Gartner Hype Cycle 2019: debriefing

Isu takarongedza iyo AI tekinoroji ye2019 uye tisinganyare tikaaenzanisa neiyo 2017 fungidziro.

Kutanga, chii chinonzi Gartner Hype Cycle? Iyi imhando yekutenderera kwekukura tekinoroji, kana kuti shanduko kubva padanho re hype kuenda kukushandisa kwayo kugadzira. Ikozvino pachave negirafu rine dudziro kuti rijekese zvose. Uye pazasi pane tsananguro.

Danho rekutanga. kutsamwa. Launch. Iyo tekinoroji inooneka, inokurukurwa kutanga nevanovhenekerwa, uyezve neveruzhinji vanonyanyisa; Mufaro wacho uri kukura zvishoma nezvishoma.

Danho rechipiri. bargain. Nhamba yepamusoro yezvinotarisirwa zvakanyanya. Pane imwe nguva, munhu wese ari kutotaura nezve tekinoroji, achiedza kuishandisa, uye vanonyanya hunyanzvi vari kuitengesa nemitengo yakakwira.

Danho rechitatu. kuora mwoyo Kuderera kwekufarira. Iyo tekinoroji iri kushandiswa nesimba uye kazhinji inokundikana nekuda kwekukanganisa uye nekugumira. "Zvese zvinopenga!" - anouya pano neapo. Iko kufara kunodonha zvakanyanya (iyo mutengo tag, kazhinji futi).

Danho rechina. negation Shanda pamapuru. Tekinoroji iri kuvandudzwa, matambudziko ari kugadziriswa. Zvishoma nezvishoma, makambani anonyatso edza kuita tekinoroji uye, hurray, zvese zvinoshanda zvakanaka.

Chikamu chechishanu. Adoption Basa rinobereka. Iyo tekinoroji iri kuwana nzvimbo yayo yakakodzera mumusika uye iri kushanda chinyararire, kusimudzira, uye kufarirwa.

Chii chirikuitika?

Kudzokera ku 2019 hype cycle. Gartner yakaburitswa munaSeptember, mushumo pamusoro peiyo yakagadzirwa njere matekinoroji ari padanho ripi, uye rini paachatanga kushanda zvinobudirira. Girafu pazasi, makomendi pazasi girafu.

Iwo matekinoroji "Kuzivikanwa Kwekutaura" uye "Kuita Kuwedzera Kushandisa GPU" ari pamberi nemuganho mukuru uye atove padanho re "Basa Rinobereka". Izvi zvinoreva kuti dzinofanirwa kukurumidza kushandiswa, nekuti dzinotopa mukana wekukwikwidza kune varidzi vadzo.

Otomatiki muchina kudzidza (AutoML) uye chatbots parizvino ari pamusoro peiyo hype. Ndiko kuti, munhu wese ari kutaura nezvavo, vazhinji vari kuzviita, asi zvinotora kubva pa2 kusvika ku5 zvine mamiriro ekuunza tekinoroji kune inodiwa mwero.

Mota dzatakajaira dzatowandawo kupfuura zvemazuva ano. Autonomous mota tekinoroji inenge yekuyedza pasi. Muchiitiko ichi, izvi zvakanaka, nokuti basa rinobudirira riri mberi. Nekudaro, Gartner anofungidzira kuti zvichatora angangoita makore gumi kuti agadzirise uye achinje.

Ndekupi aimbove-hype drones uye chaiyo chaiyo nhasi? Zvese zviri munzvimbo - Gartner akabatanidza drones mumunda weEdge AI (mapoka anoganhurana neAI), uye chaiyo chaiyo yakava chikamu cheAugmented intelligence. Misoro miviri, nenzira, yave padanho rekutanga uye ine fungidziro yakanaka: makore 2-5 basa risati raitwa pamusika.

Matarisiro

Pakati pezvinhu zvinovimbisa: Robotic process automation software - inonzwika inotyisa, asi kutaura zvazviri ndipo apo robhoti inotsiva zviito zvenguva dzose. Chiroto chinotyisa kune vashandi vasina unyanzvi; zvisinei kudzidza Harvard Bhizinesi Ongororo inoti hakuzove nekumisa mabasa, asi goho richawedzera. Eat grounds tendai. Iyo tekinoroji ichapfuura iyo yepamusoro yekusafarirwa uye kuzvidza kwakajairika mumakore maviri, uye yobva yapararira kwese kwese.

Pamatekinoroji ayo vaevhangeri uye infogypsies yemitsara yese vachataura nezvakawanda chete mune ramangwana, "neuromorphic midziyo" yainyanya kunakidza. Aya ndiwo midziyo yemagetsi (machipisi) ayo tevedzera zvisikwa zvipenyu zvipenyu zvehutano hwedu hwemagetsi maererano nekushanda kwesimba. Kuzvitaura zviri nyore, ndezvekuita kwepamusoro-soro nekuda kwekupatsanurwa kwevashandi (asynchronous updating of neurons). Hofori dzakadai seIBM neIntel dzatove dzakaoma pabasa kugadzira neuromorphic chips. Asi mauto aJohn Connor ane nguva yekugadzirira zuva rekutongwa - Gartner akapa tekinoroji inosvika makore gumi kuti ikure.

Kazhinji, vanotaura zvakawanda nezve Digital Ethics, asi havasi kukurumidza kuzviita. Nhungamiro yakagoverwa kuchikamu chakasiyana chezvikamu zveAI: zvinoreva kuti zvingave zvakakosha kubatanidza mamwe maitiro ehutsika, zvigadziro uye zviyero zvekuunganidza data, kushandiswa kweAI muhupenyu, kazhinji, kuitira kuti zvifanane. vanhu. Pakupedzisira, tarisa kuAsimov.

2017 Vs 2019

Zvinosetsa, asi muna 2017 zvese zvaive zvakasiyana, pakanga pasina kana yakaparadzana hype kutenderera kweAI: AI matekinoroji aive mulocomotive yekuvandudza matekinoroji (Emerging Technologies) pamwe ne blockchain uye chimwe chokwadi.

Kudzidza kwemuchina uye kudzidza kwakadzama kwaive paiyo hype Olympus muna 2017, uye muna 2019 vakaenderera mberi nenzira yavo yekudzikira, ndiko kuti. basa rinobudirira.

Nenzira, ma drones akafamba kubva panhongonya kuenda kuderera mukati megore, uye muna 2019 vakadzokera vakananga panhongonya. Uye izvi zvinoitika, hongu.

Muna 2019, kutenderera kwaisanganisira 8 matekinoroji matsva. Pakati pavo pane makore masevhisi AI (Cloud Services), AI Misika (Misika), Quantum Computing neAI (Quantum Computing). Kazhinji, anozivikanwa (mumatenderedzwa akamanikana) maturusi ari kutanga kuisa AI munzira.

Source: www.habr.com