Kumaxesha amandulo, umntu omnye akakwazi ukubona abantu abangaphezu kwe-1000 ebomini bakhe bonke, kwaye wayenxibelelana neshumi elinesibini labantu bezizwe. Namhlanje, siyanyanzelwa ukuba sikhumbule ulwazi malunga nenani elikhulu labantu esibaziyo abanokuthi bakhubeke ukuba awubabulisi ngamagama xa udibana.
Inani lokuhamba kolwazi olungenayo liye landa kakhulu. Umzekelo, wonke umntu esimaziyo uhlala evelisa iinyani ezintsha malunga nabo. Kwaye kukho abantu esilandela ngokusondeleyo ikamva labo, nangaphandle nethuba lokudibana nomntu - aba bezopolitiko, iibloggers, amagcisa.
Ubuninzi abusoloko buguqulela kumgangatho. Abantu abadumileyo kwihlabathi bahlala bevelisa ingxolo yolwazi eqhubekayo engachaphazeli ubomi bethu bokwenyani nangayiphi na indlela. Kubangela umdla ngakumbi ukuzama ukwahlula kwingxolo emhlophe amazwi abo banokubona ngakumbi kwaye baqonde ngakumbi kunabanye.
Ngexesha apho kukho ubuninzi bolwazi olungenantsingiselo, amazwi e-futurologists anokuba luncedo ekufumaneni iindlela ezintsha kunye nokuqonda ubuchwephesha bezixhobo ezinkulu ezijika ihlabathi. Ngezantsi uya kufumana amakhonkco kwiiakhawunti zezona mboniselo zifanelekileyo zekamva namhlanje.
UBill Gates wabiza uRaymond Kurzweil "ngoyena mntu ndimaziyo ekuqikeleleni ikamva lobukrelekrele bokwenziwa." Akumangalisi ukuba i-futurist eyaziwayo ibambe isikhundla somlawuli wezobugcisa kwintsimi yokufunda koomatshini kunye nokulungiswa kolwimi lwendalo kwiGoogle ukususela ngo-2012.
UKurzweil ukholelwa ukuba phakathi kwexesha lokuphila kwesizukulwana sangoku kuya kufezekiswa ubunye obuya kuvumela uluntu ukuba lukhuphukele kwinqanaba elitsha lokuziphendukela kwemvelo.
I-Symbiosis enobukrelekrele obunamandla bokwenziwa iya kusinceda sifikelele kwinyathelo elilandelayo leleli yendaleko. Enyanisweni, ubunye buya kucima iyantlukwano phakathi kobukrelekrele bomntu kunye nobokwenziwa.
Ngokutsho kukaKurzweil, iingxaki ezingenakunqandwa ezifana nokutshintsha kwemozulu, ukunqongophala kwezixhobo, izifo kunye nokufa kuya kupheliswa ngobunye.
Ingcali yefiziksi yethiyori, isazisi sesayensi enoluhlu olubanzi ngokumangalisayo lwezinto ezinomdla - ukusuka kwimingxuma emnyama ukuya kuphando lwengqondo.
UMichio Kaku ngomnye wabaqulunqi bethiyori yeentambo. Upapashe ngaphezu kwamaphepha angama-70 enzululwazi ngethiyori ye-superstring, amandla anzima, i-supersymmetry kunye ne-particle physics. Umxhasi okhutheleyo we-Multiverse - ithiyori yobukho beendalo ezininzi ezihambelanayo. UKaku ucebisa ukuba iBig Bang yenzeka xa iiyunivesiti ezininzi zangqubana okanye xa indalo enye yahlukana kubini.
Emva phayaa ngeminyaka yoo-1980, uLanier wavelisa iiglasi zokuqala kunye neeglavu zenyani entywilayo. Enyanisweni, waqamba igama elithi VR.
Okwangoku usebenza kwaMicrosoft, usebenza kwimiba yokubonwa kwedatha. Ngamaxesha athile kubonakala kumajelo eendaba njengengcali kwicandelo le-techno-pessimism kunye nombhali wencwadi ethi "Iingxabano ezilishumi zokucima iiAkhawunti zakho zeMedia yeNtlalo ngoku."
Ngenxa yezizathu ezicacileyo, akagcini amaphepha kwiintanethi zentlalo, ngoko ke sinika ikhonkco kwiwebhusayithi yakhe.
Umbhali-mbali wasemkhosini wase-Israel osebenza kwi-European Middle Ages. Vegan, umlweli wamalungelo ezilwanyana, umncedisi kumfundisi-ntsapho okhokelayo wesithethe saseBurma esingasekhoyo sokucamngca ngeVipassana, umbhali weencwadi ezimbini ezibalaseleyo: Sapiens: Imbali emfutshane yoLuntu kunye noHomo Deus: Imbali emfutshane yangoMso.
Ngelixa incwadi yokuqala imalunga nenkqubela phambili yoluntu ngokuthe ngcembe ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, "uHomo Deus" sisilumkiso sokuba "i-dataism" (ingqondo edalwe kukubaluleka okukhulayo kweDatha enkulu emhlabeni) iya kwenza kuluntu lwethu nakwimizimba ekufutshane. kwixesha elizayo.
Omnye wabalweli abaphambili kwintlalontle ngokuchasene neengxaki zezifo ezinxulumene nobudala, umphandi oyintloko kunye nomseki-mdibaniselwano wesiseko sophando se-SENS. U-Dee Grey uzama ukwandisa ngokuphawulekayo ixesha lokuphila kwabantu ukuze ukufa kube yinto yexesha elidlulileyo.
U-Aubrey Dee Grey waqala umsebenzi wakhe njengenjineli ye-AI/software ngo-1985. Ukususela kwi-1992, uye wenza uphando kwintsimi ye-cell kunye ne-molecular biology kwiSebe leGenetics kwiYunivesithi yaseCambridge.
Ngo-1999, wapapasha incwadi enesihloko esithi "I-Mitochondrial Free Radical Theory of Aging," apho waqala wachaza ingcamango ephambili yophando lwakhe lwezenzululwazi: ukukhusela kunye nokulungisa umonakalo oqokelelwa ngumzimba ngexesha lokuguga (ingakumbi, kwi-DNA ye-mitochondrial), ekufuneka incede abantu baphile ixesha elide.
UMlawuli we-MIT-IBM Watson AI Lab, inxalenye yombutho omkhulu wophando lwezoshishino kwihlabathi, uphando lwe-IBM. Kwiminyaka eyi-11, uDavid Cox wafundisa eHarvard. Ufumene isidanga se-bachelor kwibhayoloji nakwipsychology evela eHarvard kunye nesidanga sobugqirha kwi-neuroscience kwiMassachusetts Institute of Technology. I-IBM yazisa ingcali yesayensi yobomi ukuba isebenze kwimiba yobukrelekrele bokwenziwa.
Owayesakuba yintloko kunye nosihlalo wangoku webhodi yabalawuli yenye yezona zikhawulezayo zidumileyo zokuqalisa - u-Y Combinator, enye yeenkokeli zeprojekthi yophando lwengqondo ye-OpenAI, eyasekwa ngokudibeneyo noPeter Thiel no-Elon Musk (washiya iprojekthi ngo-2018 ngenxa ukungqubana kwemidla).
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U-Nicholas Thompson (ofanekiselwa ekunene) yintatheli yezobuchwephesha, umhleli-oyintloko woshicilelo lobuchwephesha behlelo I-WIRED, inkokeli yoluvo malunga nokuphuhliswa kobukrelekrele bokwenziwa, ukuvela kwe-Intanethi enegunya, kunye neengxaki zokungaziwa kwi-Intanethi.
Akukho nto ibaluleke kakhulu ngomnye umqeshwa ophambili: uKevin Kelly, umseki we-WIRED, umbhali wencwadi ethi "Ayinakuvinjwa. Iindlela ezili-12 zetekhnoloji eza kubumba ikamva lethu. "
Umseki kunye nomphandi kwi-Singularity Institute ekudalweni kwengqondo yokwenziwa, umbhali wencwadi ethi "Ukudala i-AI eyi-Friendly" kunye namanqaku amaninzi kwiingxaki zendalo kunye nezobugcisa.
Kwizangqa ezingezizo ezemfundo waziwa ngcono njengombhali wenye yeencwadi eziphambili zenkulungwane yama-XNUMX. kuphuhliso kunye nokusetyenziswa kwemigaqo yengqiqo ebomini bokwenyani: "uHarry Potter kunye neendlela zokuCinga ngokuQinisekileyo."
UHashem Al Ghaili, oneminyaka engama-27, waseYemen kwaye uhlala eJamani, yinxalenye yesizukulwana esitsha sezaziso zesayensi. Njengomdali weevidiyo zesayensi kunye nezemfundo, wabonisa ukuba nangona uhlahlo lwabiwo-mali oluncinci unokuqokelela abaphulaphuli bezigidi. Enkosi kwiziqeshana ezichaza iziphumo zophando oluntsonkothileyo, uye waqokelela ngaphezulu kwe-7,5 yezigidi zababhalisi kunye neembono ezingaphezulu kwebhiliyoni e-1.
Umbhali ezithengiswa kakhulu kwezoqoqosho "Idada Black" yaye "Risking Your Own Skin. I-asymmetry efihliweyo yobomi bemihla ngemihla, "umrhwebi, ifilosofi, umbikezeli wengozi. Eyona ndawo iphambili yomdla wesayensi kukufunda ifuthe lezehlo ezingalindelekanga nezingalindelekanga kuqoqosho lwehlabathi kunye norhwebo lwesitokhwe. NgokukaNassim Taleb, phantse zonke iziganeko ezineziphumo ezibalulekileyo kwiimarike, ezopolitiko zehlabathi kunye nobomi babantu azinakucingelwa ngokupheleleyo.
Umseki weZiko leHlabathi leFutures eSan Francisco, umbhali wencwadi ethi βSmart Futures: Ukulawula iiTrendi eziTshintsha ilizwe lakho.β Usebenze njengomcebisi kulawulo lwe-White House malunga neendlela ezizayo.
Inzululwazi yezopolitiko, umseki kunye nomlawuli we-intelligence yangasese kunye nentlangano yohlalutyo iStretfor, eqokelela kwaye ihlalutye ulwazi malunga neziganeko zehlabathi. Uyaziwa ngeengqikelelo ezininzi eziphikisanayo, kodwa kwangaxeshanye ubonisa uluvo lwenxalenye ebalulekileyo yeengcali zase-US ekuphuhliseni ummandla waseYurophu kunye namazwe angabamelwane.
Siqulunqe uluhlu olukude kuluhlu olupheleleyo. Omnye unokufuna ukongeza enye i-futurist, imboni okanye ingcamango (umzekelo, uthanda iingcamango zikaDaniel Kahneman, kwaye uqinisekile ukuba kwixesha elizayo baya kutshintsha ihlabathi) - bhala iziphakamiso zakho kumazwana.
umthombo: www.habr.com