Munguva dzekare, munhu mumwe chete aisakwanisa kuona vanhu vanopfuura 1000 XNUMX muupenyu hwake hwose, uye aikurukura nevanhu gumi nevaviri vedzinza rake. Nhasi, tinomanikidzwa kuchengeta mupfungwa ruzivo pamusoro penhamba huru yevanozivana vanogona kugumburwa kana iwe ukasavakwazisa nemazita paunosangana.
Huwandu hwemashoko anouya anoyerera akawedzera zvakanyanya. Semuenzaniso, munhu wese watinoziva anogara achigadzira zvitsva pamusoro pavo. Uye kune vanhu vane mugumo watinonyatsotevera, kunyange pasina mukana wekusangana mumunhu - ava ndevezvematongerwo enyika, mablogiki, maartist.
Huwandu hahusi kushandura nguva dzose kuita hunhu. Vanhu vane mukurumbira pasi rose vanowanzoburitsa ruzha rweruzivo rwunoenderera rwusingakanganisi hupenyu hwedu chaihwo munzira ipi neipi. Zvinotonyanya kunakidza kuedza kusiyanisa neruzha ruchena manzwi evaya vanogona kuona mberi uye kunzwisisa kupfuura vamwe.
Munguva iyo kune ruzivo rwakawanda rusina maturo, manzwi evanoongorora ramangwana anogona kubatsira mukutsvaga maitiro matsva uye kunzwisisa ma mechanics emagetsi makuru anoshandura nyika. Pazasi iwe unowana zvinongedzo kune maakaundi evanonyanya kukoshesa vaoni venguva yemberi nhasi.
Bill Gates akadana Raymond Kurzweil "munhu akanakisisa wandinoziva pakufanotaura nezveramangwana reuchenjeri hwekugadzira." Hazvishamisi kuti ane mukurumbira futurist akabata chinzvimbo chehunyanzvi director mumunda wekudzidza muchina uye kugadzirwa kwemutauro wechisikigo kuGoogle kubvira 2012.
Kurzweil anotenda kuti mukati mehupenyu hwechizvarwa chemazuva ano humwe huchawanikwa huchabvumira kuti vanhu vasimuke kune imwe nhanho yekushanduka-shanduka.
Symbiosis ine hungwaru hwakasimba hwekugadzira ichatibatsira kusvika padanho rinotevera rekushanduka kwemanera. Kutaura zvazviri, humwe huchabvisa mutsauko uripo pakati penjere dzevanhu nedzekugadzira.
Maererano naKurzweil, zvinetso zvisingagoneki zvakadai sekushanduka kwemamiriro ekunze, kushomeka kwezviwanikwa, zvirwere uye kunyange rufu zvichabviswa nehumwe chete.
Theoretical physicist, popularizer yesainzi ine zvakawanda zvinoshamisa zvakasiyana-siyana zvezvido - kubva kumakomba matema kusvika kutsvagiridzo yehuropi.
Michio Kaku ndomumwe wevagadziri vetambo dzidziso. Akaburitsa anopfuura makumi manomwe mapepa esainzi pa superstring theory, supergravity, supersymmetry uye particle physics. Mutsigiri ane simba weMultiverse - dzidziso yekuvapo kwezvinhu zvakawanda zvakafanana. Kaku anokarakadza kuti Big Bang yakaitika apo matenga akati kuti akabonderana kana kuti apo chadenga chimwe chakakamukana kuita zviviri.
Kare muma1980s, Lanier akagadzira magirazi ekutanga uye magirovhosi echokwadi chekunyudza. Muchokwadi, akagadzira izwi rekuti VR.
Parizvino anoshanda kuMicrosoft, achishanda pazvinhu zvekuona data. Nguva nenguva inoonekwa munhau senyanzvi mumunda we techno-pessimism uye munyori webhuku "Gumi Nharo dzekudzima Maakaundi Ako eMedia Media Parizvino."
Nezvikonzero zviri pachena, haachengetedze mapeji pasocial network, saka isu tinopa chinongedzo kune yake webhusaiti webhusaiti.
Munyori wezvakaitika kare wemauto eIsrael anoshanda muEuropean Middle Ages. Vegan, murwiri wekodzero dzemhuka, mubatsiri kumudzidzisi wekare wekare weBurmese tsika yeVipassana kufungisisa, munyori wemabhuku maviri akatanhamara: Sapiens: Nhoroondo Pfupi yeHumankind uye Homo Deus: Ipfupi Nhoroondo yeMangwana.
Kunyange zvazvo bhuku rekutanga riri pamusoro pekufambira mberi kwevanhu zvishoma nezvishoma kusvika panguva ino, "Homo Deus" inyevero yezvichaitwa ne "dataism" (pfungwa yakagadzirwa nekukosha kweBig Data munyika) kunharaunda yedu nemiviri iri pedyo. ramangwana.
Mumwe wevanotungamira varwi vakakosha mumagariro kurwisa matambudziko ezvirwere zvine chekuita nezera, muongorori mukuru uye co-muvambi weSENS research foundation. Dee Grey anoedza kuwedzera zvakanyanya tarisiro yehupenyu hwevanhu kuitira kuti rufu ruve chinhu chekare.
Aubrey Dee Grey akatanga basa rake seAI/software injiniya muna 1985. Kubva 1992, anga achiitisa tsvakiridzo mumunda wesero uye molecular biology kuDhipatimendi reGenetics paYunivhesiti yeCambridge.
Muna 1999, akabudisa bhuku rine musoro unoti "The Mitochondrial Free Radical Theory of Aging," kwaakatanga kutsanangura pfungwa huru yekutsvakurudza kwake kwesayenzi: kudzivirira nekugadzirisa kukanganisa uko muviri unounganidza panguva yekukwegura (kunyanya, muMitochondrial DNA), iyo inofanirwa kubatsira vanhu kurarama kwenguva yakareba.
Director weMIT-IBM Watson AI Lab, chikamu chesangano guru rekutsvaga maindasitiri munyika, IBM Research. Kwemakore gumi nerimwe, David Cox akadzidzisa paHarvard. Akawana dhigirii reBachelor muBiology nePsychology kubva kuHarvard uye doctorate in neuroscience kubva kuMassachusetts Institute of Technology. IBM yakaunza nyanzvi yesainzi yehupenyu kuti ishande pazvinhu zvehungwaru hwekugadzira.
Aimbove mukuru uye iyezvino sachigaro webhodhi revatungamiriri veimwe yeanonyanya kuzivikanwa accelerators ekutanga - Y Combinator, mumwe wevatungamiriri veOpenAI yekugadzira intelligence research project, yakavambwa pamwe chete naPeter Thiel naElon Musk (akasiya chirongwa ichi muna 2018 kune kupesana kwechido).
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Nicholas Thompson (ari pamufananidzo kurudyi) mutori wenhau wetekinoroji, mupepeti-mukuru wesangano recult tekinoroji rakabudiswa WIRED, mutungamiri wepfungwa pakuvandudzwa kwehungwaru hwekugadzira, kubuda kweInternet ine masimba masimba, uye matambudziko ekusazivikanwa paInternet. .
Hazvina kukosha kune mumwe mushandi akakosha: Kevin Kelly, mubatsiri weWIRED, munyori webhuku "Isingadzivisiki. 12 tekinoroji maitiro anozogadzira ramangwana redu. "
Co-muvambi uye muongorori paSingularity Institute pakusikwa kweuchenjeri hwekugadzira, munyori webhuku rinonzi "Creating Friendly AI" uye zvinyorwa zvakawanda pamusoro pezvinetso zvehungwaru hwechisikigo uye hwekugadzira.
Mumasangano asiri ezvidzidzo anozivikanwa zviri nani semunyori werimwe remabhuku makuru ekutanga kwezana ramakore rechiXNUMX. pakuvandudza uye kushandiswa kwemisimboti yepfungwa muhupenyu chaihwo: "Harry Potter uye Nzira dzeKufunga Kwepfungwa."
Hashem Al Ghaili, 27, anobva kuYemen uye anogara kuGermany, chikamu chechizvarwa chitsva chevakakurumbira sainzi. Semusiki wemavhidhiyo esainzi uye edzidzo, akaratidza kuti kunyangwe nebhajeti diki unogona kuunganidza vateereri vemamirioni. Nekuda kwezvikamu zvinotsanangura mhedzisiro yekutsvagisa kwakaoma, akaunganidza vanopfuura mamirioni manomwe nemazana mashanu vanyoreri uye anopfuura bhiriyoni imwe maonero.
Munyori wezvehupfumi anotengesa zvakanyanya "The Black Swan" uye "Kuisa Panjodzi Yako Ganda. Iyo yakavanzika asymmetry yehupenyu hwezuva nezuva, "mutengesi, muzivi, mutarisiri wengozi. Nzvimbo huru yezvido zvesainzi iri kudzidza maitiro ezviitiko zvisingaite uye zvisingatarisike pahupfumi hwepasirese uye kutengeserana kwemasheya. Sekureva kwaNassim Taleb, zvinenge zvese zviitiko zvine mhedzisiro yakakosha pamisika, zvematongerwo enyika uye hupenyu hwevanhu hazvifungidzike zvachose.
Muvambi weInstitute for Global Futures muSan Francisco, munyori webhuku rinonzi "Smart Futures: Kutonga Maitiro Anoshandura Nyika Yako." Akashanda semupi wezano kuWhite House manejimendi pane ramangwana maitiro.
Sainzi wezvematongerwo enyika, muvambi uye mutungamiriri weyakavanzika intelligence uye analytical sangano Stretfor, iyo inounganidza uye inoongorora ruzivo nezve zviitiko zviri munyika. Iye anozivikanwa nekukakavadzana kwakawanda kufanotaura, asi panguva imwechete anoratidza maonero echikamu chakakosha chenyanzvi dzeUS pamusoro pekusimudzira dunhu reEurope nenyika dzakavakidzana.
Isu takanyora kure kubva kune yakazara rondedzero. Mumwe munhu angada kuwedzera imwe futurist, muoni kana mufungi (somuenzaniso, iwe unofarira pfungwa dzaDaniel Kahneman, uye une chokwadi chokuti mune ramangwana vachachinja nyika) - nyora mazano ako mumashoko.
Source: www.habr.com