, Uber \u0438 \u0434\u0430\u0436\u0435 \u0440\u0443\u0441\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u043e\u0433 Booking \u2014 \u0441\u0435\u0440\u0432\u0438\u0441 Oktogo. \u0423 \u043d\u0435\u0433\u043e \u043e\u0441\u043e\u0431\u043e\u0435 \u0447\u0443\u0442\u044c\u0451 \u043d\u0430 \u0442\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0434\u044b, \u043d\u0430 \u0442\u043e, \u043a\u0430\u043a\u0438\u043c \u043c\u043e\u0436\u0435\u0442 \u0431\u044b\u0442\u044c \u0431\u0443\u0434\u0443\u0449\u0435\u0435. \u041c\u0435\u0441\u044c\u0435 \u0413\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0434\u0430 \u043d\u0435 \u0442\u043e\u043b\u044c\u043a\u043e \u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043b \u0432 \u0447\u0443\u0436\u0438\u0435 \u0431\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0435\u0441\u044b, \u043d\u043e \u0438 \u0441\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u0432\u0430\u043b \u0441\u0432\u043e\u0438. \u041d\u0430\u043f\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0435\u0440, \u043e\u043d\u043b\u0430\u0439\u043d-\u0434\u043e\u0441\u043a\u0430 \u043e\u0431\u044a\u044f\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0439 OLX, \u043a\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0439 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0437\u0443\u044e\u0442\u0441\u044f [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":1,"featured_media":92212,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[688],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-92211","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-administrirovanie"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.4 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u0424\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0446\u0443\u0437 \u0424\u0430\u0431\u0440\u0438\u0441 \u0413\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0434\u0430 \u0432\u0441\u0435\u0433\u0434\u0430 \u043b\u044e\u0431\u0438\u043b \u0440\u0438\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u2014 \u043e\u043d \u0443\u0441\u043f\u0435\u0448\u043d\u043e \u0432\u043b\u043e\u0436\u0438\u043b\u0441\u044f \u0432 \u0441\u043e\u0442\u043d\u0438 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0439: Alibaba, Airbnb, 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