Ezikhathini zasendulo, umuntu oyedwa ekuphileni kwakhe konke wayengakwazi ukubona abantu abangaphezu kwe-1000, futhi wayexhumana kuphela neshumi nambili lezizwe zakubo. Namuhla, siphoqelekile ukuba sikhumbule imininingwane mayelana nenani elikhulu labantu esibaziyo abangase bacasuke uma ungababingelelanga ngamagama lapho uhlangana.
Inani lokugeleza kolwazi olungenayo likhule kakhulu. Ngokwesibonelo, ngamunye esibajwayele uhlala ekhiqiza amaqiniso amasha ngabo. Futhi kukhona abantu isiphetho sabo esilandela eduze, ngisho ngaphandle ithuba lokuhlangana mathupha - laba osopolitiki, Blogger, abaculi.
Ubuningi abuhumushi ngaso sonke isikhathi kukhwalithi. Abantu abadumile emhlabeni bavame ukudala umsindo oqhubekayo wolwazi ongathinti ukuphila kwethu kwangempela nganoma iyiphi indlela. Okuthakazelisa nakakhulu ukuzama ukuhlukanisa umsindo omhlophe amazwi alabo abakwazi ukubona kude futhi baqonde ngaphezu kwabanye.
Enkathini yolwazi olungasho lutho, amazwi ezazi zekusasa angaba usizo ekutholeni amathrendi amasha kanye nokuqonda izinsimbi zamagiya amakhulu aguqula umhlaba. Ngezansi uzothola izixhumanisi zama-akhawunti wababoni banamuhla abahlobene kakhulu besikhathi esizayo.
UBill Gates ubize uRaymond Kurzweil "umuntu ongcono kakhulu engimaziyo ekubikezeleni ikusasa lobuhlakani bokwenziwa." Akumangalisi ukuthi ifuturist edumile kube yi-CTO Yokufunda Ngomshini Nokucutshungulwa Kolimi Lwemvelo kwa-Google kusukela ngo-2012.
UKurzweil ukholelwa ukuthi ngisho nangesikhathi sokuphila kwesizukulwane samanje, kuzofinyelelwa ubunye obuzovumela isintu ukuba sikhuphukele ezingeni elisha lokuziphendukela kwemvelo.
I-Symbiosis enobuhlakani bokwenziwa obuqinile izosisiza ukuthi sifinyelele esinyathelweni esilandelayo seladi lokuziphendukela kwemvelo. Eqinisweni, ubunye buzosula umehluko phakathi kobuhlakani bomuntu nobokwenziwa.
Ngokusho kuka-Kurzweil, izinkinga ezingenakunqandeka ezifana nokushintsha kwesimo sezulu, ukuntuleka kwezinsiza, izifo ngisho nokufa kuzoqedwa ngumuntu oyedwa.
Isazi sefiziksi yetiyori, isazi sesayensi esinezithakazelo eziningi ezihlukahlukene ngokumangalisayo - kusukela emigodini emnyama kuya ocwaningweni lobuchopho.
U-Michio Kaku ungomunye wababhali ababambisene bethiyori yezintambo. Ushicilele amaphepha esayensi angaphezu kuka-70 nge-superstring theory, supergravity, supersymmetry, kanye ne-particle physics. Umsekeli oshisekayo we-Multiverse - inkolelo-mbono yokuba khona kwama-universe amaningi afanayo. U-Kaku usikisela ukuthi i-Big Bang yenzeke lapho ama-universe ambalwa eshayisana noma lapho umkhathi owodwa uhlukana kabili.
Emuva ngeminyaka yawo-1980, u-Lanier wasungula izibuko namagilavu okuqala ukuze uthole iqiniso elibonakalayo eligxilile. Empeleni, uphinde waqamba igama elithi VR.
Njengamanje usebenza kwa-Microsoft, esebenza ngezinkinga zokubuka idatha. Uvela ngezikhathi ezithile kwabezindaba njengochwepheshe emkhakheni we-technopessimism kanye nomlobi wencwadi ethi Izizathu Eziyishumi Zokususa Ama-Akhawunti Akho Ezindaba Zomphakathi Khona Manje.
Ngezizathu ezisobala, akagcini amakhasi ezinkundleni zokuxhumana, ngakho-ke sinikeza isixhumanisi kuwebhusayithi yomuntu siqu.
Isazi-mlando sezempi yakwa-Israel esisebenza ngeNkathi Ephakathi YaseYurophu. I-Vegan, isishoshovu samalungelo ezilwane, umsizi womfundisi oholayo kusiko lwakamuva lokuzindla kwe-Burmese Vipassana, umbhali wezincwadi ezimbili ezivelele, i-Sapiens: Umlando Omfishane Wobuntu kanye no-Homo Deus: Umlando Omfishane Wakusasa.
Nakuba incwadi yokuqala ikhuluma ngokunyakaza kancane kancane kwesintu kuze kube manje, i-Homo Deus iyisexwayiso salokho "i-dataism" (umcabango odalwe ukubaluleka okwandayo kwe-Big Data emhlabeni) ezokwenza emphakathini wethu nasemizimbeni yethu maduze nje.
Omunye wezishoshovu ezihamba phambili zezenhlalakahle ngokumelene nezinkinga zezifo ezihlobene nobudala, umcwaningi omkhulu kanye nomsunguli we-SENS Research Foundation. U-De Gray uhlose ukwandisa kakhulu iminyaka yokuphila kwabantu ukuze ukufa kube yinto yesikhathi esidlule.
U-Aubrey De Gray waqala umsebenzi wakhe wokuba unjiniyela we-AI/software ngo-1985. Kusukela ngo-1992 ubelokhu enza ucwaningo emkhakheni webhayoloji yamangqamuzana namangqamuzana eMnyangweni Wezofuzo eNyuvesi yaseCambridge.
Ngo-1999, washicilela incwadi ebizwa ngokuthi I-Mitochondrial Free Radical Theory of Aging, lapho aqala khona ukubeka umbono obalulekile wocwaningo lwakhe lwesayensi lwesikhathi esizayo: ukuvimbela nokulungisa umonakalo onqwabelana emzimbeni ngesikhathi sokuguga (ikakhulukazi, ku-DNA ye-mitochondrial. ), okufanele kusize abantu baphile isikhathi eside.
Umqondisi we-MIT-IBM Watson AI Lab, ingxenye yenhlangano yocwaningo lwezimboni enkulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni, i-IBM Research. UDavid Cox wafundisa eHarvard iminyaka eyi-11. Uthole iziqu ze-bachelor ku-biology and psychology e-Harvard kanye ne-PhD ku-neuroscience e-Massachusetts Institute of Technology. I-IBM ilethe uchwepheshe wesayensi yokuphila ukuze asebenze ngezinkinga zobuhlakani bokwenziwa.
Owake waba yinhloko kanye nosihlalo wamanje webhodi labaqondisi lenye yezinkampani ezisheshisa ukuqalisa ezidume kakhulu - u-Y Combinator, omunye wabaholi bephrojekthi yocwaningo lwezobunhloli be-OpenAI, eyasungulwa ngokubambisana noPeter Thiel no-Elon Musk (uhoxile kule phrojekthi ngo-2018 ukungqubuzana kwezintshisekelo).
и
U-Nicholas Thompson (osesithombeni kwesokudla) uyintatheli yezobuchwepheshe, umhleli oyinhloko wencwadi yobuchwepheshe behlelo i-WIRED, nomholi wemibono ngokuthuthukiswa kobuhlakani bokwenziwa, ukuvela kwe-inthanethi enegunya, kanye nezinkinga zokungaziwa ku-inthanethi.
Okunye okubalulekile yisinye isisebenzi esibalulekile - uKevin Kelly, umsunguli we-WIRED, umbhali wencwadi ethi “Akunakugwenywa. Izindlela zobuchwepheshe eziyi-12 ezilolonga ikusasa lethu.”
Umsunguli kanye nomcwaningi ku-Singularity Institute ekudalweni kobuhlakani bokufakelwa, umbhali wencwadi ethi "Creating Friendly AI" kanye nezihloko eziningi ngezinkinga zobuhlakani bemvelo nezokwenziwa.
Emibuthanweni engeyona eyezemfundo, waziwa kangcono njengombhali wezincwadi eziyinhloko zasekuqaleni kwekhulu lama-XNUMX. ekuthuthukisweni nasekusetshenzisweni kwezimiso zomqondo empilweni yangempela: "UHarry Potter nezindlela zokucabanga okunengqondo."
UHashem Al Ghaili, 27, waseYemen futhi ozinze eJalimane, uyingxenye yesizukulwane esisha sabameli besayensi. Njengomdali wamavidiyo esayensi nezemfundo, wafakazela ukuthi ngisho nesabelomali esincane, ungafinyelela izethameli eziyizigidi. Ngenxa yeziqeshana ezichaza imiphumela yocwaningo oluyinkimbinkimbi, selihlanganise ababhalisile abangaphezu kwezigidi ezingu-7,5 nokubukwa okungaphezu kwebhiliyoni elingu-1.
Umbhali wezincwadi ezithengiswa kakhulu kwezomnotho I-Black Swan kanye ne-Risking Your Own Skin. The Hidden Asymmetry of Everyday Life”, umhwebi, isazi sefilosofi, isangoma sengozi. Indawo eyinhloko yezithakazelo zesayensi wucwaningo lomthelela wezenzakalo ezingahleliwe nezingalindelekile emnothweni womhlaba kanye nokuhweba ngamasheya. NgokukaNassim Taleb, cishe zonke izehlakalo ezinemiphumela ebalulekile ezimakethe, ezombusazwe zomhlaba kanye nempilo yabantu azibikezeleki ngokuphelele.
Umsunguli we-Institute for Global Futures eSan Francisco, umbhali we-Smart Futures: Managing the Trends That Transform Your World. Usebenze njengomeluleki kubaphathi be-White House mayelana nezitayela zesikhathi esizayo.
Usosayensi wezepolitiki, umsunguli kanye nomqondisi wenhlangano yangasese yezobunhloli nokuhlaziya i-Stretfor, eqoqa futhi ihlaziye ulwazi mayelana nemicimbi emhlabeni. Yaziwa ngezibikezelo eziningana eziyimpikiswano, nokho, ibonisa umbono wengxenye ebalulekile yochwepheshe base-US mayelana nokuthuthukiswa kwesifunda saseYurophu namazwe angomakhelwane.
Sihlanganise uhlu olude noluphelele. Omunye angase afune ukwengeza omunye u-futurist, umbonisi noma umcabango (isibonelo, uthanda imibono kaDaniel Kahneman, futhi uqinisekile ukuthi esikhathini esizayo bazoshintsha umhlaba) - bhala iziphakamiso zakho kumazwana.
Source: www.habr.com