{"id":37209,"date":"2019-10-31T22:16:21","date_gmt":"2019-10-31T19:16:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/blog\/zolotoe-sechenie-v-ekonomike-chto-eto\/"},"modified":"2019-10-31T22:16:21","modified_gmt":"2019-10-31T19:16:21","slug":"zolotoe-sechenie-v-ekonomike-chto-eto","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prohoster.info\/sq\/blog\/news\/zolotoe-sechenie-v-ekonomike-chto-eto","title":{"rendered":"\u00abPjesa e art\u00eb\u00bb n\u00eb ekonomi \u2013 \u00e7far\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo?","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

Disa fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr \"proporcionin e art\u00eb\" n\u00eb kuptimin tradicional<\/h4>\n

\nKonsiderohet se n\u00ebse nj\u00eb segment ndahen n\u00eb pjes\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb pjesa m\u00eb e vog\u00ebl do t\u00eb ket\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie me pjes\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe, ashtu si pjesa m\u00eb e madhe \u2013 me segmentin e plot\u00eb, at\u00ebher\u00eb kjo ndarje jep nj\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje 1\/1,618, t\u00eb cil\u00ebn grek\u00ebt e lasht\u00eb, duke e marr\u00eb nga egjiptian\u00ebt edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb lasht\u00eb, e quajt\u00ebn \"proporcioni i art\u00eb\". Dhe se shum\u00eb nd\u00ebrtese \u2013 p\u00ebrputhjet e skajve t\u00eb nd\u00ebrtimit, p\u00ebrputhja midis elementeve t\u00eb tyre ky\u00e7 \u2013 duke filluar nga piramidat egjiptiane dhe duke p\u00ebrfunduar me nd\u00ebrtimet teorike t\u00eb Le Corbusier, jan\u00eb bazuar n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb proporcion.
\nI nj\u00ebjti i p\u00ebrket numrave Fibonacci, spirala e s\u00eb cil\u00ebs jep nj\u00eb ilustrim gjeometrik zhvilluar t\u00eb k\u00ebtij proporcioni. <\/p>\n

P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, p\u00ebrmasat e trupit njer\u00ebzor (nga thembra deri te barku, nga barku deri te koka, nga koka deri te gishtat e dor\u00ebs s\u00eb ngritur), duke filluar nga p\u00ebrmasat ideale, t\u00eb par\u00eb n\u00eb Mesjet\u00eb (njeriu vitruvian dhe t\u00eb tjera) dhe p\u00ebrfunduar me matjet antropometrike t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb BE-s\u00eb, jan\u00eb mjaft af\u00ebr k\u00ebtij proporcioni.
\n<\/a><\/noindex>
\nDhe n\u00ebse e shtojm\u00eb se figura t\u00eb tilla jan\u00eb zbuluar n\u00eb objekte biologjike krejt t\u00eb ndryshme: n\u00eb thashtin e molusk\u00ebve, vendosjen e farave n\u00eb luledielli dhe n\u00eb shqisat e kedrave, \u00ebsht\u00eb e qart\u00eb pse numri irracional, q\u00eb fillon si 1,618, \u00ebsht\u00eb shpallur \"hyjnor\" \u2013 gjurm\u00ebt e tij ndjekin edhe n\u00eb form\u00ebn e galaktikave, q\u00eb t\u00ebrhiqen drejt spirales Fibonacci!<\/p>\n

Duke marr\u00eb parasysh t\u00eb gjith\u00eb shembujt e listuar, mund t\u00eb supozojm\u00eb: <\/p>\n

    \n
  1. ne kemi t\u00eb b\u00ebjm\u00eb me t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb me \"t\u00eb dh\u00ebna t\u00eb m\u00ebdha\" <\/li>\n
  2. edhe n\u00eb qasjen e par\u00eb ato tregojn\u00eb nj\u00eb far\u00eb, n\u00ebse jo universale, at\u00ebher\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrhapje jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb gjer\u00eb t\u00eb \"proporcionit t\u00eb art\u00eb\" dhe vlerave t\u00eb ngjashme.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    <\/p>\n

    N\u00eb ekonomi<\/h4>\n

    \nGrafikat e Lorencit jan\u00eb t\u00eb njohura dhe p\u00ebrdoren intensivisht p\u00ebr vizualizimin e t\u00eb ardhurave t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb. Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb instrument makroekonomik i fuqish\u00ebm me variacione dhe sqarime t\u00eb ndryshme (koeficienti decil, indeksi Gini) q\u00eb p\u00ebrdoren n\u00eb statistik\u00eb p\u00ebr krahasimin socio-ekonomik t\u00eb vendeve dhe karakteristikave t\u00eb tyre dhe mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb nj\u00eb arsyetim p\u00ebr marrjen e vendimeve t\u00eb m\u00ebdha politike dhe buxhetore n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e tatimpaguesve, sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsis\u00eb, formimit t\u00eb planeve t\u00eb zhvillimit t\u00eb vendeve dhe rajoneve.<\/p>\n

    Edhe pse n\u00eb mendjen normale t\u00eb zakonshme t\u00eb sht\u00ebpis\u00eb, t\u00eb ardhurat dhe shpenzimet jan\u00eb lidhur ngusht\u00eb, n\u00eb Google nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb k\u00ebshtu... E habitshme, por e lidhjen midis diagrameve t\u00eb Lorenzit dhe shp\u00ebrndarjes s\u00eb shpenzimeve mund ta gjej vet\u00ebm te dy autor\u00eb rus\u00eb (do t\u00eb isha mir\u00ebnjoh\u00ebs n\u00ebse dikush di p\u00ebr punime t\u00eb ngjashme si n\u00eb sektorin rus, ashtu edhe n\u00eb at\u00eb anglishtfol\u00ebs). <\/p>\n

    E para \u2014 disertacioni i T. M. Bujev\u00ebs. Disertacioni ishte p\u00ebrkushtuar, mes t\u00eb tjerash, optimizimit t\u00eb shpenzimeve n\u00eb fabrikat e pullave t\u00eb Mari.<\/p>\n

    Autori tjet\u00ebr, V.V. Matokhin (referencat e nd\u00ebrsjella t\u00eb autor\u00ebve ekzistojn\u00eb), e qaset \u00e7\u00ebshtjes m\u00eb gjer\u00eb. Matokhin, nj\u00eb fizik nga arsimimi fillestar, merret me p\u00ebrpunimin statistik t\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave, q\u00eb p\u00ebrdoren n\u00eb vendimmarrjen menaxheriale, si dhe me vler\u00ebsimin e adaptueshm\u00ebris\u00eb dhe menaxhueshm\u00ebris\u00eb s\u00eb kompanive.<\/p>\n

    Koncepti dhe shembujt e dh\u00ebn\u00eb m\u00eb posht\u00eb jan\u00eb nxjerr\u00eb nga punimet e V. Matokhin dhe koleg\u00ebve t\u00eb tij (Matokhin, 1995), (Antoniou et al., 2002), (Kryanev et al., 1998), (Matokhin et al., 2018). N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb lidhje duhet t\u00eb shtohet se gabimet e mundshme n\u00eb interpretimin e punimeve t\u00eb tyre jan\u00eb pron\u00eb ekskluzive e autorit t\u00eb k\u00ebtyre rreshtave dhe nuk mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrshkruhen autor\u00ebve origjinal\u00eb akademik\u00eb. <\/p>\n

    Konsistenca e papritur<\/h4>\n

    \nE reflektuar n\u00eb grafikat e paraqitura m\u00eb posht\u00eb.<\/p>\n

    1. Shp\u00ebrndarja e grant\u00ebve nga konkurrimi i punimeve shkencore-teknike sipas Programit Shtet\u00ebror \"Superkonduktiviteti me Temperatura t\u00eb Larta\". (Matokhin, 1995)
    \n\"\u00abPjesa
    \nFig.1. Proporcioni i shp\u00ebrndarjes vjetore t\u00eb fondeve p\u00ebr projektet n\u00eb vitet 1988-1994.<\/i>
    \nKarakteristikat kryesore t\u00eb shp\u00ebrndarjeve vjetore jan\u00eb paraqitur n\u00eb Tabel\u00ebn 3, ku SN \u00ebsht\u00eb shuma vjetore e fondeve t\u00eb shp\u00ebrndara (n\u00eb mln. rubla), dhe N \u00ebsht\u00eb numri i projekteve t\u00eb financuara. Duke marr\u00eb parasysh se gjat\u00eb k\u00ebtyre viteve ka ndryshuar p\u00ebrb\u00ebrja personale e juris\u00eb s\u00eb konkurrenc\u00ebs, buxheti i konkurrenc\u00ebs dhe madje edhe shkalla e parave (para dhe pas reform\u00ebs s\u00eb vitit 1991), stabiliteti i kurbave reale n\u00eb koh\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb impresionues. Linja e zez\u00eb n\u00eb grafik \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrb\u00ebr\u00eb nga piketat eksperimentale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
    <\/td>\n1988<\/td>\n1989<\/td>\n1990<\/td>\n1991<\/td>\n1992<\/td>\n1993<\/td>\n1994<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    S<\/td>\n273<\/td>\n362<\/td>\n432<\/td>\n553<\/td>\n345<\/td>\n353<\/td>\n253<\/td>\nX<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Sn<\/td>\n143.1<\/td>\n137.6<\/td>\n136.9<\/td>\n411.2<\/td>\n109.4<\/td>\n920<\/td>\n977<\/td>\nY<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

    \nTabel\u00eb.3<\/i><\/p>\n

    2. Kurb\u00eb shpenzimesh t\u00eb lidhura me shitjet e stokut t\u00eb mallrave (Kotlyar, 1989)
    \n\"\u00abPjesa
    \nFig.2<\/i> <\/p>\n

    3. Strukturat tarifore t\u00eb paga p\u00ebr pozitat<\/p>\n

    Si nj\u00eb shembull p\u00ebr nd\u00ebrtimin e diagramit jan\u00eb marr\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebna nga dokumenti \"Lista: sa duhet t\u00eb ket\u00eb cila pozita sipas pagave vjetore t\u00eb zakonshme\" (Suvorov, 2014) (\"Shkenca p\u00ebr t\u00eb fituar\"). <\/p>\n\n\n
    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Pozita<\/td>\nPaga (rub.)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Kolonel<\/td>\n585<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    N\u00ebnkolonel<\/td>\n351<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Major Shembull<\/td>\n292<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Major Sekund<\/td>\n243<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Kvartermistr<\/td>\n117<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Adjutant<\/td>\n117<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Komisar<\/td>\n98<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    \u2026<\/td>\n\u2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

    \n<\/td>\n

    		\"\u00abPjesa
    \nFig. 3. Diagram of the proportionality of annual salaries by ranks\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

    4. Averaged work schedule of an American middle manager (Mintzberg, 1973)
    \n \"\u00abPjesa
    \nFig.4 <\/i> <\/p>\n

    The normalized graphs presented suggest that there is a common regularity in the economic activities illustrated by them. Despite the radical differences in the specifics of business activities, their locale, and timing, it is highly likely that the similarity of the graphs is dictated by some fundamental condition of the functioning of economic systems. Over millennia of economic activity based on countless trials and errors, these entities have staggered upon an optimal strategy for resource distribution, which they intuitively apply in their current operations. This assumption aligns well with the well-known Pareto principle: 20% of our efforts yield 80% of the results. Something similar is clearly observed here. The presented graphs express an empirical regularity that, when transformed into a Lorenz curve, is sufficiently described with a degree parameter \"alpha\" equal to 2. At this parameter, the Lorenz curve turns into a part of a circle.<\/p>\n

    This characteristic, still without a stable name, can be called survivability. Analogous to survivability in the wild, the survivability of an economic system is determined by its developed adaptation to the conditions of the socio-economic environment and its ability to adapt to changes in market conditions.<\/p>\n

    This means that a system in which the distribution of expenses approaches the ideal (with a degree parameter \"alpha\" equal to 2, or expenses distributed \"in a circle\") has the highest chances of surviving in its current form. Notably, in several cases, such a distribution also defines the highest profitability of the enterprise. For instance, here. The smaller the deviation coefficient from the ideal, the higher the profitability of the enterprise (Buyeva, 2002).<\/p>\n

    Table (fragment)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    <\/td>\nName of the economy, area<\/td>\nProfitability (%)<\/td>\nDeviation coefficient<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    1<\/td>\nGUP p\/f \"Volzhskaya\" of Volzhsky district<\/td>\n13,0<\/td>\n0,336<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    2<\/td>\nSPK p\/f \"Gornomariyskaya\"<\/td>\n11,1<\/td>\n0,18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    3<\/td>\nUMSP s-z \"Zvenigovskiy\"<\/td>\n33,7<\/td>\n0,068<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    4<\/td>\nSh.A. \u00abMariyskoye\u00bb e rrethit Medvedev<\/td>\n7,5<\/td>\n0,195<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    5<\/td>\nO.A. \u00abTeplichnoye\u00bb e rrethit Medvedev<\/td>\n16,3<\/td>\n0,107<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    \u2026<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    47<\/td>\nSPK (k-z) \u00abRassvet\u00bb e rrethit Sovetski<\/td>\n3,2<\/td>\n0,303<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    48<\/td>\nS-z \u00abBronyevik\u00bb e rrethit Kilemar<\/td>\n14,2<\/td>\n0,117<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    49<\/td>\nSPK SHA \u00abAvangard\u00bb e rrethit Morkin<\/td>\n6,5<\/td>\n0,261<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    50<\/td>\nSHA k-z im. Petrov e rrethit Morkin<\/td>\n22,5<\/td>\n0,135<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

    Konkluzionet praktike<\/h4>\n

    \nDuke planifikuar shpenzimet, si p\u00ebr kompanit\u00eb ashtu edhe p\u00ebr familjet, \u00ebsht\u00eb e dobishme t\u00eb construire nj\u00eb kurv\u00eb Lorenz dhe ta krahasosh at\u00eb me idealen. Sa m\u00eb af\u00ebr t\u00eb jet\u00eb diagrami juaj idealit, aq m\u00eb shum\u00eb mund\u00ebsi keni q\u00eb planifikoni sakt\u00eb dhe q\u00eb aktiviteti juaj do t\u00eb jet\u00eb i suksessh\u00ebm. Kjo af\u00ebrsi e konfirmon se planet tuaja jan\u00eb t\u00eb ngjashme me p\u00ebrvoj\u00ebn e aktiviteteve ekonomike t\u00eb njer\u00ebzimit, q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb verifikuar n\u00eb ligjet empirike t\u00eb njohura, si parimi i Pareto.<\/p>\n

    Megjithat\u00eb, mund t\u00eb supozohet se k\u00ebtu b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr funksionimin e nj\u00eb sistemi ekonomik t\u00eb pjekur, t\u00eb orientuar drejt fitimit. N\u00ebse nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb fjala p\u00ebr maksimizimin e fitimit, por, p\u00ebr shembull, p\u00ebr modernizimin e kompanis\u00eb ose p\u00ebr nj\u00eb rritje t\u00eb ndjeshme t\u00eb pjes\u00ebs s\u00eb saj t\u00eb tregut, kurba juaj e shp\u00ebrndarjes s\u00eb shpenzimeve do t\u00eb largohet nga rrethi. <\/p>\n

    \u00cbsht\u00eb e qart\u00eb se edhe n\u00eb rastin e nj\u00eb start-up me ekonomin\u00eb e tij specifike, diagrami i Lorenzit, q\u00eb korrespondon me probabilitetin m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb suksesit, gjithashtu do t\u00eb largohet nga rrethi. Mund t\u00eb formuloni nj\u00eb hipotez\u00eb se devijimi i kurb\u00ebs s\u00eb shp\u00ebrndarjes s\u00eb shpenzimeve brenda rrethit \u00ebsht\u00eb i lidhur me rreziqe t\u00eb rritura dhe me adaptivitet t\u00eb ulur t\u00eb kompanis\u00eb. Megjithat\u00eb, pa mb\u00ebshtetje n\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebna t\u00eb m\u00ebdha statistikore p\u00ebr start-up-et (si ato t\u00eb suksesshme ashtu edhe ato jo t\u00eb suksesshme), parashikime t\u00eb arsyeshme dhe t\u00eb kualifikuara jan\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira. <\/p>\n

    Sipas nj\u00eb hipoteze tjet\u00ebr, devijimi i kurb\u00ebs s\u00eb shp\u00ebrndarjes s\u00eb shpenzimeve nga rrethi jasht\u00eb, mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb nj\u00eb sinjal si i rregullimit t\u00eb tepruar t\u00eb menaxhimit, ashtu edhe nj\u00eb sinjal i falimentimit t\u00eb af\u00ebrt. P\u00ebr t\u00eb verifikuar k\u00ebt\u00eb hipotez\u00eb, gjithashtu k\u00ebrkohet nj\u00eb baz\u00eb referimi e caktuar, e cila, ashtu si n\u00eb rastin e start-up-eve, ndoshta nuk ekziston n\u00eb mendjet e publikut.<\/p>\n

    N\u00eb p\u00ebrfundim<\/h4>\n

    \nPublikimet e para t\u00eb m\u00ebdha n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb tem\u00eb datojn\u00eb q\u00eb nga viti 1995 (Matokhin, 1995). Dhe pak njohuria e k\u00ebtyre punimeve, ndon\u00ebse universale dhe p\u00ebrdorim t\u00eb ri dhe radikal t\u00eb modeleve dhe mjeteve t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorura gjer\u00ebsisht nga ekonomist\u00ebt, mbetet n\u00eb nj\u00eb far\u00eb m\u00ebnyre nj\u00eb mister...
    \n
    Burimi: habr.com<\/a><\/p>","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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