Pa Habr! Ndikupereka kwa inu kumasulira kwa nkhaniyi ndi Jeremy Howard ndi Rachel Thomas.
Kuchokera kwa womasulira
Ku Russia, vuto la Covid-19 silinali lovuta kwambiri pakadali pano, koma ndikofunikira kumvetsetsa kuti ku Italy masabata awiri apitawa zinthu sizinali zovuta kwambiri. Ndipo ndi bwino kudziwitsa anthu pasadakhale kusiyana ndi kudzanong’oneza bondo pambuyo pake. Ku Ulaya, anthu ambiri satenga vutoli mozama, ndipo potero amaika anthu ena ambiri pachiwopsezo - monga momwe zikuwonekera tsopano ku Spain (kuwonjezeka kwachangu kwa chiwerengero cha milandu).
Nkhani
Ndife asayansi a data, ntchito yathu ndikusanthula ndikutanthauzira deta. Ndipo zambiri za covid-19 ndizoyambitsa nkhawa. Magulu omwe ali pachiwopsezo kwambiri m'dera lathu, okalamba ndi anthu omwe amapeza ndalama zochepa, ali pachiwopsezo chachikulu, koma kuti tithane ndi kufalikira ndi kukhudzidwa kwa matendawa tonsefe tiyenera kusintha machitidwe athu achizolowezi. Sambani m'manja mokwanira komanso pafupipafupi, pewani kuchulukana, letsa zochitika zomwe mwakonzekera ndikupewa kukhudza nkhope yanu. Mu positi iyi, tifotokoza chifukwa chake timada nkhawa ndi chifukwa chake inunso muyenera kuda nkhawa. Corona Mwachidule, yolembedwa ndi Ethan Alley (pulezidenti wa bungwe lopanda phindu lomwe limapanga matekinoloje ochepetsera chiopsezo cha miliri) ndi nkhani yabwino kwambiri yomwe ikufotokoza mwachidule zidziwitso zonse zofunika.
Timafunikira dongosolo logwira ntchito lazaumoyo.
Zaka zingapo zapitazo, mmodzi wa ife (Rachel) anapezeka ndi matenda a ubongo omwe amapha pafupifupi kota ya anthu omwe amawatenga; wachitatu amavutika maganizo kwa moyo wawo wonse. Ambiri amasiyidwa ndi kuwonongeka kwa moyo wawo wonse ku maso ndi makutu awo. Rachel anafika pamalo oimika magalimoto kuchipatala ali wovuta kwambiri, koma anali ndi mwayi ndipo adalandira chisamaliro, matenda ndi chithandizo chomwe amafunikira. Mpaka posachedwapa, Rachel anali wathanzi. Ndizotheka kwambiri kuti kupita kuchipatala mwachangu kunapulumutsa moyo wake.
Tsopano, tiyeni tikambirane za covid-19 ndi zomwe zingachitike kwa anthu omwe ali mumikhalidwe yofananira m'masabata ndi miyezi ikubwerayi. Chiwerengero cha anthu omwe ali ndi kachilombo ka Covid-19 chikuchulukirachulukira pakadutsa masiku 3-6 aliwonse. Ndi chiwopsezo chochulukirachulukira masiku atatu aliwonse, kuchuluka kwa anthu omwe ali ndi kachilomboka kumatha kuwirikiza 3 m'masabata atatu (ndizosavuta, koma tisatengeke ndi zambiri). anthu omwe ali ndi kachilombo amafunikira milungu yambiri yogonekedwa m'chipatala, ndipo ambiri amafuna mpweya. Ngakhale kuti ichi ndi chiyambi chabe cha kufalikira kwa kachilomboka, pali kale madera omwe mulibe mabedi opanda kanthu m'zipatala - ndipo anthu sangalandire chithandizo choyenera (osati cha coronavirus, komanso matenda ena, mwachitsanzo. , mankhwala ofunikawo, amene Rakele anafunikira). Mwachitsanzo, ku Italy, komwe sabata yapitayi olamulira adalengeza kuti zinthu zikuwongolera, tsopano anthu pafupifupi 16 miliyoni atsekeredwa kunyumba (Zosintha: Maola 6 pambuyo pa izi, Italy idatseka dziko lonselo), ndi mahema ofanana. amamangidwa kuti athe kuthana ndi kuyenda kwa odwala:
Chihema chachipatala ku Italy.
Dr. Antonio Pesenti, wamkulu wa dipatimenti yachigawo yomwe imayang'anira zochitika zamavuto kumpoto kwa Italy, : "Sitingachitire mwina koma kukonza chisamaliro chachikulu m'makonde, m'zipinda zochitira opaleshoni, m'mawodi ... Imodzi mwa machitidwe abwino kwambiri a zaumoyo - ku Lombardy - yatsala pang'ono kugwa."
Sizili ngati chimfine
Chiwopsezo cha kufa kwa chimfine chikuyembekezeka kufika pa 0.1%. Mark Lipstitch, mkulu wa Center for the Dynamics of Infectious Diseases ku Harvard kufa kwa coronavirus ndi 1-2%. anapeza chiwerengero cha imfa cha 1.6% mu February ku China, nthawi 16 kuposa chimfine (chiwerengero ichi chikhoza kukhala cholakwika, popeza imfa imakwera pamene machitidwe a zaumoyo akulephera). Kuwunika koyenera: anthu ochulukirapo ka 10 adzafa ndi coronavirus chaka chino kuposa chimfine (ndi Elena Grewal, yemwe kale anali mkulu wa Data Science ku Airbnb, akuwonetsa kuti pazovuta kwambiri, anthu ochulukirapo amatha kufa nthawi 100). Ndipo izi sizitengera kukhudzidwa kwakukulu pazachipatala, monga tafotokozera pamwambapa. M’pomveka kuti anthu ena amayesa kudzitsimikizira kuti zimenezi n’zachilendo komanso kuti matendawa ndi ofanana kwambiri ndi chimfine - chifukwa safunadi kuvomereza mfundo yosadziwika bwino.
Ubongo wathu sunapangidwe kuti umvetsetse kuchuluka kwa kuchuluka kwa anthu omwe akudwala. Chifukwa chake, tiyenera kusanthula izi ngati asayansi, osagwiritsa ntchito mwanzeru.
Zidzawoneka bwanji m'masabata awiri? Miyezi iwiri?
Pafupifupi, munthu aliyense yemwe ali ndi chimfine amapatsira anthu pafupifupi 1.3. Izi zimatchedwa "R0" chimfine. Ngati R0 ndi yochepera 1.0, matendawa samafalikira ndikusiya. Pazinthu zapamwamba, matendawa amafalikira. Coronavirus pakadali pano ali ndi R0 ya 2-3 kunja kwa China. Kusiyanako kungaoneke ngati kochepa, koma pambuyo pa “mibadwo” 20 ya anthu oyambukiridwa ndi nthendayo, anthu 0 adzayambukiridwa ndi R1.3 146, ndi 0 miliyoni ndi R2.5 36! (Izi ndizongoyerekeza kwambiri ndipo kuwerengera uku kumanyalanyaza zinthu zambiri, koma ndi fanizo lomveka la kusiyana pakati pa coronavirus ndi chimfine, zinthu zina zonse kukhala zofanana).
Dziwani kuti R0 si gawo lofunikira la matenda. Zimatengera kuyankha ndipo zimatha kusintha pakapita nthawi. Ndizofunikira kudziwa kuti ku China R0 ya coronavirus yatsika kwambiri - ndipo tsopano ikuyandikira 1.0! Bwanji? - mumafunsa. Pogwiritsa ntchito njira zonse zofunika pamlingo womwe ndi wovuta kuganiza m'dziko monga, mwachitsanzo, United States: potseka megacities ndikupanga njira yoyesera yomwe imalola kuwunika momwe zinthu zilili kwa anthu oposa miliyoni imodzi pa sabata.
Pali chisokonezo chochuluka pama TV (kuphatikizapo mbiri yotchuka monga Elon Musk) ponena za kusiyana pakati pa kukula kwazinthu ndi kufotokozera. Kukula kwazinthu kumatanthawuza kufalikira kwa mliri wa mawonekedwe a S. Kukula kwakukulu, ndithudi, sikungapitirire mpaka muyaya - ndiye kuti padzakhala anthu ambiri omwe ali ndi kachilombo kuposa anthu onse padziko lapansi! Chifukwa chake, kuchuluka kwa matenda kumayenera kuchepetsedwa nthawi zonse, kutitsogolera ku mawonekedwe a S (otchedwa sigmoid) akukula pakapita nthawi. Panthawi imodzimodziyo, kuchepa kwa msinkhu sikuchitika pachabe - simatsenga. Zifukwa zazikulu:
- Zochita zazikulu komanso zogwira mtima za anthu.
- Chiwerengero chachikulu cha anthu omwe ali ndi kachilomboka, chomwe chimapangitsa kuti anthu azikhala ochepa kwambiri chifukwa cha kusowa kwa anthu athanzi.
Chifukwa chake palibe zomveka kudalira kukula kwazinthu ngati njira yothanirana ndi mliri.
Chifukwa china chomwe chimakhala chovuta kudziwa momwe coronavirus imakhudzira dera lanu ndikuchedwa kwambiri pakati pa matenda ndi kugona m'chipatala - nthawi zambiri pafupifupi masiku 11. Izi zitha kuwoneka ngati nthawi yayifupi, koma mukadzawona kuti zipatala zadzaza kwambiri, matendawa amakhala atafika pomwe pakhala anthu ochulukirapo ka 5-10.
Zindikirani kuti pali zizindikiro zoyamba zomwe zimakhudza dera lanu zitha kutengera nyengo. M'nkhani yakuti ""Ikuti matendawa afalikira mpaka pano m'malo otentha (mwatsoka kwa ife, kutentha ku San Francisco, komwe tikukhala, kuli koyenera; malo akuluakulu a ku Ulaya, kuphatikizapo London, amagweranso kumeneko).
"Osachita mantha. "Khalani chete" sikuthandiza
Limodzi mwamayankho omwe anthu ambiri amayankhira kuti mukhale tcheru pazama TV ndi "Osachita mantha" kapena "khalani bata." Izi sizithandiza, kunena pang'ono. Palibe amene ankaganiza kuti mantha ndi njira yabwino yothetsera vutoli. Pazifukwa zina, "khalani bata" ndi yankho lodziwika bwino m'magulu ena (koma osati pakati pa akatswiri a miliri, omwe ntchito yawo ndikutsata zinthu zotere). Mwinanso "kukhala chete" kumathandiza wina kudzilungamitsa okha kapena kudzimva kuti ndi wapamwamba kuposa anthu omwe amawaganizira ali ndi mantha.
Koma “kukhala chete” kungachititse kuti mulephere kukonzekera ndi kuyankha. Ku China, anthu 10 miliyoni adayikidwa kwaokha ndipo zipatala ziwiri zatsopano zidamangidwa panthawi yomwe anali mdziko la US lero. Italy idadikirira motalika kwambiri ndipo lero (Lamlungu Marichi 8) alengeza matenda atsopano 1492 ndi kufa 133, ngakhale anthu 16 miliyoni atsekeredwa. Kutengera chidziwitso chabwino kwambiri chomwe titha kutsimikizira pakadali pano, masabata 2-3 apitawo Italy anali mumkhalidwe wofanana ndi US ndi England lero (potengera ziwerengero za matenda).
Dziwani kuti pafupifupi chilichonse chokhudzana ndi coronavirus chili mlengalenga. Sitikudziwa kuchuluka kwa matenda kapena kufa, sitikudziwa kuti imakhala nthawi yayitali bwanji pamtunda, sitikudziwa ngati imapulumuka kapena momwe imafalikira m'malo otentha. Zomwe tili nazo ndikungoganiza bwino kutengera zambiri zomwe titha kuzipeza. Ndipo kumbukirani kuti zambiri mwazomwezi zili ku China, mu Chitchaina. Tsopano njira yabwino yomvetsetsa zomwe zaku China ndikuwerenga lipotilo , kutengera kafukufuku wogwirizana wa akatswiri a 25 ochokera ku China, Germany, Japan, Korea, Nigeria, Russia, Singapore, USA ndi WHO.
Pakakhala kusatsimikizika kwina - kuti mwina sipadzakhala mliri wapadziko lonse lapansi komanso kuti mwina chilichonse chidzangochitika popanda kugwa kwachipatala - izi sizikutanthauza kuti chisankho choyenera ndikusachita kalikonse. Izi zitha kukhala zongopeka komanso zosakwanira muzochitika zilizonse. Zikuonekanso kuti sizingatheke kuti mayiko ngati Italy ndi China atseke madera akuluakulu azachuma awo popanda chifukwa chomveka. Ndipo izi sizikugwirizana ndi zomwe timawona m'malo omwe ali ndi kachilombo komwe azachipatala amalephera kupirira (mwachitsanzo, ku Italy, mahema 462 amagwiritsidwa ntchito poyesa kuwunika, ndipo odwala omwe ali ndi chisamaliro chachikulu adathandizidwa. kuchokera kumadera okhudzidwa).
M'malo mwake, yankho lolingalira, lomveka ndikutsata njira zomwe akatswiri amalimbikitsa kuti apewe kufalikira kwa matenda:
- Pewani anthu ambiri.
- Letsani zochitika.
- Gwirani ntchito kutali (ngati nkotheka).
- Sambani m’manja polowa ndi potuluka m’nyumba—ndiponso nthaŵi zambiri mukakhala kunja kwa nyumba.
- Pewani kukhudza nkhope yanu, makamaka kunja kwa nyumba (zosavuta!).
- Thirani mankhwala pamalo ndi matumba (kachilomboka kakhoza kukhalabe mpaka masiku 9 pamalopo, ngakhale izi sizikudziwika bwino).
Izi sizikukhudza inu nokha
Ngati muli ndi zaka zosakwana 50 ndipo mulibe ziwopsezo monga chitetezo chamthupi chofooka, matenda amtima, kusuta kapena matenda ena osachiritsika, ndiye kuti mutha kumasuka: sizokayikitsa kuti mungafe ndi coronavirus. Koma mmene mumachitira ndi zofunikabe. Ukadali ndi mwayi woti mutha kutenga kachilomboka - ndipo ngati mutatenga kachilomboka, palinso mwayi woti mutha kupatsira ena. Pafupifupi, munthu aliyense yemwe ali ndi kachilomboka amapatsira anthu opitilira awiri, ndipo amayamba kupatsirana zizindikiro zisanawonekere. Ngati muli ndi makolo omwe mumawasamalira kapena agogo anu ndipo mukufuna kucheza nawo, mutha kudziwa pambuyo pake kuti mwawapatsira kachilombo ka coronavirus. Ndipo ichi ndi cholemetsa chovuta chomwe chidzakhalapo kwa moyo wonse.
Ngakhale simunakumane ndi anthu opitilira zaka 50, mwina muli ndi anzanu ambiri komanso odziwa bwino matenda osatha kuposa momwe mukudziwira. kuti anthu ochepa amalankhula za thanzi lawo kuntchito chifukwa . Tonse tili pachiwopsezo, koma anthu ambiri omwe timacheza nawo sangadziwe izi.
Ndipo, ndithudi, izi sizikugwira ntchito kwa anthu omwe akuzungulirani okha. Iyinso ndi nkhani yofunika kwambiri yamakhalidwe abwino. Aliyense amene amayesetsa kuchepetsa kufala kwa kachiromboka amathandiza anthu onse ammudzi kuti achepetse kufalikira kwake. Monga Zeynep Tufekci analemba: : "Kukonzekera pafupifupi kufalikira kwa kachilomboka padziko lonse lapansi ... ndi chimodzi mwazinthu zopindulitsa kwambiri pagulu komanso zopanda chikondi zomwe mungachite." Akupitiriza kuti:
Tiyenera kukonzekera - osati chifukwa timadzimva kuti tili pachiwopsezo, komanso kuchepetsa chiopsezo cha aliyense wa ife. Sitiyenera kukonzekera chifukwa mapeto a dziko lapansi akubwera, koma chifukwa tikhoza kusintha mbali zonse za chiopsezo chomwe timakumana nacho monga gulu. N’zoona kuti muyenera kukonzekera chifukwa anansi anu amazifuna—makamaka anansi anu okalamba, anansi anu amene amagwira ntchito m’zipatala, anansi anu odwala matenda aakulu ndi anansi anu amene sangathe kudzikonzekeretsa okha chifukwa chosowa nthawi kapena zinthu zina.
Zinatikhudza ifeyo panokha. Maphunziro aakulu kwambiri komanso ofunika kwambiri omwe tachita pa fast.ai, omwe akuimira mapeto a zaka za ntchito yathu, adakonzedwa kuti ayambe ku yunivesite ya San Francisco mu sabata imodzi. Lachitatu lapitali (March 4th) tinaganiza zopereka maphunziro onse pa intaneti. Tinali amodzi mwa maphunziro oyamba kusintha . N’chifukwa chiyani tinachita zimenezi? Chifukwa koyambirira kwa sabata yatha tidazindikira kuti pochita maphunzirowa timalimbikitsa mosalunjika kusonkhana kwa anthu mazana ambiri m'malo otsekedwa, nthawi zambiri kwa milungu ingapo. Kusonkhanitsa magulu a anthu mu malo otsekedwa ndi chinthu choipa kwambiri chomwe mungachite muzochitika izi. Tinaona kuti tili ndi udindo woletsa zimenezi. Kusankha kumeneku kunali kovuta kwambiri. Nthawi yanga yogwira ntchito ndi ophunzira inali imodzi mwazinthu zosangalatsa kwambiri komanso zopindulitsa kwambiri chaka chilichonse. Ndipo ophunzira athu anali kudzawuluka kuchokera padziko lonse lapansi pamaphunzirowa - sitinafune kuwakhumudwitsa.
Koma tinkadziwa kuti chinali chisankho choyenera chifukwa tikapanda kutero tingathe kufalitsa matendawa m’dera lathu.
Tiyenera kufewetsa phirilo
Izi ndizofunikira kwambiri chifukwa tikachepetsa kufalikira kwa matenda m'derali, tidzapatsa zipatala za m'deralo nthawi kuti zipirire odwala omwe ali ndi kachilomboka komanso odwala omwe amayenera kuwachiritsa. Izi zimatchedwa "flattening the curve" ndipo zikuwonetsedwa bwino pachithunzichi:
Farzad Mostashari, yemwe kale anali National Coordinator for Health IT, adalongosola kuti: "Pali milandu yatsopano tsiku lililonse yopanda mbiri yapaulendo kapena kulumikizana ndi milandu yodziwika, ndipo tikudziwa kuti ndi nsonga chabe chifukwa chakuchedwa kuyezetsa. Izi zikutanthauza kuti chiwerengero cha anthu omwe ali ndi kachilomboka chidzawonjezeka kwambiri m'masabata awiri otsatirawa ... Kuyesera kuyika zoletsa zing'onozing'ono poyang'anizana ndi kufalikira kwachidziwitso kumakhala ngati kuyang'ana pamoto pamene nyumba ikuyaka. Izi zikachitika, njirayo iyenera kusintha kuti ichepetse kufalikira ndikuchepetsa kukhudzidwa kwaumoyo wa anthu. ” Ngati tingachepetse kufalikira kotero kuti zipatala zathu zitha kuthana ndi vutoli, ndiye kuti anthu apeza chithandizo. Koma ngati pali anthu ambiri omwe akudwala, ambiri omwe amafunikira kuchipatala sangalandire.
Izi ndi momwe zimawonekera pankhani ya masamu Liz Specht:
Ku US kuli mabedi azachipatala 1000 pa anthu 2.8 aliwonse. Ndi anthu 330 miliyoni, timapeza mipando pafupifupi miliyoni. Nthawi zambiri 65% ya malo awa amakhala. Izi zimatisiya ndi mabedi 330 zikwi zachipatala zaulere m'dziko lonselo (mwinamwake pang'ono panthawiyi, poganizira matenda a nyengo). Tiyeni titenge ziwerengero zaku Italy ngati maziko ndikuganiza kuti 10% yamilandu imafunikira kuchipatala. (Kumbukirani kuti kwa odwala ambiri, kugonekedwa m'chipatala kumatenga milungu ingapo - mwa kuyankhula kwina, kutembenuka kumakhala pang'onopang'ono pamene mabedi amadzadza ndi odwala a coronavirus). Malinga ndi kuyerekezera uku, pofika Meyi 8, mabedi onse opanda kanthu m'zipatala zaku US adzakhala atadzazidwa. (Zoonadi, izi sizikunena kuti mabedi achipatala ali okonzeka bwino kuti azitha kupatula odwala omwe ali ndi kachilombo koyambitsa matenda opatsirana kwambiri.) Ngati tinalakwitsa pa chiwerengero cha milandu yoopsa, izi zimangosintha nthawi yomwe mabedi achipatala amadzaza, ndi 6 masiku mbali iliyonse. Ngati 20% yamilandu iyenera kugonekedwa m'chipatala, malo atha ~ Meyi 2. Ngati 5% yokha - ~ Meyi 14. 2.5% imatifikitsa ku Meyi 20th. Izi, zachidziwikire, zimangoganiza kuti palibe chosowa chachangu cha mabedi azachipatala (osati a coronavirus), zomwe ndi zokayikitsa. Dongosolo lazaumoyo limadzaza, kusowa kwamankhwala, ndi zina zambiri, anthu omwe ali ndi matenda osatha, omwe nthawi zambiri amakhala odziyimira pawokha komanso odzipanga okha, amatha kudwala kwambiri, zomwe zimafunikira chithandizo chamankhwala mwachangu komanso kuchipatala.
Kusiyana kwake kuli pakuchita kwa anthu
Monga tafotokozera kale, masamu awa sizowona - China yawonetsa kale kuti ndizotheka kuchepetsa kufalikira ndi njira zadzidzidzi. Chitsanzo china chabwino cha kuyankhidwa kopambana ndi Vietnam, kumene, mwa zina, malonda a dziko (ndi nyimbo yogwira mtima!) Mwamsanga adasonkhanitsa anthu ndikupangitsa anthu kusintha khalidwe lawo kuti likhale lovomerezeka kwambiri pazochitikazi.
Izi siziri chabe zochitika zongopeka, monga momwe zinawonekera bwino mu 1918 Spanish Flu. Ku US, mizinda iwiri idawonetsa kuyankha kosiyana kwambiri ndi mliriwu: Philadelphia idakonza gulu la anthu 200.000 kuti apeze ndalama zankhondo; San Luis adayambitsa njira yochepetsera kucheza ndi anthu kuti achepetse kufalikira kwa kachilomboka; Zochitika zonse zapagulu zidathetsedwa. Ndipo izi ndi momwe ziwerengero za imfa zimawonekera mumzinda uliwonse, monga zikuwonetsera :
Zosintha zosiyanasiyana ku Spanish Flu ya 1918
Zinthu ku Philadelphia zidasokonekera mwachangu mpaka pomwe chifukwa cha kuikidwa kwa akufa ambiri.
Richard Besser, yemwe anali mkulu wa Centers for Disease Prevention and Control pa mliri wa 1 H1N2009, kuti ku United States, “chiwopsezo chanu cha ngozi ndi kuthekera kwanu kodzitetezera inuyo ndi banja lanu zimadalira ndalama, kupeza chithandizo chamankhwala, kusamuka, ndi zina zotero.” Zikuonetsa kuti:
Anthu okalamba ndi olumala ali pachiwopsezo chowonjezereka pamene machitidwe awo a tsiku ndi tsiku ndi zothandizira sizikugwira ntchito bwino. Amene alibe mwayi wopeza chithandizo chamankhwala, kuphatikizapo midzi ndi midzi, adzakhudzidwanso ndi vuto la mtunda wopita ku malo omwe ali pafupi. Anthu okhala m'malo otsekedwa - nyumba za anthu, ndende, malo ogona, kapena osowa pokhala - amatha kutenga kachilombo ka mafunde, monga tawonera kale ku Washington. Ndipo chiwopsezo cha ogwira ntchito ochepera omwe ali ndi antchito opanda chilolezo chalamulo komanso ndondomeko zosakhazikika zidzawululidwa panthawi yamavuto. Funsani 60 peresenti ya ogwira ntchito pa ola limodzi ku US kuti ndi zophweka bwanji kwa iwo kutenga tchuthi kapena nthawi yopuma.
American Bureau of Job Statistics ikuwonetsa izi anthu omwe amalandila malipiro ochepa alipira tchuthi chodwala.
Anthu ambiri aku America omwe amapeza ndalama zochepa salipira tchuthi chodwala, choncho amayenera kupita kuntchito.
Tilibe chidziwitso chodalirika pa Covid-19 ku US
Mmodzi mwa mavuto aakulu mu US ndi kusowa kuyendera; ndipo zotsatira za macheke omwe adachitika sizinasindikizidwe bwino, zomwe zikutanthauza kuti sitikudziwa zomwe zikuchitikadi. Scott Gottlieb, wamkulu wakale wa Food and Drug Administration, adafotokoza kuti kuyezetsa kunali bwino ku Seattle, chifukwa chake tili ndi chidziwitso chokhudza matenda mderali: "Chifukwa chomwe tidadziwa za matendawa koyambirira kwa covid-19 ku Seattle - chisamaliro chapafupi cha ofufuza odziimira okha. Sipanakhalepo m’mizinda inanso m’mizinda ina. Chifukwa chake malo ena otentha ku US sangapezeke pakadali pano. ” Malinga ndi , Wachiwiri kwa Purezidenti Mike Pence adalonjeza pafupifupi mayeso 1.5 miliyoni apezeka sabata ino, koma ku US konse, anthu 2000 okha ndi omwe ayesedwa mpaka pano. Kutengera ntchito kuchokera Robinson Meyer ndi Alexis Madrigal a The Atlantic anati:
Zomwe tatolera zikuwonetsa kuti kuyankha kwa America ku covid-19 komanso matenda omwe amayambitsa kwayenda pang'onopang'ono, makamaka poyerekeza ndi mayiko ena otukuka. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention idatsimikizira masiku 8 apitawa kuti kachilomboka kamafalikira mdera la America - kuti ukupatsira anthu aku America omwe sanapite kudziko lina kapena kukumana ndi aliyense amene adakumana nawo. Ku South Korea, anthu opitilira 66.650 adayesedwa sabata yoyamba atadwala matenda amtundu woyamba - ndipo posakhalitsa adaphunzira kuyesa anthu 10.000 patsiku.
Vuto lina ndiloti lafika pa ndale. Makamaka, a Donald Trump adanena momveka bwino kuti akufuna kuti "ziwerengero" (ndiko kuti, kuchuluka kwa anthu omwe ali ndi kachilombo ku US) kutsika. (Ngati mukufuna kudziwa zambiri pamutuwu, werengani nkhani ya Data Science Ethics "") Mtsogoleri wa Artificial Intelligence ku Google, , analemba zavuto lazidziwitso zandale:
Pamene ndinkagwira ntchito ku WHO, ndinali m'gulu la pulogalamu yapadziko lonse ya AIDS - yomwe tsopano ndi UNAIDS - yomwe inakhazikitsidwa pofuna kulimbana ndi mliri wa AIDS. Ogwira ntchito, madokotala ndi asayansi, anali akuyang'ana kwambiri kuthetsa vutoli. Panthawi yamavuto, chidziwitso chomveka bwino komanso cholondola chimafunika kuthandiza aliyense kupanga zisankho zodziwika bwino za momwe angachitire (dziko, boma, maboma ang'onoang'ono, makampani, osapindula, masukulu, mabanja ndi anthu pawokha). Ndi chidziwitso choyenera komanso njira zomvera akatswiri ndi asayansi apamwamba, titha kuthana ndi zovuta monga HIV/AIDS kapena COVID-19. Pokhala ndi zidziwitso zabodza zomwe zimayendetsedwa ndi zofuna zandale, pali chiwopsezo chenicheni chopangitsa kuti zinthu ziipireipire posayankha mwachangu komanso mosakayikira panthawi ya mliri womwe ukukula komanso kulimbikitsa zomwe zimapangitsa kuti matendawa achuluke kwambiri. N'zopweteka kwambiri kuona mmene zinthu zilili.
Sizikuwoneka ngati andale akufunitsitsa kusintha zinthu zikafika poonekera. Secretary of Health Alex Azar "adayamba kukamba za mayeso omwe ogwira ntchito zachipatala amachita kuti amvetsetse ngati wodwala ali ndi kachilombo katsopano. Kuperewera kwa mayesowa kunatanthauza kusiyana kowopsa kwa chidziwitso cha miliri chokhudza kufalikira ndi kuopsa kwa matendawa ku United States, kukulitsidwa chifukwa chosowa poyera boma. Azar amayesa kunena kuti mayeso atsopano adayitanidwa kale ndikuti chomwe chikusowa ndikuwongolera kuti awapeze. " Koma, iwo akupitiriza:
Trump ndiye adasokoneza mwadzidzidzi Azar. "Koma ndikuganiza, ndipo izi ndizofunikira, kuti munthu aliyense amene amafunikira mayeso lero kapena dzulo adapeza mayesowo. Ali pano, ali ndi mayeso ndipo mayeso ndi abwino. Aliyense amene akufunika mayeso amayesedwa, "atero a Trump. Sizoona. Wachiwiri kwa Purezidenti Mike Pence adauza atolankhani kuti kufunikira kwa mayeso ku US kumatuluka.
Mayiko ena akuchita zinthu mwachangu komanso mokulira kuposa United States. Maiko ambiri ku Southeast Asia akuchita bwino, kuphatikiza Taiwan, komwe R0 idafika 0.3, ndi Singapore, yomwe akuti iwerengedwe. . Koma si ku Asia kokha tsopano; ku France, mwachitsanzo, kusonkhana kulikonse kwa anthu opitilira 1000 ndikoletsedwa, ndipo masukulu amatsekedwa m'magawo atatu.
Pomaliza
Covid-19 ndi nkhani yofunika kwambiri pagulu, ndipo titha - ndipo tiyenera - kuyesetsa kuchepetsa kufalikira kwa matendawa. Amatanthauza:
- Pewani unyinji wa anthu
- Letsani zochitika
- Gwirani ntchito kunyumba ngati nkotheka
- Sambani m’manja polowa ndi potuluka m’nyumba—ndiponso nthaŵi zambiri mukakhala kunja kwa nyumba.
- Pewani kugwira nkhope yanu, makamaka kunja kwa nyumba
Zindikirani: Chifukwa kunali kofunikira kufalitsa nkhaniyi mwachangu momwe tingathere, sitinachite kusamala polemba mndandanda wa zolembedwa ndi ntchito zomwe tidatengerapo.
Chonde tiuzeni ngati taphonya kalikonse.
Zikomo Sylvain Gugger ndi Alexis Gallagher chifukwa cha ndemanga ndi ndemanga.
Source: www.habr.com