ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?

ʻO ka pakuhi o Gartner e like me kahi hōʻike kiʻekiʻe no ka poʻe i ka ʻoihana ʻenehana. Ma ka nānā ʻana iā ia, hiki iā ʻoe ke ʻike ma mua i nā huaʻōlelo i ʻoi aku ka hyped i kēia kau a me nā mea āu e lohe ai i nā hālāwai kūkā e hiki mai ana.

Ua wehewehe mākou i ka mea ma hope o nā huaʻōlelo nani o kēia pakuhi i hiki iā ʻoe ke ʻōlelo pū i ka ʻōlelo.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?

No ka hoʻomaka ʻana, he mau huaʻōlelo wale nō e pili ana i ke ʻano o kēia pakuhi. I kēlā me kēia makahiki i ʻAukake, hoʻokuʻu ka hui kūkākūkā ʻo Gartner i kahi hōʻike - Gartner Hype Curve. Ma ka Lūkini, he "hype curve" kēia, aiʻole,ʻoi aku ka maʻalahi, hype. 30 mau makahiki i hala aku nei, hīmeni nā mea rappers mai ka hui Public Enemy: "Mai manaʻoʻiʻo i ka hype." E manaʻoʻiʻo a ʻaʻole paha, he nīnau pilikino ia, akā pono e ʻike i kēia mau huaʻōlelo inā ʻoe e hana i ka ʻenehana a makemake ʻoe e ʻike i nā ʻano honua.

He pakuhi kēia o nā manaʻolana o ka lehulehu mai kekahi ʻenehana. Wahi a Gartner, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi, hele ka ʻenehana i nā pae 5: ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka ʻenehana, ke kiʻekiʻe o nā manaʻolana i hoʻonui ʻia, ke awāwa o ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa, ka pali o ka mālamalama, ka pāpū o ka huahana. Akā, hiki nō hoʻi ia e hāʻule i loko o ke "awāwa o ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa" - hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻomanaʻo i nā hiʻohiʻona iā ʻoe iho me ka maʻalahi, e lawe i nā bitcoins like: hoʻomaka mua i ka piʻi ʻana e like me "kālā o ka wā e hiki mai ana", wikiwiki lākou i ka wā i nā hemahema o ka ʻenehana. ʻike ʻia, ʻo ka mea mua o nā kaohi ʻana i ka helu o nā kālepa a me ka nui o ka uila e pono ai e hoʻohua i nā bitcoins (ʻo ia ka mea e pili ana i nā pilikia kaiapuni). A ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻaʻole pono mākou e poina ʻo ka pakuhi o Gartner he wānana wale nō: ma aneʻi, no ka laʻana, hiki iā ʻoe ke heluhelu i kahi kikoʻī. ʻO kahi mea kākau, kahi i hoʻokaʻawale ʻia ai nā wānana i hoʻokō ʻole ʻia.

No laila, e hele kāua i ka pakuhi Gartner hou. Hoʻokaʻawale ʻia nā ʻenehana i 5 mau pūʻulu thematic nui:

  1. AI kiʻekiʻe a me Analytics
  2. Postclassical Compute a me Comms
  3. ʻIke a me ka neʻe ʻana
  4. Kanaka Hoʻonui
  5. Pūnaehana kaiaola kikohoʻe

1. AI kiʻekiʻe a me Analytics

I nā makahiki he 10 i hala iho nei ua ʻike mākou i ka hola maikaʻi loa o ke aʻo hohonu. Pono maoli kēia mau pūnaewele no kā lākou mau hana. I ka makahiki 2018, ua loaʻa iā Yann LeCun, Geoffrey Hinton a me Yoshua Bengio ka makana Turing no kā lākou ʻike ʻana - ka makana hanohano loa, e like me ka makana Nobel ma ka ʻepekema kamepiula. No laila, ʻo nā ʻano nui o kēia wahi, i hōʻike ʻia ma ka pakuhi:

1.1. Hoʻololi aʻo

ʻAʻole ʻoe e hoʻomaʻamaʻa i kahi pūnaewele neural mai ka wā ʻōpala, akā e lawe i kahi mea i aʻo ʻia a hāʻawi iā ia i kahi pahuhopu ʻē aʻe. I kekahi manawa pono kēia e aʻo hou i kahi ʻāpana o ka pūnaewele, akā ʻaʻole ka pūnaewele holoʻokoʻa, ʻoi aku ka wikiwiki. No ka laʻana, lawe i kahi pūnaewele neural mākaukau ResNet50, i hoʻomaʻamaʻa ʻia ma ka ʻikepili ImageNet1000, e loaʻa iā ʻoe kahi algorithm e hiki ke hoʻokaʻawale i nā mea like ʻole i ke kiʻi ma kahi pae hohonu loa (1000 mau papa e pili ana i nā hiʻohiʻona i hana ʻia e 50 papa o ka neural. pūnaewele). Akā, ʻaʻole pono ʻoe e hoʻomaʻamaʻa i kēlā pūnaewele holoʻokoʻa, e mau mahina.

В papa pūnaewele Samsung "Neural networks and computer vision", no ka laʻana, i ka hopena Kaggle hana me ka hoʻokaʻawale ʻana o nā papa i ka maʻemaʻe a me ka lepo, ua hōʻike ʻia kahi ala e hāʻawi iā ʻoe i loko o 5 mau minuke i kahi pūnaewele neural hohonu hiki ke hoʻokaʻawale i nā papa lepo mai nā mea maʻemaʻe, i kūkulu ʻia e like me ka hoʻolālā i hōʻike ʻia ma luna. ʻAʻole ʻike ka pūnaewele kumu i nā papa, ua aʻo wale ʻo ia e hoʻokaʻawale i nā manu mai nā ʻīlio (e ʻike iā ImageNet).

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Source: papa pūnaewele Samsung "Nā pūnaewele neural a me ka ʻike kamepiula"

No ka Transfer Learning, pono ʻoe e ʻike i nā ala e hana ai a me nā hale kūkulu kumu i mākaukau i loaʻa. Ma ke ʻano holoʻokoʻa, hoʻolalelale nui kēia i ka puka ʻana mai o nā noi kūpono o ke aʻo ʻana i ka mīkini.

1.2. Nā Pūnaehana Kūʻē Kūʻē (GAN)

No kēlā mau hihia i paʻakikī loa iā mākou ke kūkulu i ka pahuhopu aʻo. ʻO ka kokoke loa o ka hana i ke ola maoli, ʻoi aku ka maʻalahi iā mākou ("lawe i ka papa ʻaina moe"), akā ʻoi aku ka paʻakikī o ka hana ʻana ma ke ʻano he hana ʻenehana. He ho'āʻo wale ʻo GAN e hoʻopakele iā mākou mai kēia pilikia.

ʻElua mau pūnaewele e hana ana ma ʻaneʻi: ʻo kekahi mea hana (Generative), ʻo kekahi he discriminator (Adversarial). Hoʻokahi pūnaewele e aʻo i ka hana pono (hoʻokaʻawale i nā kiʻi, ʻike i nā kani, kaha kiʻi kiʻi). Aʻo kekahi pūnaewele e aʻo i kēlā pūnaewele: loaʻa iā ia nā hiʻohiʻona maoli, a aʻo ia e ʻimi i kahi ʻano paʻakikī i ʻike mua ʻole ʻia no ka hoʻohālikelike ʻana i nā huahana o ka ʻāpana generative o ka pūnaewele me nā mea honua maoli (hoʻonohonoho hoʻomaʻamaʻa) e pili ana i nā ʻano hohonu koʻikoʻi. : ka heluna o na maka, kokoke i ke ano o Miyazaki, pololei ka olelo haole.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
He laʻana o ka hopena o kahi pūnaewele no ka hana ʻana i nā kiʻi anime. Puna

Akā, ʻoiaʻiʻo, paʻakikī ke kūkulu ʻana i ka hale hana ma laila. ʻAʻole lawa ka hoʻolei wale ʻana i nā neurons, pono lākou e mākaukau. A pono ʻoe e aʻo no nā pule. Ke hana nei kaʻu mau hoa ma ka Samsung Artificial Intelligence Center i ke kumuhana GAN; ʻo ia kekahi o kā lākou nīnau noiʻi koʻikoʻi. No ka laʻana, e like me kēia hoʻomohala: ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā pūnaewele generative e synthesize i nā kiʻi maoli o ka poʻe me nā poses hoʻololi - no ka laʻana, e hana i kahi lumi kūpono virtual, a i ʻole e synthesize i kahi maka, hiki ke hōʻemi i ka nui o ka ʻike e pono e mālama a hoʻouna ʻia e hōʻoia i ka wikiō kiʻekiʻe. kamaʻilio, hoʻolaha a pale ʻikepili pilikino.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Puna

1.3. Hiki ke wehewehe AI

No kekahi mau hana koʻikoʻi, ua lawe koke mai ka holomua o nā hale kiʻi hohonu i nā hiki o nā ʻupena neural hohonu kokoke i ka hiki o ke kanaka. Ke hoʻomaka nei ke kaua e hoʻonui i ka laulā o ia mau hana. No ka laʻana, hiki i ka robot hoʻomaʻemaʻe hoʻomaʻemaʻe ke hoʻokaʻawale i ka pōpoki mai ka ʻīlio ma kahi hālāwai poʻo. Akā i ka hapanui o nā kūlana ola, ʻaʻole hiki iā ia ke ʻike i kahi pōpoki e moe ana ma waena o ka lole a i ʻole nā ​​​​mea hana (akā, e like me mākou, i ka nui o nā hihia ...).

He aha ke kumu o ka holomua o nā neural network hohonu? Hoʻokumu lākou i kahi hōʻike o ka pilikia ma muli o ka ʻike "ʻike ʻia e ka maka maka" (nā pika kiʻi, nā loli i ka leo kani ...), akā ma nā hiʻohiʻona i loaʻa ma hope o ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa ʻana i kēia ʻike e nā haneli he nui o kahi neural network. ʻO ka mea pōʻino, ʻaʻohe manaʻo o kēia mau pilina, ʻaʻohe kūlike, a i ʻole ke lawe ʻana i nā meheu o nā hemahema i ka hoʻonohonoho ʻikepili kumu. Eia kekahi laʻana, aia kahi pāʻani kamepiula liʻiliʻi e pili ana i ka mea hiki ke alakaʻi i ka hoʻohana ʻole ʻana o AI i ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana Ke Ola O Ka Pono Pono.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Ua kapa ʻia ka ʻōnaehana hoʻopaʻa kiʻi i ke kanaka e kuke ana he wahine, ʻoiai he kāne maoli ka mea ma ke kiʻi (Puna). ia ʻike ʻia ma ka Virginia Institute.

No ke kālailai ʻana i nā pilina paʻakikī a hohonu ʻaʻole hiki iā mākou ke hoʻomohala iā mākou iho, pono nā ala wehewehe AI. Hoʻonohonoho lākou i nā hiʻohiʻona o nā pūnaewele neural hohonu a ma hope o ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa ʻana, hiki iā mākou ke nānā i ka hōʻike kūloko i aʻo ʻia e ka pūnaewele, ma mua o ka hilinaʻi wale ʻana i kāna hoʻoholo.

1.4. ʻIkepili Edge / AI

ʻO nā mea a pau me ka huaʻōlelo Edge ʻo ia hoʻi kēia: ka hoʻoili ʻana i kahi hapa o nā algorithms mai ke ao/server a i ka pae o ka ʻaoʻao hopena/puka. E holo wikiwiki ana kēlā algorithm a ʻaʻole pono e hoʻopili i kahi kikowaena kikowaena no kāna hana. Inā ʻoe i kamaʻāina i ka abstraction o kahi "thin client," a laila eia mākou e hoʻolilo i kēia mea kūʻai aku i mea mānoanoa iki.
He mea nui paha kēia no ka Internet of Things. No ka laʻana, inā ua wela ka mīkini a pono e hoʻomaha, pono e hōʻailona koke i kēia, ma ka pae o ka mea kanu, me ke kali ʻole i ka ʻikepili e hele i ke ao a mai laila aku i ka luna hoʻololi. A i ʻole kekahi laʻana: hiki i nā kaʻa kaʻa ponoʻī ke noʻonoʻo i ke kūlana kaʻa ma o lākou iho, me ka ʻole e hoʻopili i kahi kikowaena kikowaena.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Puna

A i ʻole kekahi hiʻohiʻona o ke kumu he mea nui kēia mai kahi ʻano palekana: ke kākau ʻoe i nā kikokikona ma kāu kelepona, hoʻomanaʻo ʻo ia i nā huaʻōlelo maʻamau iā ʻoe, i hiki ai i ke kelepona kelepona ke kuhikuhi iā ʻoe me lākou - ua kapa ʻia kēia mea wānana. hoʻokomo kikokikona. ʻO ka hoʻouna ʻana i nā mea a pau āu e paʻi ai ma kāu kīpē i kahi kikowaena data ma kahi ʻē aʻe he mea hōʻino i kou pilikino a palekana wale. No laila, ʻo ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa ʻana i ka papa keyboard i loko wale nō o kāu kelepona ponoʻī.

1.5. AI Platform ma ke ano he lawelawe (AI PaaS)

ʻO PaaS - Platform-as-a-Service he kumu hoʻohālike ʻoihana kahi e loaʻa ai iā mākou ke komo i kahi kahua i hoʻohui ʻia, e komo pū ana me kāna waihona ʻikepili ma ke ao a me nā kaʻina hana i mākaukau. Ma kēia ala, hiki iā mākou ke hoʻokuʻu iā mākou iho mai nā hana ʻoihana a hoʻopaʻa piha i ka hana ʻana i kahi mea pono. Ka laʻana o nā paepae PaaS no nā hana AI: IBM Cloud, Microsoft Azure, Amazon Machine Learning, Google AI Platform.

1.6. Hoʻomaʻamaʻa Mīkini Aʻo (ML Adaptive)

He aha inā inā e ʻae mākou i ka ʻike artificial e hoʻololi... Nīnau ʻoe - ʻo ia hoʻi, pehea?.. ʻAʻole anei ia e hoʻololi i ka hana? ʻO kēia ka pilikia: hoʻolālā mākou i kēlā me kēia pilikia ma mua o ke kūkulu ʻana i kahi algorithm naʻauao hana e hoʻoponopono ai. E pane mai lākou iā ʻoe - ua ʻike ʻia hiki ke maʻalahi kēia kaulahao.

Hana ʻia ka mīkini aʻo maʻamau ma ke kumu o ka open-loop: hoʻomākaukau ʻoe i ka ʻikepili, hele mai me kahi neural network (a i ʻole kekahi mea), hoʻomaʻamaʻa, a laila e nānā i kekahi mau hōʻailona, ​​​​a inā makemake ʻoe i nā mea āpau, hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻouna i ka neural network i nā smartphones. - hoʻoponopono i nā pilikia o ka mea hoʻohana. Akā i nā noi i nui ka ʻikepili a hoʻololi mālie kona ʻano, pono nā ala ʻē aʻe. ʻO ia mau ʻōnaehana, e hoʻololi a aʻo iā lākou iho, ua hoʻonohonoho ʻia i loko o nā puka hoʻopaʻa aʻo ponoʻī (closed-loop), a pono lākou e hana maʻalahi.

Nā noi - hiki i kēia ke stream analytics (Stream Analytics), ma ke kumu o ka nui o nā poʻe ʻoihana e hoʻoholo ai, a i ʻole ka hoʻokele hoʻokele adaptive. Ma ka nui o nā noi o kēia manawa a hāʻawi ʻia i nā pilikia i hoʻomaopopo maikaʻi ʻia i ke kanaka, ʻohi ʻia nā ʻenehana i hoʻonā i kēia pilikia ma lalo o ka huaʻōlelo umbrella Adaptive AI.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Puna

Ke nānā nei i kēia kiʻi, paʻakikī ke hoʻopau i ka manaʻo ʻaʻole e hānai i ka berena o ka futurologists - e aʻo lākou i kahi robot e hanu ...

Postclassical Compute a me Comms

2.1. Nā kamaʻilio paʻa lima o ka hanauna lima (5G)

He kumuhana hoihoi kēia a mākou e kuhikuhi koke ai iā ʻoe i kā mākou 'ōlelo. ʻAe, eia kahi hōʻuluʻulu pōkole. ʻO 5G, ma ka hoʻonui ʻana i ke alapine o ka hoʻouna ʻana i ka ʻikepili, e hana i ka wikiwiki o ka Pūnaewele me ka ʻole maoli. ʻOi aku ka paʻakikī o nā nalu pōkole e hele i nā pilikia, no laila e ʻokoʻa loa ka hoʻolālā ʻana o nā pūnaewele: 500 mau manawa ʻoi aku ka nui o nā kahua kahua.

Me ka wikiwiki, e loaʻa iā mākou nā hanana hou: nā pāʻani manawa maoli me ka ʻoiaʻiʻo i hoʻonui ʻia, e hana ana i nā hana paʻakikī (e like me ke ʻoki ʻana) ma o ka telepresence, ka pale ʻana i nā pōpilikia a me nā kūlana paʻakikī ma nā alanui ma o ke kamaʻilio ʻana ma waena o nā mīkini. Ma kahi moʻolelo ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi: e hoʻōki ka Internet kelepona i ka hāʻule ʻana i nā hanana nui, e like me ka hoʻokūkū ma ke kahua pāʻani.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Puna kiʻi - Reuters, Niantic

2.2. Hoʻomanaʻo o ka hanauna hou

Eia mākou e kamaʻilio nei e pili ana i ka lima o ka hanauna o RAM - DDR5. Ua hoʻolaha ʻo Samsung e loaʻa nā huahana DDR2019 i ka hopena o 5. Manaʻo ʻia ʻo ka hoʻomanaʻo hou e ʻelua ʻoi aku ka wikiwiki a ʻelua ʻoi aku ka nui me ka mālama ʻana i ke ʻano kumu like, ʻo ia hoʻi, hiki iā mākou ke kiʻi i nā lāʻau hoʻomanaʻo me ka nui o 32GB no kā mākou kamepiula. I ka wā e hiki mai ana, pili loa kēia i nā smartphones (e loaʻa ka hoʻomanaʻo hou i kahi mana haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa) a no nā laptops (kahi i kaupalena ʻia ka helu o nā slot DIMM). A ʻo ke aʻo ʻana i ka mīkini e pono ai ka nui o ka RAM.

2.3. Nā Pūnaehana Satellite-Earth-Orbit

ʻO ka manaʻo o ka hoʻololi ʻana i nā satelite koʻikoʻi, kumukūʻai, ikaika me kahi pūʻulu o nā mea liʻiliʻi a me nā mea liʻiliʻi ʻaʻole mamao loa a ʻike hou ʻia i nā makahiki 90. E pili ana i ka mea "E hāʻawi koke ʻo Elon Musk i ka Pūnaewele i nā poʻe āpau mai ka satellite" ʻO ka poʻe palaualelo wale nō i lohe ʻole. ʻO ka hui kaulana loa ma ʻaneʻi ʻo Iridium, ka mea i banekorupa i ka hopena o 90s, akā ua mālama ʻia ma ka lilo o ka US Department of Defense (ʻaʻole e huikau me iRidium, ka ʻōnaehana home smart Russian). ʻO ka papahana a Elon Musk (Starlink) kahi mamao loa mai ka mea hoʻokahi - ʻo Richard Branson (OneWeb - 1440 i manaʻo ʻia nā satellite), Boeing (3000 satellites), Samsung (4600 satellites), a me nā mea ʻē aʻe ke komo nei i ka heihei ukali.

Pehea e kū ai nā mea ma kēia wahi, pehea ke ʻano o ka hoʻokele waiwai ma laila - heluhelu i loko loiloi. A ke kali nei mākou i nā hoʻāʻo mua o kēia mau ʻōnaehana e nā mea hoʻohana mua, e hana ʻia i ka makahiki aʻe.

2.4. Paʻi 3D Nanoscale

ʻO ka paʻi 3D, ʻoiai ʻaʻole ia i komo i ke ola o kēlā me kēia kanaka (ma ke ʻano i hoʻohiki ʻia e kahi hale hana palaki home hoʻokahi), akā naʻe ua haʻalele i ka niche ʻenehana no nā geeks. Hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻoholo i ka ʻike ʻana o kēlā me kēia keiki kula e pili ana i ke ola ʻana o nā peni sculpted 3D, a he nui nā moeʻuhane e kūʻai i kahi pahu me nā mea holo a me kahi extruder no ...

Hiki i ka Steeolithography (laser 3D printers) ke paʻi me nā kiʻi pākahi: ke ʻimi ʻia nei nā polymers hou e koi ana i ʻelua photons e paʻa. E ʻae kēia, ma nā kūlana hana ʻole, e hana i nā kānana hou loa, nā puʻu, nā punawai, nā capillaries, nā lens a me ... kāu mau koho i nā manaʻo! A eia ʻaʻole mamao loa mai ka photopolymerization - ʻo kēia ʻenehana wale nō e ʻae iā mākou e "paʻi" i nā kaʻina hana a me nā kaʻa kaʻa. Eia kekahi, ʻaʻole kēia ka makahiki mua i loaʻa ʻenehana no ka paʻi ʻana i ka graphene 500 nm mau hale ʻekolu, akā, me ka hoʻomohala ʻole ʻana.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Puna

3. ʻIke a me ka neʻe ʻana

3.1. Papa 4 & 5 o ka hookele kaa ana

I ʻole e huikau i ka huaʻōlelo, pono e hoʻomaopopo i nā pae o ka autonomy i ʻike ʻia (i lawe ʻia mai ka kikoʻī kikoʻī. nāʻatikala, kahi a mākou e kuhikuhi ai i nā mea hoihoi a pau):

Papa 1: Mana holo moku: kōkua i ka mea hoʻokele i nā kūlana liʻiliʻi loa (no ka laʻana, e paʻa ana i ke kaʻa i ka wikiwiki ma hope o ka hemo ʻana o ka wāwae mai ka wāwae)
Papa 2: Kākoʻo hoʻokele a me ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana. Pono ka mea hoʻokele e hoʻokele kokoke koke. Aia kona mau lima ma ka huila, aia kona mau maka i ke alanui. He mea kēia i loaʻa iā Tesla a me General Motors.
Papa 3: ʻAʻole pono i ka mea hoʻokele ke nānā mau i ke alanui. Akā, pono ʻo ia e makaʻala a mākaukau e hoʻomalu. He mea keia i loaa ole i na kaa kuai. Aia nā mea āpau i kēia manawa ma ka pae 1-2.
Papa 4: Autopilot ʻoiaʻiʻo, akā me nā kapu: ʻo nā huakaʻi wale nō ma kahi i ʻike ʻia i kahakaha ʻia a ʻike nui ʻia e ka ʻōnaehana, a ma lalo o kekahi mau kūlana: no ka laʻana, me ka ʻole o ka hau. Loaʻa iā Waymo a me General Motors nā prototypes, a hoʻolālā lākou e hoʻolauna iā lākou i kekahi mau kūlanakauhale a hoʻāʻo iā lākou i nā kaiapuni maoli. Loaʻa iā Yandex nā ʻāpana hoʻāʻo no nā kaʻa kaʻa ʻole ma Skolkovo a me Innopolis: hele ka huakaʻi ma lalo o ka mākaʻikaʻi o kahi ʻenekinia e noho ana ma ka noho o ka poʻe kaʻa; i ka hopena o ka makahiki, hoʻolālā ka hui e hoʻonui i kāna mau'auwaʻa i 100 mau kaʻa ʻole.
Papa 5: Ke kaʻa ʻakomi piha, ke pani piha ʻana i ka mea hoʻokele ola. ʻAʻole loaʻa ia mau ʻōnaehana, a ʻaʻole hiki ke ʻike ʻia i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana.

Pehea ka ʻoiaʻiʻo o ka ʻike ʻana i kēia mau mea i ka wā e hiki mai ana? Maʻaneʻi makemake wau e hoʻohuli i ka mea heluhelu i ka ʻatikala "No ke aha e hiki ʻole ai ke hoʻomaka i kahi robotaxi e 2020, e like me kā Tesla i hoʻohiki ai". ʻO kēia kekahi ma muli o ka nele o ka pilina 5G: ʻaʻole lawa nā wikiwiki 4G i loaʻa. ʻO kekahi hapa ma muli o ke kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe loa o nā kaʻa kūʻokoʻa: ʻaʻole lākou i loaʻa ka waiwai, ʻaʻole maopopo ke kumu ʻoihana. Ma kahi huaʻōlelo, "paʻakikī nā mea a pau" ma aneʻi, a ʻaʻole ia he coincidence ua kākau ʻo Gartner i ka wānana no ka hoʻokō nui ʻana o nā pae 4 a me 5 ʻaʻole ma mua o 10 mau makahiki.

3.2. 3D Sensing Cameras

ʻEwalu makahiki i hala aku nei, ua hana ʻo Microsoft's Kinect gaming controller i nā nalu ma o ka hāʻawi ʻana i kahi hopena maʻalahi a maʻalahi hoʻi i ka ʻike 3D. Mai ia manawa, ua ʻike ka hoʻonaʻauao kino a me nā pāʻani hula me Kinect i ko lākou ala pōkole a me ka emi ʻana, akā ua hoʻomaka nā kāmela 3D e hoʻohana ʻia i nā robots ʻoihana, nā kaʻa ʻole, a me nā kelepona paʻa no ka ʻike maka. Ua lilo ka ʻenehana i mea maʻalahi, ʻoi aku ka paʻakikī a me ka maʻalahi.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Loaʻa i ke kelepona Samsung S10 kahi kāmela Time-of-Flight e ana i ka mamao i kahi mea e maʻalahi ai ka nānā ʻana. Puna

Inā makemake ʻoe i kēia kumuhana, a laila e kuhikuhi mākou iā ʻoe i kahi loiloi kikoʻī maikaʻi loa o nā kāmela hohonu: ʻāpana 1, ʻāpana 2.

3.3. Nā Drones no ka lawe ʻana i nā ukana liʻiliʻi (Light Cargo Delivery Drones)

I kēia makahiki, hana ʻo Amazon i nā nalu i ka wā i hōʻike ai i kahi drone lele hou ma ka hōʻike e hiki ke lawe i nā ukana liʻiliʻi a hiki i 2 kg. No ke kūlanakauhale me kona mau kaʻa kaʻa, me he mea lā he hopena kūpono kēia. E ʻike kākou i ka hana ʻana o kēia mau drones i ka wā e hiki mai ana. He mea pono paha ke akahele i ka kānalua ma ʻaneʻi: nui nā pilikia, e hoʻomaka ana me ka hiki ke ʻaihue maʻalahi i kahi drone, a hoʻopau me nā kapu kānāwai i nā UAV. Ua puni ʻo Amazon Prime Air no ʻeono mau makahiki akā aia nō i ka pae hoʻāʻo.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
ʻO ka drone hou o Amazon, i hōʻike ʻia i kēia pūnāwai. Aia kekahi mea Star Wars e pili ana iā ia. Puna

Ma kahi o Amazon, aia kekahi mau mea pāʻani ma kēia mākeke (aia kahi kikoʻī kikoʻī loiloi), akā ʻaʻole hoʻokahi huahana i hoʻopau ʻia: aia nā mea āpau ma ke kahua o ka hoʻāʻo a me nā hoʻolaha kūʻai. Ma kahi kaʻawale, pono e ʻike i nā lāʻau lapaʻau kūikawā kūikawā papahana ma ʻApelika: hāʻawi ʻia i ke koko i hāʻawi ʻia ma Ghana (14 hoʻouna, hui Zipline) a me Rwanda (hui Matternet).

3.4. Nā Kaʻa Kūʻokoʻa Lele

He mea paʻakikī ke ʻōlelo i kekahi mea maopopo ma ʻaneʻi. Wahi a Gartner, e ʻike ʻia kēia ma mua o 10 mau makahiki. Ma ka laulā, aia nā pilikia like ʻole ma ʻaneʻi e like me nā kaʻa kaʻa kaʻa ponoʻī, loaʻa wale iā lākou kahi ʻāpana hou - kū pololei. Ua hoʻolaha ʻo Porsche, Boeing, a me Uber i kā lākou makemake e kūkulu i kahi kaʻa lele.

3.5. ʻO ke ao ʻoiaʻiʻo i hoʻonui ʻia (AR Cloud)

He kope kikohoʻe paʻa o ka honua maoli, e ʻae iā ʻoe e hana i kahi papa hou o ka ʻoiaʻiʻo maʻamau i nā mea hoʻohana āpau. Ma nā ʻōlelo ʻenehana hou aʻe, ke kamaʻilio nei mākou e pili ana i ka hana ʻana i kahi paepae kapuaʻi e hiki ai i nā mea hoʻomohala ke hoʻohui i kā lākou mau noi AR. Maikaʻi ke ʻano monetization; he ʻano analogue o Steam. Ua paʻa loa ka manaʻo a manaʻo kekahi i kēia manawa he mea ʻole ka AR me ke ao ʻole.

Hōʻike ʻia ke ʻano o kēia i ka wā e hiki mai ana i kahi wikiō pōkole. Me he mea lā ʻē aʻe o Black Mirror:

Hiki iā ʻoe ke heluhelu ma ʻatikala loiloi.

4. Hoʻonui ʻia ke kanaka

4.1. Manaʻo AI

Pehea e ana, hoʻohālike a pane aku i nā manaʻo kanaka? ʻO kekahi o nā mea kūʻai aku ma aneʻi nā hui e hana i nā mea kōkua leo e like me Amazon Alexa. Hiki iā lākou ke maʻa maoli i nā hale inā lākou e aʻo e ʻike i ke ʻano: hoʻomaopopo i ke kumu o ka hauʻoli o ka mea hoʻohana, a hoʻāʻo e hoʻoponopono i ke kūlana. Ma keʻano laulā, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka ʻike ma ka pōʻaiapili ma mua o ka memo ponoʻī. A ʻo ka pōʻaiapili ka hiʻohiʻona helehelena, ka leo, a me ka ʻōlelo waha ʻole.

Nā noi kūpono ʻē aʻe: ka nānā ʻana i nā manaʻo i ka wā o kahi nīnauele hana (ma muli o nā nīnauele wikiō), ka loiloi ʻana i nā hopena i nā pāʻoihana a i ʻole nā ​​​​mea wikiō ʻē aʻe (ka ʻakaʻaka, ʻakaʻaka), kōkua i ke aʻo ʻana (no ka laʻana, no ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa kūʻokoʻa i ke akamai o ka ʻōlelo lehulehu).

He paʻakikī ke kamaʻilio maikaʻi ma kēia kumuhana ma mua o ka mea kākau o kahi kiʻiʻoniʻoni pōkole 6 mau minuke ʻAhuehue Manaʻo. Hōʻike ka wikiō akamai a me ke ʻano pehea e hiki ai iā ʻoe ke ana i ko mākou mau manaʻo no ke kumu kūʻai aku, a mai nā hopena manawa o kou mau maka, e ʻike inā makemake ʻoe i ka pizza, nā ʻīlio, Kanye West, a me ke ʻano o kāu pae kālā a me ka IQ kokoke. Ma ke kipa ʻana i ka pūnaewele o ke kiʻiʻoniʻoni me ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka loulou ma luna, lilo ʻoe i mea komo i kahi wikiō pāʻani me ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka pahupaʻikiʻi i kūkulu ʻia o kāu kamepiula. Ua hōʻike mua ʻia ke kiʻiʻoniʻoni ma kekahi mau ʻaha kiʻiʻoniʻoni.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Puna

Aia kekahi haʻawina hoihoi: pehea e ʻike ai i ka hoʻomākeʻaka ma ka kikokikona. Lawe mākou i nā tweets me ka hashtag #sarcasm a ua hana mākou i kahi hoʻomaʻamaʻa o 25 tweets me ka hoʻomāinoino a me 000 mau tweets maʻamau e pili ana i nā mea āpau ma lalo o ka lā. Ua hoʻohana mākou i ka waihona TensorFlow, aʻo i ka ʻōnaehana, a eia ka hopena:

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Puna

No laila, i kēia manawa, inā ʻaʻole ʻoe maopopo e pili ana i kāu hoa hana a i ʻole kāu hoaaloha - ua ʻōlelo ʻo ia i kekahi mea iā ʻoe me ke koʻikoʻi a ʻakaʻaka paha, hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻohana. pūnaewele neural aʻo!

4.2. Hoʻonui ʻia ka naʻauao

ʻO ka automate o ka hana naʻauao me ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā ʻano aʻo mīkini. Me he mea lā ʻaʻohe mea hou? Akā ʻo ka huaʻōlelo ponoʻī he mea nui ma aneʻi, ʻoiai ʻo ia i hui pū ʻia i ka pōkole me Artificial Intelligence. Hoʻihoʻi kēia iā mākou i ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa e pili ana i ka "ikaika" a me ka "nawaliwali" AI.
ʻO ka ikaika AI ka naʻauao like ʻole mai nā kiʻiʻoniʻoni moʻokalaleo ʻepekema i like loa me ka noʻonoʻo kanaka a ʻike iā ia iho ma ke ʻano he kanaka. ʻAʻole i loaʻa kēia a ʻaʻole maopopo inā e ola ana.

ʻO AI nāwaliwali ʻaʻole ia he kanaka kūʻokoʻa, akā he kōkua kanaka. ʻAʻole ʻo ia he manaʻo like me ke kanaka, akā ʻike wale ʻo ia i ka hoʻoponopono ʻana i nā pilikia ʻike, no ka laʻana, e hoʻoholo i ka mea i hōʻike ʻia ma ke kiʻi a i ʻole unuhi i nā kikokikona.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Puna

Ma kēia ʻano, ʻo Augmented Intelligence ka "AI nawaliwali" i kona ʻano maʻemaʻe, a ʻike ʻia ka kūleʻa o ka hoʻokumu ʻana, ʻoiai ʻaʻole ia e hoʻolauna i ka huikau a me ka hoʻowalewale e ʻike ma aneʻi i ka "AI ikaika" e moeʻuhane ai nā mea a pau (a hopohopo paha, inā mākou e hoʻomanaʻo i nā kūkākūkā nui e pili ana i nā "kaʻa kipi"). Ke hoʻohana nei i ka huaʻōlelo Augmented Intelligence, lilo koke mākou i poʻe koa o kahi kiʻiʻoniʻoni ʻē aʻe: mai ka moʻolelo ʻepekema (e like me Asimov's "I, Robot") ʻike mākou iā mākou iho i ka cyberpunk ("augmentations" i kēia ʻano he mau ʻano implants e hoʻonui i nā mana kanaka).

Pehea wahi a ʻO Erik Brynjolfsson lāua ʻo Andrew McAffee: “I nā makahiki he 10 e hiki mai ana, ʻo ia ka mea e hiki mai ana. ʻAʻole e hoʻololi ʻo AI i nā mana, akā ʻo kēlā mau mana e hoʻohana iā AI e pani i ka poʻe i hana ʻole. "

examples:

  • Lapaʻau: Ua kūkulu ʻia ke Kulanui ʻo Stanford ka algorithm, nāna e hoʻokō i ka hana o ka ʻike ʻana i nā pathologies ma nā pahu X-ray ma ka awelika e like me ka nui o nā kauka.
  • Hoʻonaʻauao: kōkua i nā haumāna a me nā kumu, ka nānā ʻana i nā pane a nā haumāna i nā mea waiwai, ke kūkulu ʻana i kahi alahele aʻo pilikino.
  • ʻIkepili pāʻoihana: ka hoʻoponopono mua ʻana o ka ʻikepili, e like me nā helu, lawe i ka 80% o ka manawa o ka mea noiʻi, a ʻo 20% wale nō o ka hoʻokolohua ponoʻī.

4.3. Biochips

ʻO kēia ke kumuhana punahele o nā kiʻiʻoniʻoni cyberpunk a me nā puke. Ma keʻano laulā, ʻaʻole hana hou ka microchipping pets. Akā i kēia manawa ua hoʻomaka kēia mau ʻāpana e hoʻokomo i loko o nā kānaka.

I kēia hihia, pili ka hype i ka hihia hoʻoweliweli i ka hui ʻAmelika ʻekolu Square Market. Ma laila, hoʻomaka ka haku hana e hoʻokomo i nā ʻāpana ma lalo o ka ʻili no ka uku. Hāʻawi ka chip iā ʻoe e wehe i nā puka, e komo i loko o nā kamepiula, kūʻai i nā kīʻaha mai kahi mīkini kūʻai aku - ʻo ia hoʻi, kahi kāleka limahana āpau. Eia kekahi, e lawelawe pololei ana kēlā chip ma ke ʻano he kāleka ʻike; ʻaʻohe ona module GPS, no laila hiki ʻole ke hahai i kekahi e hoʻohana ana. A inā makemake ke kanaka e wehe i ka chip mai kona lima mai, he 5 mau minuke me ke kōkua o ke kauka.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Hoʻokomo pinepine ʻia nā ʻāpana ma waena o ka manamana lima a me ka manamana lima. Puna

Heluhelu hou aku ʻO kahi mea kākau e pili ana i ke kūlana o nā mea me ka chipping i ka honua.

4.4. Keena Hana Immersive

ʻO "Immersive" kekahi huaʻōlelo hou ʻaʻohe mea e pakele ai. Aia ma nā wahi a pau. Keaka Immersive, hōʻikeʻike, kiʻiʻoniʻoni. Pehea kou manaʻo? ʻO ka Immersion ka hana ʻana i kahi hopena immersive, i ka wā e nalowale ai ka palena ma waena o ka mea kākau a me ka mea nānā, ka virtual a me ka honua maoli. Ma ka wahi hana, ʻo ia ke ʻano o ka blurring i ka laina ma waena o ka mea hana a me ka mea hoʻomaka a me ka paipai ʻana i nā limahana e hana i kahi kūlana ʻoi aku ka ikaika ma o ka hoʻoponopono ʻana i ko lākou kaiapuni.

No ka mea, loaʻa iā mākou ka Agile, ka maʻalahi, a me ka launa pū ʻana ma nā wahi a pau, pono e maʻalahi nā wahi hana e like me ka hiki a pono e paipai i ka hana pūʻulu. Ke kuhikuhi nei ka ʻoihana i kāna mau ʻōlelo: ʻoi aku ka nui o nā limahana manawaleʻa, ke piʻi nei ke kumukūʻai o ka hoʻolimalima ʻana i kahi keʻena, a ma kahi mākeke hana hoʻokūkū, ke hoʻāʻo nei nā hui IT e hoʻonui i ka hauʻoli o nā limahana mai ka hana ma o ka hana ʻana i nā wahi leʻaleʻa a me nā pono ʻē aʻe. A ʻike ʻia kēia mau mea a pau i ka hoʻolālā ʻana o nā wahi hana.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Mai hōʻike knoll

4.5. Hoʻokino

Uaʻike nā kānaka a pau i ka pilikino i ka hoʻolaha. ʻO kēia ka manawa e kamaʻilio nei ʻoe me kahi hoa hana ua maloʻo ka ea i loko o ka lumi, a pono ʻoe e kūʻai i kahi humidifier no ke keʻena, a i ka lā aʻe e ʻike ʻoe i kahi hoʻolaha ma kāu ʻoihana pūnaewele - "kūʻai i kahi humidifier" (a hanana maoli i hiki mai iaʻu).

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Puna

ʻO ka pilikino, e like me ka wehewehe ʻana e Gartner, he pane ia i ka ulu ʻana o nā hopohopo o nā mea hoʻohana e pili ana i ka hoʻohana ʻana i kā lākou ʻikepili pilikino no nā kumu hoʻolaha. ʻO ka pahuhopu ka hoʻomohala ʻana i kahi ala e hōʻike ʻia ai mākou i ka hoʻolaha e pili ana i ka pōʻaiapili i loaʻa iā mākou iho, ʻaʻole iā mākou iho. No ka laʻana, ko mākou wahi, ke ʻano o ka hāmeʻa, ka manawa o ka lā, ke ʻano o ka wā - he mea kēia e hōʻino ʻole i kā mākou ʻikepili pilikino, a ʻaʻole mākou e ʻike i ka manaʻo maikaʻi ʻole o ka "nānā".

E heluhelu e pili ana i ka ʻokoʻa ma waena o kēia mau manaʻo ʻelua he moʻolelo Nā blog ʻo Andrew Frank ma ka pūnaewele o Gartner. Aia kekahi ʻokoʻa maʻalahi a me nā huaʻōlelo like ʻole ʻoe, ʻaʻole ʻike i ka ʻokoʻa, pilikia ʻoe i ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa lōʻihi me kāu interlocutor, ʻaʻole kānalua ʻo ia, ma ke ʻano holoʻokoʻa, pololei nā mea ʻelua (a he mea maoli nō hoʻi kēia i hiki i ka mea kākau).

4.6. Biotech – ʻAiʻi moʻomeheu a i ʻole mea hana

ʻO kēia, ʻo ka mea mua, ka manaʻo o ka ulu ʻana i ka ʻiʻo artificial. I ka manawa like, nui nā hui a puni ka honua i ka hoʻomohala ʻana i ka hale hana "Meat 2.0" - ua manaʻo ʻia e lilo ia i mea maʻalahi ma mua o ka maʻamau, a ʻo nā meaʻai wikiwiki a laila e hoʻololi i nā hale kūʻai. ʻO nā mea hoʻolale kālā i kēia ʻenehana ʻo Bill Gates, Sergey Brin, Richard Branson a me nā mea ʻē aʻe.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Puna

ʻO nā kumu i makemake nui ai nā kānaka a pau i ka ʻiʻo.

  1. ʻO ka hoʻomehana honua: nā hoʻokuʻu methane mai nā mahiʻai. ʻO kēia ka 18% o ka nui o nā kinoea honua e pili ana i ke aniau.
  2. Uluna kanaka. Ke ulu nei ka makemake o ka ʻiʻo, a ʻaʻole hiki ke hānai i kēlā me kēia me ka ʻiʻo maoli - he kumukūʻai wale nō.
  3. Ka nele o ka hakahaka. Ua ʻoki ʻia ʻo 70% o nā ululāʻau ʻo Amazon i mea ʻai.
  4. Nā noʻonoʻo pono. Aia kekahi poʻe nona kēia mea nui. Ua hāʻawi mua ka hui kuleana holoholona ʻo PETA i kahi makana $1 miliona i ka ʻepekema nāna e lawe mai i ka ʻiʻo moa kūlohelohe i ka mākeke.

ʻO ka hoʻololi ʻana i ka ʻiʻo maoli me ka soy he hopena hapa ia, no ka mea hiki i nā kānaka ke mahalo i ka ʻokoʻa o ka ʻono a me ke ʻano, a ʻaʻole paha e haʻalele i ka steak no ka soy. No laila, pono ʻoe i ka ʻiʻo maoli i ulu ʻia. I kēia manawa, pōʻino, ʻoi aku ka pipiʻi o ka ʻiʻo artificial: mai $12 no ka kilo. Ma muli o ke kaʻina ʻenehana paʻakikī o ka ulu ʻana i ia ʻiʻo. E heluhelu e pili ana ia mea a pau ʻO kahi mea kākau.

Inā mākou e kamaʻilio e pili ana i nā hihia ʻē aʻe o ka ulu ʻana o ka ʻiʻo - aia i loko o ka lāʻau lapaʻau - a laila he mea hoihoi ke kumuhana me nā ʻāpana artificial: no ka laʻana, he "patch" no ka puʻuwai puʻuwai, paiia he mīkini paʻi 3D kūikawā. ʻIke ʻia moʻolelo mōʻaukala e like me ka puʻuwai ʻiole i hana ʻia, akā ma ka laulā, aia nā mea a pau i loko o ke ʻano o nā hoʻokolohua lapaʻau. No laila ʻaʻole paha mākou e ʻike iā Frankenstein i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana.

Ma ʻaneʻi, makaʻala loa ʻo Gartner i kāna mau manaʻo, me ka hoʻomanaʻo ʻana i kāna wānana 2015 i hāʻule ʻole i ka makahiki 2019, 10% o ka heluna kanaka ma nā ʻāina hoʻomohala e loaʻa i kahi implant lāʻau lapaʻau paʻi 3D. No laila, ʻo ia hoʻi, ʻo ka manawa e hōʻea ai i kahi pālahalaha huahana ma kahi o 10 mau makahiki.

5. Nā Kaiaola Kikohoʻe

5.1. Pūnaewele Decentralized

Pili loa kēia manaʻo me ka inoa o ka mea nāna i hoʻokumu i ka pūnaewele, ʻo ia ka mea lanakila ʻo Turing Award ʻo Sir Tim Burners-Lee. No ia, he mea nui nā nīnau o ka ethics i ka ʻepekema kamepiula a he mea nui ka hui pū ʻana o ka Pūnaewele: ke kau ʻana i nā kumu o ka hypertext, ua manaʻo ʻo ia e hana ka pūnaewele e like me ka pūnaewele, ʻaʻole e like me kahi hierarchy. ʻO kēia ka hihia i ka wā mua o ka hoʻomohala pūnaewele. Eia naʻe, i ka ulu ʻana o ka Pūnaewele, ua lilo kona ʻano i kikowaena no nā kumu like ʻole. Ua ʻike ʻia hiki ke hoʻopaʻa ʻia ke komo ʻana i ka pūnaewele no kahi ʻāina holoʻokoʻa me ke kōkua o kekahi mau mea hoʻolako. A ua lilo ka ʻikepili hoʻohana i kumu o ka mana a me ka loaʻa kālā no nā hui pūnaewele.

"Ua decentralized ka Internet," wahi a Burners-Lee. "ʻO ka pilikia, ʻo ka ʻenekini huli hoʻokahi, hoʻokahi ʻoihana pūnaewele nui, hoʻokahi microblogging platform e noho aliʻi. ʻAʻohe o mākou pilikia ʻenehana, akā loaʻa iā mākou nā pilikia. "

I kāna palapala wehe No ka 30th anniversary o ka World Wide Web, ua wehewehe ka mea nāna i hana i ka Pūnaewele i ʻekolu pilikia nui o ka Pūnaewele:

  1. ʻO ka pōʻino i manaʻo ʻia e like me ka hacking i kākoʻo ʻia e ka mokuʻāina, ka hewa, a me ka hoʻomāinoino pūnaewele
  2. ʻO ka hoʻolālā pono o ka ʻōnaehana, ka mea, i ka pōʻino o ka mea hoʻohana, hoʻokumu i ke kumu no nā ʻano hana e like me: nā hoʻoikaika kālā no ka clickbait a me ka hoʻolaha viral o ka ʻike wahaheʻe.
  3. ʻO nā hopena i manaʻo ʻole ʻia o ka hoʻolālā ʻōnaehana e alakaʻi i ka paio a me ka hōʻemi ʻana i ka maikaʻi o ke kūkākūkā pūnaewele

A ua loaʻa iā Tim Berners-Lee kahi pane e pili ana i nā kumukānāwai e hiki ke hoʻokumu ʻia ka "Internet of a Healthy Person", me ka ʻole o ka pilikia helu 2: "No nā mea hoʻohana he nui, ʻo ka loaʻa kālā hoʻolaha wale nō ke kumu hoʻohālike no ka launa pū ʻana me ka Pūnaewele. ʻOiai ke makaʻu nei ka poʻe i ka mea e hiki mai ana i kā lākou ʻikepili, ua mākaukau lākou e hana i kahi kuʻikahi me ka mīkini kūʻai aku no ka manawa e loaʻa ai ka ʻike no ka manuahi. E noʻonoʻo i kahi honua kahi e maʻalahi ai ka uku ʻana i nā waiwai a me nā lawelawe no nā ʻaoʻao ʻelua. Ma waena o nā koho no ka hiki ke hoʻonohonoho ʻia: hiki i nā mea hoʻokani pila ke kūʻai aku i kā lākou hoʻopaʻa leo me ka ʻole o nā mea waena ma ke ʻano o iTunes, a hiki i nā pūnaewele nūhou ke hoʻohana i kahi ʻōnaehana micropayments no ka heluhelu ʻana i hoʻokahi ʻatikala, ma kahi o ka loaʻa kālā mai ka hoʻolaha.

Ma ke ʻano he prototype hoʻokolohua no kēia Pūnaewele hou, ua hoʻokumu ʻo Tim Berners-Lee i ka papahana SOLID, ʻo ke kumu o ia mea e mālama ʻoe i kāu ʻikepili i loko o kahi "pod" - kahi hale kūʻai ʻike, a hiki ke hāʻawi i kēia ʻikepili i nā noi ʻaoʻao ʻekolu. Akā ma ke kumu, ʻo ʻoe iho nā haku o kāu ʻikepili. ʻO kēia mau mea a pau e pili kokoke ana i ka manaʻo o nā pūnaewele peer-to-peer,ʻo ia hoʻi,ʻaʻole i noi wale kāu kamepiula i nā lawelawe, akā hāʻawi pū kekahi iā lākou, iʻole e hilinaʻi i hoʻokahi kikowaena e like me ke kahawai hoʻokahi.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Puna

5.2. Nā Hui Kūʻokoʻa Kūʻokoʻa

He hui ia i hoʻomalu ʻia e nā lula i kākau ʻia ma ke ʻano o kahi polokalamu kamepiula. Hoʻokumu ʻia kāna mau hana kālā ma ka blockchain. ʻO ke kumu o ka hoʻokumu ʻana i ia mau hui, ʻo ia ka hoʻopau ʻana i ka mokuʻāina mai ke kuleana o ka mea waena a hoʻokumu i kahi ʻano hilinaʻi maʻamau no nā hoa pili, ʻaʻole nona kēlā me kēia kanaka, akā nona nā mea a pau. ʻO ia, ma ke kumumanaʻo, pono kēia, inā e aʻa ka manaʻo, e hoʻopau i nā notaries a me nā ʻoihana hōʻoia maʻamau.

ʻO ka hiʻohiʻona kaulana loa o ia hui ʻo ka DAO i hoʻopaʻa ʻia i ka ʻoihana, ka mea i hoʻonui i $ 2016 miliona ma 150, a ua ʻaihue koke ʻia ʻo $ 50 ma o kahi lua kānāwai i nā lula. Ua ala koke mai kahi pilikia paʻakikī: e ʻōwili i hope a hoʻihoʻi i ke kālā, a i ʻole e hōʻoia i ke kānāwai o ka unuhi ʻana o ke kālā, no ka mea, ʻaʻole ia i uhaki i nā lula o ka paepae. ʻO ka hopena, i mea e hoʻihoʻi ai i ke kālā i nā mea hoʻopukapuka, pono nā mea hana e hoʻopau i ka DAO, kākau hou i ka blockchain a hōʻino i kāna kumu kumu - immutability.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Comic e pili ana iā Ethereum (hema) a me ka DAO ('ākau). Puna

Ua hōʻino kēia moʻolelo holoʻokoʻa i ka inoa o ka manaʻo o DAO. Ua hana ʻia kēlā papahana ma ke kumu o ka cryptocurrency Ethereum, manaʻo ʻia ka mana Ether 2.0 i ka makahiki aʻe - malia paha e noʻonoʻo nā mea kākau (me ka Vitalik Buterin kaulana) i nā hewa a hōʻike i kahi mea hou. ʻO ia paha ke kumu i kau ai ʻo Gartner i ka DAO ma luna o ka upline.

5.3. ʻIkepili Synthetics

No ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa ʻana i nā neural network, pono ka nui o ka ʻikepili. ʻO ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i ka ʻikepili me ka lima he hana nui hiki ke hana wale ʻia e ke kanaka. No laila, hiki ke hana i nā pūʻulu ʻikepili artificial. No ka laʻana, nā hōʻiliʻili like o nā helehelena kanaka ma ka pūnaewele https://generated.photos. Hana ʻia lākou me ka hoʻohana ʻana iā GAN - nā algorithm i ʻōlelo ʻia ma luna.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
ʻAʻole no nā kānaka kēia mau helehelena. Puna

ʻO ka pōmaikaʻi nui o ia ʻikepili, ʻaʻohe pilikia pili kānāwai i ka hoʻohana ʻana: ʻaʻohe mea e hāʻawi i ka ʻae i ka hana ʻana i ka ʻikepili pilikino.

5.4.Digital Ops

Ua lilo ka suffix "Ops" i mea nani loa mai ka wā i hoʻomaka ai ʻo DevOps i kā mākou kamaʻilio. I kēia manawa e pili ana i ke ʻano o DigitalOps - he mea hoʻohālikelike wale nō ia o DevOps, DesignOps, MarketingOps... Ua luhi ʻoe? I ka pōkole, ʻo ia ka hoʻololi ʻana o ke ala DevOps mai ka wahi polokalamu i nā ʻano ʻē aʻe o ka ʻoihana - kūʻai aku, hoʻolālā, etc.

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
Puna

ʻO ka manaʻo o DevOps ka wehe ʻana i nā pale ma waena o ka hoʻomohala ʻana iā ia iho a me nā Operations (nā kaʻina hana ʻoihana), ma o ka hoʻokumu ʻana i nā hui maʻamau, kahi e loaʻa ai nā mea polokalamu, nā mea hōʻike, nā loea palekana, a me nā luna hoʻomalu; ka hoʻokō ʻana i kekahi mau hana: ka hoʻohui mau ʻana, ka ʻōnaehana like code, hoʻemi a hoʻoikaika i nā kaulahao manaʻo. ʻO ka pahuhopu ka wikiwiki o ka manawa o ka huahana i ka mākeke. Inā manaʻo ʻoe ua like kēia me Agile, ua pololei ʻoe. I kēia manawa e hoʻololi noʻonoʻo i kēia ala mai ke kahua o ka hoʻomohala polokalamu i ka hoʻomohala ma ka laulā - a maopopo ʻoe i ke ʻano o DigitalOps.

5.5. Kiʻi ʻike

He ala polokalamu e hoʻohālike i kahi ʻike, me ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā algorithm aʻo mīkini. Kūkulu ʻia kahi pakuhi ʻike ma luna o nā ʻikepili i loaʻa e hoʻopili i nā ʻike āpau: ʻelua i kūkulu ʻia (papa inoa o nā hanana a i ʻole nā ​​​​kānaka) a me ka mea i hoʻonohonoho ʻole ʻia (kikokikona o kahi ʻatikala).

ʻO ka laʻana maʻalahi ke kāleka āu e ʻike ai ma nā hopena hulina Google. Inā ʻoe e ʻimi nei i ke kanaka a i ʻole ke kula, e ʻike ʻoe i kahi kāleka ma ka ʻākau:
ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?

E ʻoluʻolu e hoʻomaopopo ʻo "Nā hanana e hiki mai ana" ʻaʻole ia he kope o ka ʻike mai Google Maps, akā he hoʻohui o ka papa kuhikuhi me Yandex.Afisha: hiki iā ʻoe ke ʻike maʻalahi i kēia inā kaomi ʻoe i nā hanana. ʻO ia hoʻi, ʻo ia ka hui pū ʻana o kekahi mau kumu ʻikepili.

Inā noi ʻoe i kahi papa inoa - no ka laʻana, "nā alakaʻi kaulana" - e hōʻike ʻia ʻoe i kahi carousel:
ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?

Bonus no ka poʻe heluhelu a hiki i ka hopena

A i kēia manawa ua wehewehe mākou iā mākou iho i ke ʻano o kēlā me kēia helu, hiki iā mākou ke nānā i ke kiʻi like, akā ma ka Lūkini:

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?

Kaʻana like ʻole ia ma nā pūnaewele puni honua!

ʻO Gartner Chart 2019: He aha nā ʻōlelo a pau e pili ana?
ʻO Tatyana Volkova - Ka mea kākau o ka papahana hoʻomaʻamaʻa no ka Internet of Things IT track ma ka Samsung Academy, loea i nā papahana kuleana pilikino ma ka Samsung Research Center


Source: www.habr.com

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