Oku kuhambelana nomxholo othi "Golden Ratio" kuqoqosho - yintoni na?", ephakanyiswe ngaphakathi . Masijongane nengxaki yokusasazwa okukhethekileyo kwezibonelelo ukusuka kwinqanaba elingekachatshazelwa.
Masithathe eyona modeli ilula yokuvelisa isiganeko: ukujula ingqekembe kunye nethuba lokufumana iintloko okanye imisila. Kukholelwa ukuba:
Ukufumana “iintloko” okanye “imisila” kuphoso lomntu ngamnye kunokwenzeka ngokulinganayo – 50 ukuya kuma-50%
Ngoluhlu olukhulu lokuphoswa, inani lamaconsi kwicala ngalinye lengqekembe lisondela kwinani lamaconsi kwelinye.
Oku kuthetha ukuba, ngokurekhoda iziphumo zeentloko zangaphambili kunye nokugxila kwibhalansi yochungechunge, sinokulindela ukulahlekelwa kweentloko (kunye nokungawa kwemisila) njengento elandelayo yoluhlu olunomlinganiselo omkhulu okanye omncinci, ngokuxhomekeke kwiziphumo zelahleko yangaphambili. Okuhambelana namava akhe wonke umntu owenze uthotho olunjalo.
Njengoko izibalo zibonisa (ukunqanda ukuphindaphinda, bona imizekelo yeegrafu kwi ), kwiinkqubo ezahlukeneyo zoqoqosho - njengakwimifuniselo ngengqekembe - ulwabiwo oluqhelekileyo-olunokwenzeka lweendleko luyabonwa. Kwaye inika umdla kakhulu ukubonisa olu lwabiwo lwenkcitho olusebenzayo njengomzobo we-Lorenz (jonga umfanekiso ongezantsi "Kwiindleko zeNkampani"). Ngeempazamo ezincinci kuqikelelo lwalo, eli jika lijika libe yi-arc ejikelezayo (ikota ekunene esezantsi). Uhlalutyo olubanzi lweenkcukacha-manani lokusasazwa kwezibonelelo lubonisa ukuveliswa kwakhona okuphezulu kwe-arc yesangqa kwiindawo ezahlukeneyo zoqoqosho (kwakhona, jonga ushicilelo lwangaphambili) Kwaye iqondo lokusondela kokusasazwa okukhoyo kweendleko kule ngxelo kusivumela ukuba gweba "impilo" yenkqubo yezoqoqosho eqwalaselwayo. "Impilo" apha ibhekisa kubomi benkqubo kunye nokukwazi kwayo ukuphuhlisa.
Makhe siqwalasele amacandelo amabini omsebenzi wezoqoqosho afana ngokusisiseko, kodwa ngalinye lineenkcukacha ezithile.
Iindleko zenkampani
Inkqubo yesiRashiya uLeonarus v.1.02 isebenzisa indlela echazwe ngasentla (bona. ) ivavanya inkcitho ngokwembono yozinzo lophuhliso lwequmrhu lezoqoqosho njengenkqubo edibeneyo. Ikwenza oku ngokuvavanya ukusasazwa kweendleko kwaye iqinisekise ukusetyenziswa kakuhle kwemithombo ekhoyo, ilumkisa ngokunxaxha okubukhali kweyona nkqubo iphezulu.
Inkcitho ehambelana nale pateni iqinisekisa inkululeko enkulu yenkqubo ekhoyo kunye nokusinda kwayo okuphezulu.
Inkqubo ifikeleleka kumsebenzisi oqhelene ne-Excel kwaye onamava ekucwangciseni nakwimisebenzi yeshishini. Inkqubo ikuvumela ukuba uhlole imeko yezoqoqosho yeshishini kwaye wenze uhlengahlengiso kuhlahlo lwabiwo-mali olucwangcisiweyo ngokusekelwe kwimeko yangoku.
Ukufaneleka kokuvavanya imeko yezoqoqosho yangoku kuyanda namhlanje, njengoko ukubhanga kwamaqumrhu asemthethweni kuya kuxhaphaka.
Kwi-2017, ngaphezu kwe-9 amawaka oosomashishini bayekile ukubakho. Amanani-nkcazo amashishini amancinci abonisa ukuba malunga ne-30% ivaliwe ngenxa yokusilela.
Iinkcukacha-manani zokutshona kweshishini zinyukile ngo-2017. Iinkampani ezingaphezu kwe-13,5 lamawaka ziye zatshona eRashiya. Ukonyuka kwaba sisi-7,7%. Kwikota yokuqala ka-2018, amashishini angama-3,17 amawaka abhengezwe njengabangenamali. Ukonyuka kwaba sisi-5%.
Inkqubo yeLeonarus v.1.02 ilungile kuba ikuvumela ukuba ulungelelanise iindleko ezilindelekileyo, ulungelelanisa ukuhla / ukunyuka kweendleko ngokuxhomekeke kwisiphumo esifunwayo: ukufezekisa inzuzo ecetywayo. Amashishini asondele kulwakhiwo lweendleko kumzobo okhethiweyo weLorenz one-exponent yesibini anenzuzo ephezulu (Bueva, T. M. (2002) Ukusetyenziswa kwee-curves ze-Lorenz ezilungisiweyo kwiingxaki zokwabiwa kwengxowa-mali).
Njengenqaku: inkqubo yeepasile zayo inokuba luncedo kakhulu hayi kumashishini kuphela, kodwa nakwimizi. Ngokomzekelo, xa kunikezelwa indlu ngamalungiselelo, kuthengwa izidlo ezikhethekileyo ezikhethekileyo, ukutya okulula ukupheka, iinkozo, i-seasonings, iikhemikhali ezincinci zasekhaya ziqokelelwa ngamanani amancinci ... Isiphumo singumfanekiso onokuthi ubonakale kwiimeko ezininzi. .
Kwaye ukuba inkcitho yakho ichazwa ngumzobo okhethiweyo weLorenz, ke ubomi bekhaya lakho bukhuselekile ngokwemali. Naziphi na iindleko ezihambelana nale tshati-kungakhathaliseki ukuba zigqithise kangakanani-aziyi kuvuthuza uhlahlo lwabiwo-mali lwakho.
Olu cwangciso lunokunceda kwanomama wekhaya onamava ukuba kufuneka acuthe kakhulu uqingqo-mali. Kwaye kwimodi eqhelekileyo, kuyafuneka ukujonga iindleko esele zicwangcisiwe. Le yi-inshurensi ekuvumela ukuba uphephe iimpazamo ezinzulu kunye nokuphelelwa yisikhathi ngengozi kwingqalelo xa uhambisa imali.
Kwangaxeshanye, maye, kufuneka sivume ukuba kwimo yayo yangoku le nkqubo iyintlekisa kwaye ayifikeleleki kubasebenzisi abangenamava. Isixhobo esiluncedo sokusetyenziswa ekhaya asikalungiswa... Naliphi na icebiso kunye neengcebiso “zokuhlala” Leonarus v.1.02 zamkelekile.
Uhlalutyo lweprojekthi yotyalo-mali
Le yimeko yovavanyo lweengcali, xa kungekho malunga nokutshintsha iindleko, kodwa malunga nokucacisa ingozi yeprojekthi. Oku kwenziwa xa, ukongeza kwiindlela esele zisetyenzisiwe zokuvavanya utyalo-mali olucetywayo, ulwakhiwo lweendleko luhlalutywa ukusondela kumzobo wesalathiso we-Lorenz.
Amava akhoyo akonelanga ukwenza izigqibo eziqinisekileyo ngalo mba. Nangona kunjalo, ngokusekelwe kwizakhiwo zethiyori kunye namava esayithi , sinokucinga ukuba ukuphambuka kokuqina kweendleko zeprojekthi ukusuka kwi-reference arc ukuya ngakwesobunxele, ingozi enkulu yophuhliso olungalindelekanga ngenxa "yokukhululeka" kokuqala kwezicwangciso. Kwaye okukhona ukutenxa okukhulu ukuya ngasekunene, kokukhona kunokwenzeka ukuba umcwangcisi/umphathi weprojekthi uthande ukulawulwa ngokugqithisileyo kwaye iprojekthi ayinaso saneleyo sokuziqhelanisa nokuhlangabezana nemingeni eza kujongana nayo.
Ezi ngqikelelo zisulungekiswa ngokuqwalasela iindleko zeprojekthi eziphakathi kusetyenziswa i-equations ye-quantum mechanics. Kodwa nangaphandle kwezibalo ezongezelelweyo, ukuphambuka kwitshathi yereferensi kunokuchaphazela isigqibo sotyalo-mali esinolwazi. Nokuba iprojekthi iya kwaliwa ngenxa yomngcipheko owongeziweyo, okanye ulwakhiwo lwesivumelwano kufuneka luthathele ingqalelo umngcipheko owongeziweyo weprojekthi.
Ekugqibeleni
Eyona nkqubo ilula yezoqoqosho eneneni yinkqubo enokungaqiniseki okuphezulu ngenxa yokwahluka kwamacandelo ayo kunye nobudlelwane obuguquguqukayo phakathi kwabo. Ubume benkcitho ecetywayo okanye yangoku ayikuphela kwenxalenye ebalulekileyo yenkqubo. Nangona kunjalo, yenye yezo zinokuhlengahlengiswa ngabaphathi. Kwaye ngaphandle kwazo zonke iiyantlukwano kwiimeko apho umsebenzi wezoqoqosho wenziwa khona, sinokucinga ukuba eyona nto ifanelekileyo (ngokwembono yokuphila kunye nophuhliso lwequmrhu lezoqoqosho) ukuhanjiswa kwezibonelelo kuchazwa ngumzobo we-Lorenz. Isenokubizwa ngokuba yi-“golden ratio” kuqoqosho kwaye inokuba luncedo kakhulu kucwangciso lwezoqoqosho nohlalutyo.
"Bendisoloko ndifumanisa ukuba xa ulungiselela idabi, izicwangciso azinamsebenzi, kodwa ukucwangcisa akunaxabiso."
D. Eisenhower, umphathi wemikhosi eManyeneyo eYurophu (1944-1945)
Ukugqibelela:
Uluhlu lweereferensi ezikhankanywe ngababhali be-http://www.leonarus.ruAntoniou, I., Ivanov, V.V., Korolev, Y.L., Kryanev, A.V., Matokhin, V.V., & Suchaneckia, Z. (2002). Uhlalutyo losasazo lwezibonelelo kuqoqosho olusekelwe kwi-entropy. I-Physica A, 304, 525-534.
Haritonov, V. V., Kryanev, A. V., & Matokhin, V. V. (2008). Ukubanakho ukulungelelaniswa kweenkqubo zoqoqosho. Ijenali yeHlabathi yoLawulo lweNyukliya, uQoqosho kunye ne-Ecology, i-2, i-131-145.
Lorentz, M. O. (Jun 1905). Iindlela zokuMeta ukuNgxinanisa kobutyebi. Iimpapasho ze-American Statistical Association, 9 (70), iphepha 209-219.
Mintzberg, H. (1973). Ubume boMsebenzi woLawulo. ENew York: IHarper & Row.
Prigogine, I. R. (1962). Ubuchwephesha beenkcukacha-manani obungalinganiyo. ENew York–eLondon: Abapapashi be-Interscience kwiCandelo likaJohn Wiley & Sons.
Rasche, R. H., Gaffney, J., Koo, A. Y., & Obst, N. (1980). Iifom ezisebenzayo zokuqikelela ijiko le-Lorenz. I-Econometrica, i-48, i-1061-1062.
Robbins, L. (1969 [1935]). Isincoko esingeNdawo kunye noBaluleko lweNzululwazi yezoQoqosho (uhlelo lwe-2nd.). ELondon: Macmillan.
Halle, M. (1995). Economics njengenzululwazi. (I.A. Inguqulelo esuka kwiFrench Egorov, Translation) M: RSUH.
Allais, M. (1998). Ithiyori yokulingana.
Bueva, T. M. (2002). Ukusetyenziswa kweegophe zeLorenz ezilungisiweyo kwiingxaki zokusasazwa kweemali. Yoshkar-Ola.
Doroshenko, M. E. (2000). Uhlalutyo lwamazwe angalinganiyo kunye neenkqubo kwiimodeli zoqoqosho olukhulu. M: iFaculty of Economics yeYunivesithi yaseMoscow State, TEIS.
Kotlyar, F. (1989). Iziseko zokuthengisa. (/ p. IsiNgesi, Transl.) EMoscow: Inkqubela.
Kryanev, A. V., Matokhin, V. V., & Klimanov, S. G. (1998). Imisebenzi yeenkcukacha-manani yokuhanjiswa kwezibonelelo kuqoqosho. M: Shicilela kwangaphambili i-MEPhI.
Prigogine, I. R. (1964). Nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. (P.s. IsiNgesi, Transl.) EMoscow: UMir.
Suvorov, A. V. (2014). Inzululwazi yokuwina. (M. Tereshina, uMhl.) M: Eksmo.
UHelfert, E. (1996). Ubuchwephesha bokuhlalutya imali/Trans. ukusuka kwisiNgesi (L.P. Belykh, Transl.) M: Uphicotho-zincwadi, UMANYANO.
umthombo: www.habr.com