Gartner Hype Cycle 2019: zokambirana

Tidakonza matekinoloje a AI a 2019 ndikufanizira mopanda manyazi ndi zoneneratu za 2017.

Choyamba, Gartner Hype Cycle ndi chiyani? Uwu ndi mtundu wa kukhwima kwaukadaulo, kapena kusintha kuchokera pa hype kupita kukugwiritsa ntchito bwino. Tsopano padzakhala graph yokhala ndi zomasulira kuti zimveke bwino chirichonse. Ndipo m'munsimu muli mafotokozedwe.

Gawo loyamba. mkwiyo. Launch. Ukadaulo umawoneka, umakambidwa koyamba ndi amatsenga owunikiridwa, ndiyeno ndi anthu otentheka; Chisangalalo chikukula pang'onopang'ono.

Gawo lachiwiri. malonda. Kuchuluka kwa ziyembekezo zokwezeka. Panthawi ina, aliyense akulankhula kale za teknoloji, akuyesera kuigwiritsa ntchito, ndipo odziwa bwino kwambiri akugulitsa pamtengo wokwera mtengo.

Gawo lachitatu. kuvutika maganizo Kuchepa kwa chidwi. Zipangizo zamakono zikugwiritsidwa ntchito mwakhama ndipo nthawi zambiri zimalephera chifukwa cha zofooka ndi zoperewera. "Zonse ndi zopusa!" - amabwera apa ndi apo. Chisangalalo chimatsika kwambiri (mtengo wamtengo, nthawi zambiri).

Gawo lachinayi. kutsutsa Gwirani ntchito nsikidzi. Ukadaulo ukukonzedwa, mavuto akuthetsedwa. Pang'onopang'ono, makampani amayesa mosamala kugwiritsa ntchito ukadaulo ndipo, mwachangu, zonse zimayenda bwino.

Gawo lachisanu. Kutengera ana Ntchito yopindulitsa. Tekinolojeyi ikupeza malo ake oyenera pamsika ndipo ikugwira ntchito mwakachetechete, ikupanga, komanso kukondedwa.

Kodi zomwe zikuchitika ndi chiyani?

Kubwerera ku 2019 hype cycle. Gartner anamasulidwa mu Seputembala, lipoti lomwe matekinoloje anzeru ochita kupanga ali pamlingo wotani, komanso liti ayamba kugwira ntchito mopindulitsa. Chithunzi pansipa, ndemanga pansipa graph.

Ukadaulo wa "Kuzindikira Kulankhula" ndi "Kupititsa patsogolo Kugwiritsa Ntchito GPU" ali patsogolo kwambiri ndipo ali kale pagawo la "Ntchito Yopanga". Izi zikutanthauza kuti ayenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito mwamsanga, chifukwa amapereka kale mwayi wopikisana kwa eni ake.

Kuphunzira pamakina (AutoML) ndi ma chatbots pakali pano ali pachimake chambiri. Ndiye kuti, aliyense akulankhula za iwo, ambiri akuwagwiritsa ntchito, koma zidzatengera kuchokera ku 2 mpaka 5 mokhazikika kuti abweretse matekinoloje pamlingo wofunikira.

Magalimoto omwe tidazolowera tsopano ndiambiri kuposa amakono. Ukadaulo wamagalimoto odziyimira uli pafupi kuyesa pansi. Pamenepa, izi ndi zabwino, chifukwa ntchito yopindulitsa ili patsogolo. Komabe, Gartner akuyerekeza kuti zitenga zaka zosachepera 10 kuti apange ndikusintha.

Kodi ma drones omwe analipo kale komanso zenizeni masiku ano zili kuti? Chilichonse chili m'malo - Gartner adaphatikiza ma drones m'munda wa Edge AI (magulu omwe ali m'malire ndi AI), ndipo zenizeni zenizeni zidakhala gawo la Augmented intelligence. Mitu yonse iwiriyi, mwa njira, tsopano ili pa siteji yotsegulira ndipo ili ndi zowonetseratu zabwino: zaka 2-5 ntchito yopindulitsa isanakwane pamsika.

Zoyembekeza

Zina mwazinthu zomwe zikulonjeza: Pulogalamu ya Robotic process automation - imamveka yowopsa, koma kwenikweni ndi pomwe loboti imalowa m'malo mwachizolowezi. Zowopsa kwa antchito opanda luso; komabe kuphunzira Harvard Business Review ikuti sipadzakhala kuchotsedwa ntchito, koma zokolola zidzachuluka. Idyani maziko khulupirirani. Ukadaulowu udzadutsa pachimake cha kusakondedwa ndi kunyozedwa kwanthawi zonse muzaka za 2, kenako kufalikira kulikonse.

Pa matekinoloje omwe alaliki ndi infogypsies a mikwingwirima yonse adzalankhula za anthu ambiri m'tsogolomu, "zida za neuromorphic" zinali zosangalatsa kwambiri. Izi ndi zida zamagetsi (tchipisi) zomwe tsanzira zachilengedwe zachilengedwe za dongosolo lathu lamanjenje potengera mphamvu zamagetsi. Kunena mophweka kwambiri, ndizochita bwino kwambiri chifukwa cha kugawanika kwa ntchito (kusintha kosasinthika kwa ma neuron). Zimphona monga IBM ndi Intel zili kale zolimbikira pantchito yopanga tchipisi ta neuromorphic. Koma gulu lankhondo la John Connor lili ndi nthawi yokonzekera tsiku lachiwonongeko - Gartner wapereka luso lamakono ngati zaka 10 kuti akhwime.

Nthawi zambiri, amalankhula zambiri za Digital Ethics, koma safulumira kuzikwaniritsa. Malangizowa amaperekedwa ku gulu lapadera la magawo a AI: zikutanthauza kuti pangakhale kofunika kugwirizanitsa mfundo zamakhalidwe abwino, miyambo ndi ndondomeko zosonkhanitsa deta, kukhazikitsa AI m'moyo, makamaka, kuti zikhale ngati. anthu. Pamapeto pake, yang'anani pa Asimov.

2017 ndiv2019

Ndizoseketsa, koma mu 2017 zonse zidali mosiyana, panalibe ngakhale kusintha kosiyana kwa AI: matekinoloje a AI anali m'malo opangira matekinoloje (Emerging Technologies) pamodzi ndi blockchain ndi zenizeni zowonjezera.

Kuphunzira pamakina ndi kuphunzira mozama kunali pa Hype Olympus mu 2017, ndipo mu 2019 adapitiliza njira yawo yopita kutsika, ndiye kuti. ntchito yopindulitsa.

Mwa njira, ma drones adasuntha kuchoka pachimake kupita kutsika chaka chonse, ndipo mu 2019 adabwereranso kukufika pachimake. Ndipo izi zimachitika, inde.

Mu 2019, kuzunguliraku kudaphatikizapo matekinoloje 8 atsopano. Zina mwazo ndi ntchito zamtambo AI (Cloud Services), AI Marketplaces (Marketplaces), Quantum Computing with AI (Quantum Computing). Kawirikawiri, zida zodziwika bwino (zozungulira) zomwe zikuyamba kuyika AI panjira.

Source: www.habr.com