Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha

Uaireanta, chun fadhb a rĂ©iteach, nĂ­ mĂłr duit ach breathnĂș air Ăł uillinn dhifriĂșil. FiĂș mĂĄ rĂ©itĂ­odh fadhbanna comhchosĂșla le 10 mbliana anuas ar an mbealach cĂ©anna le hĂ©ifeachtaĂ­ Ă©agsĂșla, nĂ­ fĂ­rinne Ă© gurb Ă© an modh seo an t-aon mhodh amhĂĄin.

TĂĄ a leithĂ©id de thopaic ann mar churn custaimĂ©ara. TĂĄ an rud dosheachanta, mar is fĂ©idir le custaimĂ©irĂ­ aon chuideachta, ar go leor cĂșiseanna, stop a chur lena gcuid tĂĄirgĂ­ nĂł seirbhĂ­sĂ­ a ĂșsĂĄid. Ar ndĂłigh, do chuideachta, is gnĂ­omh nĂĄdĂșrtha, ach nĂ­ hĂ© an gnĂ­omh is inmhianaithe, Ă© churn, agus mar sin dĂ©anann gach duine iarracht an curn seo a Ă­oslaghdĂș. NĂ­os fearr fĂłs, an dĂłchĂșlacht go dtarlĂłdh maidhm a thuar do chatagĂłir ĂĄirithe ĂșsĂĄideoirĂ­, nĂł d’ĂșsĂĄideoir ar leith, agus mol roinnt cĂ©imeanna chun iad a choinneĂĄil.

Is gĂĄ anailĂ­s a dhĂ©anamh agus iarracht a dhĂ©anamh an cliant a choinneĂĄil, mĂĄs fĂ©idir, ar na cĂșiseanna seo a leanas ar a laghad:

  • tĂĄ sĂ© nĂ­os costasaĂ­ custaimĂ©irĂ­ nua a mhealladh nĂĄ nĂłsanna imeachta coinneĂĄla. Chun custaimĂ©irĂ­ nua a mhealladh, mar riail, nĂ­ mĂłr duit roinnt airgid a chaitheamh (fĂłgraĂ­ocht), agus is fĂ©idir le custaimĂ©irĂ­ atĂĄ ann cheana fĂ©in a chur i ngnĂ­omh le tairiscint speisialta le coinnĂ­ollacha speisialta;
  • Is Ă© an rud is tĂĄbhachtaĂ­ chun tĂĄirgĂ­ agus seirbhĂ­sĂ­ a fheabhsĂș nĂĄ na fĂĄthanna a fhĂĄgann custaimĂ©irĂ­ a thuiscint.

TĂĄ cineĂĄlacha cur chuige caighdeĂĄnacha ann chun maistĂ­ocht a thuar. Ach ag ceann de na craobhchomĂłrtais AI, shocraigh muid triail a bhaint as dĂĄileadh Weibull le haghaidh seo. Is minic a ĂșsĂĄidtear Ă© le haghaidh anailĂ­se marthanachta, rĂ©amhaisnĂ©is na haimsire, anailĂ­s ar thubaistĂ­ nĂĄdĂșrtha, innealtĂłireacht thionsclaĂ­och agus a leithĂ©idĂ­. Is feidhm dĂĄileadh speisialta Ă© dĂĄileadh Weibull atĂĄ paraimĂ©adar ag dhĂĄ pharaimĂ©adar Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha Đž Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha.

Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha
Wikipedia

Go ginearĂĄlta, is rud suimiĂșil Ă©, ach chun eis-sreafaĂ­ a thuar, agus i fintech i gcoitinne, nĂ­ ĂșsĂĄidtear Ă© chomh minic sin. Faoi bhun an ghearrtha inseoimid duit conas a rinne muid (Saotharlann MianadĂłireachta SonraĂ­) Ă© seo, agus bhuaigh muid Ăłr ag an am cĂ©anna ag an gCraobhchomĂłrtas FaisnĂ©ise Saorga sa chatagĂłir “AI in Banks”.

Maidir le churn i gcoitinne

Tuigimid beagĂĄn faoi cad is brĂ­ le custaimĂ©irĂ­ agus cĂ©n fĂĄth a bhfuil sĂ© chomh tĂĄbhachtach. TĂĄ bonn custaimĂ©irĂ­ tĂĄbhachtach do ghnĂł. Tagann custaimĂ©irĂ­ nua chuig an mbonn seo, mar shampla, tar Ă©is dĂłibh a bheith foghlamtha faoi thĂĄirge nĂł seirbhĂ­s Ăł fhĂłgra, beo le tamall (bain ĂșsĂĄid as na tĂĄirgĂ­ go gnĂ­omhach) agus tar Ă©is tamaill stop a ĂșsĂĄid. Tugtar “SaolrĂ© an ChustaimĂ©ara” ar an trĂ©imhse seo - tĂ©arma a chuireann sĂ­os ar na cĂ©imeanna a thĂ©ann custaimĂ©ir trĂ­d nuair a fhoghlaimĂ­onn sĂ© faoi thĂĄirge, nuair a dhĂ©anann sĂ© cinneadh ceannachĂĄin, nuair a Ă­ocann sĂ©, a ĂșsĂĄideann agus a thiocfaidh chun bheith ina thomhaltĂłir dĂ­lis, agus ar deireadh thiar a stopann sĂ© ag ĂșsĂĄid an tĂĄirge. ar chĂșis amhĂĄin nĂł ar chĂșis eile. DĂĄ rĂ©ir sin, is Ă© churn an chĂ©im dheireanach de shaolrĂ© an chliaint, nuair a stopann an cliant ag baint ĂșsĂĄide as na seirbhĂ­sĂ­, agus le haghaidh gnĂł ciallaĂ­onn sĂ© seo go bhfuil an cliant scortha de bhrabĂșs nĂł aon sochar a bhaint amach ar chor ar bith.

Is duine sonrach Ă© gach cliant bainc a roghnaĂ­onn cĂĄrta bainc amhĂĄin nĂł eile go sonrach dĂĄ chuid riachtanas. MĂĄ thaistealaĂ­onn tĂș go minic, beidh cĂĄrta mĂ­le ĂĄisiĂșil agat. CeannaĂ­onn go leor - Dia duit, cĂĄrta cashback. CeannaĂ­onn sĂ© go leor i siopaĂ­ ar leith - agus tĂĄ plaisteach comhphĂĄirtĂ­ochta speisialta ann cheana fĂ©in le haghaidh seo. Ar ndĂłigh, uaireanta roghnaĂ­tear cĂĄrta bunaithe ar an gcritĂ©ar “seirbhĂ­s is saoire”. Go ginearĂĄlta, tĂĄ go leor athrĂłg anseo.

Agus roghnaĂ­onn duine an banc fĂ©in freisin - an bhfuil aon phointe ann cĂĄrta a roghnĂș Ăł bhanc nach bhfuil a bhrainsĂ­ ach i MoscĂł agus sa rĂ©igiĂșn, nuair a bhĂ­onn tĂș Ăł Khabarovsk? FiĂș mĂĄ tĂĄ cĂĄrta Ăł bhanc den sĂłrt sin ar a laghad 2 uair nĂ­os brabĂșsaĂ­, tĂĄ lĂĄithreacht brainsĂ­ bainc in aice lĂĄimhe fĂłs ina chritĂ©ar tĂĄbhachtach. Sea, tĂĄ 2019 anseo cheana fĂ©in agus is Ă© digiteach gach rud atĂĄ againn, ach nĂ­ fĂ©idir roinnt saincheisteanna a rĂ©iteach le roinnt banc ach i mbrainse. Ina theannta sin, arĂ­s, tĂĄ muinĂ­n ag cuid den daonra i mbanc fisiceach i bhfad nĂ­os mĂł nĂĄ feidhmchlĂĄr ar fhĂłn cliste, nĂ­ mĂłr Ă© seo a chur san ĂĄireamh freisin.

Mar thoradh air sin, d'fhĂ©adfadh go leor cĂșiseanna a bheith ag duine le diĂșltĂș do thĂĄirgĂ­ bainc (nĂł an banc fĂ©in). D'athraigh mĂ© post, agus d'athraigh an taraif cĂĄrta Ăł thuarastal go "For mere mortals," rud nach bhfuil chomh brabĂșsach. Bhog mĂ© go cathair eile nach bhfuil brainsĂ­ bainc ann. NĂ­or thaitin an t-idirghnĂ­omhĂș leis an oibreoir neamhchĂĄilithe sa bhrainse liom. Is Ă© sin le rĂĄ, d’fhĂ©adfadh go mbeadh nĂ­os mĂł cĂșiseanna fĂłs le cuntas a dhĂșnadh nĂĄ mar a d’ĂșsĂĄidfĂ­ an tĂĄirge.

Agus is fĂ©idir leis an gcliant nĂ­ hamhĂĄin in iĂșl go soilĂ©ir a intinn - teacht go dtĂ­ an banc agus rĂĄiteas a scrĂ­obh, ach go simplĂ­ stop a ĂșsĂĄid na dtĂĄirgĂ­ gan fhoirceannadh an chonartha. SocraĂ­odh foghlaim meaisĂ­n agus AI a ĂșsĂĄid chun fadhbanna den sĂłrt sin a thuiscint.

Ina theannta sin, is fĂ©idir le gcustaimĂ©ir tarlĂș in aon tionscal (teileachumarsĂĄid, solĂĄthraithe IdirlĂ­n, cuideachtaĂ­ ĂĄrachais, go ginearĂĄlta, cibĂ© ĂĄit a bhfuil bonn custaimĂ©irĂ­ agus idirbhearta trĂ©imhsiĂșla).

Cad atå déanta againn

Ar an gcĂ©ad dul sĂ­os, bhĂ­ sĂ© riachtanach cur sĂ­os a dhĂ©anamh ar theorainn shoilĂ©ir - Ăłn mĂ©id ama a thosaĂ­mid ag smaoineamh ar an gcliant a d'fhĂĄg. Ó thaobh an bhainc a chuir na sonraĂ­ ar fĂĄil dĂșinn dĂĄr gcuid oibre, bhĂ­ stĂĄdas gnĂ­omhaĂ­ochta an chliaint dĂ©nĂĄrtha - tĂĄ sĂ© gnĂ­omhach nĂł nach bhfuil. BhĂ­ bratach ACTIVE_FLAG sa tĂĄbla "GnĂ­omhaĂ­ocht", agus d'fhĂ©adfadh a luach a bheith mar "0" nĂł "1" ("NeamhghnĂ­omhach" agus "GnĂ­omhach") faoi seach. Agus bheadh ​​​​gach rud go breĂĄ, ach tĂĄ duine den sĂłrt sin gur fĂ©idir leis Ă© a ĂșsĂĄid go gnĂ­omhach ar feadh tamaill, agus ansin titim as an liosta gnĂ­omhach ar feadh mĂ­osa - d'Ă©irigh sĂ© tinn, chuaigh sĂ© go tĂ­r eile ar laethanta saoire, nĂł fiĂș chuaigh sĂ© chun tĂĄstĂĄil a dhĂ©anamh. cĂĄrta Ăł bhanc eile. NĂł b’fhĂ©idir tar Ă©is trĂ©imhse fhada neamhghnĂ­omhaĂ­ochta, tosĂș ag baint ĂșsĂĄide as seirbhĂ­sĂ­ an bhainc arĂ­s

Mar sin, chinneamar trĂ©imhse neamhghnĂ­omhaĂ­ochta a ghairm mar thrĂ©imhse leanĂșnach ĂĄirithe ama ar lena linn a socraĂ­odh an bhratach “0”.

Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha

AistrĂ­onn cliaint Ăł neamhghnĂ­omhach go gnĂ­omhach tar Ă©is trĂ©imhsĂ­ neamhghnĂ­omhaĂ­ochta d’fhaid Ă©agsĂșla. TĂĄ an deis againn an mĂ©id luach eimpĂ­reach “iontaofacht trĂ©imhsĂ­ neamhghnĂ­omhaĂ­ochta” a rĂ­omh - is Ă© sin, an dĂłchĂșlacht go dtosĂłidh duine ag baint ĂșsĂĄide as tĂĄirgĂ­ bainc arĂ­s tar Ă©is neamhghnĂ­omhaĂ­ochta sealadach.

Mar shampla, taispeĂĄnann an graf seo ath-thosĂș gnĂ­omhaĂ­ochta (ACTIVE_FLAG=1) cliant tar Ă©is roinnt mĂ­onna neamhghnĂ­omhaĂ­ochta (ACTIVE_FLAG=0).

Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha

Anseo dĂ©anfaimid soilĂ©iriĂș beag ar an tacar sonraĂ­ a thosaigh muid ag obair leo. Mar sin, chuir an banc faisnĂ©is chomhiomlĂĄn ar fĂĄil ar feadh 19 mĂ­ sna tĂĄblaĂ­ seo a leanas:

  • “GnĂ­omhaĂ­ocht” - idirbhearta custaimĂ©ara mĂ­osĂșla (le cĂĄrtaĂ­, i mbaincĂ©ireacht IdirlĂ­n agus i mbaincĂ©ireacht shoghluaiste), lena n-ĂĄirĂ­tear pĂĄrolla agus faisnĂ©is ar lĂĄimhdeachas.
  • “CĂĄrtaí” - sonraĂ­ faoi na cĂĄrtaĂ­ go lĂ©ir atĂĄ ag an gcliant, le sceideal mionsonraithe taraife.
  • “Comhaontuithe” - faisnĂ©is faoi chomhaontuithe an chliaint (idir oscailte agus dĂșnta): iasachtaĂ­, taiscĂ­, etc., ag lĂ©iriĂș paraimĂ©adair gach ceann acu.
  • “CustaimĂ©irí” - tacar sonraĂ­ dĂ©imeagrafacha (inscne agus aois) agus infhaighteacht faisnĂ©ise teagmhĂĄla.

BhĂ­ na tĂĄblaĂ­ go lĂ©ir ag teastĂĄil uainn le haghaidh oibre seachas an “LĂ©arscĂĄil”.

BhĂ­ deacracht eile anseo - sna sonraĂ­ seo nĂ­or lĂ©irigh an banc cĂ©n cineĂĄl gnĂ­omhaĂ­ochta a tharla ar na cĂĄrtaĂ­. Is Ă© sin, d'fhĂ©adfaimis a thuiscint an raibh idirbhearta ann nĂł nach raibh, ach nĂ­orbh fhĂ©idir linn a gcineĂĄl a chinneadh a thuilleadh. Mar sin, nĂ­ raibh sĂ© soilĂ©ir an raibh an cliant ag tarraingt siar airgead tirim, ag fĂĄil tuarastal, nĂł ag caitheamh an airgid ar cheannachĂĄin. NĂ­ raibh sonraĂ­ againn ar iarmhĂ©ideanna cuntais, a bheadh ​​ĂșsĂĄideach.

BhĂ­ an sampla fĂ©in neamhchlaonta - sa sampla seo, thar 19 mĂ­, nĂ­ dhearna an banc aon iarrachtaĂ­ chun custaimĂ©irĂ­ a choinneĂĄil agus eis-sreabhadh a Ă­oslaghdĂș.

Mar sin, faoi thréimhsí neamhghníomhaíochta.

Chun sainmhĂ­niĂș ar churn a fhoirmiĂș, nĂ­ mĂłr trĂ©imhse neamhghnĂ­omhaĂ­ochta a roghnĂș. Chun rĂ©amhaisnĂ©is chuinneog a chruthĂș ag pointe ama Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha, nĂ­ mĂłr duit stair chustaimĂ©ara de 3 mhĂ­ ar a laghad a bheith agat ag eatramh Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha. BhĂ­ ĂĄr stair teoranta do 19 mĂ­, mar sin shocraigh muid trĂ©imhse neamhghnĂ­omhaĂ­ochta 6 mhĂ­ a ghlacadh, mĂĄ bhĂ­ sĂ© ar fĂĄil. Agus don trĂ©imhse Ă­osta le haghaidh rĂ©amhaisnĂ©is ardchĂĄilĂ­ochta, ghlacamar 3 mhĂ­. Ghlacamar na figiĂșirĂ­ ar feadh 3 agus 6 mhĂ­ go heimpĂ­reach bunaithe ar anailĂ­s ar iompar sonraĂ­ custaimĂ©irĂ­.

Chuireamar an sainmhĂ­niĂș ar chuinneog le chĂ©ile mar seo a leanas: mĂ­ chuinneog an chustaimĂ©ara Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha is Ă© seo an chĂ©ad mhĂ­ le ACTIVE_FLAG=0, ĂĄit Ăłn mĂ­ seo tĂĄ ar a laghad sĂ© nialais as a chĂ©ile sa rĂ©imse ACTIVE_FLAG, i bhfocail eile, an mhĂ­ Ăłna raibh an cliant neamhghnĂ­omhach ar feadh 6 mhĂ­.

Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha
LĂ­on na gcliant a d'fhĂĄg

Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha
LĂ­on na gcliant atĂĄ fĂĄgtha

Conas a rĂ­omhtar maistreadh?

I gcomĂłrtais den sĂłrt sin, agus go praiticiĂșil go ginearĂĄlta, is minic a thuartar eis-sreabhadh ar an mbealach seo. ÚsĂĄideann an cliant tĂĄirgĂ­ agus seirbhĂ­sĂ­ ag trĂ©imhsĂ­ Ă©agsĂșla ama, lĂ©irĂ­tear sonraĂ­ faoin idirghnĂ­omhĂș leis mar veicteoir de ghnĂ©ithe d’fhad seasta n. Is minic a chuimsĂ­onn an fhaisnĂ©is seo:

  • SonraĂ­ arb iad is sainairĂ­onna don ĂșsĂĄideoir (sonraĂ­ dĂ©imeagrafacha, deighleog mhargaĂ­ochta).
  • Stair ĂșsĂĄid tĂĄirgĂ­ agus seirbhĂ­sĂ­ baincĂ©ireachta (is gnĂ­omhartha custaimĂ©ara iad seo a bhĂ­onn i gcĂłnaĂ­ ceangailte le ham nĂł le trĂ©imhse an eatramh a theastaĂ­onn uainn).
  • SonraĂ­ seachtracha, dĂĄ mbeadh sĂ© indĂ©anta Ă© a fhĂĄil - mar shampla, athbhreithnithe Ăł lĂ­onraĂ­ sĂłisialta.

Agus ina dhiaidh sin, faigheann siad sainmhĂ­niĂș ar churn, difriĂșil do gach tasc. Ansin ĂșsĂĄideann siad algartam foghlama meaisĂ­n, a thuar an dĂłchĂșlacht go bhfĂĄgfaidh cliant Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha bunaithe ar veicteoir fachtĂłirĂ­ Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha. Chun an algartam a oiliĂșint, ĂșsĂĄidtear ceann de na creataĂ­ aitheanta chun ensembles de chrainn chinnidh a thĂłgĂĄil, XGBoost, SolasGBM, CatBoost nĂł modhnuithe air.

NĂ­l an algartam fĂ©in olc, ach tĂĄ roinnt mĂ­bhuntĂĄistĂ­ tromchĂșiseacha ag baint leis nuair a thagann sĂ© chun curn a thuar.

  • NĂ­l “cuimhne” mar a thugtar air. Is Ă© ionchur an mhĂșnla nĂĄ lĂ­on sonraithe gnĂ©ithe a fhreagraĂ­onn don phointe ama reatha. D'fhonn faisnĂ©is a stĂłrĂĄil faoi stair na n-athruithe ar pharaimĂ©adair, is gĂĄ gnĂ©ithe speisialta a bhaineann le hathruithe ar pharaimĂ©adair le himeacht ama a rĂ­omh, mar shampla, lĂ­on nĂł mĂ©id na n-idirbheart bainc le 1,2,3, XNUMX, XNUMX mhĂ­ anuas. NĂ­ fĂ©idir leis an gcur chuige seo ach nĂĄdĂșr na n-athruithe sealadacha a lĂ©iriĂș go pĂĄirteach.
  • RĂ©imse rĂ©amhaisnĂ©ise seasta. NĂ­l an tsamhail in ann cur isteach custaimĂ©ara a thuar ach ar feadh trĂ©imhse ama rĂ©amhshainithe, mar shampla, rĂ©amhaisnĂ©is mĂ­ amhĂĄin roimh rĂ©. MĂĄ tĂĄ gĂĄ le rĂ©amhaisnĂ©is ar feadh trĂ©imhse ama difriĂșil, mar shampla, trĂ­ mhĂ­, ansin nĂ­ mĂłr duit an tacar oiliĂșna a atĂłgĂĄil agus mĂșnla nua a athoiliĂșint.

Ár gcur chuige

Shocraigh muid ar an bpointe boise nach n-ĂșsĂĄidfimid cur chuige caighdeĂĄnach. Chomh maith linne, chlĂĄraigh 497 duine sa bhreis sa chraobh, gach duine acu a raibh taithĂ­ nach beag taobh thiar dĂ­obh. Mar sin nĂ­ smaoineamh maith Ă© rud Ă©igin a dhĂ©anamh de rĂ©ir scĂ©ime caighdeĂĄnach i gcoinnĂ­ollacha den sĂłrt sin.

Agus thosaigh muid ag rĂ©iteach na fadhbanna atĂĄ os comhair an tsamhail aicmithe dĂ©nĂĄrtha trĂ­ dhĂĄileadh dĂłchĂșlachta na n-amanna maistreĂĄin do chustaimĂ©irĂ­ a thuar. Is fĂ©idir cur chuige comhchosĂșil a fheiceĂĄil anseo, ceadaĂ­onn sĂ© duit curn a thuar ar bhealach nĂ­os solĂșbtha agus triail a bhaint as hipitĂ©isĂ­ nĂ­os casta nĂĄ mar atĂĄ sa chur chuige clasaiceach. Mar theaghlach dĂĄileachĂĄin a mhĂșnlaĂ­onn an t-am eis-sreabhadh, roghnaigh muid an dĂĄileadh Weibull as a ĂșsĂĄid fhorleathan in anailĂ­s marthanais. Is fĂ©idir breathnĂș ar iompar an chliaint mar chineĂĄl marthanais.

Seo samplaĂ­ de dhĂĄileachĂĄin dlĂșis dĂłchĂșlachta Weibull ag brath ar pharaimĂ©adair Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha Đž Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha:

Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha

Is Ă© seo an fheidhm dlĂșs dĂłchĂșlachta trĂ­ chustaimĂ©irĂ­ Ă©agsĂșla cuachta le himeacht ama. Cuirtear am i lĂĄthair i mĂ­onna. Is Ă© sin le rĂĄ, taispeĂĄnann an graf seo cathain is dĂłichĂ­ go ndĂ©anfaidh cliant maistreadh sa dĂĄ mhĂ­ atĂĄ romhainn.Mar a fheiceann tĂș, tĂĄ nĂ­os mĂł acmhainneacht ag cliant le dĂĄileadh imeacht nĂ­os luaithe nĂĄ mar a bhĂ­onn cliaint leis an Weibull(2, 0.5) agus Weibull (3,1) dĂĄiltĂ­.

Is Ă© an toradh mĂșnla atĂĄ, do gach cliant, do gach
mĂ­ a thuar paraimĂ©adair an dĂĄileadh Weibull, a lĂ©irĂ­onn is fearr ar tharla an dĂłchĂșlacht eis-sreabhadh le himeacht ama. NĂ­os mine:

  • Is iad na gnĂ©ithe sprice ar an oiliĂșint atĂĄ leagtha sĂ­os nĂĄ an t-am atĂĄ fĂĄgtha go dtĂ­ an chur i mĂ­ ar leith do chliant ar leith.
  • Mura bhfuil aon rĂĄta maistreĂĄin ann do chustaimĂ©ir, glacaimid leis go bhfuil an t-am cuaidh nĂ­os mĂł nĂĄ lĂ­on na mĂ­onna Ăłn mĂ­ reatha go dtĂ­ deireadh na staire atĂĄ againn.
  • MĂșnla a ĂșsĂĄidtear: lĂ­onra nĂ©arach athfhillteach le ciseal LSTM.
  • Mar fheidhm chaillteanais, ĂșsĂĄidimid an fheidhm log-chosĂșlachta diĂșltach do dhĂĄileadh Weibull.

Seo iad na buntĂĄistĂ­ a bhaineann leis an modh seo:

  • CeadaĂ­onn dĂĄileadh dĂłchĂșlachta, chomh maith leis an bhfĂ©idearthacht shoilĂ©ir a bhaineann le haicmiĂș dĂ©nĂĄrtha, rĂ©amh-mheastachĂĄn solĂșbtha a dhĂ©anamh ar imeachtaĂ­ Ă©agsĂșla, mar shampla, an stopfaidh cliant ag baint ĂșsĂĄide as seirbhĂ­sĂ­ an bhainc laistigh de 3 mhĂ­. Chomh maith leis sin, mĂĄs gĂĄ, is fĂ©idir mĂ©adrachtaĂ­ Ă©agsĂșla a mheĂĄnĂș thar an dĂĄileadh seo.
  • TĂĄ cuimhne ag lĂ­onra nĂ©arach athfhillteach LSTM agus ĂșsĂĄideann sĂ© an stair iomlĂĄn atĂĄ ar fĂĄil go hĂ©ifeachtach. De rĂ©ir mar a dhĂ©antar an scĂ©al a leathnĂș nĂł a scagadh, mĂ©adaĂ­tear cruinneas.
  • Is fĂ©idir an cur chuige a scĂĄla go hĂ©asca agus trĂ©imhsĂ­ ama ĂĄ roinnt ina dtrĂ©imhsĂ­ nĂ­os lĂș (mar shampla, agus mĂ­onna ĂĄ roinnt ina seachtainĂ­).

Ach nĂ­ leor mĂșnla maith a chruthĂș; nĂ­ mĂłr duit a chĂĄilĂ­ocht a mheas i gceart freisin.

Conas a rinneadh measĂșnĂș ar chĂĄilĂ­ocht?

Roghnaigh muid Lift Curve mar an mĂ©adrach. ÚsĂĄidtear Ă© i ngnĂł le haghaidh cĂĄsanna den sĂłrt sin mar gheall ar a lĂ©irmhĂ­niĂș soilĂ©ir, tĂĄ cur sĂ­os maith air anseo Đž anseo. MĂĄ dhĂ©anann tĂș cur sĂ­os ar bhrĂ­ an mhĂ©adrach seo in aon abairt amhĂĄin, is Ă© “CĂ© mhĂ©ad uair a dhĂ©anann an algartam an tuar is fearr sa chĂ©ad Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha% nĂĄ go randamach."

Samhlacha traenĂĄlaĂ­

NĂ­or bhunaigh coinnĂ­ollacha an chomĂłrtais mĂ©adracht shonrach cĂĄilĂ­ochta trĂ­nar fĂ©idir samhlacha agus cineĂĄlacha cur chuige Ă©agsĂșla a chur i gcomparĂĄid. Ina theannta sin, is fĂ©idir leis an sainmhĂ­niĂș ar churn a bheith difriĂșil agus d'fhĂ©adfadh sĂ© ag brath ar an rĂĄiteas faidhbe, atĂĄ, ar a seal, arna chinneadh ag spriocanna gnĂł. DĂĄ bhrĂ­ sin, chun a thuiscint cĂ©n modh is fearr, rinneamar oiliĂșint ar dhĂĄ mhĂșnla:

  1. Cur chuige aicmithe dĂ©nĂĄrtha a ĂșsĂĄidtear go coitianta ag baint ĂșsĂĄide as algartam foghlama meaisĂ­n crann cinnteoireachta ensemble (SolasGBM);
  2. MĂșnla Weibull-LSTM

Chuimsigh an tacar tĂĄstĂĄla 500 cliant rĂ©amhroghnaithe nach raibh sa tacar oiliĂșna. RoghnaĂ­odh hipearpharaimĂ©adair don tsamhail ag baint ĂșsĂĄide as tras-bhailĂ­ochtĂș, arna miondealĂș de rĂ©ir cliant. Baineadh ĂșsĂĄid as na tacair chĂ©anna gnĂ©ithe chun gach samhail a oiliĂșint.

Mar gheall ar an bhfĂ­ric nach bhfuil cuimhne ag an mĂșnla, tĂłgadh gnĂ©ithe speisialta dĂł, ag taispeĂĄint an cĂłimheas idir na hathruithe ar pharaimĂ©adair ar feadh mĂ­osa leis an meĂĄnluach do pharaimĂ©adair le trĂ­ mhĂ­ anuas. Cad arb iad is sainairĂ­onna an rĂĄta athraithe ar luachanna thar an trĂ©imhse dheireanach de thrĂ­ mhĂ­. Gan Ă© seo, bheadh ​​an tsamhail Random Forest-bhunaithe faoi mhĂ­bhuntĂĄiste i gcomparĂĄid le Weibull-LSTM.

Cén fåth go bhfuil LSTM le dåileadh Weibull níos fearr nå cur chuige crann cinntí ensemble

TĂĄ gach rud soilĂ©ir anseo i gcĂșpla pictiĂșr.

Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha
ComparĂĄid idir Lift Curve don algartam clasaiceach agus Weibull-LSTM

Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha
Comparåid idir an Curve Ardaithe de réir míosa don algartam clasaiceach agus Weibull-LSTM

Go ginearĂĄlta, tĂĄ LSTM nĂ­os fearr nĂĄ an algartam clasaiceach i mbeagnach gach cĂĄs.

tuar Chur

Is fĂ©idir le samhail atĂĄ bunaithe ar lĂ­onra nĂ©arach athfhillteach le cealla LSTM le dĂĄileadh Weibull curn a thuar roimh rĂ©, mar shampla, cur isteach custaimĂ©ara a thuar laistigh de na mĂ­onna n seo chugainn. Smaoinigh ar an gcĂĄs le haghaidh n = 3. Sa chĂĄs seo, le haghaidh gach mĂ­, nĂ­ mĂłr don lĂ­onra neural a chinneadh i gceart an bhfĂĄgfaidh an cliant, ag tosĂș Ăłn gcĂ©ad mhĂ­ eile agus go dtĂ­ an nĂș mĂ­. I bhfocail eile, caithfidh sĂ© a chinneadh i gceart an bhfanfaidh an custaimĂ©ir tar Ă©is n mĂ­. Is fĂ©idir Ă© seo a mheas mar rĂ©amhaisnĂ©is roimh rĂ©: an nĂłimĂ©ad a thuar nuair a bhĂ­ an cliant dĂ­reach ag tosĂș ag smaoineamh ar fhĂĄgĂĄil.

Déanaimis comparåid idir Lift Curve do Weibull-LSTM 1, 2 agus 3 mhí roimh an eis-sreabhadh:

Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha

ScrĂ­obhamar thuas cheana go bhfuil na rĂ©amhaisnĂ©isĂ­ a rinneadh do chliaint nach bhfuil gnĂ­omhach a thuilleadh le tamall tĂĄbhachtach freisin. Mar sin, cuirfimid leis an sampla cĂĄsanna den sĂłrt sin nuair a bhĂ­onn an custaimĂ©ir a d'imigh neamhghnĂ­omhach cheana fĂ©in ar feadh mĂ­osa nĂł dhĂł, agus seiceĂĄil go ndĂ©anann Weibull-LSTM cĂĄsanna den sĂłrt sin a rangĂș i gceart mar churn. Ós rud Ă© go raibh cĂĄsanna den sĂłrt sin i lĂĄthair sa sampla, tĂĄimid ag sĂșil go lĂĄimhseĂĄlfaidh an lĂ­onra go maith iad:

Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha

Coimeåd custaiméirí

I ndĂĄirĂ­re, is Ă© seo an rud is mĂł is fĂ©idir a dhĂ©anamh, a bhfuil ar lĂĄimh faisnĂ©is go bhfuil cliaint den sĂłrt sin agus den sĂłrt sin ag ullmhĂș chun stop a ĂșsĂĄid an tĂĄirge. Ag labhairt di ar mhĂșnla a thĂłgĂĄil a d’fhĂ©adfadh rud Ă©igin ĂșsĂĄideach a thairiscint do chustaimĂ©irĂ­ chun iad a choinneĂĄil, nĂ­ fĂ©idir Ă© seo a dhĂ©anamh mura bhfuil stair iarrachtaĂ­ comhchosĂșla agat a dtiocfadh deireadh maith leo.

Ní raibh a leithéid de scéal againn, mar sin shocraigh muid é ar an mbealach seo.

  1. TĂĄimid ag tĂłgĂĄil mĂșnla a shainaithnĂ­onn tĂĄirgĂ­ suimiĂșla do gach cliant.
  2. Gach mĂ­ reĂĄchtĂĄlaimid an t-aicmitheoir agus sainaithnĂ­mid custaimĂ©irĂ­ a d’fhĂ©adfadh a bheith ag fĂĄgĂĄil.
  3. Cuirimid an tĂĄirge ar fĂĄil do roinnt cliant, de rĂ©ir an mhĂșnla Ăł phointe 1, agus cuimhnigh ar ĂĄr ngnĂ­omhartha.
  4. Tar Ă©is cĂșpla mĂ­, fĂ©achaimid ar cĂ© acu de na cliaint seo a d’fhĂ©adfadh a bheith fĂĄgtha agus cĂ© acu a d’fhan. Mar sin, dĂ©anaimid sampla oiliĂșna.
  5. TraenĂĄilimid an tsamhail ag baint ĂșsĂĄide as an stair a fuarthas i gcĂ©im 4.
  6. Roghnach, dĂ©anaimid an nĂłs imeachta arĂ­s, ag cur an tsamhail a fhaightear i gcĂ©im 1 in ionad an mhĂșnla Ăł chĂ©im 5.

Is fĂ©idir tĂĄstĂĄil ar chĂĄilĂ­ocht coinneĂĄla den sĂłrt sin a dhĂ©anamh trĂ­ thĂĄstĂĄil rialta A/B - roinnimid custaimĂ©irĂ­ a d’fhĂ©adfadh imeacht ina dhĂĄ ghrĂșpa. Cuirimid tĂĄirgĂ­ ar fĂĄil do cheann amhĂĄin atĂĄ bunaithe ar ĂĄr mĂșnla coinneĂĄla, agus leis an gceann eile nĂ­ thairgimid aon rud. Shocraigh muid oiliĂșint a chur ar mhĂșnla a d’fhĂ©adfadh a bheith ĂșsĂĄideach cheana fĂ©in ag pointe 1 dĂĄr sampla.

Theastaigh uainn an deighilt a dhĂ©anamh chomh inmhĂ­nithe agus is fĂ©idir. Chun seo a dhĂ©anamh, roghnaigh muid roinnt gnĂ©ithe a d'fhĂ©adfaĂ­ a lĂ©irmhĂ­niĂș go hĂ©asca: lĂ­on iomlĂĄn na n-idirbheart, pĂĄ, lĂĄimhdeachas cuntais iomlĂĄn, aois, inscne. NĂ­or cuireadh gnĂ©ithe Ăłn tĂĄbla “Mapaí” san ĂĄireamh mar ghnĂ©ithe neamhfhaisnĂ©iseach, agus nĂ­or cuireadh gnĂ©ithe Ăł thĂĄbla 3 “Conarthaí” san ĂĄireamh mar gheall ar chastacht na prĂłiseĂĄla chun sceitheadh ​​sonraĂ­ a sheachaint idir an tacar bailĂ­ochtaithe agus an tacar oiliĂșna.

Rinneadh braisliĂș ag baint ĂșsĂĄide as samhlacha meascĂĄn Gaussach. Cheadaigh critĂ©ar faisnĂ©ise Akaike dĂșinn 2 optamach a chinneadh. FreagraĂ­onn an chĂ©ad bharrmhaith le 1 bhraisle. FreagraĂ­onn an dara ceann is fearr, nach bhfuil chomh soilĂ©ir, do 80 braisle. Bunaithe ar an toradh seo, is fĂ©idir linn an chonclĂșid seo a leanas a bhaint amach: tĂĄ sĂ© thar a bheith deacair sonraĂ­ a roinnt ina gcnuasaigh gan faisnĂ©is a priori a thabhairt. Chun braisliĂș nĂ­os fearr a fhĂĄil, teastaĂ­onn sonraĂ­ uait a chuireann sĂ­os go mion ar gach cliant.

Mar sin, breithnĂ­odh fadhb na foghlama maoirsithe chun tĂĄirge difriĂșil a thairiscint do gach cliant aonair. BreathnaĂ­odh ar na tĂĄirgĂ­ seo a leanas: “Éarlais tĂ©arma”, “CĂĄrta creidmheasa”, “RĂłtharraingt”, “Iasacht do thomhaltĂłirí”, “Iasacht cairr”, “MorgĂĄiste”.

ÁirĂ­odh leis na sonraĂ­ cineĂĄl tĂĄirge amhĂĄin eile: “Cuntas reatha”. Ach nĂ­or mheasamar Ă© mar gheall ar a ĂĄbhar Ă­seal faisnĂ©ise. Maidir le hĂșsĂĄideoirĂ­ ar cliaint bainc iad, i.e. nĂ­or stop sĂ© ag baint ĂșsĂĄide as a chuid tĂĄirgĂ­, tĂłgadh mĂșnla chun a thuar cĂ©n tĂĄirge a mbeadh spĂ©is acu ann. RoghnaĂ­odh aischĂ©imniĂș lĂłistĂ­ochta mar mhĂșnla, agus baineadh ĂșsĂĄid as an luach Ardaithe don chĂ©ad 10 peircintĂ­l mar mhĂ©adracht measĂșnaithe cĂĄilĂ­ochta.

Is fĂ©idir cĂĄilĂ­ocht an mhĂșnla a mheas san fhigiĂșr.

Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha
TorthaĂ­ mĂșnla moladh tĂĄirge do chustaimĂ©irĂ­

IomlĂĄn na

Thug an cur chuige seo an chĂ©ad ĂĄit dĂșinn sa chatagĂłir “AI in Banks” ag CraobhchomĂłrtais AI RAIF-DĂșshlĂĄn 2017.

Mar a thuar muid maistreadh ag druidim leis cosĂșil le tubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha

RĂ©ir dealraimh, ba Ă© an rud is mĂł nĂĄ an fhadhb a rĂ©iteach Ăł uillinn neamhchoitianta agus ĂșsĂĄid a bhaint as modh a ĂșsĂĄidtear de ghnĂĄth le haghaidh cĂĄsanna eile.

CĂ© go bhfĂ©adfadh eis-sreabhadh ollmhĂłr ĂșsĂĄideoirĂ­ a bheith ina thubaiste nĂĄdĂșrtha do sheirbhĂ­sĂ­.

Is fĂ©idir an modh seo a chur san ĂĄireamh le haghaidh aon rĂ©imse eile ina bhfuil sĂ© tĂĄbhachtach eis-sreabhadh a chur san ĂĄireamh, nĂ­ hamhĂĄin na bainc. Mar shampla, d'ĂșsĂĄid muid Ă© chun ĂĄr n-eis-sreabhadh fĂ©in a rĂ­omh - i gcraobhacha Siberian agus St Petersburg de Rostelecom.

"Saotharlann MianadĂłireacht SonraĂ­" cuideachta "Tairseach cuardaigh "Sputnik"

Foinse: will.com

Ceannaigh ĂłstĂĄil iontaofa do shuĂ­mh le cosaint DDoS, freastalaithe VPS VDS đŸ”„ Ceannaigh ĂłstĂĄil grĂ©asĂĄin iontaofa le cosaint DDoS, freastalaithe VPS VDS | ProHoster