"Zvikepe zvemuchadenga zvinotenderera munzvimbo dzePasirose" - by tkdrobert
Vanhu vanogara vachindibvunza: "Unonyora nezvekutanga, asi kunonoka kuzvidzokorora, asi chii chinoda kutangwa izvozvi, Facebook nyowani iripi?" Dai ndaiziva mhinduro chaiyo, ndingadai ndisina kuudza ani zvake, asi ndakazviita ini, asi kutungamira kwekutsvaga kwakanyatsojeka, tinogona kutaura nezvazvo pachena.
Zvese zvakatogadzirwa pamberi pedu
Ese hyper-akabudirira ekutanga akavakirwa pamazano akareruka. Google yakakura nekutora zvinongedzo muaccount mune yayo masosi. Booking.com inoratidza mahotera ese ari munyika mune imwechete interface. Tinder inokutendera kuti utaure zuva ne swipe imwe chete. Uber ndeye taxi odha mune nharembozha. Iye zvino makambani aya anoshandisa makumi ezviuru zvevashandi, zuva rega rega vanoomesa chigadzirwa uye vanowedzera masevhisi matsva, asi ipapo, pakutanga, zvese zvaive nyore.
Mazano anogoneka akajeka mashoma. Kune isingasviki zana misika mikuru munyika. TRIZ ine makumi mana ekutanga matekiniki; ivo havafambise zvakanaka kumasevhisi chaiwo, asi isu tinogona kunge tine nhamba yakafanana yavo. Uye ngatiise pasi, toti, nzira 100 dzekushandisa nzira yega yega kune imwe indasitiri.
Ngatiedzei nzira ye "artificial limitation" pasocial network: nhamba yeshamwari - Nzira - kutadza, saizi yemukati - Twitter - kubudirira, zvemukati hupenyu - Snapchat - kubudirira, kunyoreswa - Facebook - kubudirira, huwandu hwemukati - ini handizive muenzaniso. Chii chimwe chinogona kuganhurirwa? Kana pasina chimwe chinhu, zvakabva zvangove 5 chete.
100 x 40 x 5 = zviuru makumi maviri mazano makuru anogona kuvapo. Uye izvi zvinosanganisira kunyange kusanganisa kwakanyanyisa. Kune akawanda mapurojekiti munyika gore rega rega, saka mikana yese ine nguva yekufamba kanopfuura kamwe.
Yese pfungwa yakanaka yakatoyedzwa, yakamboenda (uye yanonoka kuidzokorora), kana kuti haina kubva (uye haizobva pano, isu hatisi nani kupfuura gumi nemaviri kana mazana evakatangira) - hapachazovi nekutanga, isu tave kuenda.
Chaizvoizvo, kwete
The trick ndechokuti nyika iri kuchinja. Izvo zvisina musoro kuedza makore makumi maviri apfuura zvinogona kunge zvakakundikana makore gumi apfuura uye ane mukana wekubudirira zvakanyanya izvozvi. Hofori dzemberi dzinoedza zvinhu zvanga zvisingaite kana zvisingaite, uye dzinokwanisa kuve imwe yekutanga kutangisa kana zvine musoro. Shanduko huru yetekinoroji yemakore makumi matatu apfuura - kutaurirana kwakachipa - kwakaita kuti kudyidzana nguva dzose pakati pemaguta nemakondinendi kugoneke mune zveupfumi. Mhedzisiro ndeye Facebook, Amazon, Booking.com. Mumakore gumi, "munhu wese" aive ne smartphone muhomwe yavo-Uber, Instagram, uye neobanks yakakura pane izvi.
Pane Nokia 3310 kana kunyange Samsung S55, iyo tekisi mutengi app yakanga isina maturo zvachose. Zvichida mumwe munhu akaedza rudzi urwu rwebhizimisi zvakadaro, asi vakanga vasina mukana. Musi waChikumi 29, 2007, yekutanga iPhone yakasvika uye nyika yakachinja. Uber yakavambwa muna Kurume 2009 - zvakare isiri yekutanga yerudzi rwayo, asi imwe yekutanga, hwindo remukana rakavhurika, hapana akange atoritora, vaive nenguva - uye zvisinei nekuti vanotsoropodza vanotii, kambani iri. iye zvino inokosha $51 bhiriyoni.
Nyaya imwe cheteyo inogona kudzokororwa nevamwe vatambi. Pamberi pekushandiswa kwakapararira kweWebhu, zvaive zvisingaite kutengesa neInternet. Payakangozivikanwa, niche yezvitoro zvepamhepo yakabuda. Bezos anga asiri wekutanga mairi, asi aive mumwe wekutanga uye, sezviri pachena, akabudirira kwazvo - uyezve Amazon yakaonekwa.
Nyika inoramba ichichinja
Kubatana kwakwana zvino. 5G izano, kwete zano, shanduko haina kusimba, mabhizinesi matsva akatenderedza tekinoroji achaonekwa, asi Google nyowani haizodaro. A smartphone yatova muhomwe yega yega inobhadhara. Masaisai aya akabuda, asi nhoroondo yevanhu haina kupera.
Chii chiripo iye zvino kana kuti chichaonekwa munguva pfupi iri kutevera icho chisipo makore gumi apfuura? Panogona kunge paine zvakawanda zvezvinhu zvakadaro; pasi redu rakasiyana zvakanyanya. Vamwe vachakurumidza kuyeuka zvinyorwa zvitsva zvekupisa kwepasi uye kuwedzera kwevanhu (hello, Beyond Meat uye Impossible Foods), vamwe pamusoro peCRISPR (kuti ndinoshuva sei kuti unicorns itange kuonekwa pano zvakare), asi mumunda weTI mutungamiri anoita seari pachena.
Muma2019, njere dzokugadzira dzakava dzechokwadi. Zvino, muna 20, komputa inogadzirisa mabasa enguva dzose zvirinani uye zvakachipa kupfuura vanhu - inotoziva zviso, kunyange inotamba Go, inofanotaura manzwiro evatengi. Uye basa revanhu vazhinji nderechinyakare; vashoma vanhu vanoita hunyanzvi hwechokwadi muhofisi kana fekitori, zvakanyanya uye zvichiteerana nemirairo yakasimba. Izvi zvinoreva kuti anenge munhu wese zvino anogona kutsiviwa nehungwaru hwekugadzira, uye mumakore makumi maviri "anogona" anoshanduka kuita "kuita." Uye imwe kambani chaiyo, chigadzirwa kana kutanga "ichaita" izvi.
Uye kuchava nemari yakawanda
Tarisai . Vatyairi vane miriyoni 4.5, 3.5 miriyoni vanobhadhara mari, tinoverenga avhareji yemuhoro pa30 zviuru zvemadhora pagore - aya atove misika inokosha 100 bhiriyoni imwe neimwe muUSA chete. Kana tichienzanisa, mari yepasirese yeFacebook ye2018 yaive $56 bhiriyoni.
Handisi ini ndoga ndinoziva nzira yeGoogle iyo inonyanya kufarirwa basa - chete iyo ine usimbe mubatanidzwa mukuru haisi kutora chikamu munhangemutange yemotokari dzinozvityaira. Zvitoro zvisina vatengesi zvakare inyaya yakakurumbira; Amazon Go ingori imwe muenzaniso wekuti mahofori arikuzviona sei. Asi ngaticherechedzei zvishoma. MuU.SA, vanhu vane miriyoni imwe vanogara padhesiki rekugamuchira vanhu. 1 zviuru zvinoshanda sevatariri mumaresitorendi, uye mamirioni maviri nehafu vanoshanda sevamiriri (vashandi vekudya nekukurumidza havana kuisirwa pano, ivo mutsara wakasiyana). Uye zvakanyanya, zvakanyanya, zvakanyanya ... Misa uye kwete zvakanyanya maprofessionals akamirira robotization uye kazhinji hapana ari kukurumidza kuvabatsira.
Muganho we "unonakidza" kukwezva kukuru uri nyore kuverenga. Kuti uvake unicorn, unoda purofiti ye50 miriyoni. Ngatifungei kuti mari ichasvika 100 miriyoni. Kuti ubhadhare zana remamiriyoni, vatengi vekutanga vanochengetedza hafu yebhiriyoni nekudzinga vashandi - vanosvika zviuru makumi maviri vanhu vane muhoro weAmerica. Izvi zvinoreva kuti panofanirwa kunge paine zviuru makumi mashanu zvadzo pamusika - kwete iyo indasitiri yese ichavakwazve munguva yakafanira.
Kune akawanda, kana asiri mazana, ehunyanzvi hwakadai uye hunyanzvi. Zvechokwadi, munyaya imwe neimwe pane zvikonzero uye tsanangudzo nei hungwaru hwekugadzira husati hwaita pano, asi mangwana mutemo waMoore uchabvisa chikonzero ichi. Kana kuti pamwe zvakaitika nezuro. Wekutanga kuyedza nekufamba kwenguva achavaka kambani huru nyowani, uye pachave neayo akawanda, senge maprofessionals. Hapana chinhu chinofinha sekunyora robhoti merchandiser, asi muIT ikozvino hapana chinogoneka mune zvehupfumi - kunze kwekunge pamwe robhoti murindi.
Mumakore 15 adarika, takajaira kutanga kwemisika mikuru mitsva; kukurukurirana kwakanaka kwakapararira kumaindasitiri akasiyana-siyana. Nenguva isipi itsva hofori otomatiki uye marobhoti achatanga kuoneka nguva dzose munhau, uye nguva yekuiswa kweAI iri kusvika. Anofanira kuparadza basa rose rinofinha. Uye nepo ruzhinji ruchacherekedza nhoroondo, vashoma vanoigadzira.
Source: www.habr.com