{"id":117044,"date":"2024-07-07T03:44:29","date_gmt":"2024-07-07T01:44:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/blog\/novosti-interneta\/ii-eto-puzyr-chtoby-okupit-vlozheniya-ii-industrii-nuzhno-nauchitsya-zarabatyvat-na-poryadki-bolshe"},"modified":"2024-07-07T03:44:29","modified_gmt":"2024-07-07T01:44:29","slug":"ii-eto-puzyr-chtoby-okupit-vlozheniya-ii-industrii-nuzhno-nauchitsya-zarabatyvat-na-poryadki-bolshe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/sk\/blog\/news\/ii-eto-puzyr-chtoby-okupit-vlozheniya-ii-industrii-nuzhno-nauchitsya-zarabatyvat-na-poryadki-bolshe","title":{"rendered":"AI je bublina: aby sa invest\u00edcie vr\u00e1tili, AI priemysel sa mus\u00ed nau\u010di\u0165 zar\u00e1ba\u0165 omnoho viac","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Mas\u00edvne invest\u00edcie technologick\u00fdch gigantov do infra\u0161trukt\u00fary AI zatia\u013e nena\u0161li odraz v raste pr\u00edjmov z tohto smeru, uviedol zdroj. <noindex><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tomshardware.com\/tech-industry\/artificial-intelligence\/ai-industry-needs-to-earn-dollar600-billion-per-year-to-pay-for-massive-hardware-spend-fears-of-an-ai-bubble-intensify-in-wake-of-sequoia-report\" target=\"_blank\">Tomova technika<\/a><\/noindex>. Pod\u013ea v\u00fdpo\u010dtov Davida Cahana, analytika Sequoia Capital, bud\u00fa musie\u0165 spolo\u010dnosti v AI priemysle zar\u00e1ba\u0165 pribli\u017ene 600 mili\u00e1rd dol\u00e1rov ro\u010dne, aby vyv\u00e1\u017eili n\u00e1klady na svoju AI infra\u0161trukt\u00faru, vr\u00e1tane d\u00e1tov\u00fdch centier.<\/p>\n<p><center><\/center> \t\t\t\t  <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"AI je bublina: aby sa invest\u00edcie vr\u00e1tili, AI priemysel sa mus\u00ed nau\u010di\u0165 zar\u00e1ba\u0165 omnoho viac\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/f0f1a5118cc4a8bc1619c5f5123e3389.jpg\" style=\"display:block;margin: 0 auto;\" \/>    <\/p>\n<p>V minulom roku dosiahli pr\u00edjmy Nvidie z predaja zariaden\u00ed pre d\u00e1tov\u00e9 centr\u00e1 47,5 miliardy dol\u00e1rov. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 v\u00e4\u010d\u0161inu z t\u00fdchto zariaden\u00ed tvorili po\u010d\u00edta\u010dov\u00e9 akceler\u00e1tory pre aplik\u00e1cie AI a vysokov\u00fdkonn\u00e9 v\u00fdpo\u010dty.<\/p>\n<p>Najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ie IT spolo\u010dnosti, ako s\u00fa AWS, Google, Meta<noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"#mark-extr\" class=\"denyintext mark-link-extr\">\u2734<\/a><\/noindex>, Microsoft a mnoh\u00e9 \u010fal\u0161ie spolo\u010dnosti v roku 2023 investovali zna\u010dn\u00e9 prostriedky do svojej infra\u0161trukt\u00fary AI na prev\u00e1dzku aplik\u00e1ci\u00ed, ako je OpenAI ChatGPT. Ot\u00e1zka znie: \u201eDok\u00e1\u017eu si vr\u00e1ti\u0165 tieto invest\u00edcie?\u201c. Pod\u013ea Davida Kana to m\u00f4\u017ee znamena\u0165, \u017ee sme svedkami rastu finan\u010dnej bubliny. <\/p>\n<p><center><\/center> <\/p>\n<p>Kanonick\u00e9 v\u00fdpo\u010dty s\u00fa dos\u0165 jednoduch\u00e9. Najprv zdvojn\u00e1sobil odhad s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fdch pr\u00edjmov Nvidia, aby pokryl celkov\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na AI d\u00e1tov\u00e9 centr\u00e1, pri\u010dom polovicu z nich tvoria n\u00e1klady na GPU, zvy\u0161ok s\u00fa n\u00e1klady na energiu, budovy a z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00e9 gener\u00e1tory. Potom analytik op\u00e4\u0165 zdvojn\u00e1sob\u00ed sumu, aby zabezpe\u010dil 50 % hrubej mar\u017ee pre koncov\u00fdch pou\u017e\u00edvate\u013eov, ako s\u00fa startupy alebo podniky, ktor\u00e9 nakupuj\u00fa v\u00fdpo\u010dtov\u00e9 AI zdroje od spolo\u010dnost\u00ed ako AWS alebo Microsoft Azure, ktor\u00e9 tie\u017e musia by\u0165 ziskov\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Poskytovatelia cloudov\u00fdch slu\u017eieb, ako napr\u00edklad Microsoft, investuj\u00fa zna\u010dn\u00e9 prostriedky do n\u00e1kupu GPU. Pod\u013ea Nvidie poch\u00e1dza polovica jej pr\u00edjmov z d\u00e1tov\u00fdch centier od ve\u013ek\u00fdch poskytovate\u013eov cloudov\u00fdch slu\u017eieb. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 len Microsoft priniesol Nvidii pribli\u017ene 22 % pr\u00edjmov v IV. kvart\u00e1li finan\u010dn\u00e9ho roka 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Medzit\u00fdm, v I. kvart\u00e1li finan\u010dn\u00e9ho roka 2025, Nvidia predala GPU pre d\u00e1tov\u00e9 centr\u00e1 v hodnote pribli\u017ene 19 mili\u00e1rd dol\u00e1rov. S pr\u00edchodom v\u00fdkonnej\u0161\u00edch a drah\u0161\u00edch \u010dipov Nvidia B100\/B200 bude suma invest\u00edci\u00ed r\u00e1s\u0165.<\/p>\n<p>Ak sa spolo\u010dnosti OpenAI, ktor\u00e1 vyvinula AI chatbot ChatGPT a pou\u017e\u00edva infra\u0161trukt\u00faru Microsoft Azure, podarilo dosiahnu\u0165 z\u00e1sadn\u00fd n\u00e1rast pr\u00edjmov: z 1,6 miliardy dol\u00e1rov na konci roku 2023 na 3,4 miliardy dol\u00e1rov v roku 2024, in\u00fdm spolo\u010dnostiam v oblasti AI sa zatia\u013e nepodarilo prekona\u0165 ani zn\u00e1mku 100 mili\u00f3nov dol\u00e1rov v pr\u00edjmoch. Napriek tomu invest\u00edcie do AI vybavenia rast\u00fa, poznamenal Tom's Hardware.<\/p>\n<p>Pod\u013ea Kana ani optimistick\u00e9 odhady pr\u00edjmov ve\u013ek\u00fdch technologick\u00fdch spolo\u010dnost\u00ed z oblasti AI nespl\u0148uj\u00fa o\u010dak\u00e1vania. Ak predpoklad\u00e1me, \u017ee Google, Microsoft, Apple a Meta<noindex><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"#mark-extr\" class=\"denyintext mark-link-extr\">\u2734<\/a><\/noindex> bud\u00fa ro\u010dne zar\u00e1ba\u0165 na AI rie\u0161eniach po 10 mili\u00e1rd dol\u00e1rov, zatia\u013e \u010do in\u00e9 spolo\u010dnosti ako Oracle, ByteDance, Alibaba, Tencent, X a Tesla bud\u00fa schopn\u00e9 generova\u0165 po 5 mili\u00e1rd dol\u00e1rov ka\u017ed\u00fd, st\u00e1le zost\u00e1va rozdiel 500 mili\u00e1rd dol\u00e1rov.<\/p>\n<p>Analytik sa domnieva, \u017ee trh AI \u010dak\u00e1 dlh\u00e1 a n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e1 cesta, preto\u017ee podniky a startupy e\u0161te musia vymyslie\u0165 aplik\u00e1cie, ktor\u00e9 prin\u00e1\u0161aj\u00fa skuto\u010dn\u00e9 peniaze. Kan ver\u00ed, \u017ee odvetvie by malo zmierni\u0165 o\u010dak\u00e1vania r\u00fdchlej n\u00e1vratnosti z pokrokov v oblasti AI, uzn\u00e1vaj\u00fac \u0161pekulat\u00edvny charakter s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fdch invest\u00edci\u00ed a potrebu trval\u00fdch inov\u00e1ci\u00ed a tvorby hodnoty. Inak m\u00f4\u017ee praskn\u00fa\u0165 bublina v hodnote stoviek mili\u00e1rd dol\u00e1rov a zr\u00fati\u0165 trh.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Zdroj:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"related\">\n<li><noindex><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tomshardware.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Tom&#039;s Hardware\">Tomova technika<\/a><\/noindex><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> \t           \t  <center>     <center>    <\/center>     <center>   <\/center>     <\/center>  <center>     <\/center>   \t\t\t \t\t\t\t<center> \t\t\t\t     \t\t\t\t<\/center><br \/>Zdroj: <a content=\"nofollow\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/3dnews.ru\/1107605\">3dnews.ru<\/a> <\/p>","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u041c\u0430\u0441\u0448\u0442\u0430\u0431\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0433\u0438\u0433\u0430\u043d\u0442\u043e\u0432 \u0432 \u0438\u043d\u0444\u0440\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0443\u043a\u0442\u0443\u0440\u0443 \u0418\u0418 \u043f\u043e\u043a\u0430 \u043d\u0435 \u043d\u0430\u0448\u043b\u0438 \u043e\u0442\u043e\u0431\u0440\u0430\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0432 \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0435 \u0434\u043e\u0445\u043e\u0434\u043e\u0432 \u043e\u0442 \u044d\u0442\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043d\u0430\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f, \u043e\u0442\u043c\u0435\u0442\u0438\u043b \u0440\u0435\u0441\u0443\u0440\u0441 Tom&#8217;s Hardware. \u0421\u043e\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0441\u043d\u043e \u0440\u0430\u0441\u0447\u0451\u0442\u0430\u043c \u0414\u044d\u0432\u0438\u0434\u0430 \u041a\u0430\u043d\u0430 (David Cahn), \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430 Sequoia Capital, \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f\u043c \u0418\u0418-\u0438\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0434\u0451\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0437\u0430\u0440\u0430\u0431\u0430\u0442\u044b\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u043e\u043a\u043e\u043b\u043e $600 \u043c\u043b\u0440\u0434 \u0432 \u0433\u043e\u0434, \u0447\u0442\u043e\u0431\u044b \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u0435\u043d\u0441\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u0440\u0430\u0441\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044b \u043d\u0430 \u0441\u0432\u043e\u044e \u0418\u0418-\u0438\u043d\u0444\u0440\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0443\u043a\u0442\u0443\u0440\u0443, \u0432\u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0430\u044f \u0426\u041e\u0414. \u0412 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0448\u043b\u043e\u043c \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0443 \u0432\u044b\u0440\u0443\u0447\u043a\u0430 Nvidia \u043e\u0442 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0436\u0438 \u043e\u0431\u043e\u0440\u0443\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":1,"featured_media":117045,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[702],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-117044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.4 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u041c\u0430\u0441\u0448\u0442\u0430\u0431\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0433\u0438\u0433\u0430\u043d\u0442\u043e\u0432 \u0432 \u0438\u043d\u0444\u0440\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0443\u043a\u0442\u0443\u0440\u0443 \u0418\u0418 \u043f\u043e\u043a\u0430 \u043d\u0435 \u043d\u0430\u0448\u043b\u0438 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