Se data masayendisiti, ibasa redu kukwanisa kuongorora uye kududzira data. Uye isu tainetsekana zvakanyanya nemhedzisiro yekuongororwa kwedata rine chekuita necovid-19. Avo vari panjodzi zvakanyanya ndivo vanonyanya kutambudzika - vakweguru nevanhu vane mari shoma - asi tese tinofanirwa kuchinja maitiro edu kudzora kupararira nekukanganisa kwechirwere. Geza maoko ako zvakakwana uye nguva dzose, dzivisa mhomho, kanzura zviitiko uye dzivisa kubata kumeso kwako. Mune ino post, isu tichatsanangura kuti sei isu tiri kunetseka, uye nei iwe uchifanira kunetsekawo. Kuti uwane pfupiso yeruzivo rwakakosha, ona Ethan Alley's post. (Munyori ndiye mutungamiri wesangano risingabatsiri rinogadzira matekinoroji ekudzikisa njodzi yedenda).
Zviri Mukati:
1. Tinoda chirongwa chekurapa chinoshanda.
Makore maviri chete apfuura, mumwe wedu (Rachel) akabata hutachiona hunokanganisa huropi uye hunouraya ¼ yeavo vakatapukirwa, uye zvinotungamira mukukanganisika kwekuziva mumunhu wese wechitatu akatapukirwa. Vapukunyuki vakawanda vanotambura kunzwa kwechigarire uye kusaona zvakanaka. Rachel paakasvika kuchipatara akanga apererwa. Akaita rombo rakanaka kuwana kurapwa nenguva, kuongororwa uye kurapwa. Pakarepo chiitiko ichi chisati chaitika, akanzwa zvinoshamisa, uye hupenyu hwake hunogona kunge hwakaponeswa nekuda kwekukurumidza kupinda mudhipatimendi renjodzi.
Zvino ngatitaure nezve covid-19 uye chii chingaitika kuvanhu vari mumamiriro akaita saRachel mumavhiki nemwedzi iri kuuya. Huwandu hwenyaya dzakaonekwa dzehutachiona hweCovid-19 hunowedzera zvakapetwa mazuva matatu kusvika matanhatu ega ega. Kana tikatora nguva iyi kuve mazuva matatu, mumavhiki matatu huwandu hwevanhu vane hutachiona huchawedzera ka3 (chaizvoizvo, zvese hazvisi nyore, asi ngatirege kutsauswa nehunyanzvi ruzivo). Mumwe muvanhu gumi vane hutachiwana anoda kugara muchipatara kwenguva refu (mavhiki mazhinji), uye vazhinji vevarwere ava vanoda oxygen. Kunyangwe kupararira kwehutachiona kuchangotanga, mune mamwe matunhu zvipatara zvatozara nevanhu uye vanhu vari kutadza kuwana mishonga yavanoda (yemamiriro akasiyana siyana, kwete avo vabatwa necovid-6 chete). Semuenzaniso, muItari, uko svondo rapfuura zviremera zvakati zvese zvaive zvakanaka, ikozvino mamirioni gumi nematanhatu vanhu vari muhusungwa (upd: maawa matanhatu mushure mekuburitswa nyika yese yakavharwa). Kubatsira kubata nekuwanda kwevarwere, matende akaita seaya ari kumiswa:
Dr Antonio Pesenti, mukuru wenzvimbo yedambudziko redunhu mudunhu reItari ranyanya kurova, anoti: "Tinofanirwa kumisa nzvimbo dzekuchengeta varwere mumakoridho, makamuri ekuvhiyira nemakamuri ekugadziridza ... Imwe yeakanakisa hutano masisitimu munyika, mu Lombardy, iri kufamba kubva pakudonha. "
2. Haisi chinhu chakafanana nefuruu.
Huwandu hwevanhu vanofa nefuruwenza hunosvika 0,1%. Marc Lipsitch, director weCenter for Communicable Disease Dynamics paHarvard, anopa yeCovid-19 pa1-2%. inopa huwandu hwevanhu vanofa ne1,6% kuChina muna Kukadzi, kakapetwa gumi nematanhatu kupfuura furuwenza16 (iyi inogona kunge iri fungidziro inochengetedza, sezvo huwandu hwerufu hukakwira zvakanyanya kana hurongwa hwehutano hwatadza kurarama). Iko fungidziro dzakanakisa nhasi dzinoti Covid-1 ichauraya vanhu zvakapetwa kagumi gore rino kupfuura furuwenza (uye Elena Grewal, aimbove director wesainzi yedata kuAirbnb, anofungidzira kuti mamiriro ezvinhu akaipisisa akapetwa ka100 kupfuura furuu). Uye izvi zvose hazvifungi nezvesimba rinokosha rehutano hwehutano, sezvataurwa pamusoro apa. Unogona kunzwisisa kuti nei vamwe vanhu vachizvisimbisa kuti hapana chitsva chiri kuitika uye kuti ichi chirwere chakafanana nefuruu. Hazvina kugadzikana kuziva kuti ivo havasati vasangana neizvi zvachose.
Huropi hwedu hauna kugadzirwa kuti tinzwisise kukura kwehuwandu hwevanhu vane hutachiona. Naizvozvo, isu tichaita ongororo semasayendisiti, tisingavimbi neruzivo.
Munhu wese anotapukirwa nefuruwenza, paavhareji, vamwe vanhu 1,3. Ichi chiratidzo chinonzi R0. Kana R0 iri pasi pe1, hutachiona hunomira kupararira, uye kana yakakura kudarika 1, inoramba ichipararira. Kune covid-19 kunze kweChina, iyo R0 yave 2-3. Musiyano ungaite seusingakoshi, asi mushure me "20 iterations" yehutachiona, mune yeR0 = 1,3 nhamba yevanhu vane hutachiona ichave vanhu 146, uye yeR0 = 2,5 - 36 miriyoni! Idzi kuverenga kwakapfava, asi kunoshanda semufananidzo une musoro hama mutsauko pakati peCovid-19 nefuruu.
Ziva kuti R0 haisi chinhu chakakosha chechirwere. Mwero uyu unoenderana zvikuru nemhinduro [kuchirwere] uye unogona kuchinja nekufamba kwenguva2. Semuenzaniso, muChina iyo R0 yecovid-19 iri kukurumidza kudzikira uye ikozvino yasvika pa1! Izvi zvinogoneka sei, unobvunza? Nekuita matanho angave akaoma kufungidzira munyika dzakaita seUnited States, sekuvharira zvachose maguta makuru mazhinji uye kugadzira nzira dzekuongorora dzinogona kuyedza vanhu miriyoni pasvondo.
Pasocial media (kusanganisira maakaundi akakurumbira akadai saElon Musk's) pane kazhinji kushomeka kwekunzwisisa mutsauko uripo pakati pekukura uye kukura. Logistic kukura mukuita kunoenderana neS-chimiro chedenda curve. Ehe, kukura kwakakura zvakare hakugone kuenderera nekusingaperi, sezvo huwandu hwevanhu vane hutachiona hunogara hwakaganhurirwa nehukuru hwehuwandu hwePasi. Nekuda kweizvozvo, chiyero chechiitiko chinofanirwa kuderera, zvichikonzera S-yakaita curve (sigmoid) yehuwandu hwekukura zvichienderana nenguva. Zvisinei, kuderedzwa kunowanikwa mune dzimwe nzira uye kwete zvemashiripiti. Nzira huru:
- mhinduro huru uye inobudirira yeruzhinji;
- huwandu hwevanhu vanorwara hwakakura zvekuti kune vanhu vashoma vasingarware kuti hutachiona huwedzere kupararira.
Nekudaro, hazvina hungwaru kutaura kune logistic kukura curve senzira ye "kudzora" denda.
Chimwe chinhu chakaoma kunzwisisa zvinokonzeresa covid-19 munharaunda yeko kunonoka kwakanyanya pakati pehutachiona uye kuchipatara - kazhinji mazuva gumi nerimwe. Izvi zvinogona kunge zvisingaite senge nguva yakareba, asi nguva yakadai inoreva kuti panguva iyo mibhedha yese yechipatara yazara, huwandu hwevanhu vane hutachiona huchave hwakapetwa ka11-5 kupfuura huwandu hwevanhu vari muchipatara.
Ziva kuti pane zvimwe zviratidzo zvekutanga zvemamiriro ekunze kukanganisa kupararira kwehutachiona. Mukudhindwa vanoti pari zvino chirwere ichi chiri kupararira munzvimbo dzine mwero (zvinosuruvarisa kwatiri, tembiricha yeSan Francisco, kwatinogara, ichiri munzvimbo chaiyo; izvi zvinosanganisirawo nzvimbo dzine vanhu vakawanda dzeEurope, kusanganisira London).
3. Iyo "Usavhunduka, gara wakadzikama" nzira haibatsiri.
Pasocial media, vanhu vanotaura zvikonzero zvekunetseka vanowanzoudzwa kuti "usavhunduke" kana "gara wakadzikama." Izvi, kutaura zvishoma, hazvina maturo. Hapana ari kuratidza kuti kutya imhinduro inogamuchirika. Asi pane zvikonzero nei "kudzikama" iri mhinduro yakajairika mune mamwe madenderedzwa (asi kwete pakati pevanorwara nechirwere chechirwere chine basa rekutevera zvinhu zvakadaro). Zvichida "kudzikama" kunobatsira vanhu kuti vanzwe vakasununguka nekusaita kwavo, kana kuvabvumira kunzwa vari pamusoro kune avo vavanoona sekumhanya sehuku isina musoro.
Asi "kudzikama" kunogona kupinza nyore nyore nzira yekugadzirira uye kupindura zvakakodzera. China yakanga yaparadzanisa makumi emamiriyoni evagari uye yakavaka zvipatara zviviri panguva iyo nhamba dzechirwere dzakasvika pamazinga ari kuonekwa muUnited States. Italy yakamirira nguva yakareba uye nhasi (8 Kurume) yakashuma 1492 nyaya nyowani uye zana nemakumi matatu nevaviri vafa, kunyangwe vanhu vane mamirioni gumi nematanhatu vari muhusungwa. Zvichienderana neruzivo rwakanakisa rwunowanikwa kwatiri, mavhiki maviri-133 apfuura, huwandu hwechirwere cheItaly hwaive padanho rakafanana neUS neUK izvozvi.
Ndokumbira utarise kuti panguva ino tine ruzivo rushoma nezve covid-19. Hatinyatso kunyatsoziva kuti mwero wekupararira kwayo kana mwero wekufa chii, kuti inogara kwenguva yakareba sei pamusoro, kana kuti inogona kurarama nekupararira mumamiriro ekudziya. Zvese zvatinazvo ndezvekufungidzira zvichibva paruzivo rwakanakisa rwatinogona kuunganidza pamwechete. Uye yeuka kuti ruzivo rwakawanda rwunobva kuChina muChinese. Parizvino, sosi yakanakisa yekunzwisisa chiitiko cheChinese ishumo , zvichienderana nebasa rakabatanidzwa re25 nyanzvi kubva kuChina, Germany, Japan, Korea, Nigeria, Russia, Singapore, USA uye WHO.
Mukutarisana nekusavimbika kwakadai zvekuti hakuzove nedenda repasi rose uye ndizvozvo, zvichida, pasina kukoromoka kwehutano hwehutano, kusaita hakuratidzi semhinduro yakarurama. Izvi zvingave zvine njodzi zvakanyanya uye zvisingakwanisi mune chero mamiriro ekuenzanisa. Zvinoita sezvisingaite kuti nyika dzakaita seItari neChina dzakanyatsovhara zvikamu zvakakura zvehupfumi hwadzo pasina chikonzero chakanaka. Uye kusaita zvakare hakuenderane nemabatiro chaiwo atinoona munzvimbo dzine hutachiona uko hurongwa hwekurapa husingakwanise kurarama nemamiriro ezvinhu (semuenzaniso, kuItaly vanoshandisa matende mazana mana nemakumi matanhatu nemaviri ekutanga kuongororwa kwevarwere, uye pachine kudiwa .
Pane kudaro, mhinduro ine mufungo uye ine musoro ndeyekutevera matanho anokurudzirwa nenyanzvi kudzivirira kupararira kweutachiona:
- Dzivisa zviitiko zvakakura uye mhomho yevanhu
- Kanzura zviitiko
- Shanda uri pamba pese pazvinogoneka
- Geza maoko paunouya kumba uye paunobuda uye wopedza nguva kunze kwemba
- Edza kusabata kumeso kwako, kunyanya kana uri kunze uye nezve (hazvisi nyore!)
- Disinfect nzvimbo uye kurongedza (hutachiona hunogona kuramba huchishanda panzvimbo kusvika mazuva mapfumbamwe, kunyangwe izvi zvisingazivikanwe zvechokwadi).
4. Izvi hazvisi pamusoro pako chete
Kana iwe uri pasi pemakore makumi mashanu ekuzvarwa uye usina njodzi zvinhu senge kushaya simba immune system, chirwere chemoyo, nhoroondo yekuputa kare, kana zvirwere zvisingaperi, unogona kunyatsovimba kuti COVID50 haikona kukuuraya. Asi maitiro ako kune zviri kuitika achiri kukosha zvakanyanya. Uchiri nemukana wakafanana wekutapukirwa sevamwe vese, uye kana ukatapukirwa, uchine mukana wakangofanana wekutapurira vamwe. Paavhareji, munhu wese ane hutachiona anotapurira vanhu vanopfuura vaviri, uye vanotapurirana zviratidzo zvisati zvaoneka. Kana uine vabereki kana sekuru nasekuru vaunotarisira uye ukaronga kupedza nguva navo wozoona kuti une basa rekuvafumura kuhutachiona hweCOVID19, uchave mutoro mukuru.
Kunyangwe ukasadyidzana nevanhu vanopfuura makumi mashanu, ungangove uine vamwe vaunoshanda navo uye vanozivana nezvirwere zvisingaperi kupfuura zvaunofunga. kuti vanhu vashoma vanoburitsa hutano hwavo kubasa kana vachikwanisa kuzvidzivirira, . Tese tiri [Rachel neni] muchikamu chine njodzi huru, asi vanhu vazhinji vatinodyidzana navo nguva nenguva vanogona kunge vasina kuziva izvi.
Uye, chokwadi, hatisi kungotaura nezvevanhu vari munharaunda yako yepedyo. Iyi inyaya yakakosha yetsika. Wese munhu anoita zvaanogona kurwisa kupararira kweutachiona uhwu anobatsira nharaunda yese kudzikisa hutachiwana. Sezvo Zeynep Tufekci akanyora mukati : "Kugadzirira kupararira kusingadzivisike kwepasirese kwehutachiona uhu ... ndechimwe chezvinhu zvinonyanya kuenderana nemagariro, uye kusada zvinhu zvaunogona kuita." Anoenderera mberi achiti:
Tinofanira kugadzirira, kwete nemhaka yokuti isu pachedu tinonzwa tiri mungozi, asi kubetsera kuderedza ngozi nokuda kwomunhu ari wose. Isu hatifanire kugadzirira kwete nekuti takatarisana nechiitiko chezuva redooms chatisingakwanisi kudzora, asi nekuti tinogona kushandura chikamu chese chenjodzi iyi yatinosangana nayo senzanga. Ndizvozvo, unofanira kugadzirira nemhaka yokuti vavakidzani vako vanoda kuti ugadzirire—zvikurukuru vavakidzani vako vakwegura, vavakidzani vanoshanda muzvipatara, vavakidzani vane zvirwere zvisingaperi, uye vavakidzani vako vangave vasina zvokushandisa kana kuti nguva yokugadzirira.
Izvi zvakatikanganisa isu pachedu. Kosi huru uye yakakosha yatakambogadzira pafast.ai, kupera kwemakore ebasa, yakagadzwa kuYunivhesiti yeSan Francisco muvhiki. Chitatu chapfuura (Kurume 4th) takaita sarudzo yekuzvifambisa zvese online. Isu taiva imwe yekutanga kosi huru kufamba online. Nei takaita izvi? Nekuti takaona kutanga svondo rapfuura kuti kana tikamhanya kosi iyi, tinenge tichikurudzira zvisina kunanga mazana evanhu kuti vaungane munzvimbo yakavharirwa kakawanda mukati memavhiki akati wandei. Chinhu chakaipisisa chaunogona kuita kuunganidza mapoka evanhu munzvimbo yakaganhurirwa, uye rakanga riri basa redu retsika kudzivirira izvozvo. Sarudzo yacho yakanga yakaoma, nokuti basa redu nevadzidzi gore negore rakanga riri mufaro wedu mukuru uye nguva yaibudirira zvikuru. Uye kune vana vechikoro vaizokwira nendege kubva kunze, avo isu tisina kuda kuvadzikisa.
Asi isu taiziva kuti tiri kuita chinhu chakanaka nekuti kana tikadaro, taizobatsira mukupararira kwechirwere munharaunda yedu4.
5. Tinofanira kuita kuti curve ifare
Izvi zvakakosha nekuti kana tikakwanisa kuderedza huwandu hwehutachiona munharaunda, zvinoita kuti zvipatara zvikwanise kubata nekuwanda kwevanhu vane hutachiona pamwe nevarwere vavo. Mufananidzo uri pasi apa unoratidza izvi zvakajeka:
Farzad Mostashari, aimbove National Health IT Coordinator, anotsanangura kuti: "Mhosva nyowani pakati pevasiri vafambi uye dzisiri dzenyaya dziri kuzivikanwa mazuva ese uye tinoziva kuti iyi ingori chidimbu chechando nekuda kwekunonoka kuongororwa. Izvi zvinoreva kuwedzera kwekuwedzera kwehuwandu hwehutachiona mumavhiki maviri anotevera ... Kuedza kutakura kupararira kwakajeka munharaunda kwakafanana nekuisa pfungwa pakudzima twumoto kana imba yose ichitsva. Kana izvi zvikaitika, isu tinofanirwa kuchinjika kune kudzikisira - kutora matanho ekudzivirira kunonotsa kupararira uye kuderedza huwandu hwepamusoro hwehutano hweveruzhinji. " Kana tikachengeta mwero wekupararira wakadzikira zvakakwana, zvipatara zvinokwanisa kurarama uye varwere vanowana rubatsiro rwavanoda. Kana zvisina kudaro, avo vanoda kuchipatara havazopiwi muchipatara.
Maererano ne :
United States ine mibhedha yechipatara ingangoita 2,8 pavanhu chiuru. Nehuwandu hwemamiriyoni mazana matatu nemakumi matatu, izvi zvinopa mibhedha inosvika miriyoni imwe, 1000% yayo inogarwa zvachose. Saka, huwandu hwe330 zviuru zvemibhedha zviripo (zvichida zvishoma zvishoma nekuda kwefuruwenza yemwaka, nezvimwewo). Ngatitorei chiitiko cheItaly uye tifunge kuti ingangoita gumi muzana yemakesi akakomba zvekuti anoda kuchipatara. Uye isu tinorangarira kuti kuchipatara kunowanzogara kwemavhiki - nemamwe mazwi, mibhedha ine varwere veCCIDID1 inoburitswa zvishoma nezvishoma. Maererano nefungidziro idzi, mibhedha yese yemuchipatara ichagarwa naMay 65. Uye panguva imwecheteyo, hatifungi nezvekukodzera kwemabhedha aya ekuchengetedza varwere vane zvirwere zvehutachiona. Kana isu tisina kukanganisa pamusoro pehuwandu hwezviitiko zvakakomba nechikamu che330, izvi zvinoshandura nguva yekuzara kwechipatara nemazuva 10 chete mune imwe nzira kana imwe. Hapana chimwe cheizvi chinofungidzira kuti kudiwa kwenzvimbo kuchawedzera nekuda kwezvimwe zvikonzero, izvo zvinoita sekunge fungidziro isina chokwadi. Nekuwedzera kudzvinyirira pahurongwa hwehutano uye kushomeka kwemishonga yekurapa, vanhu vane zvirwere zvisingaperi vanogona kuzviwana vari mumamiriro ezvinhu anoda kutarisirwa uye kuchipatara.
6. Mapinduriro eruzhinji ane nyaya.
Sezvatokurukurwa, hapana chokwadi nezve nhamba idzi - China yakatoratidza kuti matanho akanyanya anogona kuderedza kupararira kwechirwere. Mumwe muenzaniso wakaisvonaka iVietnam, uko, pakati pezvimwe zvinhu, mushandirapamwe wokushambadzira wenyika yose (kusanganisira rwiyo runotyisa!) wakakurumidza kuunganidza vanhu ndokuunza kuchinja kwemaitiro kunodiwa.
Maverengero aya haasi ekufungidzira - zvese zvakaedzwa panguva yefuruwenza muna 1918. MuUnited States, maguta maviri akaita zvakasiyana zvachose: muPhiladelphia, giant parade yakaitwa nekubatanidzwa kwevanhu zviuru mazana maviri kuunganidza mari yehondo. Asi St. Izvi ndizvo zvakaita nhamba yevakafa muguta rega rega zvichienderana nedata :
Mamiriro ezvinhu muPhiladelphia ave akanyanya kuoma, kurarama nehuwandu hukuru hwevakafa.
Richard Besser, aive director director weCenters for Disease Control and Prevention panguva yedenda reH1N1 ra2009, anoti muUS, "njodzi yekutapukirwa uye kugona kuzvidzivirira iwe nemhuri yako zvinoenderana nemari yaunowana, pakati pezvimwe zvinhu." , kuwana utano, uye kutamira kune dzimwe nyika.” Anoti:
Vanhu vakura nevanhu vakaremara vari panjodzi huru kana hupenyu hwavo hwemazuva ese uye masisitimu erutsigiro akanganiswa. Avo vasina kuwana rubatsiro rwehutano nyore, kusanganisira vekumaruwa neveko, vanogona kutarisana nekudiwa kwekufamba nzendo dzakakura pazvinenge zvichidikanwa. Vanhu vanogara munzvimbo dzakatsvikinyidzana — mungave mudzimba dzeveruzhinji, mumisha inochengeterwa vakwegura, majeri, pekugara (kana kunyange vasina pekugara mumigwagwa) — vanogona kurohwa nemasaisai, sezvatakatoona mudunhu reWashington. Uye zvikamu zvisina njodzi zvehupfumi hwemuhoro wakaderera, nevashandi vasingabhadharwe uye nehurongwa hwebasa husina kusimba, zvichaburitswa pachena kuti vese vaone panguva yedambudziko iri. Bvunza makumi matanhatu muzana evashandi vekuUS vanobhadharwa paawa yega yega kuti zviri nyore sei kubva pabasa kana zvichidikanwa.
Iyo US Bureau yeLabour Statistics inoratidza izvozvo Avo vane mari yakaderera vanokwanisa kuwana zororo rekurwara rinobhadharwa:
7. Isu muUS hatina ruzivo rwakanaka.
Rimwe rematambudziko makuru muUS nderekuti kune mashoma bvunzo ari kuitirwa coronavirus, uye mhinduro dzebvunzo hadzisi kugovaniswa nemazvo, uye isu hatinyatso kunyatsoziva zviri kuitika. Scott Gottlieb, aimbove komisheni weFDA, akatsanangura kuti Seattle akaedzwa zviri nani ndosaka tiri kuona hutachiona ipapo: "Chikonzero chatakanzwa nezve COVID-19 kubuda kwekutanga muSeattle, raive basa rehutsanana-epidemiological surveillance [sendinel surveillance. ] yemasayendisiti akazvimirira. Kuongorora kwakadaro hakuna kumboitwa pamwero wakafanana mune mamwe maguta. Saka, mamwe mahotspots eUS anogona kunge asati anyatsowanikwa. " Maererano neshoko , Mutevedzeri weMutungamiriri, VaMike Pence, vakavimbisa kuti "bvunzo dzinosvika miriyoni imwe neshanu" dzichawanikwa svondo rino, asi vanhu vasingasviki zviuru zviviri vakaedzwa muUS kusvika parizvino. Kubva pane zvabuda , Robinson Meyer naAlexis Madrigal veThe Atlantic vanoti:
Humbowo hwatakaunganidza hunoratidza kuti mhinduro yeUS kuhutachiona hweCCIDID-19 uye chirwere chainokonzeresa chave kurembera zvakanyanya, kunyanya zvichienzaniswa nedzimwe nyika dzakabudirira. Mazuva masere apfuura, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) yakasimbisa kuti hutachiona hwaipararira pakati pevanhu vekuUnited States, zvekuti hwaibata vanhu vekuAmerica vasina kuenda kunze kwenyika kana kusangana nevaive navo. MuSouth Korea, vanhu vanopfuura zviuru makumi matanhatu nemazana matanhatu nemakumi matanhatu vakaedzwa mukati mesvondo rekutanga, uye zvakakurumidza kuita kuyedza vanhu zviuru gumi pazuva.
Chimwe chedambudziko ndechekuti yave nyaya yezvematongerwo enyika. Mutungamiri wenyika, VaDonald Trump, vakajekesa kuti vanoda kuchengetedza huwandu hwevanhu vanotapukirwa muUS. Uyu muenzaniso wekuti optimization metrics inopinda sei munzira yekuwana mibairo yakanaka mukuita (zvimwe nezvedambudziko iri zvinotsanangurwa muchinyorwa cheData Sayenzi tsika - ) Mukuru weGoogle AI Jeff Dean tweeted kushushikana kwavo nezve zvematongerwo enyika disinformation:
Pandakashanda kuWorld Health Organization (WHO), ndaiva nesangano reGlobal AIDS Programme (yava kunzi UNAIDS), rakagadzirirwa kubatsira pasi rose kukunda denda reHIV/AIDS. Paive navanachiremba vakazvipira uye masayendisiti akatarisana nekubatsira kukunda dambudziko iri. Munguva yedambudziko, ruzivo rwakajeka uye rwakavimbika rwakakosha kukubatsira kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo pamusoro pemapinduriro (pamatanho ese: yenyika, nyika, yemuno, kambani, isingabatsiri, chikoro, mhuri, uye munhu). Nekuwaniswa ruzivo rwakakwana uye mazano kubva kune nyanzvi dzekurapa nesainzi dzepamusoro, tinogona kukunda matambudziko, angave HIV/AIDS kana COVID-19. Asi kana iri nyaya yedisinformation inotungamirwa nezvido zvezvematongerwo enyika, pane njodzi huru yekunyanya kuipa mamiriro ezvinhu kana munhu akasaita nekukurumidza uye nekusimba pamberi pedenda riri kukura, asi panzvimbo pezvo achibatsira mukupararira kwechirwere nekukurumidza. Zvinorwadza kuona zvese izvi zvichiitika izvozvi.
Hazviratidzike sekunge kune masimba ezvematongerwo enyika anofarira kubuda pachena kwakatenderedza COVID-19. Munyori wehutano neHuman Services Alex Azar, , "vakatanga kukurukura nezvebvunzo dziri kushandiswa nevashandi vehutano kuona kana mumwe munhu pakati pavo ane hutachiona hwekoronavirus. Asi kushomeka kwebvunzo dzakadai kunoreva kuti pane kushomeka kweruzivo nezve kupararira uye kuomarara kwechirwere chedenda muUnited States, zvichiwedzerwa nekusabuda pachena kubva kuhurumende. Azar akataura kuti bvunzo nyowani dzave kudzorwa nemhando. Asi zvakare, maererano neWired:
VaTrump vakabva vavhiringa Azar. “Ini ndinofunga chikuru ndechekuti chero munhu anoda kuongororwa anoongororwa. Pane miedzo, uye yakanaka. Wese anoda kuongororwa anovhenekwa,” VaTrump vakadaro. Hachisi chokwadi. Mutevedzeri weMutungamiri Pence akaudza vatori venhau neChina kuti US haina bvunzo dzakakwana dzeCCIDID-19 dzekuzadzisa zvinodiwa.
Dzimwe nyika dziri kuita nekukurumidza zvakanyanya kupfuura United States. Nyika zhinji dziri muSoutheast Asia dziri kuita basa rakanaka rekuchengetedza hutachiona. Semuenzaniso, Taiwan, uko R0 ikozvino yadonha kusvika 0.3, kana Singapore, iyo kazhinji kuti hurumende inofanira kuita sei kuCOVID-19. Izvi hazvisi zveAsia chete; France, semuenzaniso, yakarambidza chero zviitiko zvine chiuru kana kupfuura vatori vechikamu, uye zvikoro zvakavharwa munzvimbo nhatu.
8. Mhedziso
COVID-19 idambudziko rakakosha munharaunda, uye isu tese hatigone chete, asi tinofanira, kuita zvese kuedza kudzikisa kupararira kwechirwere. Nokuda kweizvi:
- Dzivisa zviitiko zvakakura uye mhomho (kushamwaridzana)
- Kanzura zvetsika nezvimwe zviitiko zveveruzhinji
- Shanda uri pamba pese pazvinogoneka
- Geza maoko paunouya kumba uye paunobuda uye wopedza nguva kunze kwemba
- Dzivisa kubata kumeso kwako, kunyanya paunenge uri kunze uye pamusoro
Ongorora: Nekuda kwekuda kushambadza chinyorwa ichi nekukurumidza sezvinobvira, isu tanga tisina zvishoma pane zvakajairwa kuchenjera mukutaura kwakabva ruzivo rwatinovimba narwo. Ndapota tizivise kana pane chatapotsa.
Kutenda kuna Sylvain Gugger naAlexis Gallagher nekupa mhinduro yakakosha.
Notes:
1 Epidemiologists vanhu vanoongorora kupararira kwezvirwere. Zvinoitika kuti kufungidzira zvinhu zvakaita sekufa uye R0 kwakanyatso kuoma, ndosaka paine munda wese unoshanda mune izvi. Ngwarira vanhu vanoshandisa mareshiyo akareruka uye manhamba kuti vakuudze maitiro ecovid-19. Pane kudaro, tarisa kuenzanisira kunoitwa nevanoongorora zvirwere.
2 Izvi hazvina kururama. Kunyatsotaura, R0 inoreva huwandu hwehutachiona mukusavapo kwemhinduro. Asi sezvo zvisiri izvo chaizvo zvatine hanya nazvo, tinozvibvumira kuti tiite hunyope netsanangudzo dzedu.
3 Kubva pane iyi sarudzo, tanga tichishanda nesimba kuti tiwane nzira yekutanga kosi yechokwadi yatinotarisira kuti ichave iri nani kupfuura iyo yechiso nechiso. Takakwanisa kuivhura kumunhu wese ari pasirese uye tichange tichishanda nemadhizaini ekudzidza nemapoka emapurojekiti mazuva ese.
4 Takaitawo dzimwe chinjo duku dzakawanda kumararamire edu, kubatanidza kurovedza muviri pamba panzvimbo pokuenda kunzvimbo yokurovedza muviri, kutsiva misangano yedu yose nekokorodzano dzevhidhiyo, uye kurega mibato yousiku yatakanga tichitarisira.
A. Ogurtsov, Yu. Kashnitsky naT. Gabruseva vakashanda pakushandura.
Source: www.habr.com