"Golden rabo" a cikin tattalin arziki - 2

Wannan ya dace da jigon "Golden Ratio" a fannin tattalin arziki - menene?" bugu na ƙarshe. Mu tunkari matsalar rabon albarkatun da aka fi so ta wani kusurwa da har yanzu ba a tabo ba.

Bari mu ɗauki mafi sauƙi samfurin tsara taron: jefar da tsabar kudi da yuwuwar samun kai ko wutsiya. An bayyana cewa:

Samun "kawuna" ko "wutsiyoyi" akan kowane jifa yana yiwuwa daidai - 50 zuwa 50%
Tare da babban jerin jifa, adadin digo a kowane gefen tsabar kudin yana kusantar adadin digo a ɗayan.

Wannan yana nufin cewa, ta hanyar yin rikodin sakamakon shugabannin da suka gabata da kuma mai da hankali kan ma'auni na jerin, za mu iya tsammanin asarar kawunan (da rashin faɗuwar wutsiya) a matsayin kashi na gaba na jerin tare da yuwuwar girma ko ƙarami, dangane da sakamakon asarar da aka yi a baya. Wanda ya yi daidai da kwarewar duk wanda ya gudanar da irin wannan jerin.

Kamar yadda ƙididdiga ta nuna (don guje wa maimaitawa, duba misalan jadawali a ciki wallafe), a cikin tsarin tattalin arziki daban-daban - kamar yadda a cikin gwaje-gwaje tare da tsabar kudi - ana lura da wani nau'i na yau da kullum-mai yiwuwa rarraba kudade. Kuma yana da matuƙar ban sha'awa don gabatar da wannan ƙwaƙƙwaran rarraba kashe kuɗi azaman zane na Lorenz (duba hoton da ke ƙasa a cikin "Kudaden Kamfani"). Tare da wasu ƙananan kurakurai a cikin kusantar sa, wannan lanƙwan tana juya zuwa madauwari baka (ƙananan kwata na dama). Wani m kididdiga bincike na rarraba albarkatun yana nuna babban reproducibility na baka na da'irar a sassa daban-daban na tattalin arziki (sake, duba da baya bugu) Kuma mataki na kusanci na data kasance rarraba kudi ga wannan tunani ya ba mu damar. yi hukunci da "lafiya" na tsarin tattalin arziki da ake la'akari. "Lafiya" a nan yana nufin rayuwa na tsarin da ikon haɓakawa.

Bari mu yi la'akari da sassa biyu na ayyukan tattalin arziki waɗanda suke da kamanceceniya, amma kowannensu yana da takamaiman takamaiman bayani.

Kudin kamfani

Shirin Rasha Leonarus v.1.02 yana aiwatar da tsarin da aka ambata a sama (duba. www.leonarus.ru/?p=1368) yana kimanta kashe kuɗi daga ra'ayi na dorewar ci gaban tattalin arziki a matsayin tsarin da ya dace. Yana yin haka ta hanyar kimanta rarraba farashi da kuma tabbatar da mafi kyawun amfani da albarkatun da ake da su, yana gargadi game da ɓatanci mai mahimmanci daga mafi kyawun tsarin.

Kashewa wanda yayi daidai da wannan tsarin yana tabbatar da mafi girman yanci na tsarin da ake da shi da iyakar tsira.

"Golden rabo" a cikin tattalin arziki - 2

Shirin yana da sauƙin isa ga mai amfani wanda ya saba da Excel kuma wanda ke da ɗan gogewa a cikin tsarawa da ayyukan kasuwanci. Shirin yana ba ku damar tantance yanayin tattalin arziƙin kasuwancin da yin gyare-gyare ga kasafin kuɗin da aka tsara dangane da halin da ake ciki yanzu.

Dacewar tantance yanayin tattalin arziki na yanzu yana karuwa a yau, yayin da fatarar hukumomin shari'a ke ƙara zama gama gari.

A cikin 2017, sama da 'yan kasuwa dubu 9 sun daina wanzuwa. Ƙididdiga na fatarar kasuwanci ta nuna cewa kusan kashi 30% na rufe saboda gazawa.

Kididdigar fatarar kasuwanci kuma ta karu a cikin 2017. Fiye da kamfanoni dubu 13,5 sun yi fatara a Rasha. An samu karuwar kashi 7,7%. A cikin kwata na farko na shekarar 2018, an ayyana kamfanoni dubu 3,17 a matsayin maras nauyi. An samu karuwar kashi 5%.

Shirin Leonarus v.1.02 yana da kyau saboda yana ba ku damar daidaita kudaden da ake sa ran, yana tabbatar da raguwa / karuwa a cikin kudade dangane da sakamakon da ake so: cimma nasarar da aka tsara. Kamfanonin da ke kusa da tsarin farashi zuwa zanen Lorenz da aka fi so tare da juzu'i na biyu suna da mafi girman riba (Bueva, T.M. (2002) Aikace-aikacen gyaran gyare-gyaren Lorenz a cikin matsalolin rabon kuɗi).

A matsayin bayanin kula: shirin na fakitinsa na iya zama da amfani ba kawai ga kasuwanci ba, har ma ga gidaje. Misali, lokacin da ake samarwa da gida kayan abinci, ana siyan kayan abinci na musamman da yawa, abinci mai sauƙi don dafa abinci, hatsi, kayan yaji, ƙananan sinadarai na gida ana tattara su kaɗan kaɗan ... Sakamakon shi ne hoto mai yiwuwa ya bayyana a mafi yawan lokuta. .

Kuma idan an kwatanta kashe kuɗin ku ta hanyar zane na Lorenz da aka fi so, to rayuwar gidan ku tana da aminci ta kuɗi. Duk wani kuɗaɗen da ya dace cikin wannan ginshiƙi-komai yawan almubazzaranci da su—ba zai busa kasafin ku ba.

Shirin zai iya taimakawa ko da ƙwararrun uwar gida idan tana buƙatar yin tsangwama na kasafin kuɗi. Kuma a cikin yanayin al'ada, ana buƙatar duba kuɗin da aka riga aka tsara. Wannan inshora ne wanda ke ba ku damar guje wa manyan kurakurai da rashin kuskure a hankali yayin rarraba kuɗi.

Hakazalika, kash, dole ne mu yarda cewa a cikin tsarinsa na yanzu shirin abin izgili ne kuma ba zai iya isa ga masu amfani da ƙwararru ba. Har yanzu ba a daidaita kayan aiki mai amfani don amfani da gida ba... Duk wani shawara da shawarwari don “saukarwa” Leonarus v.1.02 ana maraba da su.

Binciken aikin zuba jari

Wannan lamari ne na ƙima na ƙwararru, lokacin da ba game da canza farashi ba, amma game da bayyana haɗarin aikin. Ana yin wannan lokacin, ban da hanyoyin da aka riga aka yi amfani da su don tantance zuba jari da aka tsara, ana nazarin tsarin farashi don kusanci ga zane na Lorenz.

Ƙwarewar da ake da ita ba ta isa ba don yin tabbataccen ƙarshe game da wannan batu. Duk da haka, bisa ga ka'idodin ka'idoji da ƙwarewar rukunin yanar gizon www.leonarus.ru, ana iya ɗauka cewa mafi ƙarfin karkatar da farashin aikin daga maƙasudin arc zuwa hagu, mafi girman haɗarin abubuwan da ba a tsammani ba saboda wasu "lalata" na shirye-shirye na farko. Kuma mafi girman karkata zuwa dama, mafi kusantar cewa mai tsarawa / mai kula da aikin yana kula da tsarin aiki da yawa kuma aikin ba shi da isasshen ƙarfin daidaitawa don fuskantar ƙalubalen da zai fuskanta.

Ana tsaftace waɗannan zato ta hanyar la'akari da matsakaicin farashin aikin ta amfani da ma'auni na injiniyoyi masu yawa. Amma ko da ba tare da ƙarin ƙididdiga ba, sabawa daga ginshiƙi na iya shafar shawarar saka hannun jari da aka sani. Ko dai za a ƙi aikin saboda ƙarar haɗari, ko kuma tsarin yarjejeniyar dole ne ya yi la'akari da ƙara haɗarin aikin.

A ƙarshe

Tsarin tattalin arziki mafi sauƙi a haƙiƙanin tsari ne mai tsananin rashin tabbas saboda bambance-bambancen abubuwan da ke tattare da shi da kuma sauye-sauyen alaƙar da ke tsakanin su. Tsarin da aka tsara ko kashewa na yanzu ba shine kawai muhimmin sashi na tsarin ba. Koyaya, yana ɗaya daga cikin waɗanda manajoji za su iya daidaita su. Kuma duk da bambance-bambance a cikin yanayin da ayyukan tattalin arziki ke faruwa, zamu iya ɗauka cewa mafi kyawun (daga ra'ayi na rayuwa da ci gaban tattalin arziki) rarraba albarkatu an kwatanta shi ta hanyar zane Lorenz. Yana iya da kyau a kira shi "rabo na zinari" a fannin tattalin arziki kuma yana iya zama da amfani sosai wajen tsara tattalin arziki da bincike.

"Koyaushe na gano cewa lokacin da ake shirye-shiryen yaƙi, tsare-tsaren ba su da amfani, amma shiri ba shi da ƙima."
D. Eisenhower, kwamandan sojojin ƙawancen Turai (1944-1945)

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source: www.habr.com

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